Switching on the Big Burn of 2017
Open accessAbstract
Fuel, aridity, and ignition switches were all on in 2017, making it one of the largest and costliest wildfire years in the United States (U.S.) since national reporting began. Anthropogenic climate change helped flip on some of these switches rapidly in 2017, and kept them on for longer than usual. Anthropogenic changes to the fire environment will increase the likelihood of such record wildfire years in the coming decades. The 2017 wildfires in the U.S. constitute part of a shifting baseline in risks and costs; meanwhile, effective policies have lagged behind, leaving communities highly vulnerable. Policy efforts to build better and burn better, in the U.S. as well as in other nations with flammable ecosystems, will promote adaptation to increasing wildfire in a warming world.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Land use and ongoing climate change are altering characteristics of individual fires and changing fire regimes, in some cases pushing them outside the historical range of variability in frequency, size, seasonality or severity.
“Second, land use and ongoing climate change are altering characteristics of individual fires and changing fire regimes, in some cases pushing them outside the historical range of variability in terms of frequency, size, seasonality or severity (Abatzoglou & Williams, 2016;Balch et al., 2018;Kelly et al., 2013;Miller et al., 2019;Walker et al., 2018).”
From Fire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers (2020) · cites this paper as Balch et al., 2018
Many recent fires have had negative consequences for natural ecosystems and humans.
“Many recent fires have had negative consequences for natural ecosystems and humans (Balch et al., 2018;Stevens-Rumann et al., 2018).”
From Fire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers (2020) · cites this paper as Balch et al., 2018
Cites
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Williams, A. P. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1607171113 · Cited by 3,073 · see citing works
Self-citationA Project for Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity
Eidenshink, J., Schwind, B., Brewer, K., Zhu, Z.-L., Quayle, B., & Howard, S. (2007) · Fire Ecology · doi:10.4996/fireecology.0301003 · Cited by 1,423 · see citing works
Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984–2011
Dennison, P. E., Brewer, S. C., Arnold, J. D., & Moritz, M. A. (2014) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2014gl059576 · Cited by 1,322 · see citing works
Increasing western US forest wildfire activity: sensitivity to changes in the timing of spring
Westerling, A. L. (2016) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2015.0178 · Cited by 1,322 · see citing works
Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk
Radeloff, V. C., Helmers, D. P., Kramer, H. A., Mockrin, M. H., Alexandre, P. M., Bar-Massada, A., Butsic, V., Hawbaker, T. J., Martinuzzi, S., Syphard, A. D., et al. (2018) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1718850115 · Cited by 1,225 · see citing works
Learning to coexist with wildfire
Moritz, M. A., Batllori, E., Bradstock, R. A., Gill, A. M., Handmer, J., Hessburg, P. F., Leonard, J., McCaffrey, S., Odion, D. C., Schoennagel, T., et al. (2014) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature13946 · Cited by 1,169 · see citing works
Self-citationHuman-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States
Balch, J. K., Bradley, B. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Nagy, R. C., Fusco, E. J., & Mahood, A. L. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1617394114 · Cited by 1,043 · see citing works
Self-citationIncreasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California
Swain, D. L., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., & Hall, A. D. (2018) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0140-y · Cited by 978 · see citing works
A biogeographic model of fire regimes in Australia: current and future implications
Bradstock, R. A. (2010) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00512.x · Cited by 798 · see citing works
Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events
Diffenbaugh, N. S., Singh, D., Mankin, J., Horton, D. E., Swain, D. L., Touma, D., Charland, A., Liu, Y., Haugen, M. A., Tsiang, M., et al. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1618082114 · Cited by 777 · see citing works
The interaction of fire, fuels, and climate across Rocky Mountain forests
SCHOENNAGEL, T., VEBLEN, T. T., & ROMME, W. H. (2004) · BioScience · doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2004)054[0661:tioffa]2.0.co;2 · Cited by 776 · see citing works
Self-citationAdapt to more wildfire in western North American forests as climate changes
Schoennagel, T., Balch, J. K., Brenkert-Smith, H., Dennison, P. E., Harvey, B. J., Krawchuk, M. A., Mietkiewicz, N., Morgan, P., Moritz, M. A., Rasker, R., et al. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1617464114 · Cited by 774 · see citing works
Self-citationBalch, J. K., Bradley, B. A., D'Antonio, C. M., & Gómez‐Dans, J. (2013) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.12046 · Cited by 682 · cited 2× · see citing works
“Although it may appear counterintuitive that fires followed a wet winter and spring, cold-season precipitation promotes the growth of fine fuels that can burn during the succeeding warmer months, particularly in shrublands invaded with exotic grasses [8].”
BackgroundSelf-citationAn active-fire based burned area mapping algorithm for the MODIS sensor
Giglio, L., Loboda, T., Roy, D., Quayle, B., & Justice, C. (2009) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2008.10.006 · Cited by 671 · see citing works
Prescribed fire in North American forests and woodlands: history, current practice, and challenges
Ryan, K. C., Knapp, E. E., & Varner, J. M. (2013) · Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment · doi:10.1890/120329 · Cited by 669 · see citing works
Giglio, L., Csiszar, I., & Justice, C. O. (2006) · Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences · doi:10.1029/2005jg000142 · Cited by 662 · see citing works
Dramatic declines in snowpack in the western US
Mote, P., Li, S.-H., Lettenmaier, D., Mu, X., & Engel, R. A. (2018) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-018-0012-1 · Cited by 643 · see citing works
How risk management can prevent future wildfire disasters in the wildland-urban interface
Calkin, D. E., Cohen, J. D., Finney, M. A., & Thompson, M. P. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1315088111 · Cited by 529 · see citing works
Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States
Abatzoglou, J. T., & Kolden, C. A. (2013) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf13019 · Cited by 432 · see citing works
Self-citationImproved Historical Temperature and Precipitation Time Series for U.S. Climate Divisions
Vose, R. S., Applequist, S., Squires, M., Durre, I., Menne, M. J., Williams, C. N., Fenimore, C., Gleason, K. L., & Arndt, D. S. (2014) · Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology · doi:10.1175/jamc-d-13-0248.1 · Cited by 423 · see citing works
Seasonal Climate Variability and Change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States
Abatzoglou, J. T., Rupp, D. E., & Mote, P. W. (2013) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00218.1 · Cited by 230 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Science of Firescapes: Achieving Fire-Resilient Communities
Smith, A. M. S., Kolden, C. A., Paveglio, T. B., Cochrane, M. A., Bowman, D. M. J. S., Moritz, M. A., Kliskey, A. D., Alessa, L., Hudak, A. T., Hoffman, C. M., et al. (2016) · BioScience · doi:10.1093/biosci/biv182 · Cited by 217 · see citing works
Self-citationIncreased Interannual Precipitation Extremes over California under Climate Change
Berg, N. H., & Hall, A. D. (2015) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00624.1 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Seager, R., Neelin, J. D., Simpson, I. R., Liu, H., Henderson, N., Shaw, T. A., Kushnir, Y., Ting, M., & Cook, B. I. (2014) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00153.1 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California
Williams, P., Clemesha, R. E. S., Iacobellis, S. F., Seager, R., Cook, B. I., Still, C. J., Husak, G. J., & Michaelsen, J. C. (2015) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1002/2015gl063266 · Cited by 95 · see citing works
Toman, E., Stidham, M., McCaffrey, S., & Shindler, B. A. (2013) · doi:10.2737/nrs-gtr-111 · Cited by 81 · see citing works
Barnett, K., Parks, S. A., Miller, C., & Naughton, H. T. (2016) · Forests · doi:10.3390/f7100237 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
Williams, P., Gentine, P., Moritz, M. A., Roberts, D. A., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2018) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2018gl077319 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Self-citationForest density preferences of homebuyers in the wildland-urban interface
Hjerpe, E. E., Kim, Y., & Dunn, L. (2016) · Forest Policy and Economics · doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2016.05.012 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Vegetation fires in the Anthropocene
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Kolden, C. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Johnston, F. H., van der Werf, G. R., & Flannigan, M. (2020) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-020-0085-3 · Cited by 1,148 · see citing works
Self-citationObserved Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire in California
Williams, P., Abatzoglou, J. T., Gershunov, A., Guzman‐Morales, J., Bishop, D. A., Balch, J. K., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2019) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2019ef001210 · Cited by 1,100 · see citing works
Self-citationFire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers
McLauchlan, K. K., Higuera, P. E., Miesel, J., Rogers, B. M., Schweitzer, J., Shuman, J. K., Tepley, A. J., Varner, J. M., Veblen, T. T., Adalsteinsson, S. A., et al. (2020) · Journal of Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2745.13403 · Cited by 729 · see citing works
“…characteristics of individual fires and changing fire regimes, in some cases pushing them outside the historical range of variability in terms of frequency, size, seasonality or severity (Abatzoglou & Williams, 2016; Balch et al., 2018; Kelly et al., 2013; Miller et al., 2019; Walker et al., 2018).”
Self-citationUnderstanding and managing connected extreme events
Raymond, C., Horton, R., Jakob Zscheischler, A., Martius, O., AghaKouchak, A., Balch, J. K., Bowen, S. G., Camargo, S. J., Hess, J. J., Kornhuber, K., et al. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4 · Cited by 718 · see citing works
Self-citationExtreme weather impacts of climate change: an attribution perspective
Clarke, B. J., Otto, F. E. L., Stuart-Smith, R. F., & Harrington, L. J. (2022) · Environmental Research Climate · doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ac6e7d · Cited by 636 · see citing works
Rethinking resilience to wildfire
McWethy, D. B., Schoennagel, T., Higuera, P. E., Krawchuk, M., Harvey, B. J., Metcalf, E. C., Schultz, C., Miller, C., Metcalf, A. L., Buma, B., et al. (2019) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0353-8 · Cited by 318 · see citing works
Self-citationFocus on changing fire regimes: interactions with climate, ecosystems, and society
Rogers, B. M., Balch, J. K., Goetz, S. J., Lehmann, C. E. R., & Turetsky, M. R. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d3a · Cited by 245 · see citing works
Self-citationWarming weakens the night-time barrier to global fire
Balch, J. K., Abatzoglou, J. T., Joseph, M. B., Koontz, M. J., Mahood, A. L., McGlinchy, J., Cattau, M. E., & Williams, P. (2022) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-021-04325-1 · Cited by 239 · see citing works
Self-citationThe 2017 North Bay and Southern California Fires: A Case Study
Nauslar, N. J., Abatzoglou, J. T., & Marsh, P. T. (2018) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire1010018 · Cited by 176 · see citing works
Self-citationClimate change increases risk of extreme rainfall following wildfire in the western United States
Touma, D., Stevenson, S. L., Swain, D. L., Singh, D., Kalashnikov, D. A., & Huang, X. (2022) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abm0320 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Touma, D., Stevenson, S. L., Lehner, F., & Coats, S. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-020-20570-w · Cited by 150 · see citing works
Cattau, M. E., Wessman, C. A., Mahood, A. L., & Balch, J. K. (2020) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.13058 · Cited by 147 · see citing works
Self-citationRoos, C. I., Swetnam, T. W., Ferguson, T. J., Liebmann, M. J., Loehman, R. A., Welch, J. R., Margolis, E. Q., Guiterman, C. H., Hockaday, W. C., Aiuvalasit, M. J., et al. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2018733118 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Increasing Synchronous Fire Danger in Forests of the Western United States
Abatzoglou, J. T., Juang, C. S., Williams, P., Kolden, C. A., & Westerling, A. L. (2020) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2020gl091377 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Year 2017: Megafires and Management in the Cerrado
Fidélis, A., Alvarado, S. T., Barradas, A. C. S., & Pivello, V. R. (2018) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire1030049 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Tripling of western US particulate pollution from wildfires in a warming climate
Xie, Y., Lin, M., Decharme, B., Delire, C., Horowitz, L. W., Lawrence, D. M., Li, F., & Séférian, R. (2022) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2111372119 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Wildfire impacts on forest microclimate vary with biophysical context
Clark‐Wolf, K., Higuera, P. E., Davis, K. T., & Dobrowski, S. Z. (2021) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.3467 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Australian forests, megafires and the risk of dwindling carbon stocks
Bowman, D. M. J. S., Williamson, G. J., Price, O. F., Ndalila, M. N., & Bradstock, R. A. (2020) · Plant Cell & Environment · doi:10.1111/pce.13916 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Forecasting the Frequency and Magnitude of Postfire Debris Flows Across Southern California
Kean, J. W., & Staley, D. M. (2021) · Earth s Future · doi:10.1029/2020ef001735 · Cited by 91 · see citing works
The season for large fires in Southern California is projected to lengthen in a changing climate
Dong, C., Williams, P., Abatzoglou, J. T., Lin, K., Okin, G. S., Gillespie, T. W., Long, D., Lin, Y., Hall, A. D., & MacDonald, G. M. S. D. (2022) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-022-00344-6 · Cited by 87 · see citing works
Self-citationResilience and fire management in the Anthropocene
Gillson, L., Whitlock, C. L., & Humphrey, G. J. (2019) · Ecology and Society · doi:10.5751/es-11022-240314 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Kolden, C. A., & Henson, C. (2019) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire2010009 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Modeling fuel loads dynamics and fire spread probability in the Brazilian Cerrado
Oliveira, U., Soares-Filho, B. S., Costa, W., Gomes, L., Bustamante, M., & Miranda, H. S. (2020) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2020.118889 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Franquesa, M., Lizundia-Loiola, J., Stehman, S. V., & Chuvieco, E. (2021) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2021.112823 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Towards a systemic approach to fire risk management
Bacciu, V., Sirca, C., & Spano, D. (2021) · Environmental Science & Policy · doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2021.12.015 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
All-hazards dataset mined from the US National Incident Management System 1999–2020
Denis, L. A. S., Short, K. C., McConnell, K., Cook, M., Mietkiewicz, N. P., Buckland, M., & Balch, J. K. (2023) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-023-01955-0 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Self-citationFidélis, A. (2020) · Flora · doi:10.1016/j.flora.2020.151611 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Linking fire and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
Martin, D. A. (2018) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.393 · Cited by 54 · see citing works
Iglesias, V., Stavros, E. N., Balch, J. K., Barrett, K., Cobian‐Iñiguez, J., Hester, C. M., Kolden, C. A., Leyk, S., Nagy, R. C., Reid, C. E., et al. (2022) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac5c0c · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Self-citationMcEvoy, D. J., Hobbins, M., Brown, T. J., VanderMolen, K., Wall, T. U., Huntington, J., & Svoboda, M. D. (2019) · Climate · doi:10.3390/cli7040052 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
dos Santos, A. C., Montenegro, S. D. R., Ferreira, M. C., Barradas, A. C. S., & Schmidt, I. B. (2021) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112508 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Amil, M. L. C., García-Martínez, E., & Touza, J. (2020) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101623 · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Heat-triggered high-performance thermocells enable a self-powered forest fire alarm
Yu, B., Yang, W. F., Li, J., Xie, W., Jin, H., Liu, R., Wang, H., Zhuang, X., Qi, B. L., Liu, S., et al. (2021) · Journal of Materials Chemistry A · doi:10.1039/d1ta06793a · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Smith, J. T., Allred, B., Boyd, C. S., Davies, K. W., Jones, M., Kleinhesselink, A. R., Maestas, J. D., & Naugle, D. E. (2022) · Rangeland Ecology & Management · doi:10.1016/j.rama.2022.07.005 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Roos, C. I., Rittenour, T. M., Swetnam, T. W., Loehman, R. A., Hollenback, K. L., Liebmann, M., & Rosenstein, D. D. (2020) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire3030032 · Cited by 38 · see citing works
Patterns and trends in simultaneous wildfire activity in the United States from 1984 to 2015
Podschwit, H. R., & Cullen, A. C. (2020) · International Journal of Wildland Fire · doi:10.1071/wf19150 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
Hakkenberg, C. R., Clark, M. L., Bailey, T., Burns, P., & Goetz, S. J. (2024) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01893-8 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
All-hazards dataset mined from the US National Incident Management System 1999–2014
Denis, L. A. S., Mietkiewicz, N. P., Short, K. C., Buckland, M., & Balch, J. K. (2020) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-020-0403-0 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Self-citationKalashnikov, D. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Nauslar, N. J., Swain, D. L., Touma, D., & Singh, D. (2022) · Environmental Research Climate · doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ac84a0 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Self-citationSpatiotemporal patterns of cheatgrass invasion in Colorado Plateau National Parks
Bishop, T. B. B., Munson, S. M., Gill, R., Belnap, J., Petersen, S. L., & Clair, S. B. S. (2019) · Landscape Ecology · doi:10.1007/s10980-019-00817-8 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
Forbes, B., Reilly, S., Clark, M. L., Ferrell, R., Kelly, A., Krause, P., Matley, C., O’Neil, M., Villasenor, M., Disney, M. I., et al. (2022) · Frontiers in Forests and Global Change · doi:10.3389/ffgc.2022.818713 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
Berčák, R., Holuša, J., Trombik, J., Resnerová, K., & Hlásny, T. (2024) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire7040109 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
How well do the spring indices predict phenological activity across plant species?
Gerst, K. L., Crimmins, T. M., Posthumus, E., Rosemartin, A., & Schwartz, M. D. (2020) · International Journal of Biometeorology · doi:10.1007/s00484-020-01879-z · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Sharma, S., & Dhakal, K. (2021) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire4030045 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
He, Y., Zhou, Z., Im, E., & Kwon, H. (2025) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2025.100751 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Clark, M. L., Hakkenberg, C. R., Bailey, T., Burns, P., & Goetz, S. J. (2025) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2025.114718 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Liang, S., & Hurteau, M. D. (2023) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.14263 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Zhang, Y., Mao, J., Ricciuto, D., Jin, M.-Z., Yu, Y., Shi, X.-Y., Wullschleger, S., Tang, R., & Liu, J. (2023) · Science of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1016/j.srs.2023.100088 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
A Geospatial Framework to Assess Fireline Effectiveness for Large Wildfires in the Western USA
Gannon, B. M., Thompson, M. P., Deming, K. Z., Bayham, J., Wei, Y., & O’Connor, C. D. (2020) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire3030043 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Dataset of United States Incident Management Situation Reports from 2007 to 2021
Nguyen, D. T., Belval, E. J., Wei, Y., Short, K. C., & Calkin, D. E. (2024) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02876-8 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Characterizing the occurrence of wildland-urban interface fires and their important factors in China
Gong, D., Sun, L., & Hu, T. (2024) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112179 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Saim, A. A., & Aly, M. H. (2022) · Geographies · doi:10.3390/geographies2010004 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Modern Pyromes: Biogeographical Patterns of Fire Characteristics across the Contiguous United States
Cattau, M. E., Mahood, A. L., Balch, J. K., & Wessman, C. A. (2022) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire5040095 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Self-citationFire influences ant diversity by modifying vegetation structure in an A ustralian tropical savanna
Brassard, F., Pettit, M., Murphy, B. P., & Andersen, A. N. (2023) · Ecology · doi:10.1002/ecy.4143 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
The Impact of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on Extreme Fire Weather Risk
Touma, D., Hurrell, J., Tye, M., & Dagon, K. (2023) · Earth's Future · doi:10.1029/2023ef003626 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Assessing wildfire risk and mitigation strategies in Qipanshan, China
Zong, X., Tian, X., & Fang, L. (2022) · International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction · doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103237 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Jiang, P., Russell, M., Frelich, L., Babcock, C., & Smith, J. E. (2023) · Science of the Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164832 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Earlier fall precipitation and low severity fire impacts on cheatgrass and sagebrush establishment
Bishop, T. B. B., Nusink, B. C., Molinari, R. L., Taylor, J. B., & Clair, S. B. S. (2020) · Ecosphere · doi:10.1002/ecs2.3019 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
In the Line of Fire: Consequences of Human-Ignited Wildfires to Homes in the U.S. (1992–2015)
Mietkiewicz, N. P., Balch, J. K., Schoennagel, T. L., Leyk, S., Denis, L. A. S., & Bradley, B. A. (2020) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire3030050 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Self-citationMistick, K. A., Dennison, P. E., Campbell, M. J., & Thompson, M. P. (2022) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire5050151 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Fire in the Carboniferous earth system
Scott, A. C. (2024) · Evolving Earth · doi:10.1016/j.eve.2024.100044 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Verification of Red Flag Warnings across the Northwestern U.S. as Forecasts of Large Fire Occurrence
Clark, J., Abatzoglou, J. T., Nauslar, N. J., & Smith, A. M. S. (2020) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire3040060 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Self-citationBibliometric analysis of fires on wildland-urban interfaces
Zong, X., & Tian, X. (2022) · Natural Hazards Research · doi:10.1016/j.nhres.2022.08.003 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
A new purple-flowered Butia (Arecaceae) from the highlands of the Chapada dos Veadeiros (Brazil)
Sant’Anna-Santos, B. F. (2023) · Plant Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.5091/plecevo.110654 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Quantifying Western US tree carbon stocks and sequestration from fires
Jiang, P., Russell, M. B., Babcock, C., & Frelich, L. (2025) · Fire Ecology · doi:10.1186/s42408-025-00360-9 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Spatial analysis of wildfire burn severity and urban exposure assessment in Southwestern Türkiye
Zengin, E., & Acar, R. U. (2025) · Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration · doi:10.1007/s41207-025-00850-x · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Brassard, F., Murphy, B. P., & Andersen, A. N. (2024) · Ecological Applications · doi:10.1002/eap.3025 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Valles, H. E. P., Nunes, G. M., Berlinck, C. N., Gonçalves, L. G., & Ribeiro, G. H. P. M. (2023) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs15112934 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Recognizing Women Leaders in Fire Science
Smith, A. M. S., Kolden, C. A., Prichard, S. J., GRAY, R. F., Hessburg, P. F., & Balch, J. K. (2018) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire1020030 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationGreen, K., Tukman, M., Loudon, D., Schichtel, A., Gaffney, K., & Clark, M. L. (2020) · California Fish and Wildlife Journal · doi:10.51492/cfwj.firesi.1 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Qian, W., Ai, Y., Yu, J., & Du, J. (2021) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105804 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
McWethy, D. B., Alt, M., Argiriadis, E., Battistel, D., Everett, R., & Pederson, G. T. (2020) · Frontiers in Forests and Global Change · doi:10.3389/ffgc.2020.00044 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Recognizing Women Leaders in Fire Science: Revisited
Smith, A. M. S., & Strand, E. K. (2018) · Fire · doi:10.3390/fire1030045 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Pre‐Fire Fuel Conditions Are Dominant Drivers of Burn Severity in the 2025 Los Angeles County Fires
Ward-Baranyay, M., Lee, C., Pascolini‐Campbell, M., Sousa, D. J., & Kinoshita, A. M. (2026) · AGU Advances · doi:10.1029/2025av002179 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Fire management benefits tree growth and survival in the Brazilian savanna
Montenegro, S. D. R., Ferreira, M. C., dos Santos, A. C., Fonseca, C. B., Rodrigues, C. A., & Schmidt, I. B. (2025) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125085 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Phillips, C. A., Merner, L. D., & Otto, F. E. L. (2025) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781009409155.004 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Contrasting Trends in Colorado Fire Weather Index from Reanalysis and Observations
Silver, M., & Lundquist, J. K. (2025) · Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology · doi:10.1175/jamc-d-24-0043.1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Declines in Conifer Forest Recovery and Forest Loss From Four Decades of Wildfire in California
Bhoot, V. N., Kim, J. E., Randerson, J. T., & Goulden, M. L. (2026) · Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences · doi:10.1029/2025jg009105 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Climate Change and Agriculture
Imran, Benkeblia, N., Amanullah, & Al-Tawaha, A. R. (2022) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781119789789.ch1 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Berčák, R., Holuša, J., Trombik, J., Resnerová, K., & Hlásny, T. (2023) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3359672/v1 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Chileen, B. V., McLauchlan, K. K., & Higuera, P. E. (2019) · Abstracts with programs - Geological Society of America · doi:10.1130/abs/2019sc-327699
Features of the occurrence of fires on the territory of the National Nature Park “Podilski Tovtry”
Мудрак, О. В., Demyanyuk, O., & Andrusiak, D. (2022) · Ecological Sciences · doi:10.32846/2306-9716/2022.eco.6-45.7
Edge Effects in the Amazon Rainforest in Brazil’s Roraima State
Barni, P. E., Anderson, L. O., Aragão, L. E. O. C., Citó, A. C., Barbosa, R. I., Xaud, H. A. M., Xaud, M. R., & Fearnside, P. M. (2025) · Forests · doi:10.3390/f16081322
Clark‐Wolf, K., & Higuera, P. E. (2023) · doi:10.64628/aai.cc74mdjpw
Cui, T., Xu, G., Zhou, A., Chen, J. M., Cook, A., & Wang, Z. (2026) · Transportmetrica B Transport Dynamics · doi:10.1080/21680566.2025.2612243
Su, L., Yin, S., Letu, H., Shang, H., Guo, M., Yi, K., Chu, Q., Chen, L., & Shi, C. (2026) · Environment International · doi:10.1016/j.envint.2026.110204
Random Forests for Wildfire Insurance Applications
Bairakdar, R., Boudreault, M., & Mailhot, M. (2023) · Variance · doi:10.66573/001c.81983
- Authors
- Balch, J. K., Schoennagel, T., Williams, A. P., Abatzoglou, J. T., Cattau, M. E., Mietkiewicz, N. P., & St. Denis, L. A.
- Affiliations
- Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (US)
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (US)
- Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA
- University of Idaho (US)
- Earth Lab, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA
- Corresponding author
- Balch, Jennifer K.
- Venue
- Fire
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2018-06-05
- Volume
- 1
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 17
- ISSN
- 2571-6255 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2806385239
- Cited by
- 88
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 7 · 2018: 5
- FWCI
- 6.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Fire (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- NOAA Institutional Repository (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- NASA (NNX14AJ14G)
- Center for Climate and Life at Columbia University (NA)
- Earth Lab through CIRES and the University of Colorado, Boulder’s Grand Challenge Initiative (NA)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Fire effects on ecosystems
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Forest Management and Policy
- Keywords
- 2017 wildfires, wildfire risk, anthropogenic climate change, fuel conditions, aridity, ignition, shifting baselines, wildfire policy, climate change adaptation, fire management, United States
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
