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The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality

Vaupel, James W., Manton, Kenneth G., Stallard, Eric·1979·Demography
DOI 10.2307/2061224
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Abstract

Life table methods are developed for populations whose members differ in their endowment for longevity. Unlike standard methods, which ignore such heterogeneity, these methods use different calculations to construct cohort, period, and individual life tables. The results imply that standard methods overestimate current life expectancy and potential gains in life expectancy from health and safety interventions, while underestimating rates of individual aging, past progress in reducing mortality, and mortality differentials between pairs of populations. Calculations based on Swedish mortality data suggest that these errors may be important, especially in old age.

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Crossref · 10.2307/2061224

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  • The fixed-frailty proportional hazard model of Vaupel, Stallard, and Manton implies approach to plateaus.

    “The fixed-frailty proportional hazard model of Vaupel, Stallard, and Manton (19) (with precursor 20) implies approach to plateaus (5, 8, 18)”

    From The plateau of human mortality: Demography of longevity pioneers (2018) · cites this paper as [19]

Citations

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Research works printed but not linked: 8

  1. Keyfitz, 1978, Improving Life Expectancy: An Uphill Road Ahead, American Journal of Public Health, 10, 954
  2. Shepard, 1977, Heterogeneity Among Patients As a Risk Factor in Surgical Decision-Making
  3. Strehler, 1977, Time, Cells, and Aging
  4. Thornton, 1972, The Lower Mortality Rates of Non-Whites at the Older Ages: An Enigma in Demographic Analysis, Research Reports in Social Science, 11, 1
  5. Tolley, 1978, Biometrics, 34, 377, 10.2307/2530600 · DOI
  6. Vaupel, 1976, Early Death: An American Tragedy, Law and Contemporary Problems, 4, 73, 10.2307/1191312 · DOI
  7. Vaupel, 1979, What Demographic Difference Does It Make That the Frail Die First?: A Model of Mortality and Some Suggestive Results Based on Swedish Mortality Since 1778
  8. Woodbury, 1977, A Random Walk Model of Human Mortality and Aging, Theoretical Population Biology, 11, 37, 10.1016/0040-5809(77)90005-3 · DOI

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Metadata

Authors
Vaupel, J. W., Manton, K. G., & Stallard, E.
Affiliations
  • Institute of Policy Sciences and Public Affairs, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27706
  • Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27706
Venue
Demography
Publisher
Duke University Press
Published
1979-08-01
Volume
16
Issue
3
Pages
439-454
ISSN
  • 0070-3370
  • 1533-7790
DOI
10.2307/2061224
Cited by
1,932
References
0
Language
en

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