Confidence guides priority between forthcoming tasks
Open accessAbstract
Humans can estimate confidence in their decisions, and there is increasing interest on how this feeling of confidence regulates future behavior. Here, we investigate whether confidence in a perceptual task affects prioritizing future trials of that task, independently of task performance. To do so, we experimentally dissociated confidence from performance. Participants judged whether an array of differently colored circles was closer to blue or red, and we manipulated the mean and variability of the circles’ colors across the array. We first familiarized participants with a low mean low variability condition and a high mean high variability condition, which were matched in performance despite participants being more confident in the former. Then we made participants decide in which order to complete forthcoming trials for both conditions. Crucially, prioritizing one condition was associated with being more confident in that condition compared to the other. This relationship was observed both across participants, by correlating inter-individual heterogeneity in prioritization and in confidence, and within participants, by assessing how changes in confidence with accuracy, condition and response times could predict prioritization choices. Our results suggest that confidence, above and beyond performance, guides prioritization between forthcoming tasks, strengthening the evidence for its role in regulating behavior.
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Global broadcast allows different propositional confidences to be compared in a common frame of reference, enabling decisions about likely success in one task or sensory modality versus another.
“This would allow different propositional confidences to be compared in a common frame of reference-allowing the agent to decide, for instance, that they are more likely to be successful in judgments of one or other task or sensory modality (Aguilar-Lleyda & de Gardelle 2021).”
From Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis (2024) · cites this paper as Aguilar-Lleyda & de Gardelle 2021
The Discussion reports that participants’ relative confidence in two conditions of a visual task was associated with which condition they prioritized. The Introduction mentions comparing performance across tasks of different nature, but this study does not establish that global broadcast provides a common frame of reference or demonstrate decisions across sensory modalities. (LLM, conf=0.86)
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis
Fleming, S. M. (2024) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-022423-032425 · Cited by 256 · see citing works
- Authors
- Aguilar-Lleyda, D., & de Gardelle, V.
- Venue
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2021-09-15
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 18320-18320
- ISSN
- 2045-2322 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8443637
- OpenAlex
- W3199543127
- Cited by
- 12
- References
- 9
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 5
- FWCI
- 1.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Scientific Reports (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR-16-CE28-0002)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Visual perception and processing mechanisms
- Keywords
- decision confidence, task prioritization, perceptual decision making, individual heterogeneity, reaction time (psychology), color discrimination, behavioral regulation
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