Correcting inaccurate metaperceptions reduces Americans’ support for partisan violence
Open accessAbstract
Significance: Prominent events, such as the 2021 US Capitol attack, have brought politically motivated violence to the forefront of Americans’ minds. Yet, the causes of support for partisan violence remain poorly understood. Across four studies, we found evidence that exaggerated perceptions of rival partisans’ support for violence are a major cause of partisans’ own support for partisan violence. Further, correcting these false beliefs reduces partisans’ support for and willingness to engage in violence, especially among those with the largest misperceptions, and this effect endured for 1 mo. These findings suggest that a simple correction of partisans’ misperceptions could be a practical and scalable way to durably reduce Americans’ support for, and intentions to engage in, partisan violence.
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Many people are amenable to having their misperceptions of the other side corrected, which lowers affective polarization.
“Many people, it seems, are amenable to having their misperceptions of the other side corrected, which lowers affective polarization150,153,154.”
From Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022) · cites this paper as [154]
The Discussion reports that correcting misperceptions about out-party support for violence reduced support for partisan violence, but had no effect on measures of affective polarization in Study 3. The claimed reduction in affective polarization is therefore contrary to this paper’s finding. (LLM, conf=0.91)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPeople tend to overestimate animosity between political groups.
“People also tend to overestimate the degree of polarization (Levendusky & Malhotra 2016, Westfall et al. 2015) and animosity (Mernyk et al. 2022, Ruggeri et al. 2021) between political groups, which may be exacerbated by the abundance of divisive content they see online.”
From Social Media and Morality. (2024) · cites this paper as Mernyk et al. 2022
The Results (Studies 1 and 2) show that Democrats and Republicans overestimated rival partisans’ support for violence. That supports an overestimation of a specific hostile attitude, but the paper does not establish that people generally overestimate animosity between political groups. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMernyk et al. (2022) report that partisans overestimate the average amount of support for partisan violence by out-partisans by between 245% and 442%.
“Mernyk et al. (2022) report that partisans overestimate the average amount of support for partisan violence by out-partisans by between 245% and 442%.”
From How to study democratic backsliding (2024) · cites this paper as Mernyk et al. (2022)
The Results (Studies 1 and 2; page numbers unavailable) report that partisans overestimated out-partisans’ support for partisan violence. The Discussion gives the range as 245% to 317%, not 245% to 442%; it reports a separate 368% to 441% range for willingness to engage in violence. (LLM, conf=0.92)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn the contemporary United States, partisans vastly misperceive outpartisans' antidemocratic attitudes and support for partisan violence.
“In the contemporary United States, partisans vastly misperceive outpartisans' antidemocratic attitudes and support for partisan violence.”
From How to study democratic backsliding (2024) · cites this paper as Mernyk et al. (2022)
Partisans might represent their adversaries as more obstructionist, more ideologically extreme, more prejudiced against the in-group, or more violent than they actually are.
“Partisans might also represent their adversaries as more obstructionist95, more ideologically extreme122,151–153, more prejudiced against the in-group55, or more violent154 than they actually are.”
From Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022) · cites this paper as [154]
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Mernyk, J. S., Pink, S. L., Druckman, J. N., & Willer, R.
- Affiliations
- Stanford University (US)
- Northwestern University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Mernyk, Joseph S.
- Pink, Sophia L.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2022-04-11
- Volume
- 119
- Issue
- 16
- Pages
- e2116851119-e2116851119
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC9169855
- OpenAlex
- W4225906895
- Cited by
- 146
- References
- 9
- Citations by year
- 2026: 21 · 2025: 31 · 2024: 32 · 2023: 42 · 2022: 16 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 98.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Northwestern University
- Stanford Center on Philanthropy and Civil Society
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Keywords
- metaperception, political violence, partisanship, 2020 US presidential election, political polarization
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Politics, United States, Violence
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