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Mass polarization: Manifestations and measurements

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Lelkes, Yphtach·2016·Public Opinion Quarterly

Abstract

The debate on mass polarization is itself polarized. Some argue that the United States is in the midst of a culture war; others argue that the claims are exaggerated. As polarization is a multifaceted concept, both sides can be correct. I review four distinct manifestations of polarization that have appeared in the public opinion literature—ideological consistency, ideological divergence, perceived polarization, and affective polarization—and discuss ways in which each has been measured. Then, using longitudinal data from the American National Election Studies (ANES), I update past analyses in order to more clearly show the ways in which Americans have or have not polarized: Americans at the mass level have not diverged, nor have they become more consistent ideologically, but partisans have; perceptions of polarization have increased, but this change is driven by partisans, who increasingly dislike one another.

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  • Ideological polarization may have increased as well, though this is still a topic of debate.

    “and ideological polarization may have increased as well (though this is still a topic of debate) (44).”

    From Out-group animosity drives engagement on social media (2021) · cites this paper as [44]

  • Conceptual proliferation and inconsistency in polarization research have resulted in significant confusion in public discourse and academia.

    “Given that distinct manifestations of polarization exhibit different patterns and induce distinct, often opposite causal mechanisms, this conceptual proliferation and inconsistency have resulted in significant confusion both in public discourse and academia (Fiorina & Abrams, 2008;Lelkes, 2016).”
  • The literature on mass political polarization in the USA has yielded mixed findings about whether ordinary citizens are deeply divided, whether polarization threatens democratic functioning, and the nature of the threat.

    “The body of literature on mass political polarization in the USA has yielded mixed findings: ordinary citizens are deeply divided9,31,35,41–49 or they are not10,29,36,50–54; polarization poses a huge threat to democratic functioning3,11,55, is not a problem at all13,56–58 or the nature of the threat is ambiguous7,59,60.”

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Lelkes, Y.
Venue
Public Opinion Quarterly
Published
2016
Volume
80
Issue
S1
Pages
392-410
ISSN
  • 0033-362X (ISSN-L)
  • 1537-5331
OpenAlex
W2308341436
Cited by
591
References
4
Citations by year
2026: 46 · 2025: 77 · 2024: 73 · 2023: 67 · 2022: 101 · 2021: 47 · 2020: 78 · 2019: 56 · 2018: 30 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 2 · 2015: 1
FWCI
170.43
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Public Opinion Quarterly (publishedVersion)
  • HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Media Influence and Politics
  • Social Sciences › Communication › Social Media and Politics
Keywords
mass polarization, culture wars, ideological consistency, ideological divergence, perceived polarization, affective polarization, partisanship, public opinion measurement, American National Election Studies

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