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MODELING THE ACUTE HEALTH EFFECTS OF ASTRONAUTS FROM EXPOSURE TO LARGE SOLAR PARTICLE EVENTS
Abstract
Radiation exposure from Solar Particle Events (SPE) presents a significant health concern for astronauts for exploration missions outside the protection of the Earth's magnetic field, which could impair their performance and result in the possibility of failure of the mission. Assessing the potential for early radiation effects under such adverse conditions is of prime importance. Here we apply a biologically based mathematical model that describes the dose- and time-dependent early human responses that constitute the prodromal syndromes to consider acute risks from SPEs. We examine the possible early effects on crews from exposure to some historically large solar events on lunar and/or Mars missions. The doses and dose rates of specific organs were calculated using the Baryon radiation transport (BRYNTRN) code and a computerized anatomical man model, while the hazard of the early radiation effects and performance reduction were calculated using the Radiation-Induced Performance Decrement (RIPD) code. Based on model assumptions we show that exposure to these historical events would cause moderate early health effects to crew members inside a typical spacecraft or during extra-vehicular activities, if effective shielding and medical countermeasure tactics were not provided. We also calculate possible even worse cases (double intensity, multiple occurrences in a short period of time, etc.) to estimate the severity, onset and duration of various types of early illness. Uncertainties in the calculation due to limited data on relative biological effectiveness and dose-rate modifying factors for protons and secondary radiation, and the identification of sensitive sites in critical organs are discussed.
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“Occasional periods of high energy particle flux from the sun, known as SPEs, can result in sufficiently high radiation doses to cause the symptoms of acute radiation sickness (ARS) in astronauts outside the protection of Earth's geomagnetic field, as well as threaten mission success [27].”
From Hindlimb suspension and spe-like radiation impairs clearance of bacterial infections (2014) · cites this paper as [27]
In the citing paper
“Using the historical August 1972 SPE, the estimated doses that an astronaut could receive would be 3215 cGy to the skin and 138.4 cGy-equivalent (cGy-eq) to the blood forming organs during EVA [27].”
From Hindlimb suspension and spe-like radiation impairs clearance of bacterial infections (2014) · cites this paper as [27]
In the citing paper
“During extravehicular activities without this protection, an astronaut could receive 32 Gy of radiation to the skin and 2 Gy to the bone marrow during a strong SPE [27], [29].”
From Hindlimb suspension and spe-like radiation impairs clearance of bacterial infections (2014) · cites this paper as [27]
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“The fluence and occurrence of SPEs is unpredictable, but dose-rates as high as 1400–2837 mGy/hour are possible.(1,8,23) As discussed above, even if shielding in spacecraft effectively reduces radiation dose to the crew from SPEs, spallation occurring as GCR particles collide with shielding materials may lead to biolog…”
BackgroundInfluentialLimitations in predicting the space radiation health risk for exploration astronauts
Chancellor, J. C., Blue, R. S., Cengel, K. A., Auñón-Chancellor, S. M., Rubins, K., Katzgraber, H. G., & Kennedy, A. R. (2018) · Civil War Book Review · Cited by 174
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“A SPE is an intense release of ionizing radiation, specifically low energy protons, which occurs in specific regions of the Sun.”
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“Not only is the timing of an event unpredictable, but the spectrum of proton energies differs from one event to the next, making the dose distribution delivered to the tissue very difficult to determine (2).”
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“Astronauts could receive up to 2 Gy of radiation to the bone marrow [31] and up to ,32 Gy to the skin [32] during a strong SPE.”
BackgroundThe Effects of Gamma and Proton Radiation Exposure on Hematopoietic Cell Counts in the Ferret Model
Sanzari, J. K., Wan, X. S., Krigsfeld, G. S., Wroe, A. J., Gridley, D. S., & Kennedy, A. R. (2013) · Gravitational and Space Research · doi:10.2478/gsr-2013-0007 · Cited by 54
“46 Gy dose (in a spacecraft) to the blood forming organs to astronauts (Hu et al., 2009).”
BackgroundBeating 1 Sievert: Optimal Radiation Shielding of Astronauts on a Mission to Mars
Dobynde, M. I., Shprits, Y., Drozdov, A. Y., Hoffman, J. A., & Li, J. (2021) · Space Weather · doi:10.1029/2021sw002749 · Cited by 54
“It has been shown (Hu et al., 2009) that no single event would lead to acute radiation death if the aluminum spacecraft shielding exceeds 5 2 g cm .”
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“90 cGy/h (Hu et al., 2009), more than a decade larger than observed in the September 2017 event.”
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“Conclusion Thus far, astronauts have not been exposed to the high doses of radiation that can be received by exposure to SPE radiation [47], but exposure to SPE radiation will be considerably more likely for astronauts during the exploration class missions (with the necessary extended times in space travel) planned by…”
BackgroundNovel Indications for Commonly Used Medications as Radiation Protectants in Spaceflight
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“Although the risk of early effects may be small due to the reduction of dose-rates behind shielding (Hu et al. 2009), there remains a significant cancer risk for some events (Cucinotta 1999; Cucinotta and Durante 2006; Durante and Cucinotta 2008).”
InfluentialHindlimb suspension and spe-like radiation impairs clearance of bacterial infections
Li, M., Holmes, V., Zhou, Y., Ni, H., Sanzari, J. K., Kennedy, A. R., & Weissman, D. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0085665 · Cited by 43
“4 cGy-equivalent (cGy-eq) to the blood forming organs during EVA [27].”
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“Calculations based on actual solar particle observation indicate that some large historical SPEs may have induced moderate acute radiation sickness (ARS) in astronauts beyond low earth orbit (Hu et al. 2009).”
InfluentialSelf-citationAminalragia‐Giamini, S., Raptis, S., Anastasiadis, A., Tsigkanos, A., Sandberg, I., Papaioannou, A., Papadimitriou, C., Jiggens, P. T. A., Aran, A., & Daglis, I. A. (2021) · Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate · doi:10.1051/swsc/2021043 · Cited by 38
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“Normally, large SPEs occur only once or twice in a solar cycle; however, during the 22nd solar cycle, four comparable extremely large SPEs occurred in a 4 month period.”
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“If astronauts had been exposed to radiation from this SPE during extravehicular activity, the estimated total dose to the blood forming organs from this particular SPE would have been up to 1.38 Gy-Eq (Hu et al. , 2009).”
InfluentialEffect of Gender on the Radiation Sensitivity of Murine Blood Cells
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“Thus, the reality of the space radiation environment suggests the need to focus studies at lower total doses and dose rates, in efforts to provide more meaningful information relevant to risk estimates [4,5].”
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“However, the proton absorbed dose distribution for an SPE in astronauts gives a high superficial absorbed dose and significantly lower internal organ absorbed dose (Hu et al. 2009).”
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“The manifestation of these syndromes reflects the response of physiological processes at various levels coping with the effects of radiation impairment (Hu et al. 2009).”
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“Of particular concern is exposure to ionizing radiation from a solar particle event (SPE), in which magnetic disturbances in specific regions of the sun result in the release of intense bursts of ionizing radiation, consisting primarily of protons, which could cause severe adverse health effects (3).”
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“As a result, NASA's radiation protection approaches against SEP exposure will require effective in-flight shielding strategies combined with real-time, operational radiation environment monitoring and risk analysis tools (Cucinotta et al., 2010; Hu et al., 2009).”
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“Th e estimated dose from the 1972 SPE to BFO inside a spacecraft is (approximately) 46 cGy, nearly twice the lowest dose used in these experiments; during an EVA, the dose to BFO is expected to be approximately 138 cGy (Hu et al. 2009).”
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“This unique energy profile is predicted to produce a highly inhomogeneous dose distribution (with skin receiving a greater dose than internal organs) for which the dose– toxicity relationship is incompletely understood (1, 2).”
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“In interplanetary space, an unprepared astronaut could suffer severe injury from radiation exposure during a major solar particle event [Hu et al., 2009].”
BackgroundVery high energy proton peak flux model
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“Several well-known non-terrestrial sources of radiation originate in the space environment, including solar particle event (SPE) radiation (7) and galactic cosmic radiation (8), which are of particular concern for astronaut health.”
BackgroundMechanism of hypocoagulability in proton-irradiated ferrets
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“As described in the Introduction, a dose of 1.38 Gy has been estimated by Hu et al. (2009) as the dose that astronauts could have received to the BFO from EVA during that SPE.”
InfluentialKubo, Y., Kataoka, R., & Sato, T. (2015) · Earth Planets and Space · doi:10.1186/s40623-015-0260-9 · Cited by 19
“Such sudden increases in SEP intensity present a major radiation hazard to astronauts, adversely affecting the success of space missions [Hu et al., 2009].”
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“An astronaut exposed to an SPE could receive over 25 Gy of radiation to the skin (23).”
BackgroundIssues and challenges of space radiation risk assessment in manned deep space exploration missions
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Ionizing Radiation Selectively Reduces Skin Regulatory T Cells and Alters Immune Function
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“It is calculated that an astronaut could receive up to 32 Gy of radiation to the skin and 2 Gy to the bone marrow during a strong SPE, if exposure occurs during extravehicular activity (EVA) [4,5].”
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“Due to the inhomogeneous dose distribution of SPE radiation, with most of the protons in SPE radiation having energies ≤ 50 MeV, SPE radiation is expected to give a high superficial absorbed dose to the skin and significantly lower absorbed doses to internal organs [5], whereas X-rays and γ-rays are expected to result…”
BackgroundLi, M., Holmes, V. M., Ni, H., Sanzari, J. K., Romero-Weaver, A. L., Lin, L., Cárabe, A., Diffenderfer, E. S., Kennedy, A. R., & Weissman, D. (2015) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0120126 · Cited by 15
“An astronaut can receive up to 2 Gy of proton radiation to the bone marrow during a strong SPE while on an extravehicular excursion [38,39], which is a dose that has been shown to suppress the bone marrow and alter immune function [40–42].”
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“Additionally, resources in orbit face increased risk due to these energetic particle fluxes (Baker, 2000; Hu et al., 2009).”
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“Extravehicular activities (EVAs) for assembly and maintenance activities at the International Space Station (ISS) [1], or EVAs during interplanetary missions expose astronauts to challenges that may pose potential health risks [2-5].”
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Pharmacogenomics in Spaceflight
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Regolith-based lunar habitat for astronaut radiation protection and organ dose assessment
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Analyses of the Secondary Particle Radiation and the DNA Damage It Causes to Human Keratinocytes
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“Based on SPE events taking place in 1972 and 1989, skin doses to astronauts conducting EVAs were predicted to range from 7-32 Gy [2].”
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Linking Doses with Clinical Scores of Hematopoietic Acute Radiation Syndrome
Hu, S. (2016) · Health Physics · doi:10.1097/hp.0000000000000529 · Cited by 11
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Hellweg, C. E., Arena, C., Baatout, S., Baselet, B., Beblo‐Vranesevic, K., Caplin, N., Coos, R., Pieve, F. D., Micco, V. D., Foray, N., et al. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-18810-7_10 · Cited by 11
Kim, M. Y., Hu, S., Nounu, H. N., & Cucinotta, F. A. (2010) · NASA STI Repository (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) · Cited by 10
Self-citationHu, S., & Cucinotta, F. A. (2010) · Radiation Protection Dosimetry · doi:10.1093/rpd/ncq520 · Cited by 10
Self-citationWhat can space radiation protection learn from radiation oncology?
Tinganelli, W., Luoni, F., & Durante, M. (2021) · Life Sciences in Space Research · doi:10.1016/j.lssr.2021.06.002 · Cited by 10
Environmental Radiation Effects on Mammals
Smirnova, O. A. (2016) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-45761-1 · Cited by 9
An easy-to-use function to assess deep space radiation in human brains
Khaksarighiri, S., Guo, J., Wimmer-Schweingruber, R., & Narici, L. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-90695-5 · Cited by 8
Ramsar, Iran, as a Natural Radiobiological Surrogate for Mars
Welsh, J. S., Bevelacqua, J. J., & Mortazavi, S. M. J. (2022) · Health Physics · doi:10.1097/hp.0000000000001521 · Cited by 10
Pagliarello, R., Bennici, E., Sarcina, I. D., Villani, M. E., Desiderio, A., Nardi, L., Benvenuto, E., Cemmi, A., & Massa, S. (2023) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2023.1266199 · Cited by 8
Space radiation electrostatic shielding scaling laws: Beam-like and isotropic angular distributions
Chowdhury, R. P., Stegeman, L., Padilla, R. F. S., Lund, M., Madzunkov, S. M., Fry, D. J., & Bahadori, A. A. (2021) · Journal of Applied Physics · doi:10.1063/5.0046599 · Cited by 7
Increased intracranial pressure in mini-pigs exposed to simulated solar particle event radiation
Sanzari, J. K., Muehlmatt, A., Savage, A. R., Lin, L., & Kennedy, A. R. (2013) · Acta Astronautica · doi:10.1016/j.actaastro.2013.10.006 · Cited by 7
“The dose distribution of SPE radiation is inhomogenous, with a larger superficial absorbed dose and a lower absorbed dose to internal organs [6].”
BackgroundSanzari, J. K., Wan, X. S., Muehlmatt, A., Lin, L., & Kennedy, A. R. (2014) · Life Sciences in Space Research · doi:10.1016/j.lssr.2014.12.002 · Cited by 7
How “Rad” Is a Trip to Space? A Brief Discussion of Radiation Exposure in Suborbital Space Tourism
Lerner, D. J., & Gorog, J. M. (2021) · Journal of the American College of Radiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacr.2020.06.020 · Cited by 7
Dissmore, T., DeMarco, A. G., Jayatilake, M. M., Girgis, M. J., Bansal, S., Li, Y., Mehta, K. Y., Sridharan, V., Gill, K., Bansal, S., et al. (2021) · Journal of Environmental Science and Health Part C · doi:10.1080/26896583.2020.1865027 · Cited by 7
“3 mGy/day.(5,6) Despite intensive research, knowledge of the risks associated with extended exposure to space radiation is still limited and presents a great scope for further studies.”
BackgroundSegmental interpolating spectra for solar particle events and in situ validation
Hu, S., Zeitlin, C. J., Atwell, W., Fry, D. J., Barzilla, J., & Semones, E. (2016) · Space Weather · doi:10.1002/2016sw001476 · Cited by 6
Self-citationSmirnova, O. A., & Cucinotta, F. A. (2017) · Life Sciences in Space Research · doi:10.1016/j.lssr.2017.12.002 · Cited by 6
Time variations in Galactic cosmic rays as measured from Southeast Asia
Ruffolo, D. (2020) · Journal of Physics Conference Series · doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1572/1/012087 · Cited by 5
Cancer and circulatory disease risks for the largest solar particle events in the space age
Cucinotta, F. A., & Pak, S. (2023) · Life Sciences in Space Research · doi:10.1016/j.lssr.2023.10.003 · Cited by 5
Space Pharmacology: How Space Affects Pharmacology
Wotring, V. E. (2018) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-56637-5_68-1 · Cited by 5
A novel, population-based approach to astronaut radiation risk assessment
Chowdhury, R. P., Stoffle, N., Rios, R. R., Stegeman, L., & Bahadori, A. A. (2020) · Radiation Physics and Chemistry · doi:10.1016/j.radphyschem.2020.108736 · Cited by 6
ARRT Development for the Upcoming Human Exploration Missions
Hu, S., Monadjemi, S., Barzilla, J., & Semones, E. (2020) · Space Weather · doi:10.1029/2020sw002586 · Cited by 5
Self-citationProton-induced DNA damage promotes integration of foreign plasmid DNA into human genome
Katerji, M., Bertucci, A., Filippov, V. A., Vazquez, M. E., Chen, X., & Duerksen-Hughes, P. J. (2022) · Frontiers in Oncology · doi:10.3389/fonc.2022.928545 · Cited by 4
Pharmacogenomics in Spaceflight
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Combined effects of heavy ion exposure and simulated Lunar gravity on skeletal muscle
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Real-time dose prediction for Artemis missions
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“The estimated organ doses at the crew locations are utilized as inputs to a set of biological response models, which predict clinically critical syndromes associated with ARS and quantify Radiation‐Induced Performance Decrement (RIPD; Hu et al., 2009, 2012; Hu & Cucinotta, 2011).”
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Acute Risks of Space Radiation
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The Impact of Space Radiation on Brains of Future Martian and Lunar Explorers
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The sequence preference of gamma radiation mutagenesis using a novel in vitro model
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The Use of Pro/Engineer CAD Software and Fishbowl Tool Kit in Ray-tracing Analysis
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Radiation Dose Assessment by Using Lymphocyte Counts
Hu, S., Blakely, W. F., & Cucinotta, F. A. (2015) · NATO science for peace and security series. B, Physics and biophysics · doi:10.1007/978-94-017-9891-4_24 · Cited by 2
Self-citationSpace Medicine: Inspiring a new generation of physicians
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Acute Risks of Space Radiation
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Metadata
- Authors
- Hu, S., Kim, M.-H. Y., McClellan, G. E., & Cucinotta, F. A.
- Affiliations
- Universities Space Research Association (US)
- Applied Research Associates (United States) (US)
- Johnson Space Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Hu, Shaowen
- Kim, Myung-Hee Y.
- Venue
- Health Physics
- Published
- 2009-04
- Volume
- 96
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 465-476
- ISSN
- 0017-9078 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2064540451
- Cited by
- 125
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 8 · 2012: 8
- FWCI
- 7.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Health Physics (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- NASA STI Repository (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) (submittedVersion)
- NASA Technical Reports Server (NASA)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Radiation › Radiation Therapy and Dosimetry
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Effects of Radiation Exposure
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology (medical) › Spaceflight effects on biology
- Keywords
- solar energetic particle events, astronaut radiation exposure, acute radiation effects, spacecraft shielding, lunar and Mars missions, extravehicular activity, relative biological effectiveness, secondary radiation, protons
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Male, Radiation Dosage, Relative Biological Effectiveness, Occupational Exposure, Astronauts, Solar Activity
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