Predicting Cross-National Levels of Social Trust: Global Pattern or Nordic Exceptionalism?
Abstract
This analysis of variations in the level of generalized social trust (defined here as the belief that others will not deliberately or knowingly do us harm, if they can avoid it, and will look after our interests, if this is possible) in 60 nations of the world shows that trust is an integral part of a tight syndrome of social, political and economic conditions. High trust countries are characterized by ethnic homogeneity, Protestant religious traditions, good government, wealth (gross domestic product per capita), and income equality. This combination is most marked in the high trust Nordic countries but the same general pattern is found in the remaining 55 countries, albeit in a weaker form. Rural societies have comparatively low levels of generalized trust but large-scale urban societies do not. Cause and effect relations are impossible to specify exactly but ethnic homogeneity and Protestant traditions seem to have a direct impact on trust, and an indirect one through their consequences for good government, wealth and income equality. The importance of ethnic homogeneity also suggests that the difference between particularized and generalized trust may be one of degree rather than kind.
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Social trust largely rests upon perceived similarities and a sense of familiarity, so religious diversity may decrease regional trust levels.
“Since social trust largely rests upon perceived similarities and a sense of familiarity, religious diversity may lead to a decrease in regional trust levels”
From Moral Communities? Religion as a Source of Social Trust in a Multilevel Analysis of 97 German Regions (2011) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton, 2005
The analysis disentangles the confounding effects of religious traditions and political institutions on social trust by holding political institutions constant.
“the confounding effects of religious traditions and political institutions on social trust (Delhey and Newton, 2005) are elegantly disentangled in our case by holding the latter constant.”
From Moral Communities? Religion as a Source of Social Trust in a Multilevel Analysis of 97 German Regions (2011) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton, 2005
Greater ethnic heterogeneity is associated with lower stocks of social capital.
“greater ethnic heterogeneity seems to be associated with lower stocks of social capital”
From Moral Communities? Religion as a Source of Social Trust in a Multilevel Analysis of 97 German Regions (2011) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton, 2005
In going from complete ethnic homogeneity to complete ethnic heterogeneity, financial development is sharply reduced.
“Our results are similar to those of Delhey and Newton (2005) and Dincer and Wang (2011) in that they show that in going from complete ethnic homogeneity to complete ethnic heterogeneity, financial development is sharply reduced.”
From Diversity Matters in the World of Finance: Does Ethnic and Religious Diversity Hinder Financial Development in Developing Countries? (2025) · cites this paper as Delhey and Newton 2005
Protestantism played a prominent role in Nordic history.
“Protestantism, which played a prominent role in Nordic history”
From Trust, transparency, and openness: How inclusion of cultural values shapes Nordic national public policy strategies for artificial intelligence (AI) (2020) · cites this paper as [33]
Protestantism imbued societal interactions with a nonhierarchical quality that allowed social trust to flourish.
“imbued societal interactions with a nonhierarchical quality that allowed social trust to flourish [33,34]”
From Trust, transparency, and openness: How inclusion of cultural values shapes Nordic national public policy strategies for artificial intelligence (AI) (2020) · cites this paper as [33]
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INEQUALITY AND TRUST: NEW EVIDENCE FROM PANEL DATA
Barone, G., & Mocetti, S. (2015) · Economic Inquiry · doi:10.1111/ecin.12309 · Cited by 213 · see citing works
“These conflicts, in turn, break social ties and lessen the formation of trust and social cohesion (Delhey and Newton, 2005).5 The recent global economic crisis has generated renewed interest in this topic.”
Social Trust, Social Capital and Perceptions of Immigration
Herreros, F., & Criado, H. (2008) · Political Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9248.2008.00738.x · Cited by 200 · see citing works
“…generally assumes that increased diversity is associated with lower social capital and interpersonal trust or, in other words, that immigration and ethnic diversity challenge community cohesion (Alesina and La Ferrara, 2002; Costa and Kahn,2003;Delhey and Newton,2005;Knack and Keefer, 1997).”
BackgroundIndividual and country-level factors affecting support for foreign aid
Paxton, P. M., & Knack, S. (2011) · International Political Science Review · doi:10.1177/0192512111406095 · Cited by 199 · see citing works
“Religion has been found to impact altruism of other types, such as philanthropy (Wuthnow and Hodgkinson, 1990) and trust (Delhey and Newton, 2005; Fishman and Khanna, 1999; La Porta et al., 1997), as well as a variety of economic attitudes (Guiso and Zingales, 2003).”
Dinesen, P. T. (2011) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcr044 · Cited by 199 · see citing works
Corruption and Social Trust: Why the Fish Rots from the Head Down
Rothstein, B. (2013) · Social research · doi:10.1353/sor.2013.0040 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Realo, A., Allïk, J., & Greenfield, B. L. (2008) · Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology · doi:10.1177/0022022108318096 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
“…is known that high-trust countries (defined as the belief that others will not deliberately or knowingly do us harm if they can avoid it) are characterized by ethnic homogeneity, Protestant religious traditions, good government, wealth (GDP per capita), and income equality (Delhey & Newton, 2005).”
BackgroundPolitical Support: Social Capital, Civil Society and Political and Economic Performance
Newton, K. (2006) · Political Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9248.2006.00634.x · Cited by 193 · see citing works
“…of government, little regard for the public interest (Rothstein 2000), tax evasion (Scholz 1998), high levels of corruption (Van der Meer 2003: 147; Delhey and Newton 2005), poorly performing government (Knack and Keefer 1997; Knack 2002; Putnam 1993), a comparatively low regard for citizen rights…”
InfluentialSelf-citationCrafting Trust: The Role of Political Institutions in a Comparative Perspective
Freitag, M., & Bühlmann, M. (2009) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414009332151 · Cited by 233 · see citing works
Rözer, J. J., & Kraaykamp, G. (2012) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-012-0124-7 · Cited by 183 · see citing works
Risk, Cooperation and the Economic origins of social Trust: an empirical InvestigationPreprint
Durante, R. (2009) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1576774 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Sønderskov, K. M., & Daugbjerg, C. (2010) · Agriculture and Human Values · doi:10.1007/s10460-010-9295-5 · Cited by 189 · see citing works
“For instance, the Danes and Swedes are among the most trusting people in the world (Delhey and Newton 2005; Hudson 2006; Sønderskov 2008a) and they have relatively high levels of environmental concern (Inglehart 1995).”
BackgroundSocial Capital and Diversity Generalized Trust, Social Cohesion and Regimes of Diversity
Hooghe, M. (2007) · Canadian Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0008423907070722 · Cited by 177 · see citing works
Corruption, contention, and reform: the power of deep democratization
(2015) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.185469 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Berggren, N., & Bjørnskov, C. (2011) · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization · doi:10.1016/j.jebo.2011.05.002 · Cited by 178 · see citing works
Ethnic Diversity, Segregation and Ethnocentric Trust in Africa
Robinson, A. L. (2017) · British Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0007123417000540 · Cited by 178 · see citing works
“25 Alesina and La Ferrara 2002; Bjørnskov 2007; Delhey and Newton 2005; Dincer 2011; Hooghe et al. 2009; Putnam 2007; Stolle, Soroka, and Johnston 2008.”
BackgroundResultKeep your (social) distance: Pathogen concerns and social perception in the time of COVID-19
Rosa, A. O. L., Chuquichambi, E. G., & Ingram, G. (2020) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2020.110200 · Cited by 171 · see citing works
Handbook of Research Methods on Trust
Lyon, F., Möllering, G., & Saunders, M. N. K. (2015) · Edward Elgar Publishing eBooks · doi:10.4337/9781782547419 · Cited by 169 · see citing works
Social trust in the midst of pandemic crisis: Implications from COVID-19 of South Korea
Kye, B., & Hwang, S.-J. (2020) · Research in Social Stratification and Mobility · doi:10.1016/j.rssm.2020.100523 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Trust and Volunteering: Selection or Causation? Evidence From a 4 Year Panel Study
Bekkers, R. (2012) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1007/s11109-011-9165-x · Cited by 147 · see citing works
Allum, N., Sturgis, P., & Read, S. (2012) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9780203882924 · Cited by 160 · see citing works
A Genetic Basis for Social Trust?
Sturgis, P., Read, S., Hatemi, P., Zhu, G., Trull, T. J., Wright, M. J., & Martin, N. G. (2009) · Political Behavior · doi:10.1007/s11109-009-9101-5 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
“On the face of it, this throws up an apparent paradox; how can the notion of genetic heritability be reconciled with known empirical regularities, such as the wide cross-national variability (Newton and Delhey 2005) and the post-war decline in social trust in the United States?”
BackgroundSocial Capital and Social Class in Europe: The Role of Social Networks in Social Stratification
Pichler, F., & Wallace, C. (2008) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcn050 · Cited by 155 · see citing works
“Furthermore, ‘nordic exceptionalism’ with respect to social capital (Delhey and Newton, 2005) seems to not only apply to social trust, but can be extended to patterns of participation in voluntary associations as well (cf. Pichler and Wallace, 2007).”
BackgroundDoes education lead to higher generalized trust? The importance of quality of government
Charron, N., & Rothstein, B. (2016) · International Journal of Educational Development · doi:10.1016/j.ijedudev.2016.05.009 · Cited by 154 · see citing works
Is trust the missing root of institutions, education, and development?
Bjørnskov, C., & Méon, P. (2013) · Public Choice · doi:10.1007/s11127-013-0069-7 · Cited by 152 · see citing works
“We note that the contention has, however, been rejected by Delhey and Newton (2005) and Bjørnskov (2007).”
Blekesaune, A., Elvestad, E., & Aalberg, T. (2010) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcq051 · Cited by 152 · see citing works
Individualist–Collectivist Culture and Trust Radius
van Hoorn, A. (2014) · Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology · doi:10.1177/0022022114551053 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
“…exchange in society, over the last few decades, trust has become the focal subject of much research across the social sciences, for example, in sociology, political science, and (cross-cultural) psychology (Allik & Realo, 2004; Coleman, 1990; Delhey & Newton, 2005; Putnam, 1993; Welzel, 2010).”
BackgroundTesting for Measurement Equivalence in Surveys
Freitag, M., & Bauer, P. C. (2013) · Public Opinion Quarterly · doi:10.1093/poq/nfs064 · Cited by 154 · see citing works
Traunmuller, R. (2011) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcq011 · Cited by 144 · see citing works
“Since social trust largely rests upon perceived similarities and a sense of familiarity, religious diversity may lead to a decrease in regional trust levels (Delhey and Newton, 2005; Gundelach and Traunmiiller 2010).”
BackgroundInfluentialBerdegué, J. A., Carriazo, F., Jara, B., et al. (2015) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.12.013 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Does Society Matter? Life Satisfaction in the Enlarged Europe
Böhnke, P. (2007) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-007-9169-4 · Cited by 143 · see citing works
Fieldhouse, E., & Cutts, D. (2010) · Canadian Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1017/s0008423910000065 · Cited by 143 · see citing works
“Cross-national variation has also been attributed to social inequality and good governance ~Delhey and Newton, 2005!”
BackgroundGreen, A., & Janmaat, J. G. (2011) · doi:10.1057/9780230308633 · Cited by 142 · see citing works
Trust, welfare states and income equality: Sorting out the causality
Bergh, A., & Bjørnskov, C. (2014) · European Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2014.06.002 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
“It is often assumed that inequality leads to lower trust (Alesina and la Ferrara, 2002; Uslaner, 2002; Delhey and Newton, 2005; Bjørnskov, 2007, 2008), but the theoretical mechanisms involved are still subject to debate (as shown in overviews by Jordahl, 2008 and Nannestad, 2008), as are those…”
BackgroundPublic trust in health care: A comparison of Germany, The Netherlands, and England and Wales
van der Schee, E., Braun, B., Calnan, M., et al. (2006) · Health Policy · doi:10.1016/j.healthpol.2006.04.004 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
“The World Values Survey is an example of a large-scale data collection that has been used to analyse cultural differences in trust in other people in general [ 33 ].”
Cognitive Biases, Organization, and Entrepreneurial Firm Survival
Gudmundsson, S. V., & Lechner, C. (2010) · European Management Journal · doi:10.1016/j.emj.2013.01.001 · Cited by 138 · see citing works
Bjørnskov, C., & Méon, P.-G. (2015) · World Development · doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.01.015 · Cited by 138 · see citing works
“Although the contention has been rejected by a number of other studies, like Delhey and Newton (2005) and Bjørnskov (2007), we control of causality by systematically complementing OLS estimates by estimates obtained with instrumental variables regressions.”
ResultSocial capital and subjective well-being trends: Comparing 11 western European countries
Sarracino, F. (2009) · The Journal of Socio-Economics · doi:10.1016/j.socec.2009.10.010 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Social Trust: Fairness Matters More Than Homogeneity
You, J. (2012) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/j.1467-9221.2012.00893.x · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Nordic Register Data and Their Untapped Potential for Criminological Knowledge
Lyngstad, T. H., & Skarðhamar, T. (2011) · Crime and Justice · doi:10.1086/658881 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
The State and the Development of Social Trust
Herreros, F., & Criado, H. (2008) · International Political Science Review · doi:10.1177/0192512107083447 · Cited by 132 · see citing works
“It is generally assumed that increased diversity is associated with lower social capital and social trust (Alesina and La Ferrara, 2002; Costa and Kahn, 2003; Delhey and Newton, 2005; Knack and Keefer, 1997).”
BackgroundResultSocial and Institutional Trust in Times of Crisis: Greece, 2002–2011
Ervasti, H., Kouvo, A., & Venetoklis, T. (2018) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-018-1862-y · Cited by 135 · see citing works
“…the situation, in addition to state institutions, many other factors also seem to correlate strongly with the level of general social trust, such as equal income distribution, protestant tradition, the nation’s wealth and ethnic homogeneity (e.g. Brehm and Rahn 1997; Delhey and Newton 2003, 2005).”
BackgroundDoes Too Much Trust Hamper Economic Growth?
Roth, F. (2009) · Kyklos · doi:10.1111/j.1467-6435.2009.00424.x · Cited by 130 · see citing works
Cross-Country Evidence on the Relationship between Societal Trust and Risk-Taking by Banks
Kanagaretnam, K., Lobo, G. J., Wang, C., & Whalen, D. J. (2018) · Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · doi:10.1017/s0022109018000455 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Sønderskov, K. M. (2010) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcq017 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Improving generalizations from multi-country comparisons in international business research
Franke, G. R., & Richey, R. G., Jr. (2010) · Journal of International Business Studies · doi:10.1057/jibs.2010.21 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Political Distrust and Social Capital in Europe and the USA
Schyns, P., & Koop, C. E. (2009) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-009-9471-4 · Cited by 124 · see citing works
“studies on causes of social capital, see, e.g., Jackman and Miller (1998) on the endogenizing of social capital, and Delhey and Newton (2005) on predicting levels of social trust across nations.”
BackgroundTrust differences across national–societal cultures: much to do, or much ado about nothing?
Ferrin, D. L., & Gillespie, N. A. (2010) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511763106.003 · Cited by 122 · see citing works
Lu, J. W., Song, Y., & Shan, M. (2018) · Journal of International Business Studies · doi:10.1057/s41267-018-0148-6 · Cited by 120 · see citing works
“We used the standard measure of social trust (e.g., Bjørnskov & Méon, 2015; Delhey & Newton, 2005; Delhey, Newton, & Welzel, 2011): ‘‘Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted?’’”
MethodTrust, Incomplete Contracting, and Corporate Innovation
Xie, F., Zhang, B., & Zhang, W. (2021) · Management Science · doi:10.1287/mnsc.2021.4055 · Cited by 120 · see citing works
The educational roots of trust
Borgonovi, F., & Burns, T. (2015) · OECD education working papers · doi:10.1787/5js1kv85dfvd-en · Cited by 119 · see citing works
Gheorghiu, M. A., Vignoles, V. L., & Smith, P. B. (2009) · Social Psychology Quarterly · doi:10.1177/019027250907200408 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
“…behavior for reasons other 1 The same construct, however, has also been referred to in the literature as “faith in people” (Rosenberg 1956), “general trust” (Putnam 2000), “social trust” (Delhey and Newton 2003) or “interpersonal trust” (Rotter 1967). than goodwill of the partner” (1994:132).”
BackgroundElections and Social Conflict in Africa, 1990–2009
Salehyan, I., & Linebarger, C. (2014) · Studies in Comparative International Development · doi:10.1007/s12116-014-9163-1 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
“Poverty and fragile political institutions undermine the level of trust in society (Delhey and Newton 2005; Delhey 2003) and destroy the productive capacity of the economy (Collier 1999; Kang and Meernik 2005).”
Identifying Social Trust in Cross-Country Analysis: Do We Really Measure the Same?
Torpe, L., & Lolle, H. (2010) · Social Indicators Research · doi:10.1007/s11205-010-9713-5 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Nationalism and the Cohesive Society
Reeskens, T., & Wright, M. (2012) · Comparative Political Studies · doi:10.1177/0010414012453033 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Naturalisation: A Passport for the Better Integration of Immigrants?
OECD (2011) · OECD eBooks · doi:10.1787/9789264099104-en · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Danish Exceptionalism: Explaining the Unique Increase in Social Trust Over the Past 30 Years
Sønderskov, K. M., & Dinesen, P. T. (2014) · European Sociological Review · doi:10.1093/esr/jcu073 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Cultural Integration of Immigrants in Europe
Bisin, A., Manning, A., Manning, A., & Verdier, T. (2012) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199660094.001.0001 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Davison, D. (2011) · Creighton Digital Repository (CDR) · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Dysfunctional state institutions, trust, and governance in areas of limited statehood
Börzel, T. A., & Risse, T. (2015) · Regulation & Governance · doi:10.1111/rego.12100 · Cited by 112 · see citing works
- Authors
- Delhey, J., & Newton, K.
- Affiliations
- WZB Berlin Social Science Center (DE)
- University of Southampton (GB)
- ORCID
- Delhey, Jan
- Venue
- European Sociological Review
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2005-06-06
- Volume
- 21
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 311-327
- ISSN
- 0266-7215 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-2672
- OpenAlex
- W2062841522
- Semantic Scholar
- a6d11bebc50daf14e2d5b9849ca4dc9cdd5d05f9
- Cited by
- 1,267
- References
- 67
- Citations by year
- 2026: 41 · 2025: 58 · 2024: 60 · 2023: 66 · 2022: 90 · 2021: 102 · 2020: 99 · 2019: 63 · 2018: 74 · 2017: 69 · 2016: 67 · 2015: 72 · 2014: 80 · 2013: 71 · 2012: 55
- FWCI
- 68.02
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- European Sociological Review (publishedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social Capital and Networks
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Cultural Differences and Values
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Social Policy and Reform Studies
- Keywords
- generalized trust, cross-national variation, ethnic homogeneity, Protestantism, good government, wealth, income equality, urbanization, particularized trust, Nordic exceptionalism, determinants of trust
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