Polarization versus Democracy
Abstract
When can we realistically expect ordinary people to check the authoritarian ambitions of elected politicians? An answer to this question is key to understanding the most prominent development in the dynamic of democratic survival since the end of the Cold War: the subversion of democracy by elected incumbents and its emergence as the most common form of democratic breakdown. This article proposes an explanation according to which political polarization undermines the public's ability to serve as a democratic check: In polarized electorates, voters are willing to trade off democratic principles for partisan interests. The article presents evidence that supports this claim; raises questions about the real-world relevance of conventional measures of support for democracy; and highlights the importance of understanding the role that ordinary people play in democratic backsliding.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Svolik (2019) finds that the share of democratic breakdowns driven by executive takeovers rather than military coups increased from approximately 50% in the 1970s to approximately 90% more recently.
“For example, Svolik (2019) finds that the share of democratic breakdowns driven by executive takeovers rather than military coups increased from approximately 50% in the 1970s to approximately 90% more recently.”
From Measuring Democratic Backsliding (2024) · cites this paper as Svolik (2019)
The CHP strategy may not have worked in Istanbul elections without the support of a strong grassroots organization that mobilized voters and defended ballot boxes.
“A critical ingredient of opposition innovation also pertained to party organization; arguably, the strategy may not have worked in Istanbul elections without the support of a strong grassroots organization built up in recent years that successfully mobilized and communicated with voters and defended ballot boxes, despite Erdoğan's attempts to reverse the election results.”
From Pernicious polarization, autocratization and opposition strategies (2021) · cites this paper as [47]
Cites
Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition.
Ericson, J., & Dahl, R. A. (1972) · American Quarterly · doi:10.2307/2711442 · Cited by 7,178 · see citing works
Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy
Acemoglu, D., & Robinson, J. A. (2005) · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511510809 · Cited by 4,810 · see citing works
The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five Nations
Almond, G. A., & Verba, S. (1963) · Cited by 4,069 · see citing works
Parties and Party Systems: A Framework for Analysis
Scott, R. K., Warr, P. K., & Sartori, G. (1977) · The Western Political Quarterly · doi:10.2307/447948 · Cited by 4,054 · see citing works
Political Man. The Social Bases of Politics
Morris, R. E., & Lipset, S. M. (1960) · The American Catholic Sociological Review · doi:10.2307/3708619 · Cited by 2,180 · see citing works
Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War
Levitsky, S., & Way, L. A. (2001) · Cited by 2,166 · see citing works
The Political Foundations of Democracy and the Rule of the Law
Weingast, B. R. V. (1997) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.2307/2952354 · Cited by 1,760 · see citing works
Elections Without Democracy: The Menu of Manipulation
Schedler, A. (2002) · Journal of democracy · doi:10.1353/jod.2002.0031 · Cited by 1,620 · see citing works
Boix, C. (2005) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.42-3041 · Cited by 1,375 · see citing works
The Breakdown of Democratic Regimes.
Wynia, G. W., Linz, J. J., & Stepan, A. (1980) · Hispanic American Historical Review · doi:10.2307/2513946 · Cited by 549 · see citing works
How to Save a Constitutional Democracy
Ginsburg, T., & Huq, A. Z. (2018) · University of Chicago Press eBooks · doi:10.7208/chicago/9780226564418.001.0001 · Cited by 460 · see citing works
Levitsky, S., & Ziblatt, D. F. (2024) · Routledge eBooks · doi:10.4324/9781003263562-14 · Cited by 438 · see citing works
How Much Democratic Backsliding?
Mechkova, V., Lührmann, A., & Lindberg, S. I. (2017) · Journal of democracy · doi:10.1353/jod.2017.0075 · Cited by 386 · see citing works
Presidential Popularity in a Hybrid Regime: Russia under Yeltsin and Putin
Treisman, D. S. (2011) · American Journal of Political Science · doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00500.x · Cited by 325 · see citing works
Ordinary people in extraordinary times: the citizenry and the breakdown of democracy
(2005) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.42-3040 · Cited by 195 · see citing works
Frye, T., Gehlbach, S., Marquardt, K. L., & Reuter, O. J. (2015) · Post-Soviet Affairs · doi:10.1080/1060586x.2016.1144334 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
Déjà vu? Polarization and Endangered Democracies in the 21st Century
Somer, M., & McCoy, J. (2018) · American Behavioral Scientist · doi:10.1177/0002764218760371 · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Pernicious polarization, autocratization and opposition strategies
Somer, M., McCoy, J. L., & Luke, R. E. (2021) · Democratization · doi:10.1080/13510347.2020.1865316 · Cited by 220 · see citing works
A review and provocation: On polarization and platforms
Kreiss, D., & McGregor, S. C. (2024) · New Media & Society · doi:10.1177/14614448231161880 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Measuring Democratic Backsliding
Little, A. T., & Meng, A. (2024) · PS: Political Science & Politics · doi:10.1017/s104909652300063x · Cited by 121 · see citing works
“For example, Svolik (2019) finds that the share of democratic breakdowns driven by executive takeovers rather than military coups increased from approximately 50% in the 1970s to approximately 90% more recently.”
BackgroundWaisbord, S. (2020) · REVISTA SAAP · doi:10.46468/rsaap.14.2.a1 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Arceneaux, K., & Truex, R. (2023) · Perspectives on Politics · doi:10.1017/s1537592722000901 · Cited by 97 · see citing works
Towards a unified approach to research on democratic backsliding
Jee, H., Lueders, H., & Myrick, R. (2022) · Democratization · doi:10.1080/13510347.2021.2010709 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
Civil Society Under Attack: The Consequences for Horizontal Accountability Institutions
Smidt, H., Johansson, J., & Richter, T. (2025) · Studies in Comparative International Development · doi:10.1007/s12116-023-09423-x · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Who Supports Democratic Backsliding? Evidence from Israel
Gidron, N., Margalit, Y., Sheffer, L., & Yakir, I. (2023) · doi:10.31219/osf.io/zxukm · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Domínguez Benavente, P., Benítez Espinosa, A., Carrasco Ariza, B., & Pamies, C. (2024) · Revista Internacional de Sociología · doi:10.3989/ris.2024.82.3.23.1258 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“Una polarización parlamentaria alta puede dificultar el respeto y el diálogo entre las y los representantes (Svolik 2019), sus posibilidades de llegar a acuer-dos legislativos y puede terminar propiciando blo-queos institu cionales (Barreda 2021; Hetherington y Rudolph 2015).”
- Authors
- Svolik, M. W.
- Corresponding author
- Svolik, Milan W.
- ORCID
- Svolik, Milan W.
- Venue
- Journal of Democracy
- Publisher
- Project MUSE
- Published
- 2019
- Volume
- 30
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 20-32
- ISSN
- 1045-5736 (ISSN-L)
- 1086-3214
- OpenAlex
- W2962254002
- Semantic Scholar
- cc53a3e10f214a5fcdc0aabcb515768fa73bbf6f
- Cited by
- 565
- References
- 17
- Citations by year
- 2026: 71 · 2025: 102 · 2024: 117 · 2023: 110 · 2022: 59 · 2021: 64 · 2020: 39 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 1
- FWCI
- 171.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of democracy (publishedVersion)
- Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Political Theory and Democracy
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Keywords
- political polarization, democratic backsliding, democratic survival, democratic breakdown, incumbent firms, support for democracy
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review