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How Big is a Big Odds Ratio? Interpreting the Magnitudes of Odds Ratios in Epidemiological Studies
Abstract
The odds ratio (OR) is probably the most widely used index of effect size in epidemiological studies. The difficulty of interpreting the OR has troubled many clinical researchers and epidemiologists for a long time. We propose a new method for interpreting the size of the OR by relating it to differences in a normal standard deviate. Our calculations indicate that OR = 1.68, 3.47, and 6.71 are equivalent to Cohen's d = 0.2 (small), 0.5 (medium), and 0.8 (large), respectively, when disease rate is 1% in the nonexposed group; Cohen's d < 0.2 when OR <1.5, and Cohen's d > 0.8 when OR > 5.
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“Although the effect sizes of Hedges g and OR can be difficult to compare, outcomes based on continuous data and reported as Hedges g, appeared to generate larger effect sizes compared with dichotomous scoring, reported as OR [91].”
From The psychological subtype of intimate partner violence and its effect on mental health: a systematic review with meta-analyses (2022) · cites this paper as [91]
In the citing paper
“The mentoring structures and outcomes of the students in our study differed based on their gender and race/ethnicity, although the sizes of these differences were small (Cohen, 1992; Chen et al., 2010).”
From Race and Gender Differences in Undergraduate Research Mentoring Structures and Research Outcomes (2017) · cites this paper as Chen et al., 2010
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Weber, F., Knapp, G., Glass, A. S., Kundt, G., & Ickstadt, K. (2020) · Research Synthesis Methods · doi:10.1002/jrsm.1471 · Cited by 25
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Miller, C. J., Stolzmann, K. L., Dichter, M. E., Adjognon, O. L., Brady, J. E., Portnoy, G. A., Gerber, M. R., Iqbal, S., & Iverson, K. M. (2022) · Journal of Aggression Maltreatment & Trauma · doi:10.1080/10926771.2021.2019160 · Cited by 24
“To identify time trends, we adopted a dual significance criterion of (a) p < .001, and (b) odds ratio < 0.70 or > 1.40, corresponding to at least a small effect size, as in previous large database studies (Chen et al., 2010; Miller et al., 2015).”
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“After deriving the odds ratio values from the log odds ratio values as shown in the figures, according to Chen et al. (2010), it was demonstrated that four predictors had a small-to moderate-sized effect (PA: OR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.55–1.95, p < .001; EA: OR = 1.92, 95% CI = 1.73–2.12, p < .001; PN:…”
MethodInfluentialAas, M., Ueland, T., Lagerberg, T. V., Melle, I. S., Aminoff, S. R., Høegh, M. C., Lunding, S. H., Laskemoen, J. F., Steen, N. E., & Andreassen, O. A. (2022) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2022.115045 · Cited by 24
“Based on Chen et al. (2010) OR of 0.17 was estimated as equivalent to a Cohen’s d of small; OR=3.75 as medium, and OR = 6.70 as having a large effect size (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialde Paula, J. J., Bicalho, M. A. C., de Ávila, R. T., Cintra, M. T. G., Diniz, B. S., Romano‐Silva, M. A., & Malloy‐Diniz, L. F. (2016) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2015.02061 · Cited by 25
“We computed power analysis for logistic regression based in the effect sizes represented by different odds ratio, as proposed by Chen et al. (2010): 1.68 (small effect size), 3.47 (medium effect size), 6.71 (large effect size).”
MethodInfluentialMcCallum, N. A., Brewer, N., & Weber, N. (2016) · Applied Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1002/acp.3212 · Cited by 24
Predictors of student satisfaction in a large psychology undergraduate program.
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Rigor and reproducibility in genetic research on eating disorders
Hübel, C., Leppä, V., Breen, G. D., & Bulik, C. M. (2018) · International Journal of Eating Disorders · doi:10.1002/eat.22896 · Cited by 24
A case–control–family study of idiopathic rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder
Liu, Y., Zhang, J., Lam, S. P., Zhou, J., Yu, M. W. M., Li, S. X., Chan, J. W. Y., Postuma, R. B., Mok, V., & Wing, Y. K. (2019) · Annals of Neurology · doi:10.1002/ana.25435 · Cited by 23
“6, which signifies a medium to large effect size.(37) To achieve a power of 80%, type I error of 0.”
BackgroundCrosby, S., & Rysanek, A. (2020) · Journal of Building Engineering · doi:10.1016/j.jobe.2020.102051 · Cited by 26
Tuovinen, S., Räikkönen, K., Holmlund-Suila, E. M., Hauta‐alus, H., Helve, O., Rosendahl, J., Enlund-Cerullo, M., Kajantie, E., Valkama, S. M., Viljakainen, H. T., et al. (2021) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.24493 · Cited by 23
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“…previously reported 50% CPG adherence in routine Swedish physiotherapy context (Bernhardsson et al., 2014) which has equivalence with an odds ratio = 2 (Chen, Cohen, and Chen, 2010), a one tailed p-value = 0.05 and 80% power, at least n = 112 patients are needed for logistic regression analyses.”
BackgroundInfluentialLaaksovirta, H., Launes, J., Jansson, L., Traynor, B. J., Kaivola, K., & Tienari, P. J. (2022) · Neurology Genetics · doi:10.1212/nxg.0000000000000665 · Cited by 23
Wang, Y., Li, M., Kazis, L. E., & Xia, W. (2022) · Alzheimer s & Dementia · doi:10.1002/alz.12665 · Cited by 22
Nochaiwong, S., Chuamanochan, M., Ruengorn, C., Noppakun, K., Awiphan, R., Phosuya, C., Tovanabutra, N., Chiewchanvit, S., Sood, M. M., Hutton, B., et al. (2022) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers14102566 · Cited by 23
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Lenzi, M., Elgar, F. J., Marino, C., Canale, N., Vieno, A., Berchialla, P., Stevens, G. W. J. M., Boniel‐Nissim, M., van den Eijnden, R. J. J. M., & Lyyra, N. (2022) · Information Communication & Society · doi:10.1080/1369118x.2022.2109981 · Cited by 28
“Following Chen et al. (2010), this represents an association of medium strength, also considering the relatively narrow CIs.”
BackgroundSTEM Pathways: Examining Persistence in Rigorous Math and Science Course Taking
Ashford-Hanserd, S., Lanehart, R. E., Kersaint, G., Lee, R. S., & Kromrey, J. D. (2016) · Journal of Science Education and Technology · doi:10.1007/s10956-016-9654-0 · Cited by 23
“60 *Cohen’s d of 0.25 (Chen et al. 2010).”
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Predicting intentions to seek help for depression among undergraduates in Sri Lanka
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“It is also necessary to note that many of the predictors of the undergraduates’ help-seeking intentions were associated with small effect sizes [33].”
Senington, B., Lee, R. Y., & Williams, J. M. (2020) · BMJ Open Sport & Exercise Medicine · doi:10.1136/bmjsem-2020-000818 · Cited by 23
Hando, B., Scott, W. C., Bryant, J. F., Tchandja, J. N., Scott, R. M., & Angadi, S. S. (2021) · Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine · doi:10.1177/23259671211041656 · Cited by 23
“While there were significant univariate associations between both DARI scores and MSKI during SW Prep, these associations were not clinically relevant.(6) This lack of clinical relevance was also seen in ROC curve AUC values.”
BackgroundFields, L., Young, D. A., Patel, A. R., Munroe, C., Shumway, M., Bell, S., & Richer, L. A. (2022) · European Journal of Psychotraumatology · doi:10.1080/20008198.2022.2057165 · Cited by 22
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“05, suggested a medium effect size [42].”
Taylor, B. G., Mumford, E. A., Liu, W., Berg, M. T., & Bohri, M. (2018) · Criminal Justice and Behavior · doi:10.1177/0093854818810322 · Cited by 22
Christensen, K. M., Raposa, E. B., Hagler, M., Erickson, L. D., & Rhodes, J. E. (2019) · Applied Developmental Science · doi:10.1080/10888691.2019.1582344 · Cited by 32
“Odds ratios were interpreted as effect sizes based upon the equivalents outlined by Chen, Cohen, and Chen (2010): Odds ratios of 1.68, 3.47, and 6.71 are respectively equivalent to Cohen’s d¼ 0.2 (small), 0.5 (medium), and 0.8 (large).”
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Sea-Air Exchange of Methane in Shallow Inshore Areas of the Baltic Sea
Zara, M. L., Lundevall-Zara, E., & Brüchert, V. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.657459 · Cited by 23
“Using Cohen’s standard (Sawilowsky, 2009; Chen et al., 2010) for evaluation of the relationships, a weak association is between 0.10 and 0.29, medium association between 0.30 and 0.49 and strong association for 0.50–1.00.”
MethodInfluentialRepetitive negative thinking about suicide: Associations with lifetime suicide attempts
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Kao, P.-H., Chuang, L., Lai, C., Chen, S., Lin, K., Js, L., Hou, C., Chen, C.-T., Kuo, Y.-K., Sun, C., et al. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-96414-4 · Cited by 22
Self-citationEffects of distributed practice on the acquisition of verb-noun collocations
Yamagata, S., Nakata, T., & Rogers, J. (2022) · Studies in Second Language Acquisition · doi:10.1017/s0272263122000225 · Cited by 25
“…303 posttest in the collocation-spaced group were 9.58 times higher than the node-massed group, which is considered a large effect size, according to guidelines proposed by Chen et al. (2010), where odds of 1.68/3.47/6.71 are interpreted as small, medium, and large effects, respectively.”
MethodInfluentialTola, Y. O., Akingbade, O., Akinwaare, M. O., Adesuyi, E. O., Arowosegbe, T. M., Ndikom, C. M., Adejumo, P. O., & Alexis, O. (2022) · AJOG Global Reports · doi:10.1016/j.xagr.2022.100072 · Cited by 22
Information disclosure to cancer patients in Mainland China: A meta‐analysis
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“2) was considered to represent a large effect (29).”
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“71 were considered respectively small, medium, and large effects (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialSymptoms of Depression and Risk of Low Back Pain
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“Although we did not find any statistically significant result for chronic LBP, it is possible that some analyses were underpowered and a real difference might have been missed, although this difference is likely to be small [36].”
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Brand warmth elicits feedback, not complaints
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“It is worth noting that although statistically significant, this effect is considered small in terms of economic significance (Chen et al., 2010).”
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“0 suggest greater odds than those of a particular outcome than that of the comparative group, but ORs are often difficult to interpret, especially when the outcome of interest occurs in greater than 10% of cases [5].”
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“The findings were compared to epidemiological studies of OR's interpreted with the values being equivalent for Cohen's d = 0.2 (small) equal to an OR = 1.68, Cohen's d = 0.5 (medium) equal to an OR = 3.47, and Cohen's d = 0.8 (large) equal to an OR = 6.71 (Chen et al. 2010).”
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“Given the large sample size, we followed the cutoffs of Chen et al.(38) for odds ratios (OR): OR < 0.”
InfluentialEl odds ratio y su interpretación como magnitud del efecto en investigación
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“[42] an odds ratio of 1.68, 3.47 and 6.71 correspond to a small, medium or large effect, respectively.”
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“[57] that equates Odds Ratio value cutoff scores to Cohen’s effect sizes (i.”
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Communicating risk in dementia care: Survey of health and social care professionals
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“The cut-offs are OR of 1·68, 3·47 and 6·71 for small, medium and large effect size, respectively((81)).”
BackgroundCognitive complexity increases climate change belief
Chen, L., & Unsworth, K. L. (2019) · Journal of Environmental Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jenvp.2019.101316 · Cited by 20
Disentangling the effects of plea discount and potential trial sentence on decisions to plead guilty
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“The effect of intervention on outcomes was presented as effect size (Cohen’s d ), which was categorised as small, medium, and large, corresponding to 0.2, 0.5, and 0.8, respectively [33].”
MethodInfluentialModeling the Cumulative Effects of Social Exposures on Health: Moving beyond Disease-Specific Models
White, H. L., O'Campo, P. J., Moineddin, R., & Matheson, F. I. (2013) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph10041186 · Cited by 18
Frøjd, L. A., Papageorgiou, C., Munkhaugen, J., Moum, T., Sverre, E., Nordhus, I. H., & Dammen, T. (2021) · Journal of Clinical Sleep Medicine · doi:10.5664/jcsm.9712 · Cited by 19
The influence of duration, arm crossing style, gender, and emotional closeness on hugging behaviour
Dueren, A. L., Vafeiadou, A., Edgar, C., & Banissy, M. J. (2021) · Acta Psychologica · doi:10.1016/j.actpsy.2021.103441 · Cited by 19
“As the research question and the design were novel, the power calculation was based on a medium effect size (odds ratio ( OR ) = 3.47; Chen et al., 2010).”
InfluentialStan, J. H. V., Ortiz, A. J., Sternad, D., Mehta, D. D., Huo, C., & Hillman, R. E. (2021) · American Journal of Speech-Language Pathology · doi:10.1044/2021_ajslp-21-00141 · Cited by 19
“Therefore, OR s were used as an effect size metric to demonstrate which comparisons resulted in a meaningful difference; small, medium, and large differences were OR > 1.68 (i.e., 90.5% adherence), 3.47 (i.e., 95.2% adherence), or 6.71 (i.e., 97% adherence), respectively (Chen et al., 2010).”
MethodInfluentialMaki, K. E., Kranzler, J. H., & Moody, M. E. (2022) · Journal of School Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jsp.2022.02.003 · Cited by 22
Manderlier, A., de Fooz, M., Patris, S., & Berquin, A. D. (2022) · Annals of Physical and Rehabilitation Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.rehab.2022.101660 · Cited by 19
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Hermans, M. M., Rietman, A. B., Schappin, R., de Laat, P. C. J., Mendels, E. J., Breur, J. M. P. J., Langeveld, H. R., de Wildt, S. N., Breugem, C. C., de Graaf, M., et al. (2022) · European Journal of Pediatrics · doi:10.1007/s00431-022-04674-7 · Cited by 22
Ecological validity of cognitive fluctuations in dementia with Lewy bodies
Webber, T. A., Lorkiewicz, S. A., Kiselica, A. M., & Woods, S. P. (2023) · Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society · doi:10.1017/s1355617723000255 · Cited by 19
“The binary logistic regression model yielded an odds ratio of 73.27 (95% Confidence Interval = 1.379, 3,895.046), which reflects a large effect size based on previously published interpretive guidelines (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialThe Impacts of Intimate Partner Violence on Postpartum Depression: An Updated Meta-Analysis
Wei, X., Wang, W., Law, Y. W., & Zhang, H. (2024) · Trauma, Violence, & Abuse · doi:10.1177/15248380231188068 · Cited by 19
“The four predictors had small to moderate impacts (overall IPV: OR = 2.50, 95% CI [2.12, 2.9]; physical IPV: OR = 2.31, 95% CI [1.90, 2.81 2010) criteria.”
BackgroundInfluentialPak, K., Kooij, T. A. M., de Lange, A. H., den Heuvel, S. V., & van Veldhoven, M. J. P. M. (2023) · Acta Psychologica · doi:10.1016/j.actpsy.2023.104012 · Cited by 28
A Population on the Brink: American Renters, Emergency Savings, and Financial Fragility
West, S., & Mottola, G. R. (2016) · Poverty & Public Policy · doi:10.1002/pop4.130 · Cited by 19
Holzhauer, C. G., Wemm, S., Wulfert, E., & Cao, Z. T. (2019) · Addictive Behaviors · doi:10.1016/j.addbeh.2019.106146 · Cited by 18
Campos‐Castillo, C., Shuster, S. M., Groh, S. M., & Anthony, D. L. (2020) · Sex Roles · doi:10.1007/s11199-020-01131-3 · Cited by 19
“The first model summarized in Table 3 shows that the stronger an older man’s endorsement of hegemonic masculinity, the lower his odds of reporting he has any confidant (p = .002), representing a medium effect size (Chen et al. 2010) in support of Hypothesis 1.”
BackgroundResultInfluentialDo religious and market-based institutions promote cooperation in Hadza hunter-gatherers?
Stagnaro, M. N., Stibbard‐Hawkes, D. N. E., & Apicella, C. L. (2022) · Religion Brain & Behavior · doi:10.1080/2153599x.2021.2006293 · Cited by 19
“A conventional rule of thumb for interpretation is that an odds ratio equal to 1 indicates no difference/effect, while an odds ratio between 1.5 and 1.68 (and their 1 counterparts), is considered “small,” similar to Cohen’s D (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialDotson, J. L., Kappelman, M. D., Bricker, J. B., Andridge, R., Chisolm, D. J., & Crandall, W. (2018) · Inflammatory Bowel Diseases · doi:10.1093/ibd/izy192 · Cited by 19
Can grief be a mental disorder? An online survey on public opinion in mainland China
Tang, S., Chow, A. Y. M., Breen, L. J., & Prigerson, H. G. (2019) · Death Studies · doi:10.1080/07481187.2018.1527415 · Cited by 21
Metadata
- Authors
- Chen, H., Cohen, P., & Chen, S.
- Affiliations
- Winthrop-University Hospital (US)
- New York State Psychiatric Institute (US)
- Health Canada (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Chen, Henian
- Venue
- Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2010-03-31
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 860-864
- ISSN
- 0361-0918 (ISSN-L)
- 1532-4141
- OpenAlex
- W2029059557
- Cited by
- 1,952
- References
- 20
- Citations by year
- 2026: 170 · 2025: 201 · 2024: 259 · 2023: 234 · 2022: 254 · 2021: 242 · 2020: 196 · 2019: 123 · 2018: 93 · 2017: 65 · 2016: 44 · 2015: 31 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 5.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Keywords
- odds ratio, effect size interpretation, Cohen's d, standardized mean difference, disease incidence
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