Cited by 435Labor market dynamics and wage inequalityAgglomeration and Urban SystemsDigital Economy and Work Transformation

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Work of the Past, Work of the Future

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Autor, David H.·2019·AEA Papers and Proceedings

DOI 10.1257/pandp.20191110

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Abstract

US cities today are vastly more educated and skill-intensive than they were five decades ago. Yet, urban non-college workers perform substantially less skilled jobs than decades earlier. This deskilling reflects the joint effects of automation and, secondarily, rising international trade, which have eliminated the bulk of non-college production, administrative support, and clerical jobs, yielding a disproportionate polarization of urban labor markets. The unwinding of the urban non-college occupational skill gradient has, I argue, abetted a secular fall in real non-college wages by: (1) shunting non-college workers out of specialized middle-skill occupations into low-wage occupations that require only generic skills; (2) diminishing the set of non-college workers that hold middle-skill jobs in high-wage cities; and (3) attenuating, to a startling degree, the steep urban wage premium for non-college workers that prevailed in earlier decades. Changes in the nature of work--many of which are technological in origin--have been more disruptive and less beneficial for non-college than college workers.

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10.1257/0022051026976 · DOI · Paper page
Autor David, 2019, The Inversion of the Rural-Urban Age Gradient in the United States, 1950
Costa Dora L, 2000, Changes in the Locational Choice of the College Educated, 1940

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Authors: Autor, D. H.
Affiliations: National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
Corresponding author: Autor, David H.
ORCID: Autor, David H.
Venue: AEA Papers and Proceedings
Publisher: American Economic Association
Published: 2019-05-01
Volume: 109
Pages: 1-32
ISSN: 2574-0768 (ISSN-L)
2574-0776
DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20191110
OpenAlex: W2917662199
Cited by: 435
References: 42
Citations by year: 2026: 63 · 2025: 79 · 2024: 79 · 2023: 43 · 2022: 53 · 2021: 56 · 2020: 48 · 2019: 11
FWCI: 52.43
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
hdl.handle.net
Licence: cc-by-nc
Locations: AEA Papers and Proceedings (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
Topics: Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Agglomeration and Urban Systems
Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Digital Economy and Work Transformation
Keywords: deskilling, automation, international trade, urban wage premium, low-wage employment, technological change

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