The DOI matches its Crossref record; 12 of the 12 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
1.5 °C degrowth scenarios suggest the need for new mitigation pathways
Open accessAbstract
1.5 °C scenarios reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) rely on combinations of controversial negative emissions and unprecedented technological change, while assuming continued growth in gross domestic product (GDP). Thus far, the integrated assessment modelling community and the IPCC have neglected to consider degrowth scenarios, where economic output declines due to stringent climate mitigation. Hence, their potential to avoid reliance on negative emissions and speculative rates of technological change remains unexplored. As a first step to address this gap, this paper compares 1.5 °C degrowth scenarios with IPCC archetype scenarios, using a simplified quantitative representation of the fuel-energy-emissions nexus. Here we find that the degrowth scenarios minimize many key risks for feasibility and sustainability compared to technology-driven pathways, such as the reliance on high energy-GDP decoupling, large-scale carbon dioxide removal and large-scale and high-speed renewable energy transformation. However, substantial challenges remain regarding political feasibility. Nevertheless, degrowth pathways should be thoroughly considered.
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Cites
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Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis
Minx, J. C., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Fuss, S., Hilaire, J., Creutzig, F., Amann, T., Beringer, T., de Oliveira Garcia, W., Hartmann, J., et al. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf9b · Cited by 865
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The climate change mitigation potential of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage
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Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being
Creutzig, F., Niamir, L., Bai, X., Callaghan, M., Cullen, J., Díaz-José, J., Figueroa, M., Grubler, A., Lamb, W. F., Leip, A., et al. (2022) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01219-y · Cited by 579
Kuzemko, C., Blondeel, M., Dupont, C., & Brisbois, M. C. (2022) · Energy Research & Social Science · doi:10.1016/j.erss.2022.102842 · Cited by 339
Post-growth: the science of wellbeing within planetary boundaries
Kallis, G., Hickel, J., O’Neill, D. W., Jackson, T., Victor, P. A., Raworth, K., Schor, J. B., Steinberger, J. K., & Ürge-Vorsatz, D. (2025) · The Lancet Planetary Health · doi:10.1016/s2542-5196(24)00310-3 · Cited by 261
Exploring degrowth policy proposals: A systematic mapping with thematic synthesis
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Metadata
- Authors
- Keyßer, L. T., & Lenzen, M.
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2021-05-11
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 2676-2676
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3163078683
- Cited by
- 326
- References
- 12
- FWCI
- 43.32
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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