The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment
Moss, Richard H., Edmonds, Jae A., Hibbard, Kathy A., Manning, Martin R., Rose, Steven K., van Vuuren, Detlef P., Carter, Timothy R., Emori, Seita, Kainuma, Mikiko, Kram, Tom, Meehl, Gerald A., Mitchell, John F. B., Nakicenovic, Nebojsa, Riahi, Keywan, Smith, Steven J., Stouffer, Ronald J., Thomson, Allison M., Weyant, John P., Wilbanks, Thomas J.·2010·Nature
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- The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: A new approach based on shared socio-economic pathwaysKriegler, Elmar, O’Neill, Brian C., Hallegatte, Stephane, Kram, Tom, Lempert, Robert J., Moss, Richard H., Wilbanks, Thomas · 2012 · Global Environmental Change
- Air Quality and Climate ConnectionsFiore, Arlene M., Naik, Vaishali, Leibensperger, Eric M. · 2015 · Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association
- Climate change impacts on meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts in ChinaGuoyong Leng, Qiuhong Tang, Scott Rayburg · 2015 · Global and Planetary Change
- Precipitation in the Hindu‐Kush Karakoram Himalaya: Observations and future scenariosElisa Palazzi, Jost von Hardenberg, Antonello Provenzale · 2013 · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
- Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic PathwaysShilpa Rao, Zbigniew Klimont, Steven J. Smith, Rita Van Dingenen, Frank J. Dentener, Lex Bouwman, Keywan Riahi, Markus Christian Amann, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Detlef Peter van Vuuren et al. · 2016 · Global Environmental Change
- Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate ChangeJohn P. Weyant · 2017 · Review of Environmental Economics and Policy
- Challenges in modeling and predicting floods and droughts: A reviewManuela I. Brunner, Louise J. Slater, Lena Merete Tallaksen, Martyn Clark · 2021 · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Water
- Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan PlateauFengge Su, Xiaolan Duan, Deliang Chen, Zhenchun Hao, Lan Cuo · 2012 · Journal of Climate
- Global ocean biogeochemistry model HAMOCC: Model architecture and performance as component of the MPI‐Earth system model in different CMIP5 experimental realizationsTatiana Ilyina, Katharina Dorothea Six, Joachim Segschneider, Ernst Maier‐Reimer, Hongmei Li, Ismael Núñez‐Riboni · 2013 · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
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- The MACC reanalysis: an 8 yr data set of atmospheric compositionAntje Inness, F. W. Baier, Angela Benedetti, Idir Bouarar, Simon Chabrillat, Hannah L. Clark, Cathy Clerbaux, Pierre‐François Coheur, Richard J. Engelen, Quentin Errera et al. · 2013 · Atmospheric chemistry and physics
- Estimating the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MARXavier Fettweis, Bruno Franco, M. Tedesco, J. H. van Angelen, Jan T. M. Lenaerts, M. R. van den Broeke, Hubert Gallée · 2013 · The Cryosphere
- Regional and global projections of twenty-first century glacier mass changes in response to climate scenarios from global climate modelsValentina Radić, Andrew K. Bliss, A. C. Beedlow, Regine Hock, Evan Stewart Miles, J. Graham Cogley · 2013 · Climate Dynamics
- Local-scale projections of coral reef futures and implications of the Paris AgreementRuben J. van Hooidonk, Jeffrey Allen Maynard, Jerker Tamelander, Jamison M. Gove, Gabby N. Ahmadia, Laurie J. Raymundo, Gareth J. Williams, Scott F. Heron, Serge Planes · 2016 · Scientific Reports
- High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessmentsCarlos E. Navarro Racines, Jaime Tarapues-Montenegro, Philip K. Thornton, Andy Jarvis, Julián Ramírez-Villegas · 2020 · Scientific Data
- Extreme heat waves under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warmingAlessandro Dosio, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Erich Markus Fischer, Klaus Wyser · 2018 · Environmental Research Letters
- Aerosol forcing in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations by HadGEM2-ES and the role of ammonium nitrateNicolas Bellouin, Jamie G. L. Rae, Andy Jones, Colin E. Johnson, Jim Haywood, Oliviér Boucher · 2011 · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
- The problem of pattern and scale in ecology: what have we learned in 20 years?Jérôme Chave · 2013 · Ecology Letters
- The SSP4: A world of deepening inequalityKatherine Calvin, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Leon Clarke, James Edmonds, Jiyong Eom, Corinne A. Hartin, Son H. Kim, Page G. Kyle, Robert P. Link, Richard H. Moss et al. · 2016 · Global Environmental Change
- Robust increases in severe thunderstorm environments in response to greenhouse forcingNoah S. Diffenbaugh, Martin Scherer, Robert J. Trapp · 2013 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years: An update from CMIP5 modelsMuyin Wang, James E. Overland · 2012 · Geophysical Research Letters
- Robust twenty-first-century projections of El Niño and related precipitation variabilityPower, Scott, Delage, François, Chung, Christine, Kociuba, Greg, Keay, Kevin · 2013 · Nature
- Woody biomass production lags stem-girth increase by over one month in coniferous forestsHenri E. Cuny, Cyrille Rathgeber, David Frank, Patrick Fonti, Harri H. Mäkinen, Peter Prislan, Sergio Rossi, Edurne Martínez del Castillo, Filipe Campelo, Hanuš Vavrčík et al. · 2015 · Nature Plants
- Global protected area expansion is compromised by projected land-use and parochialismFederico Montesino Pouzols, Tuuli Toivonen, Enrico Di Minin, Aija S. Kukkala, Peter Kullberg, Johanna Kuusterä, Joona Lehtomäki, Henrikki Tenkanen, Peter H. Verburg, Atte Moilanen · 2014 · Nature
- A High-Resolution Global Dataset of Extreme Sea Levels, Tides, and Storm Surges, Including Future ProjectionsSanne Muis, Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea, Job Dullaart, J. L. Rego, Kristine S. Madsen, Jian Su, Kun Yan, Martin Verlaan · 2020 · Frontiers in Marine Science
- Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changesAimée B. A. Slangen, Mark Carson, Caroline A. Katsman, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Armin Köhl, Bert L. A. Vermeersen, Detlef B. Stammer · 2014 · Climatic Change
- Rapid decline of snow and ice in the tropical Andes – Impacts, uncertainties and challenges aheadMathias Vuille, Mark Carey, Christian Huggel, Wouter Buytaert, Antoine Rabatel, Dean Jacobsen, Álvaro Soruco, Marcos Villacís, Christian Yarlequé, Oliver Elison Timm et al. · 2017 · Earth-Science Reviews
- Is Cassava the Answer to African Climate Change Adaptation?Andy Jarvis, Julián Ramírez-Villegas, Beatriz Vanessa Herrera Campo, Carlos E. Navarro Racines · 2012 · Tropical Plant Biology
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East AfricaGebremedhin Gebremeskel Haile, Qiuhong Tang, Seyed‐Mohammad Hosseini‐Moghari, Xingcai Liu, Tesfay Gebretsadkan Gebremicael, Guoyong Leng, Asfaw Kebede, Ximeng Xu, Xiaobo Yun · 2020 · Earth s Future
- Vulnerability to climate change of cocoa in West Africa: Patterns, opportunities and limits to adaptationGötz Schroth, Peter Läderach, Armando Isaac Martinez-Valle, Christian Bunn, Laurence Jassogne · 2016 · The Science of The Total Environment
- Insight from CMIP6 SSP-RCP scenarios for future drought characteristics in ChinaBuda Su, Jinlong Huang, Sanjit Kumar Mondal, Jianqing Zhai, Yanjun Wang, Shanshan Wen, Miaoni Gao, Yanran Lv, Shan Jiang, Tong Jiang et al. · 2020 · Atmospheric Research
- Floods and climate: emerging perspectives for flood risk assessment and managementBruno Merz, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Karsten Arnbjerg‐Nielsen, Marina Baldi, Andreas Becker, Adéline Bichet, Günter Blöschl, Laurens M. Bouwer, Achim Brauer, Francesco Cioffi et al. · 2014 · Natural hazards and earth system sciences
- The projected effect on insects, vertebrates, and plants of limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather than 2°CRachel Warren, Jeff T. Price, Erin Graham, Nicole Forstenhäusler, Jeremy J. VanDerWal · 2018 · Science
- Climate Data Challenges in the 21st CenturyJonathan T. Overpeck, Gerald A. Meehl, Sandrine Bony, David R. Easterling · 2011 · Science
- Projecting Future Heat-Related Mortality under Climate Change Scenarios: A Systematic ReviewCunrui Huang, Adrian Gerard Barnett, Xiaoming Wang, Pavla Vaneckova, Gerard FitzGerald, Shilu Tong · 2011 · Environmental Health Perspectives
- Investing in Climate, Investing in GrowthOECD · 2017 · OECD eBooks
- Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the NarrativesBauer, Nico, Calvin, Katherine, Emmerling, Johannes, Fricko, Oliver, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Hilaire, Jérôme, Eom, Jiyong, Krey, Volker, Kriegler, Elmar, Mouratiadou, Ioanna et al. · 2017 · Global Environmental Change
- Integrated Risk and Uncertainty Assessment of Climate Change Response PoliciesIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change · 2015 · Cambridge University Press eBooks
- Climate change impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region and their implications for vulnerable population groupsKatharina Waha, Linda Krummenauer, Sophie Adams, Valentin Aich, Florent Baarsch, Dim Coumou, Marianela Fader, Holger Hoff, Guy Jobbins, Rachel Marcus et al. · 2017 · Regional Environmental Change
- Framing, Context, and MethodsIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) · 2023 · Cambridge University Press eBooks
- Towards a global assessment of pyrogenic carbon from vegetation firesCristina Santín, Stefan Helmut Doerr, Evan S. Kane, Caroline A. Masiello, Mikael Ohlson, José M. de la Rosa Arranz, Caroline M. Preston, Thorsten Dittmar · 2015 · Global Change Biology
- Sensitivity of plants to changing atmospheric CO 2 concentration: from the geological past to the next centuryPeter J. Franks, Mark A. Adams, Jeffrey S. Amthor, Margaret M. Barbour, Joseph A. Berry, David S. Ellsworth, Graham D. Farquhar, Oula Ghannoum, Jon Lloyd, Nate G. McDowell et al. · 2013 · New Phytologist
- Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitationSandrine Bony, Gilles Bellon, Daniel Klocke, Steven C. Sherwood, Solange Fermepin, Sébastien Denvil · 2013 · Nature Geoscience
- Global blue carbon accumulation in tidal wetlands increases with climate changeWang, Faming, Sanders, Christian J, Santos, Isaac R, Tang, Jianwu, Schuerch, Mark, Kirwan, Matthew L, Kopp, Robert E, Zhu, Kai, Li, Xiuzhen, Yuan, Jiacan et al. · 2021 · National Science Review
- Increased likelihood of heat-induced large wildfires in the Mediterranean BasinJulien Ruffault, T. Curt, Vincent Moron, Ricardo Machado Trigo, Florent Mouillot, Nikos Koutsias, François Pimont, Nicolas K Martin-StPaul, Renaud Barbero, Jean‐Luc Dupuy et al. · 2020 · Scientific Reports
- Climate change reduces extent of temperate drylands and intensifies drought in deep soilsDaniel R. Schlaepfer, John B. Bradford, William K. Lauenroth, Seth M. Munson, Britta Tietjen, Sonia A. Hall, Scott D. Wilson, Michael C. Duniway, Gensuo Jia, David A. Pyke et al. · 2017 · Nature Communications
- A CMIP5 multimodel projection of future temperature, precipitation, and climatological drought in ChinaLin Wang, Wen Chen · 2013 · International Journal of Climatology
- Multi-model mean nitrogen and sulfur deposition from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP): evaluation of historical and projected future changesJean‐François Lamarque, Frank J. Dentener, Joseph R. McConnell, Chul‐Un Ro, M. Shaw, Robert J. Vet, Daniel J. Bergmann, Philip J. Cameron-Smith, Stig Bjørløw Dalsøren, Ruth M. Doherty et al. · 2013 · Atmospheric chemistry and physics
- The carbon footprint of household energy use in the United StatesBenjamin P. Goldstein, Dimitrios Gounaridis, Joshua P. Newell · 2020 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- A New Global Land-Use and Land-Cover Change Product at a 1-km Resolution for 2010 to 2100 Based on Human–Environment InteractionsXia Li, Guangzhao Chen, Xiaoping Liu, Xun Liang, Shaojian Wang, Yimin Chen, Fengsong Pei, Xiaocong Xu · 2017 · Annals of the American Association of Geographers
- Quantifying the economic risks of climate changeDelavane Diaz, Frances C. Moore · 2017 · Nature Climate Change
- Loss of coral reef growth capacity to track future increases in sea levelChris T. Perry, Lorenzo Álvarez‐Filip, Nicholas A. J. Graham, Peter J. Mumby, Shaun K. Wilson, Paul Simon Kench, Derek P. Manzello, Kyle M. Morgan, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Damian P. Thomson et al. · 2018 · Nature
- How Should Robustness Be Defined for Water Systems Planning under Change?Jonathan D. Herman, Patrick M. Reed, Harrison B. Zeff, Gregory W. Characklis · 2015 · Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
- Marine Ecosystem Dynamics and Biogeochemical Cycling in the Community Earth System Model [CESM1(BGC)]: Comparison of the 1990s with the 2090s under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 ScenariosJefferson Keith Moore, Keith Lindsay, Scott C. Doney, Matthew C. Long, Kazuhiro Misumi · 2013 · Journal of Climate
- Future visioning of local climate change: A framework for community engagement and planning with scenarios and visualisationStephen R.J. Sheppard, Alison Shaw, David Flanders, Sarah Burch, Arnim Wiek, Jeff Carmichael, John Robinson, Stewart Cohen · 2011 · Futures
- Future phytoplankton diversity in a changing climateStephanie Henson, B. B. Cael, Stephanie R. Allen, Stephanie Dutkiewicz · 2021 · Nature Communications
- Scanning the Conservation Horizon: A Guide to Climate Change Vulnerability AssessmentPatty Glick, Bruce A. Stein, Naomi Edelson · 2011
- Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projectionsBoris Orlowsky, Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne · 2013 · Hydrology and earth system sciences
- Does innovation respond to climate change? Empirical evidence from patents and greenhouse gas emissionsHsin‐Ning Su, Igam M. Moaniba · 2017 · Technological Forecasting and Social Change
- Global scenarios of resource and emission savings from material efficiency in residential buildings and carsStefan Pauliuk, Niko Heeren, Peter Berrill, Tomer Fishman, Andrea Nistad, Qingshi Tu, Paul Wolfram, Edgar G. Hertwich · 2021 · Nature Communications
- Climate change response in Europe: what’s the reality? Analysis of adaptation and mitigation plans from 200 urban areas in 11 countriesDiana Reckien, Johannes Flacke, Richard Dawson, Oliver Heidrich, Marta Olazabal, Aoife M Foley, J. J.-P. Hamann, Hans Orru, Monica Salvia, Sonia De Gregorio Hurtado et al. · 2013 · Climatic Change
- Added value of regional climate modeling over areas characterized by complex terrain—Precipitation over the AlpsCsaba Zsolt Torma, Filippo Giorgi, Erika Coppola · 2015 · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
- Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry eventsEmanuele Bevacqua, Giuseppe Zappa, Flavio Lehner, Jakob Zscheischler A · 2022 · Nature Climate Change
- Flood risk and adaptation strategies under climate change and urban expansion: A probabilistic analysis using global dataSanne Muis, Burak Güneralp, Brenden Jongman, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Philip J. Ward · 2015 · The Science of The Total Environment
- Projections of declining surface-water availability for the southwestern United StatesRichard Seager, Mingfang Ting, Cuihua Li, Naomi H. Naik, Ben I. Cook, Jennifer Nakamura, Haibo Liu · 2012 · Nature Climate Change
- The IPCC AR5 guidance note on consistent treatment of uncertainties: a common approach across the working groupsMastrandrea, Michael D., Mach, Katharine J., Plattner, Gian-Kasper, Edenhofer, Ottmar, Stocker, Thomas F., Field, Christopher B., Ebi, Kristie L., Matschoss, Patrick R. · 2011 · Climatic Change
- The Effects of Climate Change on GDP by Country and the Global Economic Gains From Complying With the Paris Climate AccordTom Kompas, Pham Van Ha, Tuong Nhu Che · 2018 · Earth s Future
- Asymmetric forcing from stratospheric aerosols impacts Sahelian rainfallHaywood, Jim M., Jones, Andy, Bellouin, Nicolas, Stephenson, David · 2013 · Nature Climate Change
- Interactions between urbanization, heat stress, and climate changeOleson, K. W., Monaghan, A., Wilhelmi, O., Barlage, M., Brunsell, N., Feddema, J., Hu, L., Steinhoff, D. F. · 2015 · Climatic Change
- The Canadian Fourth Generation Atmospheric Global Climate Model (CanAM4). Part I: Representation of Physical ProcessesKnut von Salzen, John Scinocca, N. A. McFarlane, Jiangnan Li, Jason N. S. Cole, David A. Plummer, Diana L. Verseghy, M. C. Reader, Xiaoyan Ma, Michael Lazare et al. · 2013 · ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN
- Assessing climate change impacts on sorghum and millet yields in the Sudanian and Sahelian savannas of West AfricaBenjamin Sultan, Philippe Roudier, Philippe Quirion, Agali Alhassane, Bertrand Muller, Michaël Dingkuhn, Philippe Ciais, Matthieu Guimberteau, Seydou Brehima Traore, Christian Baron · 2013 · Environmental Research Letters
- The response of precipitation characteristics to global warming from climate projectionsFilippo Giorgi, Francesca Raffaele, Erika Coppola · 2019 · Earth System Dynamics
- Particulate air pollution from wildfires in the Western US under climate changeLiu, Jia Coco, Mickley, Loretta J., Sulprizio, Melissa P., Dominici, Francesca, Yue, Xu, Ebisu, Keita, Anderson, Georgiana Brooke, Khan, Rafi F. A., Bravo, Mercedes A., Bell, Michelle L. · 2016 · Climatic Change
- An overview of climate change impacts on European viticultureHélder Fraga, Aureliano C. Malheiro, José Moutinho‐Pereira, João A. Santos · 2012 · Food and Energy Security
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- Gridded population projections for the coastal zone under the Shared Socioeconomic PathwaysJan-Ludolf Merkens, Lena Reimann, Jochen Hinkel, Athanasios Thomas Vafeidis · 2016 · Global and Planetary Change
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- Evaluation of the Large EURO‐CORDEX Regional Climate Model EnsembleRobert Vautard, Nikolay Kadygrov, Carley Elizabeth Iles, Fredrik Boberg, Erasmo Buonomo, Katharina Bülow, Erika Coppola, Lola Corre, Erik van Meijgaard, Rita Nogherotto et al. · 2020 · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
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