Cited by 44Disaster Management and ResilienceEarthquake and Disaster Impact StudiesDisaster Response and Management

Disaster preparedness and resilience at household level in Yangon, Myanmar

Open access
Heinkel, Sophie-Bo, Thiebes, Benni, Zin Mar Than, Toe Aung, Tin Tin Kyi, Win Lei Mar, Saw Sandar Oo, Miller, Christian +6 more·2022·Natural Hazards

Published version of a preprint

Abstract

Resilience has become important in disaster preparedness and response. Unfortunately, little is known about resilience at the household level. This study presents the results of a survey into individual and household level preparedness to disaster events in Yangon, Myanmar, which is prone to natural disasters such as tropical cyclones, flooding, and earthquakes. The study aimed to understand societal resilience and to provide information that could be used to develop a holistic framework. In four different Yangon townships, 440 households were interviewed. The results of the survey indicate how risk preparedness could be improved by specific measures related to the following five factors: (1) increasing the general public’s knowledge of first aid and its role in preparedness; (2) improving mobile phone infrastructure and capacity building in its usage so that it can be used for communication during disasters, along with building up a redundant communication structure; (3) better use and organisation of volunteer potential; (4) more specific involvement of religious and public buildings for disaster response; and (5) developing specific measures for improving preparedness in urban areas, where the population often has reduced capacities for coping with food supply insufficiencies due to the high and immediate availability of food, shops and goods in regular times. The findings of this survey have led to specific recommendations for Yangon. The identified measures represent a first step in developing a more general framework. Future research could investigate the transferability of these measures to other areas and thus their suitability as a basis for a framework.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

A 2020 household survey of 440 households in four Yangon townships finds uneven disaster preparedness: most households can cover some immediate food/water needs and have mobile phones, but first-aid knowledge/kits, redundant communication, and stockpiling in urban living conditions are weak. The authors recommend first-aid education, mobile-phone-based risk communication plus redundant systems, volunteer coordination, and using religious/public buildings as shelters and information nodes.

Key findings

  • Medical preparedness was limited: 71.6% said they had prepared medical provision, but only 25.9% of those had first-aid kits at home and 25.2% had separately noted doctor/health-station contact numbers; 89.9% equated medical provision with medicine for family members, and 28.4% were not prepared at all.
  • Water, food, and energy: 80.3% used bottled drinking water; median stored water was 8 L per household member (range 1.0–95.0 L), with a significant township difference between Pazundaung (median 10.0 L) and Dawbon (median 6.7 L; p = 0.02), and 60.9% bought water at least every 3 days. 56.9% stored dry food for one month or longer, while 18.9% stored none; 87.0% had alternative cooking facilities and 88.4% had alternative light sources.
  • Communication, experience, and volunteering: median mobile phones per household was 3, with only 2 of 440 households having none; 79.5% relied on TV, 41.3% used social media/apps, 25.8% mentioned radio, and only one in three households had a radio (median 0; mean 0.4). 91.1% had experienced a disaster; 89.3% were willing to volunteer but only 3.9% were already involved; 85.0% named religious buildings as safe shelters.

Methods

  • Cross-sectional household survey conducted in February 2020 in four Yangon townships—Pazundaung, Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa—selected for river/flood exposure; 440 households were sampled via stratified sampling by township and ward, with 110 interviews per township and 11 per randomly selected ward.
  • The questionnaire covered risk response behaviour, information/communication, food and water stockpiling, alternative energy, transportation, health-care preparedness, safety/security, COVID-19 perception, and civil-society cooperation; data were analysed in IBM SPSS using nonparametric tests (Kruskal–Wallis, Mann–Whitney) and Spearman correlation because the data lacked normal distribution.

Limitations

  • Stated by the paper: the study provides qualitative results and lacks clear quantification of urban resilience; smartphone ownership was not separately assessed; explicit knowledge of how long lighting alternatives would last could not be assessed; and younger respondents may not know or remember household disaster experience, posing response bias.
  • Evident from the text: the survey is cross-sectional and self-reported, covers only four townships, and therefore is not representative of all Yangon or Myanmar and cannot establish causality; several open-ended behaviour answers were diverse and contradictory, limiting inference about actual preparedness.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1007/s11069-022-05226-w

Cites

52 of 52 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

8 of 35 cited sources checked · 2 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    The availability of resources such as food, water, medical provisions and first-aid kits, and electricity alternatives for the first three days saves lives during and after disasters.

    “The availability of resources such as food, water, medical provisions and first-aid kits, and electricity alternatives for this time period saves lives during and after disasters (Petit et al. 2011).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Petit et al. 2011 source

      The Introduction and §2 Citizen preparedness discuss preparedness and community resilience, but do not say that particular supplies save lives. Searches for food, water, first-aid kits, electricity alternatives, a three-day period, and lives saved found no passage addressing that claim. The reference to a 72hours website in §2 does not establish it. (LLM, conf=0.74)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Individual disaster preparedness is a key aspect of resilience in low- and middle-income countries.

    “Individual disaster preparedness is a key aspect of resilience in low- and middle-income countries (Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017), where rescue and disaster management systems often do not have sufficient capacities for immediate and efficient disaster response.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017 source
  • Interpretationown data

    The high availability of mobile phones and power banks potentially make mobile phones and social media good sources for risk communication.

    “The high availability of mobile phones and power banks potentially make mobile phones and social media good sources for risk communication (Myat Htut Nyunt et al. 2015; Cheng et al. 2016; Lai et al. 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Myat Htut Nyunt et al. 2015 source

      The Results (Table 1; page unavailable) record mobile phones in 230 of 832 households (27.64%), but do not characterize their availability as high. The Discussion says mass media may be suitable for behaviour-change communication, referring to television, radio and DVD players; it does not identify mobile phones or social media as suitable channels. Our copy provides no evidence about power banks. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Cheng et al. 2016 source
    • cites Lai et al. 2018 source

      The Information repertoires and disaster preparedness section describes increasingly ubiquitous mobile phones as a way to access risk information, and the Introduction identifies social media as a source of disaster information (page numbers unavailable). The paper does not address power banks, so it does not support that part of the proposed reason these channels would be useful. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Findingown data

    Only 15.9% of the respondents noted that they had experiences with earthquakes.

    “Only 15.9% of the respondents noted that they had experiences with earthquakes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Households in the inner urban townships tended to have slightly more mobile phones per household than households in the new towns.

    “Households in the inner urban townships tended to have slightly more mobile phones per household than households in the new towns.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 55
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 42
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • May combine two claims.

    Premiseown data

    This result exceeds numbers from the Philippines and Thailand, where 50% and only 14.4% of the population stockpile food, as well as from Hong Kong, where 57.3% store food.

    “This result exceeds numbers from, e.g. the Philippines and Thailand, where 50% and only 14.4% of the population stockpile food (Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017), as well as from Hong Kong, where 57.3% store food (Tam et al. 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017 source

      The passages returned from the indexed copy are bibliographic entries, not findings about food stockpiling. Searches for “14.4%,” “stockpile food,” and the Philippines and Thailand percentages found no passage verifying the two figures attributed to Hoffmann and Muttarak. The Hong Kong figure is attached to a different citation and is not part of this verdict. (LLM, conf=0.70)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Tam et al. 2018 source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Social support during disasters is a further central part of local disaster resilience.

    “Social support during disasters is a further central part of local disaster resilience. Social support includes daily exchange and social networks with others (Scherer and Cho 2003; Djalante et al. 2020) and the acquisition of volunteers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Scherer and Cho 2003 source
    • cites Djalante et al. 2020 source

      Section 3.2.6 says community-based disaster preparedness is crucial and that community networks can aid warnings, while social linkages may influence risk perception. This supports a role for social networks in local preparedness, but it does not describe daily exchange or establish social support as a central part of disaster resilience. The citation appears before the separate mention of acquiring volunteers. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Studies have pointed out the positive impact on disaster preparedness of formal education, such as in nursery schools, schools and universities, and informal education, such as community-based methods to reduce disaster risks.

    “In fact, studies have pointed out the positive impact on disaster preparedness of formal education, such as in nursery schools, schools and universities (Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017), and informal education, such as community-based methods to reduce disaster risks (Allen 2006; Maskrey 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017 source

      The searches for formal education, schooling, and disaster preparedness returned only the paper’s abstract and metadata, not a passage from its full text. Under the specified evidence rule, those results cannot establish what the paper says about formal education in nursery schools, schools, or universities. The informal-education clause is attributed to other sources and is not judged here. (LLM, conf=0.65)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites Allen 2006 source
    • cites Maskrey 2011 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Seven per cent, mainly from Dawbon and those with high school and graduate degrees, would open the door and windows.

    “Seven per cent, mainly from Dawbon and those with high school and graduate degrees, would open the door and windows, probably because, during past cyclones, people were instructed by authorities to do so.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    While answers concerning flooding seemed more directed and solution focused, behaviour during tropical cyclones and earthquakes seemed highly diverse and partly contradictive.

    “While the answers to questions concerning flooding seemed to be more directed and solution focused, the behaviour during tropical cyclones and earthquakes seemed to be highly divers and partly contradictive.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Reasons for not stockpiling dry food include shortage of money (15.2%), shops being nearby (16.7%), buying food daily in daily neighbourhood markets (19.9%), seeing no need (4.5%), small and single household sizes (7.6%), less storing space (4.5%), not cooking at home (7.6%), thinking stockpiling food would be unhealthy (9.1%), fear of vermin infestation or expiring food (4.5%), and not wanting to

    “Besides a shortage of money (15.2%), many of the reasons for the lack of stockpiling are based on the urban settlement characteristics: people said that shops are nearby (16.7%) and the household buys food daily in daily neighbourhood markets (19.9%). Consequently, they saw no need (4.5%) for stockpiling dry food. Also, small and single household sizes (7.6%) and less storing space (4.5%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Mobile phones (14.2%) and power banks/light sources (13.7%) were ranked as important belongings, while battery-driven radios (0.3%) were less often mentioned.

    “Also, mobile phones (14.2%) as alternative sources of information with charged power banks and light sources (13.7%) were ranked as important belongings. Battery-driven radios (0.3%) were less often mentioned.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingnone given

    Many people associate religion and monasteries and other religious buildings with places of safety and security.

    “Furthermore, many people associate religion and monasteries and other religious buildings with places of safety and security.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Other answers referred to helping (6.5%) or warning (3.0%) family, friends, and neighbours.

    “Other answers referred to helping (6.5%) or warning (3.0%) family, friends, and neighbours.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Most of the answers came from participants in Dawbon (26-28%).

    “Most of the answers came from participants in Dawbon (26–28%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only 1.4% mentioned their concerns about being separated from their families in case of disasters, while people mainly expressed their concerns about health and life of their family members (36.0%).

    “Only 1.4% mentioned their concerns about being separated from their families in case of disasters, while people mainly expressed their concerns about health and life of their family members (36.0%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Fewer people relied on newspapers (15.1%), mouth-to-mouth information (12.8%) and alarms or sirens (7.3%).

    “Fewer people relied on newspapers (15.1%), mouth-to-mouth information (12.8%) and alarms or sirens (7.3%) (Fig. 3b).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only 9.3% of the participants, mainly those from Pazundaung and Tamwe and with higher educational degrees, would stay under furniture.

    “Only 9.3% of the participants, mainly those from Pazundaung and Tamwe and with higher educational degrees, would stay under furniture.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Fewer people in Pazundaung referred to cleaning drainage but more in Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa.

    “Fewer people in Pazundaung referred to this aspect but more in Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    In case of electricity supply disruptions, the households have alternative sources of lighting.

    “In case of electricity supply disruptions, the households have alternative sources of lighting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The total median number of stored litres of drinking water per household member was 8 L, with a range of 1.0-95.0 L per person.

    “The total median number of stored litres of drinking water per household member was 8 L, including a high range of 1.0–95.0 L per person.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    There is a high motivation to volunteer as part of disaster management.

    “There is a high motivation to volunteer as part of disaster management.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    A clear focus in all townships was on helping family, friends, and neighbours (19.3%) and also on cooperation with neighbours and organisations (7.5%).

    “A clear focus in all townships was on helping family, friends, and neighbours (19.3%) and also on cooperation with neighbours and organisations (7.5%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only 8.8% of the respondents stored dry food for 2-3 days, 19.0% had dry food for one week at home, and 12.2% for two weeks.

    “Only 8.8% of the respondents stored dry food for 2–3 days, 19.0% had dry food for one week at home and 12.2% for two weeks.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the survey, the most frequently mentioned important belongings to carry in case of evacuation were important documents (122.9%), money and jewellery/gold/valuables (68.8%), food and water (49.7%), clothes (27.0%), and medicine (19.4%).

    “Many respondents were aware of the main important belongings, such as (i) important documents (122.9%),1 (ii) money and jewellery, gold and valuables (68.8%), (iii) food and water (49.7%), (iv) clothes (27.0%), and (v) medicine (19.4%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The main light sources were LED lights (24.5%), battery-driven torches (11.8%), candles (10.7%), emergency lights (9.5%), chargeable lights (8.6%), solar lights (1.4%), flashlights (0.9%), generators (9.3%), or inverters (6.8%).

    “The main light sources were LED lights (24.5%). Besides this source, a high variety of alternative light sources were mentioned such as battery-driven torches (11.8%), candles (10.7%) or emergency lights (9.5%), chargeable lights (8.6%), solar lights (1.4%), flashlights (0.9%), or even generators (9.3%) or inverters (6.8%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    People see no need and no space to stockpile water and food in regular times.

    “People see no need and no space to stockpile water and food in regular times.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only 25.9% of those who prepared medical provision had first-aid kits at home or separately noted contact numbers of doctors or health stations (25.2%).

    “However, only 25.9% of those had first-aid kits at home or separately noted contact numbers of doctors or health stations (25.2%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In case of an earthquake, the majority of respondents would go outside to open spaces (37.1%) or move to unspecified safe places or a shelter (25.7%).

    “In case of an earthquake, the majority of respondents would go outside to open spaces (37.1%) or move to unspecified safe places or a shelter (25.7%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The answers to questions about flooding were less contradictive.

    “The answers to questions about flooding were less contradictive.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The percentage of smart phone users in Yangon is unclear as it was not separately accessed in the survey.

    “The percentage of smart phones users in Yangon is, however, unclear as it was not separately accessed in the survey.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In case of a tropical cyclone, 34.1% of the households would move to a shelter, 25.3% would stay at home.

    “In case of a tropical cyclone, 34.1% of the households would move to a shelter, 25.3% would stay at home.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The median number of mobile phones per household was three; only two out of 440 households had no mobile phone.

    “In contrast, the median number of mobile phones per household was three; only two out of 440 households had no mobile phone.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Knowledge and behaviour during disasters differ on small scales between townships and between people with different educational backgrounds in Yangon.

    “Knowledge and behaviour during disasters differ on small scales between townships and between people with different educational backgrounds in Yangon.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Disaster preparedness and exchange about potential disasters is perceived as a religiously sensitive topic in Myanmar.

    “Disaster preparedness and exchange about potential disasters is perceived as a religiously sensitive topic in Myanmar.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    This answer came mainly from participants in Dawbon and Thaketa and also from people with higher educational degrees (high school and graduate school).

    “This answer came mainly from participants in Dawbon and Thaketa and also from people with higher educational degrees (high school and graduate school).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Yangon's population seems to be well prepared for short- and medium-term food supply insufficiencies, as more than 70% store enough dry food, such as rice or flour, for one week or longer and alternative cooking devices exist.

    “Yangon’s population seems to be well prepared for short- and medium-term food supply insufficiencies, as more than 70% store enough dry food, such as rice or flour, for one week or longer and alternative cooking devices exist.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    People wanted to cooperate with civil society organisations (62.2%), the neighbourhood (48.7%), or governmental administrative units (44.2%) for voluntary disaster prevention.

    “People wanted to cooperate with civil society organisations (62.2%), the neighbourhood (48.7%), or with governmental administrative units (44.2%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The TV is still the main information source and would reach the majority of the Yangon population.

    “The TV is still the main information source and would reach to the majority of the Yangon population.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Answers to the open questions about behaviour in case of natural hazards were diverse and, in many cases, contradictive.

    “Answers to the open questions about behaviour in case of these natural hazards were diverse and, in many cases, contradictive.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Almost all participants in Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa (90.0-91.8%) had already experienced a cyclone, while in Pazundaung 73.6% said they had experienced such an event.

    “While almost all participants in the townships of Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa (90.0–91.8%) had already experienced a cyclone, in Pazundaung 73.6% said they had experienced such an event.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    In Pazundaung, the average buying frequency of the drinking water barrels is a week, but people have a higher buying frequency, e.g. every two or three days, in other townships.

    “In Pazundaung, the average buying frequency of the drinking water barrels is a week, but people have a higher buying frequency, e.g. every two or three days, in other townships.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    A small number of people would increase the house's resistance against cyclones (3.8%) and/or repair damages from the storm immediately (2.4%).

    “A small number of people would increase the house’s resistance against cyclones (3.8%) and/or repair damages from the storm immediately (2.4%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    In our study, we assessed also a tendency to this correlation.

    “In our study, we assessed also a tendency to this correlation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The main alternative cooking sources were charcoal (42.7%) and gas (42.3%); firewood was less often mentioned (1.8%).

    “The main alternative cooking sources were charcoal (42.7%) and gas (42.3%); firewood was less often mentioned (1.8%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There was no significant difference in stockpiling of food between townships, education, sex, or occupation, while those who stockpiled food were significantly older than those who did not (p < 0.01).

    “There was no significant difference in stockpiling of food between townships, education, sex, or occupation, while those who stockpiled food were significantly older than those who did not (p < 0.01).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Other important strategies were keeping important things for evacuation (6.1%), building water barriers and sandbags (3.7%), and construction of boats and life jackets from plastic bottles (1.9%).

    “Other important strategies were ‘keeping important things for evacuation’ (6.1%), ‘building water barriers and sandbags’ (3.7%), and the ‘construction of boats and life jackets from plastic bottles’ (1.9%).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Many people were aware that one of the human-made reasons for flooding are blocked drainages; thus 14.7% would clean or check the drainage system.

    “Many people were aware that one of the human-made reasons for flooding are blocked drainages; thus 14.7% would clean or check the drainage system.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    There is a high solidarity in the civil society.

    “There is a high solidarity in the civil society.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Most people are prepared for short-term power-cuts but not for longer electric power supply disruptions.

    “This means that most people are prepared for short-term power-cuts but not for longer electric power supply disruptions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The 7% who would open door and windows probably did so because during past cyclones people were instructed by authorities to do so.

    “Seven per cent, mainly from Dawbon and those with high school and graduate degrees, would open the door and windows, probably because, during past cyclones, people were instructed by authorities to do so.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    More opportunities for and better coordination of volunteer work would strengthen civil society and ensure a better social embeddedness of those who run a risk of becoming left behind.

    “More opportunities for and better coordination of volunteer work would strengthen civil society and ensure a better social embeddedness of those who run a risk of becoming left behind.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    According to the SPHERE guideline, the minimum amount of drinking water needed per day per person is 2.5-3 L.

    “According to the SPHERE guideline, the minimum amount of drinking water needed per day per person is 2.5–3 L (Sphere Association 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Sphere Association 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    It might not be common to have extra food at home as, especially in the densely settled areas of Yangon, living space is limited and consuming street food daily is common.

    “It also might not be common to have extra food at home as, especially in the densely settled areas of Yangon, living space is limited and consuming street food daily is common.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Areas with frequent power cuts might be better prepared due to a greater flexibility to adapt to alternative forms of cooking.

    “Areas with frequent power cuts might be better prepared due to a greater flexibility to adapt to alternative forms of cooking.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    The YCDC recommends stockpiling water bottles and (dry) food for three days per household in order to be prepared for an eventual evacuation.

    “The YCDC recommends stockpiling water bottles and (dry) food for three days per household in order to be prepared for an eventual evacuation (YCDC 2020).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites YCDC 2020

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Initiatives for increasing institutional preparedness started after cyclone Nargis in 2009.

    “Initiatives for increasing institutional preparedness started after cyclone Nargis in 2009 (Zin Mar Than et al. 2020).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Zin Mar Than et al. 2020

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Religious buildings play an important role in disaster response as safe shelters because the locations of monasteries and other religious buildings are well known in the neighbourhoods and these locations can be easily communicated.

    “Religious buildings play an important role in disaster response as safe shelters because the locations of monasteries and other religious buildings are well known in the neighbourhoods and these locations can be easily communicated.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Due to the high and immediate availability of food, shops, and goods in regular times, some people see no need for extra stockpiling.

    “Due to the high and immediate availability of food, shops, and goods in regular times, some people see no need for extra stockpiling.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    A study of household resilience concerning flooding in Bangladesh has shown a positive impact of education on household resilience.

    “A study of household resilience concerning flooding in Bangladesh, for instance, has shown a positive impact of education on household resilience (Mondal et al. 2021).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Mondal et al. 2021 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    People affected by cyclone Nargis reported that they did not get proper alerts in advance and thus had been surprised by the cyclone's intensity.

    “People affected by cyclone Nargis reported that they did not get proper alerts in advance and thus had been surprised by the cyclone’s intensity (Nyan Win Myint et al. 2011).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Nyan Win Myint et al. 2011
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Resilience on a household level can be improved on the level of preparedness for medical emergencies and for supply insufficiencies (water and food, energy, information, and communication), and with knowledge about behaviour and evacuation situations.

    “Resilience on a household level can be improved on the level of preparedness for medical emergencies and for supply insufficiencies (water and food, energy, information, and communication), and with knowledge about behaviour and evacuation situations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The study shows that megacities, like Yangon, generally have good prerequisites for resilience during and after disasters.

    “The study shows that megacities, like Yangon, generally have good prerequisites for resilience during and after disasters.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Community resilience emerges from a set of networked adaptive capacities with dynamic trajectories having potential to maintain function during and adapting in the aftermath of disasters.

    “Community resilience emerges from a set of networked adaptive capacities with dynamic trajectories having potential to maintain function during and adapting in the aftermath of disasters (Norris et al. 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Norris et al. 2008 source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Alternative cooking devices without electricity are still present in Yangon and in use, as in many developing countries.

    “Alternative cooking devices without electricity are still present in Yangon (Zin Nwe Myint 2006) and in use, as in many developing countries.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Zin Nwe Myint 2006

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    In total, 440 households were selected through a stratified sampling method, with township and ward administrative levels as strata, yielding 110 interviews per township and 11 interviews per randomly selected ward.

    “In total, 440 households were selected through a stratified sampling method. Township and ward administrative levels served as strata, and thus 110 interviews per township and, more detailed, 11 interviews per randomly selected ward were collected.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Smart phones could be used as alternatives to TV and radios when communicating with the general public during disasters.

    “Smart phones could, thus, be used as alternatives to TV and radios when communicating with the general public during disasters.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: A high proportion of Yangon respondents have smart phones and can access social media and apps.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The difference in buying frequency of drinking water barrels between Pazundaung and other townships is probably related to the greater number of well-educated and employed inhabitants in Pazundaung, who can afford to stockpile due to better income and potentially have more storage space.

    “This difference is probably related to the greater number of well-educated and employed inhabitants in Pazundaung, who can afford to stockpile due to better income and potentially have more storage space.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    Dawbon and Thaketa have comparable, large riverbank areas and are impacted by high tide flooding from time to time.

    “Those two townships have comparable, large riverbank areas and are impacted by high tide flooding from time to time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Our findings from Yangon emphasize the general importance of contextualizing disaster impacts and improving the institutional and private disaster responses.

    “Our findings from Yangon emphasize the general importance of contextualizing disaster impacts and improving the institutional and private disaster responses.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Townships where more experience with disasters was reported, such as Dawbon, might have a better routine in coping by more frequently experiencing and responding to disasters.

    “Townships where more experience with disasters was reported, such as Dawbon, might have a better routine in coping by more frequently experiencing and responding to disasters.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Due to the lack of normal distribution, nonparametric tests (Kruskal-Wallis-test and Mann-Whitney-test) were conducted and the Spearman range-correlated coefficient was used for the statistical analysis.

    “Due to the lack of normal distribution, nonparametric tests, such as the Kruskal–Wallis-test and the Mann–Whitney-test, were conducted and the Spearman range-correlated coefficient was used for the statistical analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The mentioned coping strategies are not always the most effective or life-saving measures as they more intuitively developed out of a disastrous situation.

    “However, the mentioned coping strategies are not always the most effective or life-saving measures as they more intuitively developed out of a disastrous situation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    For evacuation situations, all mentioned belongings were important, which indicates a certain level of resilience in the general public.

    “For evacuation situations, all mentioned belongings were important, which indicates a certain level of resilience in the general public.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    There is a lack of knowledge on natural hazards and important preparedness measurements for staying capable of acting during and after disasters as well as keeping an acceptable level of stability and prospects for sustainable developments.

    “However, there is a lack of knowledge on natural hazards and important preparedness measurements for staying capable of acting during and after disasters as well as keeping an acceptable level of stability and prospects for sustainable developments.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    They can be used as a basis for future research in other natural disaster-prone regions and (mega) cities, which could lead towards developing a more generalized framework for improving disaster resilience and preparedness.

    “They can be used as a basis for future research in other natural disaster-prone regions and (mega) cities, which could lead towards developing a more generalized framework for improving disaster resilience and preparedness.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Several studies have shown that experience of disasters increases the chances of better preparedness.

    “Several studies have also shown that experience of disasters increases the chances of better preparedness (Guo and Li 2016; Roder et al. 2016; Deng et al. 2017; Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Guo and Li 2016 source
    • cites Roder et al. 2016 source
    • cites Deng et al. 2017 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Potentials and opportunities for volunteer work in different stages of disasters exist; however, they need to be better coordinated and promoted.

    “Potentials and opportunities for volunteer work in different stages of disasters exist; however, they need to be better coordinated and promoted.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Younger people might not know or remember if their households had experienced specific extreme events, posing a response bias.

    “Younger people might not know or remember if their households had experienced specific extreme events, posing a response bias here.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    This study can provide qualitative results and lacks clear quantifications of urban resilience.

    “This study, however, can also provide qualitative results and lacks clear quantifications of urban resilience.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the USA, in case of emergency only 25% would go for TV for information and 60% would visit specific websites.

    “In comparison to that, in the USA, for instance, in case of emergency only 25% would go for TV for information and 60% would visit specific websites (Kapucu 2008).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Kapucu 2008 source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Community-based resilience can be improved through experience and correct behaviour.

    “Community-based resilience can be improved through experience and correct behaviour.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    More offers in voluntary civil engagements in risk preparedness could improve disaster response systems, strengthen the social fabric of the civil society, and counteract the increasing anonymity in urban contexts.

    “More offers in voluntary civil engagements in risk preparedness could, firstly, improve disaster response systems, secondly, strengthen the social fabric of the civil society, and thirdly, counteract the increasing anonymity in urban contexts.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The answers suggest that family members stay together and do not lose each other during an evacuation.

    “The answers suggest that family members stay together and do not lose each other during an evacuation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Comprehensive education of the urban population on specific natural hazards and on household preparedness, such as first-aid techniques could boost the anticipating, preventing and adapting capacities and thus contribute tremendously to strengthening the resilience in urban areas.

    “Comprehensive education of the urban population on specific natural hazards and on household preparedness, such as first-aid techniques could boost the anticipating, preventing and adapting capacities and thus contribute tremendously to strengthening the resilience in urban areas.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    In general, Yangon's civil society can cover the first 72 h in disastrous events since its stockpiling behaviour concerning water and food is in accordance with the recommendations of YCDC and the SPHERE project.

    “In general, Yangon’s civil society can cover the first 72 h in disastrous events since its stockpiling behaviour concerning water and food is in accordance with the recommendations of YCDC and the SPHERE project (Sphere Association 2018; YCDC 2020).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Sphere Association 2018

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites YCDC 2020

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

81 of 81
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Little is known about resilience at the household level.

    “Unfortunately, little is known about resilience at the household level.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    During the initial period of extended natural disasters, emergency medical care and public emergency response services are concentrated on focal points and many affected areas cannot be supplied initially.

    “During the initial period of extended natural disasters, it can be assumed that emergency medical care and public emergency response services are concentrated on focal points and that many affected areas cannot be supplied initially.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There is not yet a common understanding of how resilience can be quantified and practically applied to different systems.

    “Despite the increasing importance of the resilience concept, there is not yet a common understanding of how resilience can be quantified and practically applied to different systems (e.g. households, social groups, cities, regions, countries).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It is still unclear at which scale differences in knowledge and preparedness appear.

    “However, it is still unclear at which scale these differences in knowledge and preparedness appear.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    In Tamwe, the high number of people who have experienced a cyclone is due to an influx of migrants from the Ayeyarwady Delta to Yangon townships, including Tamwe, within the last years after Nargis.

    “We assume that in Tamwe the high number of people who have experienced a cyclone is due to the fact that, within the last years after Nargis, there was an influx of migrants from the Ayeyarwady Delta to Yangon townships, including Tamwe (Pattison et al. 2016; O’Connor 2020).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The institutions lack the flexibility to adapt to disastrous situations and have limited capacity to absorb shocks.

    “The institutions lack the flexibility to adapt to disastrous situations and have limited capacity to absorb shocks.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Little effort is made to prepare the population.

    “Little effort is made to prepare the population.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    A high proportion of Yangon respondents have smart phones and can access social media and apps.

    “However, we assume a high distribution of smart phones and that most of the respondents can access social media and apps.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    In Myanmar, learning first-aid techniques is not established in school curricula nor required for getting a driving licence.

    “In Myanmar, learning first-aid techniques is not established in school curricula nor required for getting a driving licence.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    General knowledge about natural hazards and the ability to recognise early warning signs are key factors in individual resilience and anticipative capacities.

    “General knowledge about natural hazards and the ability to recognise early warning signs of approaching hazards are key factors in individual resilience and anticipative capacities.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    These aspects can substantially increase survival chances in case of disasters.

    “These aspects can substantially increase survival chances in case of disasters.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    In case of a natural hazard, chaotic situations may occur and groups of people may be split or individuals can get lost.

    “In case of a natural hazard, chaotic situations may occur and groups of people may be split or individuals can get lost.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Urban areas are characterized by a higher number of single households and workers and business households, which are highly vulnerable during disasters due to deficient social embedding and urban anonymity.

    “Urban areas are characterized by a higher number of single households and workers and business households, which are highly vulnerable during disasters due to deficient social embedding and urban anonymity.”
13 of 13

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Dry-food storage percentages conflict

    Major

    The four stated storage-duration groups total 96.9% of respondents, leaving at most 3.1% who did not store dry food. The paper separately says 18.9% stored none.

  • Lighting-duration percentages are incompatible

    Minor

    If 50% had lighting alternatives lasting less than 0.4 days, at least 50% must have had alternatives lasting two days or less-not 25% as stated.

  • Questionnaire section count does not match the list

    Minor

    The questionnaire is described as having eight sections, but the list runs from (i) through (ix), naming nine sections.

3 of 3

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 6

  1. Heinkel S-B, Miller C, Willkomm M et al (2021) Cities at risk: Flood risk, public awareness, institutional preparedness and risk communication in Yangon, Myanmar. Newsl Water Risk Inst Hyg Public Health WHO Collab Cent Health Promot Water Manag Risk Commun Univ Bonn 31:8–13
  2. Kearns RA, Gesler WM (eds) (1998) Putting health into place: landscape, identity, and well-being. Syracuse University Press, Syracuse, New York
  3. Kraas F (2019) Myanmar in process of transformation. Westermann, Braunschweig
  4. Kraas F, May Y, Myint ZN (2010) Yangon/Myanmar: transformation processes and mega-urban developments. Geogr Rundsch Int 6:26–37
  5. Pattison, C, Voss J, Woodhouse A, Zurstrassen M (2016) Chapter 3: a country on the move: migration networks and risk management in two regions of Myanmar. In Griffiths M and Ito M: Migration in Myanmar: Perspectives from current research. Yangon.
  6. Zin Nwe Myint (2006): Woodfuel Uses: A distinct phenomenon in Megacity Yangon, Myanmar. In: Kraas, F., Gaese, H., Mi Mi Kyi (eds.): Megacity Yangon. Transformation processes and modern developments. Southeast Asian Modernities 7. Berlin: 261–283.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Heinkel, S.-B., Thiebes, B., Than, Z. M., Aung, T., Kyi, T. T., Mar, W. L., Oo, S. S., Miller, C., Willkomm, M., Maung, W., Myint, Z. N., Soe, K. K., Spohner, R., & Kraas, F.
Affiliations
  • University of Cologne (DE)
  • Myanmar Environment Institute (MM)
  • University of Yangon (MM)
Corresponding author
Heinkel, Sophie-Bo
Venue
Natural Hazards
Published
2022-02-11
Volume
112
Issue
2
Pages
1273-1294
ISSN
  • 0921-030X (ISSN-L)
  • 1573-0840
OpenAlex
W4225650837
Cited by
43
References
52
Citations by year
2026: 9 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 1 · 2013: 1
FWCI
12.25
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Natural Hazards (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Kölner Universitäts PublikationsServer (Universität zu Köln) (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (01LE1904A1-C1)
  • Universität zu Köln
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
  • Social Sciences › Transportation › Earthquake and Disaster Impact Studies
  • Health Sciences › Health Professions › Emergency Medical Services › Disaster Response and Management
Keywords
disaster preparedness, household resilience, social resilience, Yangon, tropical cyclones, floods, earthquakes, first aid knowledge, disaster communication, volunteer mobilization, urban food supply, risk preparedness

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-11-04.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-11-04.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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