Formation of global self-beliefs in the human brain
Open accessAbstract
Significance: Momentary feelings of confidence accompany many of our actions and decisions. In addition to such “local” feelings of confidence, we also construct “global” confidence estimates about our skills and abilities (global self-performance estimates or SPEs). Distorted SPEs may have a pervasive impact on motivation and self-evaluation, for instance affecting estimates of our competitiveness at work or in a sports team. Here, we found that components of a brain network previously implicated in the tracking of local confidence was additionally modulated by SPE level, whereas ventral striatum tracked SPEs irrespective of confidence. Our findings of a neurocognitive basis for global SPEs lay the groundwork for understanding how distorted SPEs arise in educational and clinical settings.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
vmPFC and precuneus integrate local confidence over longer timescales to track aggregate self-performance.
“Global confidence was informed by local confidence fluctuations during the previous block, and using fMRI, it was found that vmPFC and precuneus integrate local confidence over longer timescales to track aggregate self-performance (Rouault & Fleming 2020, Wittmann et al. 2016).”
From Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis (2024) · cites this paper as Rouault & Fleming 2020
The Results section, “Local Confidence Activity Sensitive to Global SPEs,” reports that vmPFC and precuneus activity tracked local confidence differently depending on global self-performance estimates. The Discussion offers accumulation of local confidence across a block as one possible interpretation, not an established finding that these regions integrate it over longer timescales. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Representation of Confidence Associated with a Decision by Neurons in the Parietal Cortex
Kiani, R., & Shadlen, M. N. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1169405 · Cited by 1,027 · see citing works
Allostatic Self-efficacy: A Metacognitive Theory of Dyshomeostasis-Induced Fatigue and Depression
Stephan, K. E., Manjaly, Z. M., Mathys, C. D., Weber, L. A. E., Paliwal, S., Gard, T., Tittgemeyer, M., Fleming, S. M., Haker, H., Seth, A. K., et al. (2016) · Frontiers in Human Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnhum.2016.00550 · Cited by 437 · see citing works
Self-citationAnatomical coupling between distinct metacognitive systems for memory and visual perception
McCurdy, L. Y., Maniscalco, B., Metcalfe, J., Liu, K. Y., de Lange, F. P., & Lau, H. (2013) · The Journal of Neuroscience · doi:10.1523/jneurosci.1890-12.2013 · Cited by 299 · see citing works
Failures of metacognition and lack of insight in neuropsychiatric disorders.
David, A. S., Bedford, N., Wiffen, B., & Gilleen, J. (2012) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0002 · Cited by 227 · see citing works
Distinct encoding of decision confidence in human medial prefrontal cortex
Bang, D., & Fleming, S. M. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1800795115 · Cited by 207 · see citing works
Self-citationHuman Metacognition Across Domains: Insights from Individual Differences and Neuroimaging
Rouault, M., McWilliams, A., Allen, M. G., & Fleming, S. M. (2018) · Personality Neuroscience · doi:10.1017/pen.2018.16 · Cited by 176 · see citing works
Self-citationAbnormalities of confidence in psychiatry: an overview and future perspectives
Hoven, M., Lebreton, M., Engelmann, J. B., Denys, D., Luigjes, J., & van Holst, R. J. (2019) · Translational Psychiatry · doi:10.1038/s41398-019-0602-7 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
Forming global estimates of self-performance from local confidence
Rouault, M., Dayan, P., & Fleming, S. M. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-019-09075-3 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Self-citationHuman VMPFC encodes early signatures of confidence in perceptual decisions
Gherman, S., & Philiastides, M. G. (2018) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.38293 · Cited by 107 · see citing works
The effect of self-efficacy on visual discrimination sensitivity
Zacharopoulos, G., Binetti, N., Walsh, V., & Kanai, R. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0109392 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 47
- [1]J. Dunlosky, J. Metcalfe, Metacognition, (Sage Publications, 2008).
- [2]M. Guggenmos, G. Wilbertz, M. N. Hebart, P. Sterzer, Mesolimbic confidence signals guide perceptual learning in the absence of external feedback. eLife 5, e13388 (2016). 27021283 PMC4821804
- [4]A. Bandura, Self-efficacy: Toward a unifying theory of behavioral change. Psychol. Rev. 84, 191– 215 (1977). 847061
- [6]R. Elliott., Neuropsychological impairments in unipolar depression: The influence of perceived failure on subsequent performance. Psychol. Med. 26, 975– 989 (1996). 8878330
- [8]D. D. P. Johnson, J. H. Fowler, The evolution of overconfidence. Nature 477, 317– 320 (2011). 21921915
- [10]M. Rouault, T. Seow, C. M. Gillan, S. M. Fleming, Psychiatric symptom dimensions are associated with dissociable shifts in metacognition but not task performance. Biol. Psychiatry 84, 443– 451 (2018). 29458997 PMC6117452
- [13]A. Kepecs, N. Uchida, H. A. Zariwala, Z. F. Mainen, Neural correlates, computation and behavioural impact of decision confidence. Nature 455, 227– 231 (2008). 18690210
- [14]C. B. Holroyd, M. G. H. Coles, The neural basis of human error processing: Reinforcement learning, dopamine, and the error-related negativity. Psychol. Rev. 109, 679– 709 (2002). 12374324
- [15]A. Boldt, N. Yeung, Shared neural markers of decision confidence and error detection. J. Neurosci. 35, 3478– 3484 (2015). 25716847 PMC4339357
- [16]S. M. Fleming, E. J. van der Putten, N. D. Daw, Neural mediators of changes of mind about perceptual decisions. Nat. Neurosci. 21, 617– 624 (2018). 29531361 PMC5878683
- [17]M. S. Fleck, S. M. Daselaar, I. G. Dobbins, R. Cabeza, Role of prefrontal and anterior cingulate regions in decision-making processes shared by memory and nonmemory tasks. Cereb. Cortex 16, 1623– 1630 (2006). 16400154
- [18]J. Heereman, H. Walter, H. R. Heekeren, A task-independent neural representation of subjective certainty in visual perception. Front. Hum. Neurosci. 9, 551 (2015). 26500523 PMC4599046
- [19]M. K. Wittmann., Self-other mergence in the frontal cortex during cooperation and competition. Neuron 91, 482– 493 (2016). 27477020 PMC4961240
- [22]B. De Martino, S. M. Fleming, N. Garrett, R. J. Dolan, Confidence in value-based choice. Nat. Neurosci. 16, 105– 110 (2013). 23222911 PMC3786394
- [23]M. Lebreton, R. Abitbol, J. Daunizeau, M. Pessiglione, Automatic integration of confidence in the brain valuation signal. Nat. Neurosci. 18, 1159– 1167 (2015). 26192748
- [25]J. Morales, H. Lau, S. M. Fleming, Domain-general and domain-specific patterns of activity supporting metacognition in human prefrontal cortex. J. Neurosci. 38, 3534– 3546 (2018). 29519851 PMC5895040
- [26]S. M. Fleming, R. S. Weil, Z. Nagy, R. J. Dolan, G. Rees, Relating introspective accuracy to individual differences in brain structure. Science 329, 1541– 1543 (2010). 20847276 PMC3173849
- [27]K. Christoff, J. Ream, L. P. T. Geddes, J. D. E. Gabrieli, Evaluating self-generated information: Anterior prefrontal contributions to human cognition. Behav. Neurosci. 117, 1161– 1168 (2003). 14674837
- [28]R. Daniel, S. Pollmann, Striatal activations signal prediction errors on confidence in the absence of external feedback. Neuroimage 59, 3457– 3467 (2012). 22146752
- [30]R. C. Wilson, Y. K. Takahashi, G. Schoenbaum, Y. Niv, Orbitofrontal cortex as a cognitive map of task space. Neuron 81, 267– 279 (2014). 24462094 PMC4001869
- [31]N. W. Schuck., Medial prefrontal cortex predicts internally driven strategy shifts. Neuron 86, 331– 340 (2015). 25819613 PMC4425426
- [32]B. A. Purcell, R. Kiani, Hierarchical decision processes that operate over distinct timescales underlie choice and changes in strategy. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 113, E4531– E4540 (2016). 27432960 PMC4978308
- [33]M. Donoso, A. G. E. Collins, E. Koechlin, Human cognition. Foundations of human reasoning in the prefrontal cortex. Science 344, 1481– 1486 (2014). 24876345
- [35]T. Sharot, C. W. Korn, R. J. Dolan, How unrealistic optimism is maintained in the face of reality. Nat. Neurosci. 14, 1475– 1479 (2011). 21983684 PMC3204264
- [36]G. Lefebvre, M. Lebreton, F. Meyniel, S. Bourgeois-Gironde, S. Palminteri, Behavioural and neural characterization of optimistic reinforcement learning. Nat. Hum. Behav. 1, 0067 (2017).
- [37]A. Lopez-Persem, L. Verhagen, C. Amiez, M. Petrides, J. Sallet, The human ventromedial prefrontal cortex: Sulcal morphology and its influence on functional organization. J. Neurosci. 39, 3627– 3639 (2019). 30833514 PMC6510347
- [38]M. Pereira., Disentangling the origins of confidence in speeded perceptual judgments through multimodal imaging. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 117, 8382– 8390 (2020). 32238562 PMC7165419
- [39]S. Moritz, J. Gläscher, T. Sommer, C. Büchel, D. F. Braus, Neural correlates of memory confidence. Neuroimage 33, 1188– 1193 (2006). 17029986
- [40]A. G. Vaccaro, S. M. Fleming, Thinking about thinking: A coordinate-based meta-analysis of neuroimaging studies of metacognitive judgements. Brain Neurosci. Adv. 2, 2398212818810591 (2018). 30542659 PMC6238228
- [41]T. P. White, N. H. Engen, S. Sørensen, M. Overgaard, S. S. Shergill, Uncertainty and confidence from the triple-network perspective: Voxel-based meta-analyses. Brain Cogn. 85, 191– 200 (2014). 24424423
- [42]R. E. Passingham, S. L. Bengtsson, H. C. Lau, Medial frontal cortex: From self-generated action to reflection on one’s own performance. Trends Cogn. Sci. 14, 16– 21 (2009). 19969501 PMC2806969
- [43]A. E. Cavanna, M. R. Trimble, The precuneus: A review of its functional anatomy and behavioural correlates. Brain 129, 564– 583 (2006). 16399806
- [44]H. E. M. den Ouden, U. Frith, C. Frith, S.-J. Blakemore, Thinking about intentions. NeuroImage 28, 787– 796 (2005). 15964210
- [45]M. Lebreton, S. Jorge, V. Michel, B. Thirion, M. Pessiglione, An automatic valuation system in the human brain: Evidence from functional neuroimaging. Neuron 64, 431– 439 (2009). 19914190
- [46]M. Rouault, J. Drugowitsch, E. Koechlin, Prefrontal mechanisms combining rewards and beliefs in human decision-making. Nat. Commun. 10, 301 (2019). 30655534 PMC6336816
- [47]R. Frömer, C. K. Dean Wolf, A. Shenhav, Goal congruency dominates reward value in accounting for behavioral and neural correlates of value-based decision-making. Nat. Commun. 10, 4926 (2019). 31664035 PMC6820735
- [48]J. V. Baranski, W. M. Petrusic, Testing architectures of the decision–confidence relation. Can. J. Exp. Psychol. 55, 195– 206 (2001). 11605555
- [49]A. L. Mitchum, C. M. Kelley, M. C. Fox, When asking the question changes the ultimate answer: Metamemory judgments change memory. J. Exp. Psychol. Gen. 145, 200– 219 (2016). 27045282
- [50]B. Maniscalco, H. Lau, A signal detection theoretic approach for estimating metacognitive sensitivity from confidence ratings. Conscious. Cogn. 21, 422– 430 (2012). 22071269
- [51]S. M. Fleming, HMeta-d: Hierarchical Bayesian estimation of metacognitive efficiency from confidence ratings. Neurosci. Conscious. 2017, nix007 (2017). 29877507 PMC5858026
- [52]J. P. Mugler 3rd, J. R. Brookeman, Three-dimensional magnetization-prepared rapid gradient-echo imaging (3D MP RAGE). Magn. Reson. Med. 15, 152– 157 (1990). 2374495
- [53]C. Hutton., The impact of physiological noise correction on fMRI at 7 T. Neuroimage 57, 101– 112 (2011). 21515386 PMC3115139
- [54]G. H. Glover, T. Q. Li, D. Ress, Image-based method for retrospective correction of physiological motion effects in fMRI: RETROICOR. Magn. Reson. Med. 44, 162– 167 (2000). 10893535
- [55]O. Josephs, A. M. Howseman, K. Friston, R. Turner, “ Physiological noise modelling for multi-slice EPI fMRI using SPM” in Proceedings of the 5th Annual Meeting of ISMRM, Vancouver, Canada, (International Society for Magnetic Resonance in Medicine, Concord, CA, 1997), p. 1682.
- [56]R. M. Birn, J. B. Diamond, M. A. Smith, P. A. Bandettini, Separating respiratory-variation-related fluctuations from neuronal-activity-related fluctuations in fMRI. Neuroimage 31, 1536– 1548 (2006). 16632379
- [57]R. M. Birn, M. A. Smith, T. B. Jones, P. A. Bandettini, The respiration response function: The temporal dynamics of fMRI signal fluctuations related to changes in respiration. Neuroimage 40, 644– 654 (2008). 18234517 PMC2533266
- [58]C. Chang, G. H. Glover, Effects of model-based physiological noise correction on default mode network anti-correlations and correlations. Neuroimage 47, 1448– 1459 (2009). 19446646 PMC2995588
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis
Fleming, S. M. (2024) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-022423-032425 · Cited by 256 · see citing works
“Global confidence was informed by local confidence fluctuations during the previous block, and using fMRI, it was found that the vmPFC and precuneus integrate local confidence over longer timescales to track aggregate self-performance (Rouault & Fleming, 2020, Wittmann et al., 2016).”
Self-citationHow Local and Global Metacognition Shape Mental Health
Seow, T. X. F., Rouault, M., Gillan, C. M., & Fleming, S. M. (2021) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2021.05.013 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
Self-citationIdentifying Transdiagnostic Mechanisms in Mental Health Using Computational Factor Modeling
Wise, T., Robinson, O. J., & Gillan, C. M. (2023) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2022.09.034 · Cited by 108 · see citing works
“Metacognition involves the lateral prefrontal cortex and dorsal anterior cingulate cortex (141,142), suggesting that these areas may be relevant for anxious-depression and compulsivity (36).”
Neurocomputational mechanisms of confidence in self and others
Bang, D., Moran, R., Daw, N. D., & Fleming, S. M. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-31674-w · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Rouault, M., & Fleming, S. M.
- Affiliations
- Wellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Rouault, Marion
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2020-10-15
- Volume
- 117
- Issue
- 44
- Pages
- 27268-27276
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC7959580
- OpenAlex
- W3092949476
- Cited by
- 76
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 13 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 8
- FWCI
- 4.57
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UCL Discovery (University College London) (submittedVersion)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust (203147/Z/16/Z)
- Wellcome Trust and Royal Society (206648/Z/17/Z)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Memory Processes and Influences
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Memory and Neural Mechanisms
- Keywords
- metacognition, self-confidence, ventromedial prefrontal cortex, precuneus, ventral striatum, frontoparietal network, task difficulty, self-assessment
- MeSH terms
- Metacognition, Adult, Brain, Brain Mapping, Cognition, Decision Making, Female, Humans, Judgment, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Male, Motivation, Psychomotor Performance, Self Concept, Prefrontal Cortex, Ventral Striatum
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review