Declining employment among young black less-educated men: The role of incarceration and child support
Abstract
In this paper, we explore the continuing decline in employment and labor force participation of nonenrolled Black men between the ages of 16 and 34 who have a high school education or less in the 1980s and 1990s. We focus on two fairly new developments: (1) the dramatic growth in the number of young Black men who have been incarcerated and (2) strengthened enforcement of child support policies. We analyze micro-level data from the Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Groups (CPS-ORG), into which state-level data over time on incarceration rates and child support enforcement have been merged. Our results indicate that previous incarceration and child support enforcement can account for half or more of the decline in employment activity among Black men aged 25–34. Previous incarceration also contributes to the decline among those aged 16–24. © 2005 by the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management
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Increasingly sophisticated demographic estimates documented disparities in crime and incarceration and their consequences for economic activity and labor markets.
“Early works called attention to the staggeringly disparate rates of crime and incarceration (Hagan and Peterson 1995;Tonry 2022), and increasingly sophisticated demographic estimates documented these disparities and their consequences for economic activity and labor markets (Apel and Sweeten 2010;Holzer et al. 2005;Pager 2003;Pettit 2012;Pettit and Western 2004;Western 2006;Western and Beckett 199”
From The Rise of the Carceral State: Foundations and Contours of a Rapidly Changing Criminal Legal System (2025) · cites this paper as Holzer et al. 2005
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BackgroundChild Support Conviction and Recidivism: A Statistical Interaction Pattern by Race
Spjeldnes, S., Yamatani, H., & Davis, M. M. (2015) · Journal of Evidence-Informed Social Work · doi:10.1080/15433714.2014.992697 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
“A considerable body of literature shows that incarceration significantly affects employment opportunities and the ability to pay child support, which is particularly evident for noncustodial fathers between the ages of 25 and 34 (Geller, Garfinkel, & Western, 2011; Holzer et al., 2005).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialIncome Support Policies for Low-Income Men and Noncustodial Fathers: Tax and Transfer Programs
Mincy, R., Klempin, S., & Schmidt, H. (2011) · The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science · doi:10.1177/0002716210393869 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
“…evidence that the child support burdens of low-income fathers reduce their employment or labor force participation rate (Freeman and Waldfogel 2001; Holzer, Offner, and Sorensen 2005), there is preliminary evidence that when arrears are high relative to fathers' income, formal labor force…”
Rethinking public policy toward low-income fathers in the child support program
Sorensen, E. (2010) · doi:10.1002/pam.20512 · Cited by 9
Self-citation
- Authors
- Holzer, H. J., Offner, P., & Sorensen, E.
- Affiliations
- Georgetown University (US)
- Urban Institute (US)
- ORCID
- Holzer, Harry J.
- Venue
- Journal of Policy Analysis and Management
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2005
- Volume
- 24
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 329-350
- ISSN
- 0276-8739 (ISSN-L)
- 1520-6688
- OpenAlex
- W2026893866
- Cited by
- 190
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 6 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 8 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 36.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Issue Lab (Candid) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Keywords
- incarceration, child support enforcement, employment decline, labor force participation, Black men, young men, low educational attainment, criminal records
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