Interannual to decadal variability within and across the major Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems
Open accessAbstract
Climate variability and climate change in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) affect global marine ecosystems services. We use passive tracers in a global ocean model hindcast at eddy-permitting resolution to diagnose EBUS low-frequency variability over 1958–2015 period. The results highlight the uniqueness of each EBUS in terms of drivers and climate variability. The wind forcing and the thermocline depth, which are potentially competitive or complementary upwelling drivers under climate change, control EBUS low-frequency variability with different contributions. Moreover, Atlantic and Pacific upwelling systems are independent. In the Pacific, the only coherent variability between California and Humboldt Systems is associated with El Ni ñ o Southern Oscillation. The remaining low-frequency variance is partially explained by the North and South Pacific expressions of the Meridional Modes. In the Atlantic, coherent variability between Canary and Benguela Systems is associated with upwelling trends, which are not dynamically linked and represent different processes. In the Canary, a negative upwelling trend is connected to the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, while in the Benguela, a positive upwelling trend is forced by a global sea level pressure trend, which is consistent with the climate response to anthropogenic forcing. The residual variability is forced by localized offshore high sea level pressure variability.
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Warming of the surface ocean is expected to increase stratification, resulting in limited vertical exchange with lower layers, reduced nutrient availability in the photic layer, and low primary production rates.
“In general, the warming of the surface ocean is expected to increase stratification resulting in limited vertical exchange with lower layers of the ocean and reduced nutrient availability in the photic layer which, in turn, results in low primary production rates (Behrenfeld et al., 2006;Bonino et al., 2019).”
From Recent Trends in SST, Chl‐<i>a</i>, Productivity and Wind Stress in Upwelling and Open Ocean Areas in the Upper Eastern North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (2021) · cites this paper as Bonino et al., 2019
The Introduction (page unavailable) says coastal warming increases stratification and can limit upwelling of nutrient-rich deep water into the euphotic zone. It also says those nutrients sustain phytoplankton blooms. The paper frames this as a possible effect in coastal upwelling systems, not an established ocean-wide reduction in primary production; it notes that changing winds may mitigate or amplify the effect. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredBonino et al. (2019) pointed out that both wind stress and stratification should be considered in order to evaluate future changes in coastal upwelling.
“Bonino et al. (2019) pointed out that both the wind stress and the stratification should be considered in order to evaluate future changes in coastal upwelling.”
From Recent Trends in SST, Chl‐<i>a</i>, Productivity and Wind Stress in Upwelling and Open Ocean Areas in the Upper Eastern North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (2021) · cites this paper as Bonino et al. (2019)
Bonino et al. (2019) found that in the Canary upwelling system stratification and coastal trapped waves seem to have stronger effects on upwelling intensity than in other EBUS such as the Benguela system.
“Bonino et al. (2019) found that in the Canary upwelling system the stratification and coastal trapped waves seem to have stronger effects on the upwelling intensity than in other EBUS such as the Benguela system where a positive linear relationship exists between the upwelling intensity and the wind stress.”
From Recent Trends in SST, Chl‐<i>a</i>, Productivity and Wind Stress in Upwelling and Open Ocean Areas in the Upper Eastern North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre (2021) · cites this paper as Bonino et al. (2019)
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Some simple solutions for heat‐induced tropical circulation
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Siemer, J. P., Machín, F., González‐Vega, A., Arrieta, J. M., Gutiérrez‐Guerra, M. A., Pérez‐Hernández, M. D., Vélez‐Belchí, P., Hernández‐Guerra, A., & Fraile‐Nuez, E. (2021) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans · doi:10.1029/2021jc017268 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Observation-based sea surface temperature trends in Atlantic large marine ecosystems
Kessler, A., Goris, N., & Lauvset, S. K. (2022) · Progress in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102902 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Thomsen, S., Capet, X., & Echevin, V. (2021) · Journal of Physical Oceanography · doi:10.1175/jpo-d-20-0294.1 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
- Authors
- Bonino, G., Di Lorenzo, E., Masina, S., & Iovino, D.
- Affiliations
- Ca' Foscari University of Venice (IT)
- CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (IT)
- Corresponding author
- Bonino, Giulia
- Venue
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2019-12-27
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 19949-19949
- ISSN
- 2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6934820
- OpenAlex
- W2996798492
- Cited by
- 72
- References
- 3
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 4
- FWCI
- 3.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Scientific Reports (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Keywords
- eastern boundary upwelling systems, low-frequency variability, interannual to decadal variability, passive tracers, wind forcing, thermocline depth, ENSO, Atlantic Meridional Mode, Pacific Meridional Mode, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, California Current, Humboldt Current, Canary Current, Benguela Current, anthropogenic forcing
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