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Cited by 441

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 141 of the 141 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Low‐carbon transition risks for finance

Open access
Semieniuk, Gregor, Campiglio, Emanuele, Mercure, Jean‐Francois, Volz, Ulrich, Edwards, Neil R.·2021·WIREs Climate Change

Abstract

The transition to a low‐carbon economy will entail a large‐scale structural change. Some industries will have to expand their relative economic weight, while other industries, especially those directly linked to fossil fuel production and consumption, will have to decline. Such a systemic shift may have major repercussions on the stability of financial systems, via abrupt asset revaluations, defaults on debt, and the creation of bubbles in rising industries. Studies on previous industrial transitions have shed light on the financial transition risks originating from rapidly rising “sunrise” industries. In contrast, a similar conceptual understanding of risks from declining “sunset” industries is currently lacking. We substantiate this claim with a critical review of the conceptual and historical literature, which also shows that most literature either examines structural change in the real economy, or risks to financial stability, but rarely both together. We contribute to filling this research gap by developing a consistent theoretical framework of the drivers, transmission channels, and impacts of the phase‐out of carbon‐intensive industries on the financial system and on the feedback from the financial system into the rest of the economy. We also review the state of play of policy aiming to protect the financial system from transition risks and spell out research implications. This article is categorized under: Climate Economics > Economics and Climate Change

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Metadata

Authors
Semieniuk, G., Campiglio, E., Mercure, J., Volz, U., & Edwards, N. R.
Venue
WIREs Climate Change
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2020-10
Volume
12
Issue
1
ISSN
  • 1757-7780 (ISSN-L)
  • 1757-7799
OpenAlex
W2998183603
Cited by
441
References
141
FWCI
44.74
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

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