The DOI matches its Crossref record; 10 of the 10 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Seven Shortfalls that Beset Large-Scale Knowledge of Biodiversity
Abstract
Ecologists and evolutionary biologists are increasingly using big-data approaches to tackle questions at large spatial, taxonomic, and temporal scales. However, despite recent efforts to gather two centuries of biodiversity inventories into comprehensive databases, many crucial research questions remain unanswered. Here, we update the concept of knowledge shortfalls and review the tradeoffs between generality and uncertainty. We present seven key shortfalls of current biodiversity data. Four previously proposed shortfalls pinpoint knowledge gaps for species taxonomy (Linnean), distribution (Wallacean), abundance (Prestonian), and evolutionary patterns (Darwinian). We also redefine the Hutchinsonian shortfall to apply to the abiotic tolerances of species and propose new shortfalls relating to limited knowledge of species traits (Raunkiæran) and biotic interactions (Eltonian). We conclude with a general framework for the combined impacts and consequences of shortfalls of large-scale biodiversity knowledge for evolutionary and ecological research and consider ways of overcoming the seven shortfalls and dealing with the uncertainty they generate.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Despite recent progress, considerable gaps remain in our collective knowledge of mammal species-rank taxonomy and geographic distributions—termed the Linnaean and Wallacean shortfalls, respectively (Hortal et al. 2015).”
From How many mammal species are there now? Updates and trends in taxonomic, nomenclatural, and geographic knowledge (2025) · cites this paper as Hortal et al. 2015
Citations
Cites
Phylogenies and the Comparative Method
Felsenstein, J. (1985) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/284325 · Cited by 9,793
The global diversity of birds in space and time
Jetz, W., Thomas, G. H., Joy, J. B., Hartmann, K., & Mooers, A. O. (2012) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature11631 · Cited by 3,934
How Many Species Are There on Earth and in the Ocean?
Mora, C., Tittensor, D. P., Adl, S., Simpson, A. G. B., & Worm, B. (2011) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001127 · Cited by 3,045
The delayed rise of present-day mammals
Bininda-Emonds, O. R. P., Cardillo, M., Jones, K. E., MacPhee, R. D. E., Beck, R. M. D., Grenyer, R., Price, S. A., Vos, R. A., Gittleman, J. L., & Purvis, A. (2007) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature05634 · Cited by 2,082
Effectiveness of the global protected area network in representing species diversity
Rodrigues, A. S. L., Andelman, S. J., Bakarr, M. I., Boitani, L., Brooks, T. M., Cowling, R. M., Fishpool, L. D. C., da Fonseca, G. A. B., Gaston, K. J., Hoffmann, M., et al. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature02422 · Cited by 1,525
Distorted Views of Biodiversity: Spatial and Temporal Bias in Species Occurrence Data
Boakes, E. H., McGowan, P. J. K., Fuller, R. A., Chang-qing, D., Clark, N. E., O'Connor, K., & Mace, G. M. (2010) · PLoS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1000385 · Cited by 824
Functional traits, the phylogeny of function, and ecosystem service vulnerability
Díaz, S., Purvis, A., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Mace, G. M., Donoghue, M. J., Ewers, R. M., Jordano, P., & Pearse, W. D. (2013) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.601 · Cited by 644
Clark, J. S., & Bjørnstad, O. N. (2004) · Ecology · doi:10.1890/03-0520 · Cited by 348
Eastman, J. M., Alfaro, M. E., Joyce, P., Hipp, A. L., & Harmon, L. J. (2011) · Evolution · doi:10.1111/j.1558-5646.2011.01401.x · Cited by 240
Jackson, S. T. (2012) · Quaternary Science Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.05.020 · Cited by 84
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 177
- 10.1073/pnas.1315179111 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2435.2010.01727.x · DOI
- 10.1073/pnas.0811087106 · DOI
- Antonelli A, 2014, PeerJ PrePrints, 2, e501v1
- 10.1111/j.1439-0469.2009.00523.x · DOI
- 10.1098/rstb.2011.0178 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07364.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2007.01291.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1366-9516.2006.00286.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.0014-3820.2003.tb00285.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1890/07-2121.1 · DOI
- Boggs SW, 1949, Proc. Am. Philos. Soc., 93, 253
- Boorstin DJ, 1983, The Discoverers: A History of Man's Search to Know His World and Himself
- 10.1111/j.1366-9516.2006.00243.x · DOI
- 10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-102710-145055 · DOI
- 10.1086/284267 · DOI
- Brown JH, 1998, Biogeography.
- 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2007.01758.x · DOI
- 10.1111/ele.12161 · DOI
- 10.1890/11-0426.1 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.tree.2014.02.002 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1016/j.biocon.2011.07.024 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2009.01620.x · DOI
- 10.3732/ajb.1400422 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2011.01883.x · DOI
- Chapman AD, 2009, Numbers of Living Species in Australia and the World
- 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00702.x · DOI
- 10.1073/pnas.0901650106 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/1365-2745.12091 · DOI
- 10.1071/BT02124 · DOI
- 10.1126/science.1230318 · DOI
- 10.1093/sysbio/syr080 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1095-8312.2005.00503.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1007/s10531-010-9850-9 · DOI
- 10.1371/journal.pbio.1002033 · DOI
- 10.1023/A:1009690919835 · DOI
- 10.1890/11-2296.1 · DOI
- 10.1016/S0169-5347(01)02283-2 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1073/pnas.0704716104 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/j.1466-822X.2005.00165.x · DOI
- 10.1046/j.1466-822X.2003.00322.x · DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2013.09.003 · DOI
- 10.1093/sysbio/syr019 · DOI
- 10.1093/molbev/msi103 · DOI
- 10.3354/meps273291 · DOI
- 10.2307/1942045 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2007.00340.x · DOI
- 10.1038/nature02560 · DOI
- 10.17161/bi.v8i2.4126 · DOI
- Firestein S, 2012, Ignorance: How it Drives Science.
- 10.1093/sysbio/syp067 · DOI
- 10.1086/343873 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/j.1654-1103.2010.01247.x · DOI
- Gaston KJ, 2003, The Structure and Dynamics of Geographic Ranges, 10.1093/oso/9780198526407.001.0001 · DOI
- 10.2307/2999696 · DOI
- 10.1046/j.1523-1739.2003.01268.x · DOI
- 10.1371/journal.pone.0064005 · DOI
- 10.2307/2479933 · DOI
- 10.1111/2041-210X.12212 · DOI
- 10.1111/geb.12114 · DOI
- Hall BG, 2011, Phylogenetic Trees Made Easy: A How-to Manual
- 10.2307/2410878 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2003.00015.x · DOI
- 10.1080/10635150500354886 · DOI
- 10.1017/S1367943002002299 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2007.01737.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2008.16434.x · DOI
- 10.1007/s10531-004-0224-z · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2007.00686.x · DOI
- 10.2216/12-089.1 · DOI
- Hutchinson GE, 1978, An Introduction to Population Biology
- 10.1126/science.293.5530.655 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2008.01460.x · DOI · Paper page
- IUCN (Int. Union Conserv. Nat.), 2011, IUCN Red List of Threatened Species
- 10.1016/j.tree.2011.09.007 · DOI
- Johansen B, 2007, Get There Early
- 10.1111/ele.12347 · DOI
- 10.1890/02-5364 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02451.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/j.2041-210X.2010.00067.x · DOI
- 10.1086/319193 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01702.x · DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2014.10.008 · DOI
- 10.21425/F55112942 · DOI
- 10.1007/978-0-387-78341-3 · DOI
- 10.1111/1365-2745.12187 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.tplants.2013.04.012 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00208.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2006.14583.x · DOI
- 10.1111/syen.12042 · DOI
- 10.1016/S0006-3207(00)00093-8 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2007.00383.x · DOI
- 10.1073/pnas.1404885111 · DOI
- Loiselle BA, 2008, J. Biogeogr., 35, 105, 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2007.01779.x · DOI
- Lomolino MV, 2004, Frontiers of Biogeography: New Directions in the Geography of Nature, 293
- 10.1086/660020 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02152.x · DOI
- 10.1093/sysbio/syr075 · DOI
- 10.1098/rstb.2003.1454 · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1126/science.1085510 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2004.01089.x · DOI
- 10.4067/S0716-97602009000200002 · DOI
- 10.2307/3544934 · DOI
- 10.1126/science.1191058 · DOI
- 10.1111/1365-2435.12255 · DOI
- 10.1016/0006-3207(94)90359-X · DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2006.02.002 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2014.01.003 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.2041-210X.2010.00077.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2010.00159.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00318.x · DOI
- 10.1038/ncomms9221 · DOI
- Michener WK. 2000. Metadata. In Ecological Data: Design, Management and Processing , ed. WK Michener, J Brunt, pp. 92–116. London: Wiley-Blackwell
- 10.1111/ele.12251 · DOI
- 10.1126/science.278.5338.692 · DOI
- 10.1098/rstb.1994.0068 · DOI
- 10.1038/345714a0 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2010.01728.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.0307-6946.2004.00580.x · DOI
- Pauly D, 2005, Bull. Mar. Sci., 76, 197
- 10.1111/jvs.12051 · DOI
- 10.1111/ddi.12271 · DOI
- 10.23943/princeton/9780691136868.001.0001 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.patrec.2013.11.002 · DOI
- 10.1038/350669a0 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00741.x · DOI
- Pinzón-Navarro S, 2010, Syst. Entomol., 35, 18
- 10.1016/j.ecoinf.2014.08.005 · DOI
- 10.1899/0887-3593(2006)025[0730:FTNONA]2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- 10.1890/07-0207.1 · DOI
- 10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[0703:USITET]2.0.CO;2 · DOI
- 10.1017/S0266467499000760 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.pt.2010.05.008 · DOI
- 10.1590/1809-43921974043005 · DOI
- 10.1007/s11284-009-0650-1 · DOI
- Pybus OG, 2000, Genetics, 155, 1429, 10.1093/genetics/155.3.1429 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.ympev.2011.06.012 · DOI
- 10.2307/5610 · DOI
- 10.1038/nature02205 · DOI
- 10.1016/S0006-3207(02)00346-4 · DOI
- Rex MA, 2010, Deep-Sea Biodiversity: Pattern and Scale
- 10.1111/j.1095-8339.2006.00575.x · DOI
- 10.1073/pnas.1212079109 · DOI
- 10.1002/9781444390001.ch4 · DOI
- 10.1177/0309133311399491 · DOI
- 10.1525/bio.2010.60.10.6 · DOI
- Rosen R, 1996, Boundaries and Barriers: On the Limits to Scientific Knowledge, 199
- Roskov Y, 2015, Species 2000 & ITIS Catalogue of Life: 2015 Annual Checklist
- 10.1371/journal.pone.0103300 · DOI
- 10.1016/S0169-5347(97)81026-9 · DOI
- 10.1371/journal.pone.0048163 · DOI
- 10.1098/rspb.2014.2245 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.biocon.2008.11.002 · DOI
- 10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.39.110707.173430 · DOI
- 10.1073/pnas.251680798 · DOI
- 10.1111/2041-210X.12091 · DOI
- 10.1111/ele.12140 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01107.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2007.00433.x · DOI
- 10.1007/s10530-013-0523-y · DOI
- 10.1890/08-1025.1 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1365-294X.2012.05470.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1007/978-1-4615-6003-6_28 · DOI
- 10.1371/journal.pone.0117595 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2007.00687.x · DOI
- 10.1016/B978-0-12-420002-9.00003-2 · DOI
- 10.1111/1365-2435.12356 · DOI
- 10.1371/journal.pone.0033914 · DOI
- 10.1890/09-1310.1 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2007.15559.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.2005.0906-7590.04112.x · DOI
- 10.1016/j.tree.2014.08.003 · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1366-9516.2005.00143.x · DOI
- 10.1111/j.1469-185X.2012.00235.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.2307/1351847 · DOI
- 10.1016/j.cosust.2010.03.008 · DOI
- 10.2307/1940449 · DOI · Paper page
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Newbold, T., Hudson, L. N., Contu, S., Hill, S. L. L., Beck, J., Liu, Y., Meyer, C., Phillips, H. R. P., Scharlemann, J. P. W., & Purvis, A. (2018) · PLOS Biology · doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.2006841 · Cited by 287
Shortfalls and opportunities in terrestrial vertebrate species discovery
Moura, M. R., & Jetz, W. (2021) · Nature Ecology & Evolution · doi:10.1038/s41559-021-01411-5 · Cited by 196
Burgin, C. J., Zijlstra, J. S., Becker, M. A., Handika, H., Alston, J. M., Widness, J., Liphardt, S., Huckaby, D. G., & Upham, N. S. (2025) · Journal of Mammalogy · doi:10.1093/jmammal/gyaf047 · Cited by 54
Metadata
- Authors
- Hortal, J., de Bello, F., Diniz-Filho, J. A. F., Lewinsohn, T. M., Lobo, J. M., & Ladle, R. J.
- Affiliations
- Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (ES)
- Czech Academy of Sciences (CZ)
- Department of Ecology, Instituto de Ciências Biologicas, Universidade Federal de Goiás, 74001-970 Goiânia, Brazil;
- Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) (BR)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Ladle, Richard J.
- Venue
- Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics
- Publisher
- Annual Reviews
- Published
- 2015-12-04
- Volume
- 46
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 523-549
- ISSN
- 1543-592X (ISSN-L)
- 1545-2069
- OpenAlex
- W2147343628
- Cited by
- 1,743
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 258 · 2025: 270 · 2024: 274 · 2023: 257 · 2022: 159 · 2021: 176 · 2020: 128 · 2019: 88 · 2018: 65 · 2017: 35 · 2016: 29 · 2015: 1
- FWCI
- 3.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics (publishedVersion)
- ASEP (submittedVersion, public-domain)
- DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Information Systems › Research Data Management Practices
- Keywords
- biodiversity data, big data, species taxonomy, species distribution, species abundance, evolutionary patterns, abiotic stress tolerance, species traits, species interactions, uncertainty, Linnean shortfall, Wallacean shortfall, data gaps
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review