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How Big is a Big Odds Ratio? Interpreting the Magnitudes of Odds Ratios in Epidemiological Studies
Abstract
The odds ratio (OR) is probably the most widely used index of effect size in epidemiological studies. The difficulty of interpreting the OR has troubled many clinical researchers and epidemiologists for a long time. We propose a new method for interpreting the size of the OR by relating it to differences in a normal standard deviate. Our calculations indicate that OR = 1.68, 3.47, and 6.71 are equivalent to Cohen's d = 0.2 (small), 0.5 (medium), and 0.8 (large), respectively, when disease rate is 1% in the nonexposed group; Cohen's d < 0.2 when OR <1.5, and Cohen's d > 0.8 when OR > 5.
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“Although the effect sizes of Hedges g and OR can be difficult to compare, outcomes based on continuous data and reported as Hedges g, appeared to generate larger effect sizes compared with dichotomous scoring, reported as OR [91].”
From The psychological subtype of intimate partner violence and its effect on mental health: a systematic review with meta-analyses (2022) · cites this paper as [91]
In the citing paper
“The mentoring structures and outcomes of the students in our study differed based on their gender and race/ethnicity, although the sizes of these differences were small (Cohen, 1992; Chen et al., 2010).”
From Race and Gender Differences in Undergraduate Research Mentoring Structures and Research Outcomes (2017) · cites this paper as Chen et al., 2010
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“These values correspond to a large and small effect size respectively for male sex and extreme shyness, respectively [55].”
BackgroundNurses’ knowledge of radiation protection: A cross-sectional study
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“The sizes of the stem and suffix effects were medium (see Chen et al., 2010).”
Kohut, T., Landripet, I., & Štulhofer, A. (2020) · Archives of Sexual Behavior · doi:10.1007/s10508-020-01824-6 · Cited by 53
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Multi-dimensional self-esteem and substance use among Chinese adolescents
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“370 at the end of the lockdown; in this respect, experiencing clinically relevant acute stress reaction at the beginning of lockdown seemed to represent a particularly important risk factor (Chen et al., 2010) for experiencing not only clinically relevant acute stress at the end of the lockdown, but also clinically re…”
Background최, 요. (2016) · Health and Social Welfare Review · doi:10.15709/hswr.2016.36.4.431 · Cited by 38
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(PPR), E. P. O. P. P. P. A. T. R., Ockleford, C., Adriaanse, P., Berny, P. J., Brock, T. C. M., Duquesne, S., Grilli, S., Bennekou, S. H., Klein, M., Kühl, T., et al. (2017) · EFSA Journal · doi:10.2903/j.efsa.2017.5007 · Cited by 46
Agreement and Predictors of Discordance of 6 Visual Field Progression Algorithms
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Sports Sponsorship as a Cause of Obesity
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Is Long-Term Benzodiazepine Use a Risk Factor for Cognitive Decline? Results of a Systematic Review
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Self-reported service needs and barriers reported by autistic adults: Differences by gender identity
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Overall and differential attrition in mindfulness-based interventions: A meta-analysis
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Should Rape Kit Testing Be Prioritized by Victim–Offender Relationship?
Campbell, R., Pierce, S. J., Sharma, D. B., Feeney, H., & Fehler‐Cabral, G. (2016) · Criminology & Public Policy · doi:10.1111/1745-9133.12205 · Cited by 40
Side-effects of mdma-assisted psychotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Colcott, J., Guerin, A. A., Carter, O. L., Meikle, S. E., & Bedi, G. (2024) · Neuropsychopharmacology · doi:10.1038/s41386-024-01865-8 · Cited by 42
“In Australia, and other countries soon expected to implement MDMA-AP, systematic, independent post-marketing studies of real-world side effects are also needed.”
BackgroundBhattarai, J., Oehlert, M. E., Multon, K. D., & Sumerall, S. W. (2018) · Journal of Aging and Health · doi:10.1177/0898264318781131 · Cited by 40
Constraints on organic chemistry students’ reasoning during IR and 1 H NMR spectral interpretation
Connor, M. C., Finkenstaedt-Quinn, S. A., & Shultz, G. V. (2019) · Chemistry Education Research and Practice · doi:10.1039/c9rp00033j · Cited by 46
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“According to Chen et al. (2010), OR< 1.5 is considered a small effect, and OR> 5 is a large effect.”
BackgroundInfluentialRonfard, S., Brown, S. A., Doncaster, E., & Kelemen, D. A. (2021) · Cognition · doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2021.104635 · Cited by 43
Hershberger, A., Argyriou, E., & Cyders, M. (2020) · Addictive Behaviors · doi:10.1016/j.addbeh.2020.106325 · Cited by 39
“Adjusting effect size descriptors by base rates of behavior in the unexposed groups allows for better comparison across samples for which prevalence rates vary quite markedly (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundMethodTayfur, S. N., Prior, S., Roy, A. S., Maciver, D., Forsyth, K., & Fitzpatrick, L. I. (2022) · Journal of Youth and Adolescence · doi:10.1007/s10964-022-01592-7 · Cited by 39
“While the effect size for bullying and attitudes to school was small, it was medium for self-esteem, locus of control, job aspirations, and physical activity (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundSantos, G., Coffin, P. O., Vittinghoff, E., DeMicco, E., Das, M., Matheson, T., Raiford, J. L., Carry, M., Colfax, G. N., Herbst, J. H., et al. (2014) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2014.02.015 · Cited by 39
“In this study, PCC had medium to large effect sizes (Chen et al., 2010; Schünemann et al., 2008) on these HIVrelated risk factors (46%, 49% and 74% reductions for odds of alcohol intoxication frequency, rate of EDD use and rate of UAI concurrent with methamphetamine use, respectively); the magnitude of these estimates…”
MethodRaccanello, D., Hall, R., & Burro, R. (2018) · Learning and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.lindif.2018.05.015 · Cited by 44
Foti, S. A., Khambaty, T., Birnbaum‐Weitzman, O., Argüelles, W., Penedo, F. J., Giacinto, R. A. E., Gutiérrez, Á., Gallo, L. C., Giachello, A. L. M., Schneiderman, N., et al. (2019) · Journal of Immigrant and Minority Health · doi:10.1007/s10903-019-00885-7 · Cited by 43
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Smoking, Genetic Predisposition, and Colorectal Cancer Risk
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Factores de riesgo asociados al embarazo en adolescentes
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Communicative predictions can overrule linguistic priors
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Serotype-specific evolutionary patterns of antimicrobial-resistant Salmonella enterica
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“15, respectively, for over- / under- represented) [119].”
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“11 = 9.09), which is considered a large effect (Chen et al., 2010).”
InfluentialSexual Violence, Mental Health, and Prescription Opioid Use and Misuse
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An analysis of suicidal thoughts and behaviors among transgender and gender diverse adults
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“Interpretation of effect sizes were guided by statistical literature [36, 37].”
MethodCherishing the heritage language: Predictors of parental heritage language maintenance efforts
Hollebeke, I., Dekeyser, G. N. M., Caira, T., Ağırdağ, O., & Struys, E. (2022) · International Journal of Bilingualism · doi:10.1177/13670069221132630 · Cited by 37
“Regarding effect sizes of the relations, conscious management is the only variable demonstrating a significant, albeit small, effect size (1.68 < OR > 3.47; H. Chen et al., 2010) throughout the four models.”
BackgroundInfluentialKoning, L., Junger, M., & Veldkamp, B. (2023) · International Review of Victimology · doi:10.1177/02697580231215839 · Cited by 40
“For an equally distributed binomial predictor, the reliably detectable odds ratio would be ⩾ 2.446, which would correspond to being between a small ( ⩾ 1.681, Cohen’s d = 0.2) and medium ( ⩾ 3.474, Cohen’s d = 0.5) effect size (Chen et al., 2010; Cohen, 1992).”
InfluentialHalf a Century of Stereotyping Associations Between Gender and Intellectual Ability in Films
Gálvez, R. H., Tiffenberg, V., & Altszyler, E. (2019) · Sex Roles · doi:10.1007/s11199-019-01019-x · Cited by 46
“As a general rule, odds ratios greater (lesser) than 1.68 (.60), 3.47 (.29), and 6.71 (.15) suggest small (but not negligible), medium, and large effects (Chen et al. 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialRaker, J. R., Dood, A. J., Srinivasan, S., & Murphy, K. L. (2020) · Chemistry Education Research and Practice · doi:10.1039/d0rp00125b · Cited by 38
Effects and moderators of the Olweus bullying prevention program (OBPP) in Germany
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“These odds ratios reflect a small effect size in epidemiological studies [24].”
BackgroundInfluentialAre chatbots the new relationship experts? Insights from three studies
Vowels, L. M. (2024) · Computers in Human Behavior: Artificial Humans · doi:10.1016/j.chbah.2024.100077 · Cited by 42
Linardon, J., Messer, M., Shatte, A., Skvarc, D., Rosato, J., Rathgen, A., & Fuller-Tyszkiewicz, M. (2023) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291721002786 · Cited by 36
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Acupuncture for substance use disorders: A systematic review and meta-analysis
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Pilot Test of StandUp, an Online School-Based Bullying Prevention Program
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Joint trajectories of depression and perfectionism across adolescence and childhood risk factors
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“14) effect sizes.(60) Evaluation of the multivariable models explained variance was done by Cohen’s criteria (R(2)): 2%–13% is small, 13%–26% is medium and ≥26% is large.”
MethodA systematic review of factors that influence the acceptability of vaccines among Canadians
Gates, A., Gates, M., Rahman, S., Guitard, S., MacGregor, T., Pillay, J., Ismail, S. J., Tunis, M. C., Young, K., Hardy, K., et al. (2020) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.10.038 · Cited by 36
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“Taken together, the included studies’ odds ratio suggests a small to medium effect size for sleep as a predictor of healthy aging among cross-sectional studies (Chen, Cohen, & Chen, 2010).”
BackgroundSurgical treatment of proximal humerus fractures: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Hohmann, E., Keough, N., Glatt, V., & Tetsworth, K. D. (2022) · European Journal of Orthopaedic Surgery & Traumatology · doi:10.1007/s00590-022-03436-3 · Cited by 35
“In the ORIF vs hemiarthroplasty and the ORIF vs IM nailing groups these differences were not statistically significant, with overlapping 95% confidence intervals and small to medium odds ratios, and the between-group differences are considered negligible.[53, 54].”
BackgroundResultLassale, C. M., Batty, G. D., Steptoe, A., & Zaninotto, P. (2017) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-017-04526-7 · Cited by 35
Halvorsen, M. B., Aman, M. G., Mathiassen, B., Brøndbo, P. H., Steinsvik, O. O., & Martinussen, M. (2019) · Journal of Mental Health Research in Intellectual Disabilities · doi:10.1080/19315864.2019.1630872 · Cited by 35
Kringle, E. A., Gibbs, B. B., Campbell, G. B., McCue, M. P., Terhorst, L. A., Kersey, J., & Skidmore, E. R. (2019) · PM&R · doi:10.1002/pmrj.12222 · Cited by 33
“05).(22,39) These effects were attributed to prevention of decline in the intervention group accompanied by decline over time in the control group.”
BackgroundHunt, C. (2020) · Journal of Obsessive-Compulsive and Related Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jocrd.2020.100533 · Cited by 35
Martínez, I. M., Salanova, M., & Cruz-Ortiz, V. (2020) · Journal of Work and Organizational Psychology · doi:10.5093/jwop2020a10 · Cited by 61
“In all cases the value has been low-moderate (Chen et al., 2010).”
BackgroundGuilt of the Meat‐Eating Consumer: When Animal Anthropomorphism Leads to Healthy Meat Dish Choices
Kim, D. J., & Yoon, S. (2020) · Journal of Consumer Psychology · doi:10.1002/jcpy.1215 · Cited by 35
Mackay, C. M. L., Cristoffanini, F., Wright, J. D., Neufeld, S. D., Ogawa, H. F., & Schmitt, M. T. (2021) · Current Research in Ecological and Social Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.cresp.2021.100009 · Cited by 41
Hielkema, M. H., Onwezen, M. C., & Reinders, M. J. (2022) · Food Quality and Preference · doi:10.1016/j.foodqual.2022.104675 · Cited by 41
Magaña, I., Martínez, P., & Loyola, M. S. (2020) · Journal of Clinical Nursing · doi:10.1111/jocn.15450 · Cited by 34
Design and Analysis of Replication Studies
Bonett, D. G. (2020) · Organizational Research Methods · doi:10.1177/1094428120911088 · Cited by 34
“Chen, Cohen, and Chen (2010) defined small, medium, and large values of log-odds ratios as 0.52, 1.24, and 1.90, respectively.”
BackgroundInfluentialInformed Bayesian Inference for the A/B Test
Gronau, Q. F., Raj, K. N. A., & Wagenmakers, E. (2021) · Journal of Statistical Software · doi:10.18637/jss.v100.i17 · Cited by 39
“Furthermore, the standard deviation of 1 results in a prior distribution that assigns mass to a wide range of reasonable log odds ratios (Chen et al. 2010) without being so uninformative that the results unduly favor H0 (Bartlett 1957; Lindley 1957).”
BackgroundFraming messages for vaccination supporters.
Altay, S., & Mercier, H. (2020) · Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied · doi:10.1037/xap0000271 · Cited by 39
Abarca-Álvarez, F. J., Navarro-Ligero, M. L., Montes, L. M. V., & Campos-Sánchez, F. S. (2019) · Applied Sciences · doi:10.3390/app9183859 · Cited by 34
“OR has been used as the “magnitude of effect” in cases with dichotomous results [32,33], such as those found in our case study, and comparisons of magnitude can even be made between such effect sizes derived from OR and those from Cohen’s d [33].”
BackgroundMethodBernhard, R. M., Martin, J. W., & Warneken, F. (2020) · Journal of Experimental Child Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jecp.2020.104909 · Cited by 34
Arabiat, D. H., Jabery, M. A. F. A., Kemp, V., Jenkins, M. A., Whitehead, L., & Adams, G. G. (2021) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph18041699 · Cited by 34
“An effect size of 0.2 was considered small, an effect size of 0.5 was considered moderate, and an effect size of 0.8 was considered large [27].”
BackgroundInfluentialCrocamo, C., Bachi, B., Calabrese, A., Callovini, T., Cavaleri, D., Cioni, R. M., Moretti, F., Bartoli, F., & Carrà, G. (2021) · Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2021.10.010 · Cited by 35
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Halstead, I. N., McKay, R., & Lewis, G. J. (2022) · Vaccine · doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.062 · Cited by 34
“It should be noted that all of the odds ratios found in the logistic regressions using intelligence, personality, and demographic variables are small in size [7].”
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Goings, T. C., Salas‐Wright, C. P., Howard, M. O., & Vaughn, M. G. (2017) · The American Journal of Drug and Alcohol Abuse · doi:10.1080/00952990.2017.1359617 · Cited by 33
“As a point of reference, Chen and colleagues (23), suggest”
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“74 No difference in risk was observed for preterm birth before 32 weeks, nonelective cesarean delivery, and several birth outcomes (stillbirth, large for gestational age, Apgar score 7 at 5 minutes).”
Effect of quality of opposition on game performance indicators in elite male volleyball
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Zulman, D. M., Chang, E. T., Wong, A. C., Yoon, J., Stockdale, S. E., Ong, M. K., Rubenstein, L. V., & Asch, S. M. (2019) · Journal of General Internal Medicine · doi:10.1007/s11606-019-04965-0 · Cited by 32
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Latent Class Mediation: A Comparison of Six Approaches
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“In the 2-class mediator conditions, we manipulated the corresponding ORs for b1(a-path) and c2 (b-path) equal to 2 (a small effect; Chen et al., 2010), which resulted in a natural indirect effect of 1.121 in OR (Equation (3)), which was comparable to the effect size we observed from the previous…”
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Prospective associations between pornography viewing and sexual aggression among adolescents
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Social-ecological correlates of physical activity in kidney cancer survivors
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“These variables were in the range of small to medium effect sizes [41].”
Metadata
- Authors
- Chen, H., Cohen, P., & Chen, S.
- Affiliations
- Winthrop-University Hospital (US)
- New York State Psychiatric Institute (US)
- Health Canada (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Chen, Henian
- Venue
- Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2010-03-31
- Volume
- 39
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 860-864
- ISSN
- 0361-0918 (ISSN-L)
- 1532-4141
- OpenAlex
- W2029059557
- Cited by
- 1,952
- References
- 20
- Citations by year
- 2026: 170 · 2025: 201 · 2024: 259 · 2023: 234 · 2022: 254 · 2021: 242 · 2020: 196 · 2019: 123 · 2018: 93 · 2017: 65 · 2016: 44 · 2015: 31 · 2014: 18 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 4
- FWCI
- 5.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Keywords
- odds ratio, effect size interpretation, Cohen's d, standardized mean difference, disease incidence
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