Climate change, climate-related disasters and mental disorder in low- and middle-income countries: a scoping review
Open accessAbstract
Introduction: Climate change and climate-related disasters adversely affect mental health. Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and climate-related disasters and often lack adequate mental healthcare infrastructure. We used the scoping review methodology to determine how exposure to climate change and climate-related disasters influences the presence of mental disorders among those living in LMICs. We also aimed to recognise existing gaps in this area of literature. Methods: This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews checklist. To identify relevant studies, we searched five electronic databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, APA PsycInfo and Sociological Abstracts) from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2019. We also searched the grey literature. Included studies had an adult-focused LMIC population, a climate change or climate-related disaster exposure and a mental disorder outcome. Relevant study information was extracted and synthesised. Results: Fifty-eight studies were identified, most of which (n=48) employed a cross-sectional design. The most commonly studied exposure–outcome combinations were flood-related post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) (n=28), flood-related depression (n=15) and storm-related PTSD (n=13). The majority of studies identified a positive exposure–outcome association. However, few studies included a baseline or comparator (ie, unexposed) group, thereby limiting our understanding of the magnitude or nature of this association. There was also great heterogeneity in this literature, making studies difficult to pool or compare. Several research gaps were identified including the lack of longitudinal studies and non-uniformity of geographic coverage. Conclusion: To our knowledge, this was the first scoping review to investigate the relationship between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes in LMICs. Our findings support the need for further research, but also highlight that mental health should be a priority within LMIC climate change policy considerations.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This scoping review synthesised 58 studies on climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), finding mostly positive exposure–outcome associations. It highlights major gaps, especially few unexposed comparator groups, limited longitudinal research, and uneven geographic coverage.
Key findings
- Fifty-eight studies were included, spanning 11 countries; most were cross-sectional (n=45 cross-sectional; n=3 repeated cross-sectional), with fewer prospective cohort (n=5), ecological (n=4) and case-crossover (n=1) designs.
- The most commonly studied exposure–outcome combinations were flood-related PTSD (n=28), flood-related depression (n=15), storm-related PTSD (n=13), flood-related anxiety (n=11) and storm-related anxiety (n=10).
- The majority of studies identified a positive exposure–outcome association, but few included a baseline or comparator unexposed group, limiting understanding of the magnitude or nature of the association.
- Research gaps included lack of longitudinal studies and non-uniform geographic coverage; no studies were conducted in South America or Africa, and most studies were concentrated in southern and eastern Asia.
Methods
- Scoping review following PRISMA-ScR, Arksey and O’Malley framework, and Joanna Briggs Institute Reviewer’s Manual; conducted May 2020–March 2021.
- Searched five electronic databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, APA PsycInfo, Sociological Abstracts) from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2019, plus grey literature, manual journal searches, and backward/forward snowballing.
- Included primary studies with adult-focused LMIC populations, a climate change or climate-related disaster exposure, and a mental disorder outcome evaluated based on DSM or ICD symptoms; data were extracted and synthesised qualitatively with tables, frequency counts and diagrams.
Limitations
- The review was limited to English-language studies, excluding 23 non-English studies at full-text stage, and excluded sources published before 2007.
- A single reviewer performed the initial relevancy screen of all records, though two independent reviewers screened remaining records at title/abstract and full-text stages.
- The authors report substantial variation in study quality, with some studies providing little information on sampling, measurement tools and/or statistical analysis; they also note that few included studies had baseline/comparator groups, limiting conclusions about the association.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 64 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
Of those studies with an unexposed group, the majority identified a significant positive association between climate change or climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes.
“Of those studies with an unexposed group, the majority identified a significant positive association between climate change or climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The majority of included studies identified a positive exposure-outcome association.
“The majority of studies identified a positive exposure–outcome association.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“Overall, we observed a positive exposure–outcome relationship.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingcitation
Greater composite exposure was identified as a risk factor for mental disorders in studies without a baseline/comparator group.
“Greater composite exposure (ie, a sum of relevant individual exposures, for example, death/injury of loved ones, material loss, fear of death and loss of property).38 46”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [38] Dar, 2018, PTSD and depression in adult survivors of flood fury in Kashmir: the payoffs of social support, Psychiatry Res source
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- cites [46] Chung, 2014, Posttraumatic stress disorder and psychiatric comorbidity following the 2010 flood in Pakistan: exposure characteristics, cognitive distortions, and emotional suppression, Psychiatry source
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- Findingnone given
There was great heterogeneity in this literature.
“There was also great heterogeneity in this literature”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
To the authors' knowledge, this was the first scoping or systematic review to assess how exposure to climate change and climate-related disasters influences mental disorders among those living in low- and middle-income countries.
“To our knowledge, this was the first scoping review to investigate the relationship between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes in LMICs.”
- Also stated in: § Conclusion · hedged
“To our knowledge, this was the first scoping or systematic review to assess how exposure to climate change and climate-related disasters influences the presence of mental disorders among those living in low- and middle-income countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Conclusion · hedged
- Findingown data
Of those studies assessing climate change or climate-related disaster exposure severity as a risk factor for mental disorders, the majority also identified a significant positive association.
“Of those studies assessing climate change or climate-related disaster exposure severity as a risk factor for mental disorders, the majority also identified a significant positive association.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Few included studies included a baseline or comparator (unexposed) group.
“However, few studies included a baseline or comparator (ie, unexposed) group”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Death/injury (fears or actual) was identified as a risk factor for mental disorders in studies without a baseline/comparator group.
“Death/injury (fears or actual): death/injury of loved ones,35 53 injury.53”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [35] Bandla, 2019, Psychiatric morbidity in December 2015 flood-affected population in Tamil Nadu, India, Int J Soc Psychiatry source
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- cites [53] Jahan S . Assessment of flood related mental illness in Bangladesh, 2015. Available: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/86511/8/Shafkat_Jahan_Thesis.pdf
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- Findingown data
Most included studies employed a cross-sectional or repeated cross-sectional design (n=48).
“Fifty-eight studies were identified, most of which (n=48) employed a cross-sectional design.”
- Also stated in: § Overview · plain
“Most studies employed a cross-sectional design (n=45 cross-sectional; n=3 repeated cross-sectional).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Overview · plain
- Findingown data
China and India were the countries of study location most frequently (n=14 each), followed by Pakistan (n=7) and Vietnam (n=6).
“China and India were the countries of study location most frequently (n=14 each), followed by Pakistan (n=7) and Vietnam (n=6).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
These associations were relatively consistent across exposure types, mental disorders and UN subregions.
“These associations were relatively consistent across exposure types, mental disorders and UN subregions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fifty-eight studies were included in the review.
“Fifty-eight studies were identified”
- Also stated in: § Overview · plain
“contributing to a total of 58 included studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Overview · plain
- Findingown data
The included studies took place in 11 countries.
“the included studies took place in 11 countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Postdisaster survival factors were identified as risk factors for mental disorders in studies without a baseline/comparator group.
“Postdisaster survival: lack of access to basic needs,35 self-perception of being seriously affected.35”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Bandla, 2019, Psychiatric morbidity in December 2015 flood-affected population in Tamil Nadu, India, Int J Soc Psychiatry source
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- Findingown data
Comparatively few studies explored acute stress disorder, substance use and suicide outcomes.
“Comparatively few studies explored acute stress disorder (ASD), substance use and suicide outcomes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
In studies with a baseline/comparator (unexposed) group, mental disorders were significantly greater among those exposed versus unexposed to the climate change or climate-related disaster event.
“In studies with a baseline/comparator (ie, unexposed) group, mental disorders were significantly greater among those exposed vs unexposed to the climate change or climate-related disaster event.32–34”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [32] source
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- cites [33] Kar, 2010, Suicidality following a natural disaster, Am J Disaster Med source
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- cites [34] Wind, 2013, The impact of recurrent disasters on mental health: a study on seasonal floods in northern India, Prehosp Disaster Med source
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- Findingcitation
Loss/destruction of possessions was identified as a risk factor for mental disorders in studies without a baseline/comparator group.
“Loss/destruction of possessions: evacuation/loss of property,35 53 material loss.35 36”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [35] Bandla, 2019, Psychiatric morbidity in December 2015 flood-affected population in Tamil Nadu, India, Int J Soc Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [53] Jahan S . Assessment of flood related mental illness in Bangladesh, 2015. Available: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/86511/8/Shafkat_Jahan_Thesis.pdf
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [36] Viswanathan, 2019, Depression, suicidal ideation, and resilience among rural farmers in a Drought-Affected area of Trichy district, Tamil Nadu, J Neurosci Rural Pract source
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- Findingcitation
Physical attributes of the disaster event were identified as risk factors for mental disorders in studies without a baseline/comparator group.
“Physical attributes of disaster event: high water levels,35 53 closer proximity to event.33 37”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [35] Bandla, 2019, Psychiatric morbidity in December 2015 flood-affected population in Tamil Nadu, India, Int J Soc Psychiatry source
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- cites [53] Jahan S . Assessment of flood related mental illness in Bangladesh, 2015. Available: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/86511/8/Shafkat_Jahan_Thesis.pdf
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- cites 33 37
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- Findingnone given
No studies were conducted in South America or Africa.
“No studies were conducted in South America or Africa”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Just five studies focused on the indirect pathways through which broader climate change exposures affect mental health.
“just five studies focused on the indirect pathways through which broader climate change exposures affect mental health”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Channaveerachari et al reported a PTSD prevalence of 0.7% among flood-affected individuals in India, assessed by a psychiatrist using ICD-10 criteria.
“Channaveerachari et al42 reported a PTSD prevalence of 0.7% among flood-affected individuals in India, assessed by a psychiatrist using ICD-10 criteria”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Channaveerachari et al42
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- Findingown data
Many included studies did not use a climate change or climate-related disaster unexposed group.
“many of the included studies did not use a climate change or climate-related disaster unexposed group”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
This review suggests that little research on climate change or climate-related disasters and suicide was conducted in LMICs.
“our review suggests that little of this research was conducted in LMICs”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Just 2/14 studies in East Asia compared mental disorder outcomes between exposed and unexposed individuals.
“just 2/14 studies in East Asia compared mental disorder outcomes between exposed and unexposed individuals”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Most included studies explored PTSD, anxiety and depression outcomes.
“while most explored PTSD, anxiety and depression outcomes”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Of the included studies, 83% used a cross-sectional design.
“Of the included studies, 83% used a cross-sectional design”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
We observed substantial between-study heterogeneity in terms of outcome measurement.
“We observed substantial between-study heterogeneity in terms of outcome measurement”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Some included studies provided little-to-no information on their sampling techniques, measurement tools and/or statistical analysis.
“some studies provided little-to-no information on their sampling techniques, measurement tools and/or statistical analysis”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
To our knowledge, no other scoping or systematic review has addressed our specific research question.
“to our knowledge no other scoping or systematic review has addressed our specific research question”
- Also stated in: § Conclusion · hedged
“To our knowledge, this was the first scoping review to assess the relationship between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes within LMICs”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Conclusion · hedged
- Findingown data
The majority of research identified in this review focused on the direct pathways through which climate-related disaster exposures affect mental health.
“The majority of research identified in this review focused on the direct pathways through which climate-related disaster exposures affect mental health”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Chung et al reported a PTSD prevalence of 100% after a flood exposure in Pakistan, assessed using the PTSD Diagnostic Scale screening tool.
“Chung et al46 reported a PTSD prevalence of 100% after a flood exposure in Pakistan, assessed using the PTSD Diagnostic Scale screening tool”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Chung et al46
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- Findingown data
Relatively few included studies explored suicide, substance-related, bipolar and schizophrenia outcomes.
“Relatively few studies explored suicide, substance-related, bipolar and schizophrenia outcomes”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
This review identified an overall positive association between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes.
“Despite the overall positive exposure–outcome association identified by this review”
- Also stated in: § Conclusion · plain
“Overall, we observed a positive association between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Conclusion · plain
- Findingnone given
Much of the existing research was concentrated in particular geographic areas, namely southern and eastern Asia.
“Much of the existing research was concentrated in particular geographic areas, namely southern and eastern Asia”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
We observed substantial methodological heterogeneity.
“we also observed substantial methodological heterogeneity”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Climate change and climate-related disasters adversely affect mental health.
“Climate change and climate-related disasters adversely affect mental health.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · boosted
“Mounting evidence supports a link between climate change and poor mental health, largely through two main pathways: direct and indirect.3”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] source
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- Also stated in: § Introduction · boosted
- Interpretationreasoning
The lack of baseline or comparator groups limited understanding of the magnitude or nature of the exposure-outcome association.
“thereby limiting our understanding of the magnitude or nature of this association.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Few studies have attempted to synthesise existing research on climate change, climate-related disasters and mental health in low- and middle-income countries.
“As of present, few studies have attempted to synthesise existing research on climate change, climate-related disasters and mental health in LMICs. Rataj et al19 and Crabtree20 conducted systematic searches”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] source
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- cites [20] Crabtree, 2012, Climate change and mental health following flood disasters in developing countries, a review of the epidemiological literature: what do we know, what is being recommended?, Australas J Disaster Trauma Stud
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- Premisecitation
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has recognised that the mental health consequences of climate change and climate-related disasters often burden already vulnerable populations.
“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recognised that the mental health consequences of climate change and climate-related disasters often burden already vulnerable populations.14”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Smith KRA , Woodward A , Campbell-Lendrum D . 2014: Human health: Impacts, adaptation, and co-benefits. In: Field CB , Barros VR , Dokken DJ , eds. Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability Part A: global and sectoral aspects, contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, UK and New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2014: 709–54.
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- Interpretationreasoning
The heterogeneity made studies difficult to pool or compare.
“making studies difficult to pool or compare.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Direct impacts of climate change involve psychological trauma due to climate-related disasters such as floods, storms, wildfires and heatwaves.
“Direct impacts involve psychological trauma due to climate-related disasters such as floods,4 5 storms,6 7 wildfires8 9 and heatwaves.10 11”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Premisecitation
Other reviews in this area have identified a similar gap in the use of unexposed groups.
“Other reviews in this area have identified a similar gap.19 94”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
This review provided a unique understanding of the impacts of climate change and climate-related disasters on mental disorder in LMICs.
“Therefore, our review provided a unique understanding of the impacts of climate change and climate-related disasters on mental disorder in LMICs”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
Backward and forward snowballing of all included studies minimised the number of studies missed because they were not indexed in the chosen electronic databases.
“In doing so, we minimised the number of studies missed because they were not indexed in the chosen electronic databases”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Factors such as displacement and lack of documentation may limit the ability of researchers to collect repeated measures in LMIC post-disaster settings.
“Factors such as displacement and lack of documentation may limit the ability of researchers to collect repeated measures in these settings.102”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] Mukherji, 2014, Expecting the unexpected: field research in post-disaster settings, Nat Hazards source
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- Premisecitation
A 2015 review of African climate adaptation initiatives found that just 4% came from the public health sector.
“A 2015 review of African climate adaptation initiatives found that just 4% came from the public health sector.101”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [101] Ford, 2015, The status of climate change adaptation in Africa and Asia, Reg Environ Change source
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- Premisecitation
This trend aligns with the broader epidemiological literature where much of the focus lies on proximal, rather than distal, causes of disease.
“As stated by Berry et al,96 this trend aligns with the broader epidemiological literature where much of the focus lies on proximal, rather than distal, causes of disease”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Berry et al,96
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- Interpretationreasoning
The wide range in prevalence estimates may be attributable to differences in population of interest, sampling technique, follow-up length, outcome measurement and disaster severity, among other factors.
“This wide range in estimates may be attributable to differences in population of interest, sampling technique, follow-up length, outcome measurement and disaster severity, among other factors”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning
In some cases, the cross-sectional design can be prone to bias.
“In some cases, the cross-sectional design can be prone to bias”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
We observed substantial variation in study quality.
“we observed substantial variation in study quality”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Differences also exist between the DSM and ICD diagnostic tools.
“In terms of diagnostic tools, differences also exist between the DSM and ICD”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The proportion of studies missed by the single-author relevancy screen was lower than if the single reviewer had been using the formal eligibility criteria.
“Therefore, we believe that the proportion of studies missed was lower than if the single reviewer had been using our formal eligibility criteria”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Among developing countries, Rataj et al identified post-disaster prevalence estimates ranging from 2.6% to 90% for PTSD, 5.9% to 81% for depression and 2.2% to 84% for anxiety.
“among developing countries Rataj et al19 identified post disaster prevalence estimates ranging from 2.6% to 90% for PTSD, 5.9% to 81% for depression and 2.2% to 84% for anxiety”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Rataj et al19
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- Interpretationreasoning
Our conclusions were not entirely based on high-quality evidence.
“This suggests that our conclusions were not entirely based on high-quality evidence”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
We may have excluded relevant studies that were published before 2007.
“we may have excluded relevant studies that were published before 2007”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
This single-author relevancy screen substantially reduced the number of studies left for formal screening by two independent reviewers at the title/abstract stage (2435 records).
“substantially reducing the number of studies left for formal screening by two independent reviewers at the title/abstract stage (2435 records)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Poverty likely contributes to a lack of adequate research infrastructure and data reporting among many African countries.
“As identified by Rataj et al,19 poverty likely contributes to a lack of adequate research infrastructure and data reporting among many African countries”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Rataj et al,19
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- Premisecitation
Peters et al reported 12-month prevalence rates of 3% and 7% for PTSD using DSM-IV and ICD-10 DCR criteria, respectively (κ=0.50 for level of agreement).
“In a comparison of the DSM-IV and ICD-10 DCR criteria for PTSD, Peters et al104 reported 12-month prevalence rates of 3% and 7%, respectively (κ=0.50 for level of agreement)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Peters et al104
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- Interpretationreasoning
With little data on unexposed individuals, it is challenging to determine the extent of the association between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes in LMIC settings.
“Ultimately, with little data on unexposed individuals it is challenging to determine the extent of the association between climate change and climate-related disaster exposures and mental disorder outcomes in LMIC settings”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Non-English studies making useful contributions to the research question were excluded.
“non-English studies making useful contributions to the research question were therefore excluded”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The literature has established links between various elements of climate change or climate-related disasters and suicide.
“While the literature has established links between various elements of climate change or climate-related disasters and suicide,98”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [98] Dumont, 2020, Climate change and risk of completed suicide, J Nerv Ment Dis source
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- Study design and conductreasoning
In cross-sectional studies, we often cannot determine whether a climate-related disaster exposure preceded a mental disorder outcome, creating a lack of temporality.
“we often cannot determine whether a climate-related disaster exposure preceded a mental disorder outcome, creating a lack of temporality”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
These differences in outcome measurement likely contributed to the observed variation in disorder prevalence estimates.
“These differences likely contributed to the observed variation in disorder prevalence estimates”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The limitations associated with our search strategy may have prevented us from capturing an entirely comprehensive overview of the literature.
“The limitations associated with our search strategy may have prevented us from capturing an entirely comprehensive overview of the literature”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
One explanation for the lack of suicide research in LMICs may be the stigma surrounding suicide in these countries.
“One explanation may be the stigma surrounding suicide in these countries.97 99”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [97] World Health Organization (CH) . Preventing suicide: a global imperative. Geneva, CH: World Health Organization, 2014. https://www.who.int/publications-detail-redirect/preventing-suicide-a-global-imperative
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- cites [99] source
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- May combine two claims. 17
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 30
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningSeveral research gaps were identified, including the lack of longitudinal studies and non-uniformity of geographic coverage.
“Several research gaps were identified including the lack of longitudinal studies and non-uniformity of geographic coverage.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe five most popular exposure-outcome combinations were PTSD in a flood setting (n=28), depression in a flood setting (n=15), PTSD in a storm setting (n=13), anxiety in a flood setting (n=11) and anxiety in a storm setting (n=10).
“The five most popular combinations were post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in a flood setting (n=28), depression in a flood setting (n=15), PTSD in a storm setting (n=13), anxiety in a flood setting (n=11) and anxiety in a storm setting (n=10).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataPTSD outcomes were reported most often, followed by depression and anxiety.
“PTSD outcomes were reported the most often, followed by depression and anxiety.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe included countries spanned 4 of the 19 United Nations subregions.
“The included countries spanned 4 of the 19 United Nations (UN) subregions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataOf studies reporting, length of follow-up ranged from 3 weeks to 17 years, and most (n=30) followed up within a year.
“Of those studies reporting, length of follow-up ranged from 3 weeks to 17 years. Most (n=30) studies followed up within a year.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataNo studies were identified through the grey literature search.
“No studies were identified through the grey literature search.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataA total of 10,200 records were identified through the electronic database searches.
“A total of 10 200 records were identified through the electronic database searches.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMost (91%) studies investigated the effects of climate-related disasters on mental disorder (direct effects), while fewer (9%) investigated the broader effects of climate change on mental disorder (indirect effects).
“Most (91%) studies investigated the effects of climate-related disasters on mental disorder (direct effects), while fewer (9%) investigated the broader effects of climate change on mental disorder (indirect effects).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFlood exposures were the most studied, followed by storms and extreme temperatures.
“Flood exposures were by far the most studied. The next most popular exposure was storms (including typhoons, hurricanes and snowstorms), followed by extreme temperatures.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe most commonly studied exposure-outcome combinations were flood-related PTSD (n=28), flood-related depression (n=15) and storm-related PTSD (n=13).
“The most commonly studied exposure–outcome combinations were flood-related post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) (n=28), flood-related depression (n=15) and storm-related PTSD (n=13).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationIncluded studies varied in outcome measurement, with some using formal diagnostic tools based on DSM or ICD and others using validated screening instruments to establish an informal diagnosis.
“Some studies used formal diagnostic tools based on the DSM or ICD,41 76 92 while others used validated screening instruments to establish an informal diagnosis.35 36 52”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [41] Bhat, 2018, Socio-Demographic profile and psychiatric morbidity of flood victims in a mental health cAMP, J Psychiatry source
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- cites [35] Bandla, 2019, Psychiatric morbidity in December 2015 flood-affected population in Tamil Nadu, India, Int J Soc Psychiatry source
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- cites [52] source
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May combine two claims.
Findingown dataNearly every included study presented mental disorder prevalence estimates, which ranged from 0.1% to 100%.
“nearly every study presented mental disorder prevalence estimates, which ranged from 0.1% to 100%”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews checklist.
“This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews checklist.”
- Also stated in: § Methods · plain
“The review took place between May 2020 and March 2021 and followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) checklist23 as well as recommendations from the Arksey and O’Malley24 framework and the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Reviewer’s Manual.25”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [23] source
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- cites [24] source
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- cites [25] Peters M , Godfrey C , McInerney P . Chapter 11: Scoping Reviews (2020 version). In: Aromataris E , Munn Z , eds. Joanna Briggs Institute Reviewer’s Manual. JBI, 2020. https://reviewersmanual.joannabriggs.org/ source
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- Also stated in: § Methods · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenThere has been no review of recent literature on this topic published within the past 5 years.
“Additionally, although this field of research is rapidly growing, there has been no review of recent literature published within the past 5 years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe review searched five electronic databases and the grey literature.
“To identify relevant studies, we searched five electronic databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, APA PsycInfo and Sociological Abstracts) from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2019. We also searched the grey literature.”
- Also stated in: § Information sources and search strategy · plain
“To capture all relevant records, both electronic databases and the grey literature were searched.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Also stated in: § Information sources and search strategy · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSimilar reviews have identified comparable trends.
“Notably, similar reviews have identified comparable trends.19 93”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIndirect impacts involve mental health problems associated with broader climate change-related events such as gradual temperature increase and displacement.
“Indirect impacts involve mental health problems associated with broader climate change-related events such as gradual temperature increase and displacement. For example, rising sea levels may contribute to population displacement, resulting in mental health problems associated with overcrowding and poverty.12 13”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe database search strategy was designed in consultation with a health sciences librarian.
“The database search strategy was designed in consultation with a health sciences librarian, first developed in MEDLINE and subsequently translated to the other databases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn 2010, mental, neurological and substance abuse disorders accounted for 10.4% of all disability-adjusted life-years globally.
“In 2010, mental, neurological and substance abuse disorders accounted for 10.4% of all disability-adjusted life-years globally.21”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [21] source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationLow- and middle-income countries are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and climate-related disasters and often lack adequate mental healthcare infrastructure.
“Indeed, those living in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) disproportionately suffer from the negative effects of climate-related disasters and from broader environmental changes such as reduced crop yields.15 16 LMICs also commonly lack adequate infrastructure for mental health services.17 18”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [15] Wirtz A . Natural disasters and the insurance industry. In: Guha-Sapir D , Santos I , Borde A , eds. The economic impacts of natural disasters. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2013: 128–53. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [16] source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites 17 18
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Study design and conductown dataTwo independent reviewers screened titles/abstracts and full texts for eligibility.
“Next, the titles/abstracts of each remaining record were screened by two independent reviewers and those deemed irrelevant were excluded.”
- Also stated in: § Screening · plain
“The remaining studies were screened for eligibility at the full-text level by two reviewers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Also stated in: § Screening · plain
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningThe review was limited to English-language studies only.
“Owing to project feasibility, our review was limited to English-language studies only.”
- Also stated in: § Eligibility criteria · plain
“Additionally, for feasibility reasons only English-language studies were included.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Eligibility criteria · plain
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationRataj et al and Crabtree conducted systematic searches on the direct negative mental health impacts of climate-related weather events in developing countries but did not explore the indirect impacts of climate change on mental health.
“Rataj et al19 and Crabtree20 conducted systematic searches on the direct negative mental health impacts of climate-related weather events in developing countries; however, they did not explore the indirect impacts of climate change on mental health.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [20] Crabtree, 2012, Climate change and mental health following flood disasters in developing countries, a review of the epidemiological literature: what do we know, what is being recommended?, Australas J Disaster Trauma Stud
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe data extraction form was piloted on a random sample of five studies and adjusted accordingly.
“Prior to beginning the extraction process, the form was piloted on a random sample of five studies and adjusted accordingly.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitationWe limited our search to exclude sources published before 2007.
“we limited our search to exclude sources published before 2007”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationRataj et al and Crabtree reviewed the mental health impacts of climate-related weather events in developing countries, but did not evaluate the broader, indirect impacts of climate change.
“While Rataj et al19 and Crabtree20 reviewed the mental health impacts of climate-related weather events in developing countries, they did not evaluate the broader, indirect impacts of climate change”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Rataj et al19
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Crabtree20
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationScreening instruments are an important tool for assessing the presence of mental disorders in LMIC settings, where healthcare workers may not be qualified or may not have time to administer complex diagnostic interviews.
“Screening instruments are an important tool for assessing the presence of mental disorders in LMIC settings, where healthcare workers may not be qualified or may not have time to administer complex diagnostic interviews.103”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [103] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationOthers have discussed the utility of longitudinal designs for capturing changes in mental health over time against climate change and climate-related disaster exposures.
“Others have discussed the utility of longitudinal designs for capturing changes in mental health over time against climate change and climate-related disaster exposures.27 96”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe IPCC identified Africa as one of the regions most vulnerable to climate change.
“the IPCC identified Africa as one of the regions most vulnerable to climate change.100”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [100] Niang I , Ruppel OC , Abdrabo MA . Africa. In: Barros VR , Field CB , Dokken DJ , eds. Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part B: regional aspects. contribution of working group II to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, UK and New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2014: 1199–265. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/africa/
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe substantial methodological heterogeneity is likely related to the emergency and under-resourced settings in which many of these studies took place.
“likely related to the emergency and under-resourced settings in which many of these studies took place”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoning23 non-English studies were excluded at the full-text stage.
“23 non-English studies were excluded at the full-text stage”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn a global context, Neria et al reported PTSD prevalence estimates ranging from 3.7% to 60% at 1-2 years post disaster.
“In a global context, Neria et al95 reported PTSD prevalence estimates ranging from 3.7% to 60% at 1–2 years post disaster”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Neria et al95
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationData from the World Mental Health survey showed that of those experiencing suicidality in high-, middle- and low-income countries, 56%, 28% and 17% sought treatment in the past 12 months, respectively.
“Data from the World Mental Health survey showed that of those experiencing suicidality in high-, middle- and low-income countries, 56%, 28% and 17% sought treatment in the past 12 months, respectively.99”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [99] source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationUse of a single reviewer can be suboptimal in some scenarios.
“Although evidence suggests that use of a single reviewer can be suboptimal in some scenarios,105”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [105] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationOther systematic reviews have identified comparable proportions of cross-sectional studies.
“Other systematic reviews have identified comparable proportions of cross-sectional studies.19 20”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [20] Crabtree, 2012, Climate change and mental health following flood disasters in developing countries, a review of the epidemiological literature: what do we know, what is being recommended?, Australas J Disaster Trauma Stud
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe IPCC's fourth assessment report was published in 2007, in which the authors first acknowledged the impacts of climate change on human health and well-being.
“the IPCC’s fourth assessment report was published in 2007, in which the authors first acknowledged the impacts of climate change on human health and well-being.27”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn a global meta-analysis, Beaglehole and colleagues reported a significant increase in postnatural disaster mental disorder outcomes (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.43 to 2.38, p<0.001, n=6 studies).
“For example, in a global meta-analysis Beaglehole and colleagues93 reported a significant increase in postnatural disaster mental disorder outcomes (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.43 to 2.38, p<0.001, n=6 studies).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [93] source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBeaglehole et al conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of psychiatric disorders and psychological distress after natural disasters, but included disasters likely unrelated to climate change and were not LMIC-focused.
“Beaglehole et al93 conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of psychiatric disorders and psychological distress after natural disasters; however, they included disasters likely unrelated to climate change and were not LMIC-focused”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Beaglehole et al93
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningTwo independent reviewers completed the study screening, thereby reducing bias in the evidence selection process.
“As per these standards, two independent reviewers completed the study screening, thereby reducing bias in the evidence selection process”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe review was conducted in accordance with recommendations from the Arksey and O'Malley framework, PRISMA-ScR checklist and JBI Reviewer's Manual.
“we conducted the review in accordance with recommendations from the Arksey and O’Malley framework, PRISMA-ScR checklist and JBI Reviewer’s Manual, three widely used standards supporting the execution of a high-quality review”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataDue to the large volume of studies returned by the electronic database search (6971 unique records), we conducted a single-author relevancy screen of all records as the first screening stage.
“due to the large volume of studies returned by the electronic database search (6971 unique records), we conducted a single-author relevancy screen of all records as the first screening stage”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningWe included English-language studies only.
“we included English-language studies only”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThis review supports the need to address mental health as a priority in future climate change action.
“Overall, this review supports the need to address mental health as a priority in future climate change action”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Those living in LMICs are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and climate-related disasters and also lack adequate mental health supports.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThe findings of this review support the consideration of mental health within LMIC climate change policy.
“The findings of this review support the consideration of mental health within LMIC climate change policy”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Those living in LMICs are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and climate-related disasters and also lack adequate mental health supports.
The paper relies on this without support.
Those living in LMICs are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and climate-related disasters and also lack adequate mental health supports.
“Those living in LMICs are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change and climate-related disasters and also lack adequate mental health supports”
The paper relies on this without support.
Particularly in LMICs, infrastructure may not be present to support costly and time-consuming data collection efforts.
“Particularly in LMICs, infrastructure may not be present to support costly and time-consuming data collection efforts”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Several systematic and scoping reviews have identified LMIC-specific evidence supporting negative mental health outcomes associated with climate change and climate-related disasters.
“Several systematic and scoping reviews have identified LMIC-specific evidence supporting the various negative mental health outcomes associated with climate change and climate-related disasters [6,14,15,16].”
From A Scoping Review of Climate Change, Climate-Related Disasters, and Mental Disorders among Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (2022) · cites this paper as [16]
A similar pattern was identified in Sharpe and Davison among an adult-focused LMIC population, where over 90% of the included studies explored climate-related disaster exposures.
“A similar pattern was identified in Sharpe and Davison [16] among an adult-focused LMIC population, where over 90% of the included studies explored climate-related disaster exposures.”
From A Scoping Review of Climate Change, Climate-Related Disasters, and Mental Disorders among Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (2022) · cites this paper as [16]
No previous reviews have explored climate change, climate-related disasters, and mental health specifically among children in LMICs.
“Second, our work was novel given that no previous reviews have explored this specific topic.”
From A Scoping Review of Climate Change, Climate-Related Disasters, and Mental Disorders among Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (2022) · cites this paper as [16]
Both reviews identified some limited support for the relationship between climate-related disasters and increased mental disorders, although the evidence base is considerably smaller among children.
“More specifically, both reviews identified some limited support for the relationship between climate-related disasters and increased mental disorders, although the evidence base is considerably smaller among children.”
From A Scoping Review of Climate Change, Climate-Related Disasters, and Mental Disorders among Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (2022) · cites this paper as [16]
The patterns identified in this review largely aligned with those identified by a similar review focused on an adult LMIC population.
“The patterns identified in this review largely aligned with those identified by a similar review focused on an adult LMIC population [16].”
From A Scoping Review of Climate Change, Climate-Related Disasters, and Mental Disorders among Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (2022) · cites this paper as [16]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Typhoon Xangsane study placed in two countries
MinorThe discussion places Amstadter et al's study of Typhoon Xangsane in the Philippines, but the results section says Xangsane hit Vietnam and describes the study in its Southeast Asia discussion of Vietnam.
“In the Philippines, Amstadter et al55 assessed the mental health of residents before and after Typhoon Xangsane.”
“The two most commonly studied exposures were both typhoons; Xangsane hit Vietnam in 2006 and destroyed nearly 350 000 homes70 and Haiyan hit the Philippines in 2013 and killed 6300 people.71”
PTSD prevalence described as stable despite nearly doubling
MinorThe reported PTSD prevalence rises from 10.6% at 2 months to 20.5% at 2 years, which conflicts with the statement that prevalence of both disorders remained relatively stable.
“Prevalence of both disorders remained relatively stable over time”
“PTSD 10.6% and 20.5%, MDD 19.5% and 22.3% at 2 months vs 2 years”
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- Authors
- Sharpe, I., & Davison, C. M.
- Affiliations
- Queen's University (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Davison, Colleen M
- Venue
- BMJ Open
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2021-10
- Volume
- 11
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- e051908
- ISSN
- 2044-6055 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8522671
- OpenAlex
- W3207767416
- Semantic Scholar
- dd0f2c589da9dcded964606a38639620a5c58293
- Cited by
- 118
- References
- 104
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 27 · 2024: 33 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 11 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 1.63
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ Open (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council (435-2019-1083)
- Canadian Institutes for Health Research (PJT-162463, PJT-165971)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Research
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Mental Health Treatment and Access
- Keywords
- climate change, climate-related disasters, mental illness, post-traumatic stress disorder, depression, floods, storms, low- and middle-income countries, mental health policy, disaster exposure
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Cross-Sectional Studies, Developing Countries, Disasters, Humans, Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic, Climate Change
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