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Predicting Cross-National Levels of Social Trust: Global Pattern or Nordic Exceptionalism?
Abstract
This analysis of variations in the level of generalized social trust (defined here as the belief that others will not deliberately or knowingly do us harm, if they can avoid it, and will look after our interests, if this is possible) in 60 nations of the world shows that trust is an integral part of a tight syndrome of social, political and economic conditions. High trust countries are characterized by ethnic homogeneity, Protestant religious traditions, good government, wealth (gross domestic product per capita), and income equality. This combination is most marked in the high trust Nordic countries but the same general pattern is found in the remaining 55 countries, albeit in a weaker form. Rural societies have comparatively low levels of generalized trust but large-scale urban societies do not. Cause and effect relations are impossible to specify exactly but ethnic homogeneity and Protestant traditions seem to have a direct impact on trust, and an indirect one through their consequences for good government, wealth and income equality. The importance of ethnic homogeneity also suggests that the difference between particularized and generalized trust may be one of degree rather than kind.
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“Since social trust largely rests upon perceived similarities and a sense of familiarity, religious diversity may lead to a decrease in regional trust levels”
From Moral Communities? Religion as a Source of Social Trust in a Multilevel Analysis of 97 German Regions (2011) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton, 2005
In the citing paper
“the confounding effects of religious traditions and political institutions on social trust (Delhey and Newton, 2005) are elegantly disentangled in our case by holding the latter constant.”
From Moral Communities? Religion as a Source of Social Trust in a Multilevel Analysis of 97 German Regions (2011) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton, 2005
In the citing paper
“greater ethnic heterogeneity seems to be associated with lower stocks of social capital”
From Moral Communities? Religion as a Source of Social Trust in a Multilevel Analysis of 97 German Regions (2011) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton, 2005
In the citing paper
“Our results are similar to those of Delhey and Newton (2005) and Dincer and Wang (2011) in that they show that in going from complete ethnic homogeneity to complete ethnic heterogeneity, financial development is sharply reduced.”
From Diversity Matters in the World of Finance: Does Ethnic and Religious Diversity Hinder Financial Development in Developing Countries? (2025) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton 2005
In the citing paper
“Protestantism, which played a prominent role in Nordic history”
From Trust, transparency, and openness: How inclusion of cultural values shapes Nordic national public policy strategies for artificial intelligence (AI) (2020) · cites this paper as [33]
In the citing paper
“imbued societal interactions with a nonhierarchical quality that allowed social trust to flourish [33,34]”
From Trust, transparency, and openness: How inclusion of cultural values shapes Nordic national public policy strategies for artificial intelligence (AI) (2020) · cites this paper as [33]
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“On the other hand, several researchers find no evidence that social trust in ‘most people’ is more widespread in smaller countries (Knack and Keefer, 1997; Delhey and Newton, 2005).”
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“These patterns may reflect national differences that have been found in the strength of the education effect associated with ingroup attitudes and trust, which appear to be stronger in more developed nations and older democracies (Delhey and Newton 2005; Elchardus and De Keere 2013; Hello et al. 2002; Scheepers et al.…”
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“Rectifying this debate is imperative since much of the research exploring this relationship is cross-sectional and finds that institutional quality is associated with generalized trust (e.g., Delhey and Newton 2005; Freitag and Bu ¨hlmann 2009; Herreros 2004; Herreros and Criado 2008; Knack and Keefer 1997; Knack and…”
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BackgroundMethodSegregation, mistrust and minorities
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“While there is no overall relationship between diversity and trust (Uslaner, in press a), the cases of Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland have given some observers pause (Delhy and Newton, 2005).”
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Vårheim, A. (2011) · Library & Information Science Research · doi:10.1016/j.lisr.2010.04.005 · Cited by 103
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BackgroundA comprehensive view of trust in education: Conclusions from a systematic literature review
Niedlich, S., Kallfaß, A., Pohle, S., & Bormann, I. (2021) · Review of Education · doi:10.1002/rev3.3239 · Cited by 98
“…or institutions, particularised trust works ‘at close social range’—it is directed at people or institutions that the individual knows personally and is built on interpersonal experience and interaction (Freitag & Bauer, 2016, 469; Frederiksen, 2019; Delhey & Newton, 2003, 2005; Granovetter, 1973).”
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“For example, it has been argued that participation in the civil rights movements and protests against the war in Vietnam led to enduring changes in trust levels in the United States among those actively involved (Uslaner 2002).”
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Do libraries matter? Public libraries and the creation of social capital
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“The effect of Protestant traditions is explained by the observation that Protestant beliefs more than in other religions and churches, stress the importance of behaving trustworthy and having trusting attitudes towards others (Delhey and Newton, 2005, pp. 313-4).”
BackgroundInfluentialThe centre–periphery dimension and trust in politicians: the case of Norway
Stein, J., Buck, M., & Bjørnå, H. (2019) · Territory Politics Governance · doi:10.1080/21622671.2019.1624191 · Cited by 102
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Berning, C., & Ziller, C. (2016) · Acta Politica · doi:10.1057/ap.2015.28 · Cited by 90
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“It was shown that the welfare state and actual policies also impact on the spread of civic par ticipation as contemporary national policies promote active participation in society to different degrees (Delhey and Newton 2005; Pichler and Wallace 2007).”
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Social Class Predicts Generalized Trust But Only in Wealthy Societies
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“Cross-culturally, societies with a higher level of trust tend to be better governed, safer, more egalitarian, and wealthier than societies with a lower level of trust (Delhey & Newton, 2005).”
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“…generally lack a variety of social and political structural characteristics, such as stable governments and effective law enforcement, that are conducive to generalized trust (Delhey & Newton, 2005), such that even wealthier individuals would have good reason to be distrusting in poorer countries.”
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“More specifically, generalized social trust can be defined as “the belief that others will not deliberately or knowingly do us harm, if they can avoid it, and will look after our interests, if this is possible” (Delhey and Newton, 2005, p. 311).”
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“(Delhey & Newton, 2005; Uslaner, 2002).”
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BackgroundSteinhardt, H. C. (2011) · Political Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9248.2011.00909.x · Cited by 84
“– have consistently indicated that generalized trust in Mainland China is among the highest worldwide, thus making it a notorious outlier in comparative studies (Allik and Realo, 2004; Bjørnskov,2006;Delhey and Newton,2005; Inglehart, 1999;Uslaner, 2002;Whiteley, 2000).”
BackgroundTao, R., Yang, D. L., Li, M., & Lu, X. (2013) · International Political Science Review · doi:10.1177/0192512113492599 · Cited by 83
“It goes without saying that social contexts, such as the configuration of village social and religious organizations, often the product of many decades or even centuries of evolution, may also affect the level of social trust (Delhey and Newton, 2005; Welch et al., 2004).”
BackgroundSyvertsen, T., Mjøs, O. J., Moe, H., et al. (2014) · University of Michigan Press eBooks · doi:10.3998/nmw.12367206.0001.001 · Cited by 83
Does Travel Broaden the Mind? Breadth of Foreign Experiences Increases Generalized Trust
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“…trust in interpersonal interactions, most research on generalized trust comes from economics, sociology, and political science, which focus on macro-environmental factors, such as income inequality (Neville, 2012), wealth (Delhey & Newton, 2005), and corruption (Rothstein & Uslaner, 2005).”
BackgroundDigital Political Talk and Political Participation: Comparing Established and Third Wave Democracies
Vaccari, C., & Valeriani, A. (2018) · SAGE Open · doi:10.1177/2158244018784986 · Cited by 101
“Although democratic institutions can operate at widely different levels of institutional fairness, authoritarian regimes generally perform more poorly in this regard (Delhey & Newton, 2005).”
BackgroundTrust between international joint venture partners: Effects of home countries
Ertug, G., Cuypers, I. R. P., Noorderhaven, N., & Bensaou, B. M. (2013) · Journal of International Business Studies · doi:10.1057/jibs.2013.6 · Cited by 80
“Firstly, researchers have reported that the propensity to trust others differs across countries (Buchan et al., 2002; Delhey & Newton, 2005; Dyer & Chu, 2000; Huff & Kelley, 2003).”
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Public libraries: places creating social capital?
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“However, all in all, most studies conducted show that the level of social capital decreases with ethnic heterogeneity (Alesina and La Ferrara, 2000, 2002; Coffe and Geys, 2006; Costa and Kahn, 2003; Delhey and Newton, 2005; Marschall and Stolle 2004, 2005; Stolle et al., 2005).”
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Bidner, C., & François, P. (2010) · The Economic Journal · doi:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02398.x · Cited by 78
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“Likewise, socio-economic development has been found to be conducive to both trust (Delhey and Newton 2005) and unconventional political participation (Welzel et al. 2005).”
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“…endorse this belief also exhibit democratic values such as tolerance and open-mindedness and behaviors such as voting, volunteering, and participating in community affairs (Delhey & Newton, 2005; Jennings & Stoker, 2004; Phan, 2008; Putnam, 2000; Uslaner, 2002; Wallace, 2008; Welch et al., 2005).”
BackgroundTrust and institutions: A multilevel analysis
Wang, L., & Gordon, P. (2011) · The Journal of Socio-Economics · doi:10.1016/j.socec.2011.04.015 · Cited by 75
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Helbling, M., Reeskens, T., & Stolle, D. (2013) · Political Studies · doi:10.1111/1467-9248.12087 · Cited by 76
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“This work has found a negative correlation between trust and ethnic and economic diversity (Delhey & Newton, 2005; Öberg, Oskarsson, & Svensson, 2011; Putnam, 2007; Stolle, Soroka, & Johnston, 2008).”
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“Whereas substantial differences in generalized trust exist between individuals within countries (see, e.g., Delhey and Newton 2005), the average levels of trust also vary substantially across countries (Bjørnskov 2007, Nannestad 2008).”
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Nørgaard, A. S., & Klemmensen, R. (2018) · Journal of Personality · doi:10.1111/jopy.12388 · Cited by 69
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“A central demonstration of these endeavors is that trust might develop as a result of the politicalinstitutional environment in which individuals are embedded (Berggren and Jordahl, 2006; Delhey and Newton, 2005; Freitag and Bühlmann, 2009; Herreros, 2008; Knack and Keefer, 1997; Paxton, 2002; Robbins, forthcoming; Ro…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialThree Forms of Interpersonal Trust: Evidence from Swedish Municipalities
Wollebæk, D., Lundåsen, S. W., & Trägårdh, L. (2012) · Scandinavian Political Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9477.2012.00291.x · Cited by 68
Adam, F. (2008) · Social Science Information · doi:10.1177/0539018408089077 · Cited by 68
Robbins, B. G. (2012) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0035120 · Cited by 68
“Studies using cross-sectional data and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression tend to show that property rights institutions, court independence, contract enforcement, welfare state development, and democracy significantly and positively relate to aggregated micro-level public-opinion survey data of generalized trust…”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialWard, P., Tisdall, L., & Meyer, S. B. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0095555 · Cited by 64
Harring, N. (2015) · Political Studies · doi:10.1111/1467-9248.12209 · Cited by 68
“Yet, the assumption in this article is that QoG generates social trust – an assumption for which there is plenty of empirical support (e.g. Delhey and Newton, 2005; Dinesen, 2012; 2013; Dinesen and Hooghe, 2010; Herreros, 2009; Nannestad et al., 2013; Newton, 1999; 2007; Rothstein and Stolle, 2008;…”
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“Perhaps, despite the popular notion of a crisis of mistrust in expertise [42], mistrust of peers is stronger still [90], though different results may be obtained in high trust societies [33] or those whose cultures are poorly represented by the expert body.”
ResultDincer, O. C. (2010) · Contemporary Economic Policy · doi:10.1111/j.1465-7287.2010.00215.x · Cited by 71
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“…thereby also diverge from previous findings that show a negative link between trust and diversity using generalized trust (Anderson and Paskeviciute 2006; Stolle et al. 2008; Delhey and Newton 2005), or no consistent relationship at all (Bjørnskov 2008; Gesthuizen et al. 2008; Hooghe et al. 2009).”
BackgroundResultZiller, C. (2014) · Social Forces · doi:10.1093/sf/sou088 · Cited by 67
“…the relationship between local or regional indicators of ethnic diversity and trust, several cross-national studies examine the role of country-level diversity (Bjørnskov 2008; Delhey and Newton 2005; Gesthuizen, van der Meer, and Scheepers 2009; Hooghe et al. 2009; Lolle and Torpe 2011).”
BackgroundDoes Diversity Erode Social Cohesion? Conceptual and Methodological Issues
Ariely, G. (2013) · Political Studies · doi:10.1111/1467-9248.12068 · Cited by 67
Aggarwal, R., & Goodell, J. W. (2014) · Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance · doi:10.1016/j.jbef.2013.11.002 · Cited by 62
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Trust Propensity Across Cultures: The Role of Collectivism
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“Observers argue that such flexibility is based to a significant degree on trust, which, as we have suggested, reflects a strong sense of national identity as rooted in cultural homogeneity (see also Delhey and Newton, 2005 ).”
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Intergroup Behavioral Strategies as Contextually Determined: Experimental Evidence from Israel
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“In another study, Delhey and Newton (2005) provide evidence for the impact of the religious background on the individual trusting propensity.”
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“This pattern is familiar from countless studies of social development and few scholars would be surprised to rediscover it with whatever objective social indicator one uses (Delhey and Newton 2005; Estes 2010).”
BackgroundVilhjalmsdottir, A., Garðarsdóttir, R. B., Bernburg, J. G., & Sigfúsdóttir, I. D. (2016) · Journal of Adolescence · doi:10.1016/j.adolescence.2016.06.004 · Cited by 60
Social norm enforcement in ethnically diverse communities
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Undoing Homogeneity in the Nordic Region
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“Generalized trust describes the general orientation of a society or community in which individuals intend to trust strangers or unfamiliar people (Delhey & Newton, 2005), while particularized trust refers to the trust based on all sorts of specific cues or ties (Wilson & Eckel, 2006; Bohnet &…”
BackgroundNavarro‐Carrillo, G., Valor‐Segura, I., & Moya, M. (2016) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-016-1527-7 · Cited by 59
“Additionally, on a social level, societies with higher levels of trust tend to be better governed and are safer, more egalitarian, and wealthier (Delhey and Newton 2005).”
BackgroundHofstra, B., Corten, R., & van Tubergen, F. (2016) · Computers in Human Behavior · doi:10.1016/j.chb.2016.02.091 · Cited by 57
“Those who have an ethnic background from low-trust societies, such as those with a Turkish background (Delhey & Newton, 2005), especially display more privacy on Facebook than do native Dutch.”
Regions of trust and distrust: how good institutions can foster social cohesion
Charron, N., & Rothstein, B. (2018) · Edward Elgar Publishing eBooks · doi:10.4337/9781786436672.00017 · Cited by 57
“…trusting also have a more optimistic view of their possibilities to influence their own life chances and, not least important, to be even more happy with how their life is going (Leung et al. 2011; Helliwell 2006; Dinesen 2013; Delhey and Newton 2005; Uslaner 2002; Freitag and Traunmuller 2009).”
BackgroundSpence, P. R., Lachlan, K. A., Spates, S. A., & Lin, X. (2013) · Computers in Human Behavior · doi:10.1016/j.chb.2012.12.013 · Cited by 56
Rothstein, B. (2021) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780192894908.001.0001 · Cited by 59
Metadata
- Authors
- Delhey, J., & Newton, K.
- Affiliations
- WZB Berlin Social Science Center (DE)
- University of Southampton (GB)
- ORCID
- Delhey, Jan
- Venue
- European Sociological Review
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2005-06-06
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 311-327
- ISSN
- 0266-7215 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-2672
- OpenAlex
- W2062841522
- Semantic Scholar
- a6d11bebc50daf14e2d5b9849ca4dc9cdd5d05f9
- Cited by
- 1,267
- References
- 67
- Citations by year
- 2026: 41 · 2025: 58 · 2024: 60 · 2023: 66 · 2022: 90 · 2021: 102 · 2020: 99 · 2019: 63 · 2018: 74 · 2017: 69 · 2016: 67 · 2015: 72 · 2014: 80 · 2013: 71 · 2012: 55
- FWCI
- 68.02
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- European Sociological Review (publishedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social Capital and Networks
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Cultural Differences and Values
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Social Policy and Reform Studies
- Keywords
- generalized trust, cross-national variation, ethnic homogeneity, Protestantism, good government, wealth, income equality, urbanization, particularized trust, Nordic exceptionalism, determinants of trust
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