Identity, beliefs, and political conflict
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We present a theory of identity politics that builds on two ideas. First, when policy conflict renders a certain social divide—economic or cultural—salient, a voter identifies with her economic or cultural group. Second, the voter slants her beliefs toward the stereotype of the group she identifies with. We obtain three implications. First, voters’ beliefs are polarized along the distinctive features of salient groups. Second, if the salience of cultural policies increases, cultural conflict rises, redistributive conflict falls, and polarization becomes more correlated across issues. Third, economic shocks hurting conservative voters may trigger a switch to cultural identity, causing these voters to demand less redistribution. We discuss U.S. survey evidence in light of these implications.
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One possible explanation is the rise of identity politics, where conflict over cultural issues such as immigration, race, and abortion has strengthened since 2010.
“One possible explanation is the rise of identity politics, where: “[s]ince 2010, the political systems of the United States and other advanced democracies have undergone a momentous change… conflict over cultural issues such as immigration, race, and abortion has strengthened” (Bonomi et al., 2021(Bonomi et al., , p. 2371)).”
From Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures (2026) · cites this paper as Bonomi et al., 2021
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- Authors
- Bonomi, G., Gennaioli, N., & Tabellini, G.
- Affiliations
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Bocconi University (IT)
- Venue
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2021-09-10
- Volume
- 136
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 2371-2411
- ISSN
- 0033-5533 (ISSN-L)
- 1531-4650
- OpenAlex
- W3200887357
- Cited by
- 213
- References
- 88
- Citations by year
- 2026: 29 · 2025: 57 · 2024: 46 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 5 · 2019: 1 · 2018: 5
- FWCI
- 96.37
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Quarterly Journal of Economics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconi (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Social Policy and Reform Studies
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Keywords
- identity politics, political polarization, group identification, belief polarization, cultural conflict, economic shocks, conservative voters, social identity, policy conflict
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