Cited by 520Oceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesClimate variability and modelsOcean Waves and Remote Sensing

Satellite-based time-series of sea-surface temperature since 1981 for climate applications

Open access
Merchant, Christopher J., Embury, Owen, Bulgin, Claire E., Block, Thomas, Corlett, Gary K., Fiedler, Emma, Good, Simon A., Mittaz, Jonathan +8 more·2019·Scientific Data

Abstract

A climate data record of global sea surface temperature (SST) spanning 1981–2016 has been developed from 4 × 10 12 satellite measurements of thermal infra-red radiance. The spatial area represented by pixel SST estimates is between 1 km 2 and 45 km 2. The mean density of good-quality observations is 13 km−2 yr−1. SST uncertainty is evaluated per datum, the median uncertainty for pixel SSTs being 0.18 K. Multi-annual observational stability relative to drifting buoy measurements is within 0.003 K yr−1 of zero with high confidence, despite maximal independence from in situ SSTs over the latter two decades of the record. Data are provided at native resolution, gridded at 0.05° latitude-longitude resolution (individual sensors), and aggregated and gap-filled on a daily 0.05° grid. Skin SSTs, depth-adjusted SSTs de-aliased with respect to the diurnal cycle, and SST anomalies are provided. Target applications of the dataset include: climate and ocean model evaluation; quantification of marine change and variability (including marine heatwaves); climate and ocean-atmosphere processes; and specific applications in ocean ecology, oceanography and geophysics.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This paper describes ESA SST CCI v2.1, a global satellite sea-surface temperature climate data record spanning 1981–2016, built from 4 × 10¹² thermal infrared radiance measurements and provided at native, 0.05° gridded, and gap-filled daily 0.05° levels. It reports median per-pixel uncertainty of 0.18 K and multi-annual stability relative to drifting buoys within 0.003 K yr⁻¹ of zero.

Key findings

  • The CDR spans 1981–2016 from 11 AVHRRs and three ATSRs; the mean density of good-quality observations (QL 4 and 5) is 13 km⁻² yr⁻¹, with pixel SST footprint areas between 1 km² and 45 km².
  • Median evaluated uncertainty for L2P pixel SSTs is 0.18 K; total uncertainty is less than 0.8 K for almost all SSTs, and median sensitivity for QL 4 and 5 data is 101%.
  • Multi-annual global observational stability relative to drifting buoy SSTs is, with 95% confidence, in the range −0.0026 to 0.0004 K yr⁻¹.
  • Products include skin SST, depth-adjusted SST at 20 cm de-aliased with respect to the diurnal cycle, and SST anomalies; the L4 analysis is a gap-filled daily-mean 20 cm SST field produced without assimilating in situ measurements.

Methods

  • Inputs are the full ATSR-series v3/v2.1 level-1b archive and AVHRR GAC archives (AVHRR 7, 9, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19 and Metop-A), with auxiliary ERA-Interim NWP fields, OSI-SAF sea-ice concentration, land-sea masks, and pre-calculated look-up tables.
  • Processing includes Bayesian cloud detection, radiance harmonisation referenced to AATSR/ATSR-2, radiative transfer modelling (LBLRTM and RTTOV), skin SST retrieval (coefficient-based for ATSRs; optimal estimation for AVHRRs), per-pixel uncertainty decomposition, depth/time adjustment to 20 cm and 10:30 or 22:30 local mean solar time, and NEMOVAR variational assimilation for the L4 analysis.
  • Validation includes automated inspection of all 465,302 L2P and L3U products (8 TB L2P, 3.4 TB L3U), visual inspection of random subsets, manual metadata checks, and comparison against drifting buoys in skin-raw, skin-skin, and depth-depth categories.

Limitations

  • Stated in the paper: independence from in situ observations is high for 1995 onward, but is significantly lost for 1981–1995 because in situ SSTs were used as a large-scale calibration reference.
  • Stated in the paper: known v2.1 artefacts include unscreened and unadjusted desert dust causing intermittent negative biases of magnitude 1 K in CCI AVHRR SSTs in the north east tropical Atlantic, Red Sea and Gulf of Arabia, with an exaggerated positive trend of about 0.01 to 0.02 K yr⁻¹ in those regions; 1980s single-AVHRR periods with degraded calibration introduce global-mean analysis artefacts of 0.1 to 0.5 K in May 1982, October–December 1982, early August 1983 and late September 1983.
  • Stated in the paper: some error sources are not estimated (cloud-affected pixels passing cloud detection, volcanic aerosol effects, mineral dust, undetected solar contamination), correlation scales for synoptically correlated uncertainty are not fully quantified, and L4 interpolation degrades feature resolution relative to lower-level data.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41597-019-0236-x

Cites

57 of 57 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

23 of 38 cited sources checked · 15 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    The diurnal cycle in SST is typically in the peak-to-peak range of 0.1 K to 0.5 K.

    “The diurnal cycle in sea surface temperature has been empirically characterised from sub-daily drifting buoy variability8 and by remote sensing9, and is typically in the peak-to-peak range of 0.1 K to 0.5 K.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [8] Morak‐Bozzo, S., Merchant, C. J., Kent, E. C., Berry, D. I. & Carella, G. Climatological diurnal variability in sea surface temperature characterized from drifting buoy data. Geosci. Data J. 3, 20–28 (2016). source

      The Abstract says the authors used sub-daily drifting-buoy records to characterize the SST diurnal cycle, supporting that part of the citing sentence. The Results (§1.2) discuss how its amplitude varies and give a 0.1 K start-to-end difference for one seasonal example, but our copy does not state that the typical peak-to-peak range is 0.1–0.5 K. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [9] Zhang, H. et al. Comparison of SST diurnal variation models over the Tropical Warm Pool region. J. of Geophys. Res. Oceans 123, 3467–3488 (2018). source

      Section 4.3 (DV Cycles; page unavailable) reports an average amplitude of 0.4–0.6 K in the original satellite data, which overlaps the claimed range. But the paper considers sensitivity-scaled data more realistic and gives their average amplitude as 0.8–0.9 K, so it does not support 0.1–0.5 K as the typical peak-to-peak range. The Introduction’s 0.1–0.5 K figure describes the cool-skin effect, not the diurnal cycle. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Study design and conductcitation

    Bayesian methods of cloud screening were used in the dataset production.

    “Bayesian methods of cloud screening of imagery11,12”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [11] Merchant, C. J., Harris, A. R., Maturi, E. & MacCallum, S. Probabilistic physically-based cloud screening of satellite infra-red imagery for operational sea surface temperature retrieval. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 131(611), 2735–2755 (2005). source
    • cites [12] Bulgin, C. E., Mittaz, J. P. D., Embury, O., Eastwood, S. & Merchant, C. J. Bayesian cloud detection for 37 Years of Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Global Area Coverage (GAC) data. Remote Sens. 10(1), 97 (2018). source
    • The authors state this as an assumption: In the cloud detection calculation, P(x|c) is assumed equal to P(x).
  • Premisecitation

    In situ SST measurements and upper layers of ocean models typically reflect SST at depths between ~10 cm and ~10 m.

    “In situ SST measurements2 and the upper layers of ocean models typically reflect SST at depths between ~10 cm and ~10 m.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [2] Kent, E. C. et al. A Call for New Approaches to Quantifying Biases in Observations of Sea Surface Temperature. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 98, 1601–1616 (2017). source

      The section “What Is SST and How Is It Measured?” says drifting buoys measure at nominal depths of 10–20 cm and moored buoys at about 1 m, supporting the in situ portion of the claim. It does not establish ~10 m as the typical lower boundary; it says measurements down to about 20 m have historically been treated as SST. The cited passage also does not establish the stated depth range for ocean-model upper layers. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Three major volcanic eruptions caused two periods of elevated stratospheric sulfate aerosol (1982-84, 1991-93) with impacts on infra-red brightness temperatures significant for SST retrieval (e.g., >0.03 K).

    “Three major volcanic eruptions (El Chichon22; Pinatubo and Hudson23) caused two periods of elevated stratospheric sulfate aerosol (1982–84, 1991–93) with impacts on infra-red brightness temperatures that are significant for SST retrieval24 (e.g., >0.03 K).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [22] Matson, M. The 1982 El Chichón Volcano eruptions – A satellite perspective. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 23(1–2), 1–10 (1984). source
    • cites [23] Lambert, A. et al. Measurements of the evolution of the Mt. Pinatubo aerosol cloud by ISAMS. Geophys. Res. Lett. 20(12), 1287–1290 (1993). source
    • cites [24] Merchant, C. J., Harris, A. R., Murray, M. J. & Zavody, A. M. Toward the elimination of bias in satellite retrievals of skin sea surface temperature 1. Theory, modeling and inter-algorithm comparison. Journal of Geophysical Research 104(C10), 23565–23578 (1999). source

      The retrieved passages contain bibliographic details and the paper’s title, but no substantive passage addressing volcanic sulfate aerosols or their effect on infrared brightness temperatures. Searches for volcanic aerosols, stratospheric aerosols, brightness-temperature bias, and 0.03 K found no supporting passage in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.74)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Study design and conductcitation

    Total SST uncertainty and uncertainty components were estimated context-specifically.

    “context-specific estimation of total SST uncertainty and uncertainty components16,17”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [16] Bulgin, C. E., Embury, O., Corlett, G. & Merchant, C. J. Independent uncertainty estimates for coefficient based sea surface temperature retrieval from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometer instruments. Remote Sens. Env. 178, 213–222 (2016). source
    • cites [17] Bulgin, C. E., Embury, O. & Merchant, C. J. Sampling uncertainty in gridded sea surface temperature products and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Global Area Coverage (GAC) data. Remote Sens. Env. 178, 287–294 (2016). source

      The Introduction (p. 4) says this paper models sampling uncertainty, one component of the uncertainty budget, while a companion paper addresses context-specific uncertainties from other error sources. Section 4.2 (p. 16) describes estimating sampling uncertainty from clear-sky coverage and SST variability. This source therefore supports context-specific estimation of a component, but not the attributed estimation of total SST uncertainty and its other components. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims. 34
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 47
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 4
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Quality level 5 is attributed only for high clear-sky probability and for conditions of low aerosol (assessed by a desert dust index) or where steps to adjust for aerosol are taken.

    “therefore the quality level 5 is attributed only for high clear-sky probability and for conditions of low aerosol (assessed by a desert dust index42,43) or where steps to adjust for aerosol are taken (the case for the volcanic stratospheric aerosol events).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [42] Merchant, C. J., Embury, O., Le Borgne, P. & Bellec, B. Saharan dust in night-time thermal imagery: detection and reduction of related biases in retrieved sea surface temperature. Remote Sensing of Environment 104, 15–30 (2006). source
    • cites [43] Good, E. J., Kong, X., Embury, O. & Merchant, C. J. An infrared desert dust index for the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers. Remote Sensing of Environment 116, 159–176 (2012). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingcitation

    A study on the use of CCI analysis SSTs at coral reef locations near Florida and Belize found that the inferred coral-reef heat stress could differ from previous estimates.

    “A study on the use of CCI analysis SSTs at the locations of coral reefs near Florida and Belize found that the inferred coral-reef heat stress could differ from previous estimates59.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [59] Liu, G. et al. Reef-scale thermal stress monitoring of coral ecosystems: new 5-km global products from NOAA Coral Reef Watch. Remote Sensing 6, 11579–11606 (2014). source

      Section 3.1.2 (p. 17) reports that the new 5-km products yielded different estimates of coral-reef thermal stress from the earlier 50-km products. The paper describes NOAA's blended SST analysis and Pathfinder climatology, not a CCI analysis of SSTs at reefs near Florida and Belize; those specifics are unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    Depth and time adjustments were calculated using a combined model of the skin-effect and diurnal thermocline.

    “Depth and time adjustments were calculated using a combined model of the skin-effect and diurnal thermocline15.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [15] Embury, O., Merchant, C. J. & Corlett, G. K. A reprocessing for climate of sea surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers: initial validation, accounting for skin and diurnal variability. Remote Sens. Env. 116, 62–78 (2012). source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    A precursor version of SST CCI data has been used to evaluate biases between instrumentally homogeneous observational datasets and to propagate observational uncertainty to scales required in model evaluation.

    “Users of a precursor version of SST CCI data have demonstrated its use for evaluating biases between different instrumentally homogenous observational datasets60 and for propagating observational uncertainty to scales required in model evaluation61.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [60] Hausfather, Z. et al. Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records. Science Advances 3(1), e1601207 (2017). source
    • cites [61] Bellprat, O. et al. Uncertainty propagation in observations references to climate model scales. Rem. Sens. Environment. 203, 101–108 (2017). source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Skin SSTs, depth-adjusted SSTs de-aliased with respect to the diurnal cycle, and SST anomalies are provided.

    “Skin SSTs, depth-adjusted SSTs de-aliased with respect to the diurnal cycle, and SST anomalies are provided.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    The 12 μm channel of AATSR was subject to an anomalous bias of up to 0.3 K, which was reduced by application of a shift of its nominal spectral response function.

    “However, the 12 µm channel of AATSR was subject to an anomalous bias of up to 0.3 K, which we have reduced by application of a shift of its nominal spectral response function27”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [27] Remedios, J. J., Corlett, G. & Embury, O. AATSR 12 Micron Anomaly Review Board – Final Report ADDENDUM. ESA/ESRIN IDEAS-VEG-OQC-REP-1274_ADDENDUM, https://earth.esa.int/documents/10174/663411/Addendum-AATSR-12-Micron-Anomaly-Review-Board-Final-Report (2016).

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The SST observation density varies in time and space.

    “The SST observation density varies in time and space (Fig. 1).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The posterior probability of clear sky does not have a frequentist interpretation; when P(c|y, x) = 90%, visual inspection suggests that image pixels are cloudy less than 10% of the time.

    “The probability does not have a frequentist interpretation (i.e., when P(c|y, x) = 90% visual inspection suggests that the image pixels are cloudy less than 10% of the time).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Satellite local overpass times differ between missions and sometimes drift during missions.

    “Satellite local overpass times differ between missions and sometimes drift during missions (Fig. 3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The median sensitivity for QL 4 & 5 data is 101%, close to the ideal value of 100%.

    “The sensitivity is associated with each SST, and the median sensitivity for QL 4 & 5 data is 101%, close to the ideal value of 100%.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Data are provided at native resolution, gridded at 0.05° latitude-longitude resolution for individual sensors, and aggregated and gap-filled on a daily 0.05° grid.

    “Data are provided at native resolution, gridded at 0.05° latitude-longitude resolution (individual sensors), and aggregated and gap-filled on a daily 0.05° grid.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    SST uncertainty is evaluated per datum, with median uncertainty for pixel SSTs of 0.18 K.

    “SST uncertainty is evaluated per datum, the median uncertainty for pixel SSTs being 0.18 K.”
    • Also stated in: § Background & Summary · plain
      “the median evaluated uncertainty for L2P SSTs (i.e., for individual ATSR and AVHRR retrievals) is 0.18 K”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    The depth adjustment also addresses the diurnal cycle, with depth SST further adjusted in time to be more representative of the daily mean.

    “For this reason, the depth adjustment mentioned above also addresses the diurnal cycle, the depth SST being further adjusted in time to be more representative of the daily mean.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The L4 product is intended to represent the SST at 20 cm depth, and the time-and-depth adjusted SSTs are the inputs used.

    “This L4 product is intended to represent the SST at 20 cm depth, and the time-and-depth adjusted SSTs are the inputs used.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    ESA SST CCI AVHRR L3U v2.1 spans 1981 to 2016.

    “spanning 1981 to 2016”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingcitation

    A confidence level on a scale 0 to 5 is provided for each SST as a quality indicator, following an international convention.

    “A confidence level on a scale 0 to 5 is provided for each SST as a quality indicator, following an international convention3.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [3] GHRSST Science Team. The Recommended GHRSST Data Specification (GDS) 2.0 document revision 4. GHRSST International Project Office (2011).

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Mineral-dust-affected AVHRR SSTs are present intermittently in the products, particularly for the north east tropical Atlantic Ocean, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Arabia, and such data may be given quality level 5 flags without the biasing effect of the aerosol being accounted for in the attached uncertainty.

    “Users need to be aware that mineral-dust-affected AVHRR SSTs are present intermittently in the products, particularly for the north east tropical Atlantic Ocean, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Arabia, and such data may be given quality level 5 flags without the biasing effect of the aerosol being accounted for in the attached uncertainty; see further information in Usage Notes below.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    ESA SST CCI ATSR L2P v2.1 is presented on the native geometry of observation at original time of observation.

    “presented on the native geometry of observation at original time of observation”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    ESA SST CCI ATSR L3U v2.1 total data volume is 270 G.

    “270 G”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingnone given

    ESA SST CCI ATSR L3U v2.1 spans 1991 to 2012.

    “spanning 1991 to 2012”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    An upper bound of order 0.1 K can be established for the systematic component of uncertainty by comparison with other SST data, and this value is used.

    “This component of uncertainty is difficult to estimate, although an upper bound of order 0.1 K can be established by comparison with other SST data, and this value is used.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    ESA SST CCI AVHRR L3U v2.1 total data volume is 3.1 T.

    “3.1 T”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    ESA SST CCI AVHRR L2P v2.1 total data volume is 5.4 T.

    “5.4 T”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    ESA SST CCI AVHRR L3U v2.1 is presented on a 0.05° latitude-longitude grid at original time of observation.

    “presented on a 0.05° latitude-longitude grid at original time of observation”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    ESA SST CCI ATSR L2P v2.1 total data volume is 2.6 T.

    “2.6 T”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    ESA SST CCI ATSR L3U v2.1 is presented on a 0.05° latitude-longitude grid at original time of observation.

    “presented on a 0.05° latitude-longitude grid at original time of observation”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    ESA SST CCI AVHRR L2P v2.1 is presented on the native geometry of observation at original time of observation.

    “presented on the native geometry of observation at original time of observation”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    All data are released under the licence Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC-BY 4.0).

    “All data are released under the licence Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC-BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    Gridded L3U and L3C data are provided on a spatial grid of 0.05° in latitude and longitude.

    “Gridded versions of data (L3U and L3C, see Fig. 5) are provided on a spatial grid of 0.05° in latitude and longitude.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The process of retrieval amplifies noise by a factor that varies between ~2 and ~8, depending on the channel combination, viewing geometry and atmospheric state.

    “Typically, the process of retrieval amplifies noise by a factor that varies between ~2 and ~8, depending on the channel combination, viewing geometry and atmospheric state.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Some sources of error are not estimated by the above procedures, including the SST impact of cloud-affected pixels that pass cloud detection, unaccounted-for aerosol effects from volcanic eruptions and mineral dust, and undetected solar contamination.

    “Some sources of error are not estimated by the above procedures. These include the SST impact of cloud-affected pixels that nonetheless pass the cloud-detection procedures, unaccounted-for aerosol effects on BTs from volcanic eruptions and mineral dust, and issues such as undetected solar contamination of measurements that may affect AVHRRs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    For oceanographic application over the Eastern Atlantic, open ocean SST values had lower uncertainties than in coastal zones, where comparisons with coastal buoys gave root mean square differences of between 0.3 K and 0.8 K.

    “An assessment of CCI analysis SSTs for oceanographic application over the Eastern Atlantic concluded that open ocean SST values had lower uncertainties than in coastal zones, where comparisons with coastal buoys gave discrepancies of between 0.3 K and 0.8 K (root mean square differences)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    There is a southward shift in the distribution of the tropical organized convective regime and a corresponding increase in simulated tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere, although the impact was modest compared to existing model biases.

    “there is southward shift in the distribution of the tropical organized convective regime and a corresponding increase in simulated tropical cyclone activity in that hemisphere, although the impact was modest compared to existing model biases.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Overall, notwithstanding the limitations of the SST CCI products identified by inter-comparison and validation, users found the datasets easy to use and useful within the context of their applications.

    “Overall, notwithstanding the limitations of the SST CCI products identified by inter-comparison and validation, users found the datasets easy to use and useful within the context of their applications.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    All histograms of the variables showed the expected distributions.

    “All histograms of the variables showed the expected distributions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    Minor discrepancies between data and product user guide were detected.

    “Minor discrepancies between data and product user guide have been detected”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    An application of the data to provide an SST climatology for the Australian seas found the data to be highly consistent with mooring measurements in the region and able to provide a convincing climatology.

    “An application of the data to provide an SST climatology for the Australian seas found the data to be highly consistent with mooring measurements in the region and able to provide a convincing climatology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    A study of ENSO variability in a coupled climate model showed reduced cold-tongue simulation biases from a model upgrade, relative to SST CCI observations.

    “A study of ENSO variability in a coupled climate model showed reduced cold-tongue simulation biases from a model upgrade, relative to SST CCI observations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The visual inspection of the test-dataset did not reveal any unusual structures.

    “The visual inspection of the test-dataset did not reveal any unusual structures.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The difference between skin and depth SST is typically of order tenths of a kelvin, but can be larger.

    “The difference between skin and depth SST is typically of order tenths of kelvin, but can be larger5.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [5] Minnett, P. J., Smith, M. & Ward, B. Measurements of the oceanic thermal skin effect. Deep-Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography. 58(6), 861–868 (2011). source
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    TIR radiances were inverted to SST independently of in situ measurements, based on physical modelling not empirical tuning.

    “inversion of TIR radiances to SST independently of in situ measurements (i.e., based on physical modelling not empirical tuning14)”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [14] Embury, O., Merchant, C. J. & Filipiak, M. J. A reprocessing for climate of sea surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers: basis in radiative transfer. Remote Sens. Env. 116, 32–46 (2012). source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    Dual-view retrievals can yield very low uncertainty from systematic effects but are prone to relatively large independent random errors in individual pixel SSTs, particularly when using two channels at 11 and 12 μm.

    “SSTs from dual-view retrievals can yield very low uncertainty from systematic effects but are prone to being noisy (relatively large independent random errors in individual pixel SSTs), particularly when using two channels (at 11 and 12 µm).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    For thermal channels, AVHRR brightness temperatures are re-calibrated on-orbit and improvements to flagging of solar contamination events are implemented.

    “For the thermal channels, AVHRRs brightness temperatures are re-calibrated on-orbit (see below under ‘Harmonisation’) and improvements to flagging of solar contamination events are implemented.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Trace gas concentrations evolve in time in the radiative transfer simulations to ensure that their secular trends do not cause trend artefacts in SST retrievals.

    “The trace gas concentrations evolve in time in order to ensure that their secular trends do not cause trend artefacts in SST retrievals.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Atmospherically smoothed SSTs are preferable for ATSR SSTs to reduce SST noise at full spatial resolution.

    “Atmospherically smoothed SSTs are preferable for ATSR SSTs to reduce the SST noise at full spatial resolution.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    For reflectance wavelengths, a previously published PATMOS-X calibration approach is adopted, with a stated uncertainty of 2% across sensors.

    “For reflectance wavelengths, a previously published approach to calibration (“PATMOS-X”) is adopted18, which has a stated uncertainty of 2% across sensors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [18] Heidinger, A. K., Straka, W. C. III., Molling, C. C., Sullivan, J. T. & Wu, X. Deriving and inter-sensor consistent calibration for the AVHRR solar reflectance data record. International Journal of Remote Sensing 31, 6493–6517 (2010). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Such an adjustment for skin-to-depth and local-time-of-day effects has only, to our knowledge, been done for this CDR and its precursors.

    “Such an adjustment for skin-to-depth and local-time-of-day effects has only, to our knowledge, been done for this CDR and its precursors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Single-pixel SSTs, rather than atmospherically smoothed, are used as input to the L3U product because averaging to 0.05° averages down independent random noise and uncertainty propagation is simpler.

    “Single-pixel SSTs, rather than atmospherically smoothed, are used as input to the L3U product since averaging to 0.05° in any case averages down the independent random noise, and the propagation of uncertainty from single-pixel SSTs is simpler.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Manual verification of product metadata against the PSD is done using two randomly selected products per processing level, checking global metadata and variable attributes against prescribed values.

    “Manual verification of the product metadata against the PSD is done using two randomly selected products from the dataset for each processing level. Global metadata and the attributes of each variable are checked against the prescribed values defined in the PSD.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    When averaging n L2P SSTs to make daily 0.05° gridded L3 products, the uncertainty from random errors decreases as 1/√n, whereas the uncertainty from the other two components does not.

    “When averaging n L2P SSTs to make daily 0.05° gridded L3 products, the uncertainty from random errors decreases from “1/√n” averaging, whereas the uncertainty from the other two components does not.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The automated quality assessment of L2P and L3U consists of configurable checks applied to every file, including basic checks and specific data checks such as inter-variable consistency and flag/quality indicator consistency.

    “The automated quality assessment of L2P and L3U consists of checks that are configurable for each product level and are applied to every file in the dataset. The checks consist of basic checks (file name follows the convention, file can be read, etc) and specific checks on the data (all variables exist, data are within prescribed boundaries, etc).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    For all levels of SST CCI data in each public release, technical verification and quality tasks are undertaken, consisting of automated inspection of all files, visual inspection of a random subset, and manual verification of metadata against the product specification document.

    “For all levels of SST CCI data in each public release, technical verification and quality tasks are undertaken, consisting of three steps: automated inspection of all files; visual inspection of a random subset; and manual verification of metadata against the product specification document (PSD)54.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [54] Sea Surface Temperature CCI Phase-II Product Specification Document, SST_CCI-PSD-UKMO-201 (PSD), version 2, 2017-05-09, available at, http://www.esa-sst-cci.org.

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Averaging down of correlated errors is negligible for one pass on a scale of the grid cell.

    “(When gridding L2P data to larger and/or longer scales, averaging down of the correlated errors would occur, but this is negligible for one pass on a scale of the grid cell.)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The solution found by the minimum balances the information carried forward from the previous day with the information added by new observations, in the light of their relative uncertainty, accounting for correlations in the forecast errors.

    “The solution found by the minimum therefore balances the information carried forward from the previous day with the information added by new observations, in the light of their relative uncertainty, accounting for correlations in the forecast errors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Uncertainty information is provided in the L4 products, estimated using an analysis quality method.

    “Uncertainty information is also provided in the L4 products, which is estimated using an analysis quality method46.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] Donlon, C. J. et al. The Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) system. Remote Sensing of Environment. 116, 140–158 (2012). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Automated verification results are stored per-file and merged into a summary, ensuring traceability of the results.

    “The automated verification results are stored per-file and merged into a summary, ensuring traceability of the results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Even if the new solution were perfect, δy would be non-zero because of uncertainty (SST measurement errors and representativity effects).

    “Even if the new solution were perfect, δy would be non-zero because of uncertainty (SST measurement errors and representativity effects)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Visual inspections of L4 files were also undertaken.

    “Visual inspections of L4 files were also undertaken.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    For visual inspection, two products of each sensor and processing level are randomly selected, one from early and one from late in the sensor's useful life.

    “For the visual inspection, two products of each sensor and processing level are randomly selected, one from early and one from late in the sensor’s useful life.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    Large values of chi-square indicate that the inter-relationships of the brightness temperatures are not as expected for a clear-sky observation given the background information.

    “Large values of chi-square indicate that the inter-relationships of the brightness temperatures are not as expected for a clear-sky observation given the background information.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Evidence of an observation context in which true uncertainty may be significantly larger than evaluated is one factor in downgrading the quality level attached to an SST.

    “Evidence of an observation context in which true uncertainty may be significantly larger than evaluated is one factor in downgrading the quality level attached to an SST.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The decorrelation scales are related to the length scales of the atmosphere, and are considered likely to be of order 1 day and 100 km.

    “Since the effect causing the errors reflects aspects of the atmospheric state, the decorrelation scales are related to the length scales of the atmosphere, and are considered likely to be of order 1 day and 100 km.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Three categories of validation were carried out: skin-raw, skin-skin, and depth-depth.

    “Three categories of validation were carried out.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The validation analysis was done for all levels (L2P, L3U and L3C) for both the SST CCI ATSR and SST CCI AVHRR records.

    “The validation analysis was done for all levels (L2P, L3U and L3C) for both the SST CCI ATSR and SST CCI AVHRR records.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The scientific basis and practical form of the ICDR are consistent with the longer dataset, so users can validly use the ICDR seamlessly with the CDR.

    “The extension is an interim climate data record (ICDR): this means that the scientific basis and practical form are consistent, so that users can validly use the ICDR seamlessly with the longer dataset.”
    • Also stated in: § Will the climate data record be extended in time? · boosted
      “Nonetheless, the SSTs are recommended for seamless use across the v2.0 ICDR and v2.1 CDR, since the scientific basis is fully consistent.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The automated inspection was applied to all 465,302 L2P SST products and the same number of L3U SST products.

    “The automated inspection was applied to all 465,302 L2P SST products and the same number of L3U SST products.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The personnel performing the validation analysis were independent of the teams undertaking the remote sensing research and product generation.

    “To further secure the objectivity of validation results, the personnel performing the validation analysis were independent of the teams undertaking the remote sensing research and product generation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Independence of validation personnel from remote sensing and product generation teams secures the objectivity of validation results.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The SST CCI analysis, in which no in situ measurements are assimilated, was also validated depth-depth, in accordance with the definition of the analysis.

    “The SST CCI analysis (in which no in situ measurements are assimilated) was also validated ‘depth-depth’, in accordance to the definition of the analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    The minor discrepancies between data and product user guide do not affect the usability of the dataset.

    “that will do not affect the usability of the dataset.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
69 of 69
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    In the cloud detection calculation, P(x|c) is assumed equal to P(x).

    “This expression simplifies assuming P(x|c) = P(x), since the background state has length scales of ~100 km and does not resolve cloud structures at the finer scales ~1 to ~10 km relevant to the cloudiness of individual pixels.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The smooth-atmosphere-but-variable-SST assumption: TCWV for the centre pixel and surrounding clear pixels are identical.

    “The smooth-atmosphere-but-variable-SST assumption is imposed by fixing the TCWV for the centre pixel and the surrounding clear pixels to be identical (hence only one TCWV term in z).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Many users seek an estimate of SST at depths of order tens of centimetres.

    “many users seek an estimate of SST at depths of order tens of centimetres, whether because this makes the observations compatible with many historic in situ SSTs from drifting buoys and bucket measurements, or because this depth is more comparable to the upper layer of an ocean model.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Users typically treat the gridded SST as a value representative of the cell as a whole.

    “users typically treat the gridded SST as a value representative of the cell as a whole”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The errors in the new SSTs are uncorrelated within the analysis system.

    “For computational simplicity, the errors in the new SSTs are assumed to be uncorrelated within the analysis system.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The degree of independence between the measurements being compared is important in interpreting validation results.

    “In interpreting validation results, the degree of independence between the measurements being compared is important.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Independence of validation personnel from remote sensing and product generation teams secures the objectivity of validation results.

    “To further secure the objectivity of validation results, the personnel performing the validation analysis were independent of the teams undertaking the remote sensing research and product generation.”
7 of 7

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The ESA CCI SST dataset is to the maximum degree possible independent of in-situ observations.

    “This dataset is to the maximum degree possible independent of in-situ observations2.”

    From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [2]

    The Background & Summary says the dataset’s objective is to be as independent of in-situ observations as possible, and that a high degree of independence was achieved from 1995 onward. It also says in-situ SSTs were needed as a calibration reference for 1981–1995, when independence was lost to a significant degree. The claim presents the objective as a property of the dataset without that time-period qualification. (LLM, conf=0.88)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • The ESA CCI SST dataset is strengthened with respect to other analysis products by the inclusion of data from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometer instruments.

    “The dataset is strengthened with respect to other analysis products by the inclusion of data from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometer instruments, designed specifically to retrieve surface temperature rather than for more general meteorological applications.”

    From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [2]

    The Background & Summary says the SST CCI record uses ATSR sensors as calibration references to achieve a distinctive degree of independence from in situ observations. The Methods’ retrieval section also describes an advantage of ATSR’s dual-view observations over AVHRR’s single-view observations. These passages support ATSR as a strength of the dataset, but do not establish that it is stronger than other analysis products or state that ATSR was designed specifically for surface-temperature retrieval rather than general meteorology. (LLM, conf=0.82)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Dust events not flagged as cloud can cause an artificial timescale in the SSTA correlation, which then appears as short-term SSTA persistence.

    “Where dust events are not flagged as cloud in the retrieval, they tend to bias the retrieved SST cold2,61,62 and can cause an artificial timescale in the SSTA correlation, which then appears as short-term SSTA persistence.”

    From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [2]

    The Usage Notes (Fitness-for-purpose assessment) say that unscreened desert dust causes intermittent cold biases in retrieved SST and an exaggerated trend in SST anomalies. They do not say that dust creates an artificial timescale in SSTA correlation or apparent short-term persistence. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • This short-term SSTA persistence in the equatorial Atlantic west of Africa is an artefact of the SST data, where the retrieval is not robust to high concentrations of desert dust.

    “This is an artefact of the SST data, where the retrieval is not robust to high concentrations of desert dust.”

    From Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies (2020) · cites this paper as [2]

    The Usage Notes (Fitness-for-purpose assessment) identify intermittent desert-dust-related biases in AVHRR SSTs in the northeast tropical Atlantic, supporting the proposed data-artefact mechanism. The paper does not establish that the specific short-term SSTA persistence west of Africa is caused by that bias, and it says ATSR-series sensors are much less sensitive to dust. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Where dust events are not flagged as cloud in the retrieval, they tend to bias the retrieved SST cold.

    “Where dust events are not flagged as cloud in the retrieval, they tend to bias the retrieved SST cold2,61,62 and can cause an artificial timescale in the SSTA correlation, which then appears as short-term SSTA persistence.”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • AVHRR night-time clear-sky threshold differs

    Minor

    The cloud-detection section gives a 99% threshold for the AVHRR series, while the Fig. 4 caption gives 90% for AVHRR night-time observations.

1 of 1

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Merchant, C. J., Embury, O., Bulgin, C. E., Block, T., Corlett, G. K., Fiedler, E., Good, S. A., Mittaz, J., Rayner, N. A., Berry, D., Eastwood, S., Taylor, M., Tsushima, Y., Waterfall, A., Wilson, R., & Donlon, C.
Venue
Scientific Data
Published
2019-10-22
Volume
6
Issue
1
Pages
223-223
ISSN
2052-4463 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2981879507
Cited by
520
References
56
Citations by year
2026: 27 · 2025: 88 · 2024: 89 · 2023: 94 · 2022: 111 · 2021: 77 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 4
Type
data paper
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Scientific Data (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • CentAUR (University of Reading) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
  • UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
  • ePubs (Science and Technology Facilities Council, Research Councils UK) (submittedVersion)
Funders
European Space Agency (4000109848/13/I-NB)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing
Keywords
sea surface temperature, satellite SST, climate data record, thermal infrared radiance, drifting buoys, skin temperature, sea surface temperature anomalies, marine heatwaves, ocean variability, ocean model evaluation

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-16.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-16.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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