Disaster preparedness and resilience at household level in Yangon, Myanmar
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
Resilience has become important in disaster preparedness and response. Unfortunately, little is known about resilience at the household level. This study presents the results of a survey into individual and household level preparedness to disaster events in Yangon, Myanmar, which is prone to natural disasters such as tropical cyclones, flooding, and earthquakes. The study aimed to understand societal resilience and to provide information that could be used to develop a holistic framework. In four different Yangon townships, 440 households were interviewed. The results of the survey indicate how risk preparedness could be improved by specific measures related to the following five factors: (1) increasing the general public’s knowledge of first aid and its role in preparedness; (2) improving mobile phone infrastructure and capacity building in its usage so that it can be used for communication during disasters, along with building up a redundant communication structure; (3) better use and organisation of volunteer potential; (4) more specific involvement of religious and public buildings for disaster response; and (5) developing specific measures for improving preparedness in urban areas, where the population often has reduced capacities for coping with food supply insufficiencies due to the high and immediate availability of food, shops and goods in regular times. The findings of this survey have led to specific recommendations for Yangon. The identified measures represent a first step in developing a more general framework. Future research could investigate the transferability of these measures to other areas and thus their suitability as a basis for a framework.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
A 2020 household survey of 440 households in four Yangon townships finds uneven disaster preparedness: most households can cover some immediate food/water needs and have mobile phones, but first-aid knowledge/kits, redundant communication, and stockpiling in urban living conditions are weak. The authors recommend first-aid education, mobile-phone-based risk communication plus redundant systems, volunteer coordination, and using religious/public buildings as shelters and information nodes.
Key findings
- Medical preparedness was limited: 71.6% said they had prepared medical provision, but only 25.9% of those had first-aid kits at home and 25.2% had separately noted doctor/health-station contact numbers; 89.9% equated medical provision with medicine for family members, and 28.4% were not prepared at all.
- Water, food, and energy: 80.3% used bottled drinking water; median stored water was 8 L per household member (range 1.0–95.0 L), with a significant township difference between Pazundaung (median 10.0 L) and Dawbon (median 6.7 L; p = 0.02), and 60.9% bought water at least every 3 days. 56.9% stored dry food for one month or longer, while 18.9% stored none; 87.0% had alternative cooking facilities and 88.4% had alternative light sources.
- Communication, experience, and volunteering: median mobile phones per household was 3, with only 2 of 440 households having none; 79.5% relied on TV, 41.3% used social media/apps, 25.8% mentioned radio, and only one in three households had a radio (median 0; mean 0.4). 91.1% had experienced a disaster; 89.3% were willing to volunteer but only 3.9% were already involved; 85.0% named religious buildings as safe shelters.
Methods
- Cross-sectional household survey conducted in February 2020 in four Yangon townships—Pazundaung, Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa—selected for river/flood exposure; 440 households were sampled via stratified sampling by township and ward, with 110 interviews per township and 11 per randomly selected ward.
- The questionnaire covered risk response behaviour, information/communication, food and water stockpiling, alternative energy, transportation, health-care preparedness, safety/security, COVID-19 perception, and civil-society cooperation; data were analysed in IBM SPSS using nonparametric tests (Kruskal–Wallis, Mann–Whitney) and Spearman correlation because the data lacked normal distribution.
Limitations
- Stated by the paper: the study provides qualitative results and lacks clear quantification of urban resilience; smartphone ownership was not separately assessed; explicit knowledge of how long lighting alternatives would last could not be assessed; and younger respondents may not know or remember household disaster experience, posing response bias.
- Evident from the text: the survey is cross-sectional and self-reported, covers only four townships, and therefore is not representative of all Yangon or Myanmar and cannot establish causality; several open-ended behaviour answers were diverse and contradictory, limiting inference about actual preparedness.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
8 of 35 cited sources checked · 2 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The availability of resources such as food, water, medical provisions and first-aid kits, and electricity alternatives for the first three days saves lives during and after disasters.
“The availability of resources such as food, water, medical provisions and first-aid kits, and electricity alternatives for this time period saves lives during and after disasters (Petit et al. 2011).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Petit et al. 2011 source
The Introduction and §2 Citizen preparedness discuss preparedness and community resilience, but do not say that particular supplies save lives. Searches for food, water, first-aid kits, electricity alternatives, a three-day period, and lives saved found no passage addressing that claim. The reference to a 72hours website in §2 does not establish it. (LLM, conf=0.74)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Individual disaster preparedness is a key aspect of resilience in low- and middle-income countries.
“Individual disaster preparedness is a key aspect of resilience in low- and middle-income countries (Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017), where rescue and disaster management systems often do not have sufficient capacities for immediate and efficient disaster response.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017 source
- Interpretationown data
The high availability of mobile phones and power banks potentially make mobile phones and social media good sources for risk communication.
“The high availability of mobile phones and power banks potentially make mobile phones and social media good sources for risk communication (Myat Htut Nyunt et al. 2015; Cheng et al. 2016; Lai et al. 2018).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites Myat Htut Nyunt et al. 2015 source
The Results (Table 1; page unavailable) record mobile phones in 230 of 832 households (27.64%), but do not characterize their availability as high. The Discussion says mass media may be suitable for behaviour-change communication, referring to television, radio and DVD players; it does not identify mobile phones or social media as suitable channels. Our copy provides no evidence about power banks. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites Cheng et al. 2016 source
- cites Lai et al. 2018 source
The Information repertoires and disaster preparedness section describes increasingly ubiquitous mobile phones as a way to access risk information, and the Introduction identifies social media as a source of disaster information (page numbers unavailable). The paper does not address power banks, so it does not support that part of the proposed reason these channels would be useful. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
Only 15.9% of the respondents noted that they had experiences with earthquakes.
“Only 15.9% of the respondents noted that they had experiences with earthquakes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Households in the inner urban townships tended to have slightly more mobile phones per household than households in the new towns.
“Households in the inner urban townships tended to have slightly more mobile phones per household than households in the new towns.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingown data
41.3% used social media and apps mainly from mobile phones (26.5%) to get information.
“41.3% also used social media and apps mainly from mobile phones (26.5%) to get information.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
88.4% had alternative light sources.
“Additionally, 88.4% had alternative light sources.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
7.7% would also warn or help others in case of an earthquake.
“7.7% would also warn or help others.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
2.7% would do the opposite (close door and windows).
“However, 2.7% would do the opposite.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
A high number of single and small households and shared apartments of workers with lower social embeddedness do not stockpile water or food.
“In addition, a high number of single and small households and shared apartments of workers with lower social embeddedness do not stockpile water or food.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Dawbon and Thaketa have a higher median age (53; 54 years) than Pazundaung (50 years).
“In fact, Dawbon and Thaketa have a higher median age (53; 54 years) than Pazundaung (50 years).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Asked which activities could assist disaster preparedness, respondents mentioned ideas to clean drainages and potential disaster areas and to warn people and increase disaster risk awareness (12%).
“Asked which activities could assist disaster preparedness, respondents mentioned ideas to clean drainages and potential disaster areas and to warn people and increase disaster risk awareness (12%) (Fig. 3h).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
28.4% of the households were not prepared at all for medical emergencies.
“28.4% of the households were not prepared at all (Fig. 3a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
18.9% did not store dry food at all.
“Interestingly, 18.9% did not store dry food at all.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
25.8% mentioned the radio as an information source in case of disasters.
“25.8% mentioned the radio as an information source in case of disasters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
79.5% relied on television as a source of information.
“The majority (79.5%) relied on television as a source of information.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
60.9% of the households needed to buy water at least every 3 days.
“In total, 60.9% of the households needed to buy water at least every 3 days (Fig. 3c).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
With an average storage of eight litres of drinking water per person in the investigated townships, Yangon's citizens can theoretically bridge a maximum of 72 h without access to further drinking water resources.
“With an average storage of eight litres of drinking water per person in the investigated townships, Yangon’s citizens can, theoretically, bridge a maximum of 72 h without access to further drinking water resources.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among the 227 respondents who specified important documents, the mostly mentioned were National Registration Card/identity card (30.8%), household census list (12.8%), bank account documents (4.7%), and house ownership contract (3.4%).
“For the important documents, 227 respondents specified their answers. The mostly mentioned documents were: (i) National Registration Card or identity card (30.8%), (ii) the household census list (12.8%), (iii) bank account documents (4.7%), and (iv) house ownership contract (3.4%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Most people see medical provision only in the preparation of necessary medicine for family members (89.9%).
“Most people see medical provision only in the preparation of necessary medicine for family members (89.9%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
The majority took for granted leaving their houses with all family members.
“The majority took for granted leaving their houses with all family members.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Our study shows a broad availability of mobile phones in urban areas since almost all of the households have at least one mobile phone.
“Our study shows a broad availability of mobile phones in urban areas since almost all of the households have at least one mobile phone.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Power banks (30.7%) to charge phones are more common than any other alternative power supply.
“Power banks (30.7%) to charge phones are more common than any other alternative power supply.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
80.3% of the respondents used drinking water from bottled water.
“This trend was reflected in the survey, detecting 80.3% of the respondents using drinking water from bottled water.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Only one of three households had a radio (median 0; mean 0.4).
“In general, only one of three households had a radio (median 0; mean 0.4), which excludes radios as a household and area covering source of information in case of disasters.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Only 10.7% of the respondents had a small-scaled drinking water supply or opportunities for water purification and were not dependent on water vendors.
“Only 10.7% of the respondents had a small-scaled drinking water supply or opportunities for water purification and were not dependent on these water vendors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Significant correlations (p < 0.01) exist between the different townships and the experiences of cyclones and flooding.
“Significant correlations (p < 0.01) exist between the different townships and the experiences of cyclones and flooding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The group already involved in voluntary disaster prevention activities was significantly older than those willing to collaborate but not yet involved (p = 0.03).
“and was significantly older than those who were willing to collaborate but not yet involved in activities (p = 0.03).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Respondents already involved in voluntary disaster prevention activities came mainly from Dawbon and Thaketa.
“These respondents came mainly from Dawbon and Thaketa.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
50% (median) of the respondents said that their light alternatives would last for less than half a day (0.4 days).
“However, 50% (median) of the respondents said that their light alternatives would last for less than half a day (0.4 days).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Public buildings such as schools, ward administrative offices, and community halls were mentioned as safe shelters by 36.0% of respondents.
“Also, public buildings such as schools, ward administrative offices, and community halls were mentioned as safe shelters (36.0%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Saving of important documents seemed to be neglected before and during disasters (1.6%; 0.0%; 1.4%).
“Also, the saving of important documents seemed to be neglected before and during disasters (1.6%; 0.0%; 1.4%) (Zin Mar Than et al. forthcoming).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Zin Mar Than et al. forthcoming
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
Only 3.9% of respondents were already involved in voluntary disaster prevention activities.
“However, only 3.9% were already involved in voluntary disaster prevention activities”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
87.0% had alternative cooking facilities for times when electricity was interrupted.
“The majority (87.0%) had alternative cooking facilities for times when electricity was interrupted.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The majority of people (85.0%) would search for safety shelters in monasteries and other religious buildings.
“since the majority of people would search for safety shelters in monasteries and other religious buildings (85.0%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In all cases of natural hazards, only few people would follow the news and official warnings or weather forecasts (cyclone: 2.4%; flooding: 0.5%; earthquake: 1.4%).
“In all cases of natural hazards, only few people would follow the news and official warnings or weather forecasts (cyclone: 2.4%; flooding: 0.5%; earthquake: 1.4%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
91.1% of Yangon's population, independently from age or sex, had already experienced a disaster.
“The household survey in February 2020 revealed that 91.1% of Yangon’s population, independently from age or sex, had already experienced a disaster.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Our results show that many people rely on locally based urban water supply systems.
“Our results show that many people rely on locally based urban water supply systems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The survey collected ideas for voluntary activities ranging from general support in form of cooperation with neighbours and administration or donations (63.8%) to more specific ideas for disaster management.
“The survey also collected ideas for voluntary activities. They ranged from a general support in form of cooperation with neighbours and administration or donations (63.8%) to more specific ideas for disaster management.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
25% of the sample had light alternatives for 2 days or less.
“25% of the sample had light alternatives for 2 days or less.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Most respondents (71.6%), independently from age or sex, stated that they had prepared medical provision for the case of a medical emergency.
“Most respondents (71.6%), independently from age or sex, stated that they had prepared medical provision for the case of a medical emergency.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Only 6.9% of respondents would like to cooperate with religious communities in terms of voluntary actions of disaster prevention.
“Surprisingly, only 6.9% would like to cooperate with religious communities in terms of voluntary actions of disaster prevention (Fig. 3g).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
People were afraid to probably provoke the occurrence of natural hazards by talking about them or getting bad karma as a consequence.
“People were afraid to probably provoke the occurrence of natural hazards by talking about them or getting bad karma as a consequence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
During the survey, we observed concerns of peoples on talking about natural hazards for religious or spiritual reasons.
“During the survey, we observed concerns of peoples on talking about natural hazards for religious or spiritual reasons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Most respondents (89.3%) were willing to voluntarily support institutions and the general public in disaster management.
“Most respondents (89.3%) were willing to voluntarily support institutions and the general public in disaster management.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
56.9% stored dry food for one month or longer.
“56.9% stored dry food for one month or longer (Fig. 3d).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was a significant difference (p-value: 0.02) in stored drinking water between the townships of Pazundaung (median 10.0 L) and Dawbon (median 6.7 L).
“However, there was a significant difference (p-value: 0.02) between the townships of Pazundaung (median 10.0 L) and Dawbon (median 6.7 L) (Fig. 3e).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
This factor (cooperation) was only mentioned by people with higher educational degrees.
“This factor, however, was only mentioned by people with higher educational degrees.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Our results show a wide underestimation of the efficacy of first-aid during and after emergencies or disasters.
“Our results show a wide underestimation of the efficacy of first-aid during and after emergencies or disasters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For disaster rehabilitation, people would support rebuilding and social affairs (5.7%).
“For disaster rehabilitation, people would support rebuilding and social affairs (5.7%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Participants in Thaketa had diverse strategies to reduce flooding disaster risk.
“Participants in Thaketa had diverse strategies to reduce flooding disaster risk.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Ideas for helping in disaster response were immediate rescue operations, helping those in need, providing/sharing food/water and helping in health care (23%).
“Ideas for helping in disaster response were immediate rescue operations, helping those in need, providing/sharing food/water and helping in health care (23%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
14.7% would stay at home in case of an earthquake.
“In contrast, 14.7% would stay at home.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
34.0% would evacuate to higher places or lift things up to higher floors.
“34.0% would evacuate to higher places or lift things up to higher floors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There is a significant difference (p-value: 0.01) in numbers of mobile phones per household between Dawbon and the townships Pazundaung and Tamwe.
“There is a significant difference (p-value: 0.01) in numbers of mobile phones per household between Dawbon and the townships Pazundaung and Tamwe (Fig. 3f).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Cooperation with neighbours, organisations, and administration (4.6%) was among the coping and disaster response strategies.
“Also, cooperation with neighbours, organisations, and administration (4.6%) was among the coping and disaster response strategies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
With respect to flooding experiences, Dawbon (34.5%) and Thaketa (28.1%) appeared as more exposed than Tamwe (19.1%) and Pazundaung (10.1%).
“With respect to flooding experiences, the townships of Dawbon (34.5%) and Thaketa (28.1%) appeared as more exposed than the townships of Tamwe (19.1%) and Pazundaung (10.1%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The group already involved in voluntary disaster prevention activities consisted of significantly more men (p < 0.01) than those willing to collaborate but not yet involved.
“this group of people consists of significantly more men (p < 0.01)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Previous disaster experience may have a positive impact on anticipation capacity.
“Thus, previous disaster experience may have a positive impact on anticipation capacity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Religious buildings have a key role in disaster response as safe shelters for the general public.
“Religious buildings have a key role in disaster response as safe shelters for the general public.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Radios are excluded as a household and area covering source of information in case of disasters.
“In general, only one of three households had a radio (median 0; mean 0.4), which excludes radios as a household and area covering source of information in case of disasters.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
It is not clear how many households could access social media, apps, and other sources in case of disasters.
“It is therefore not clear how many households could access social media, apps, and other sources in case of disasters.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The use of the internet as source of information is not yet widely established in Yangon.
“It shows that the use of the internet as source of information is not yet widely established in Yangon.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
This implies a poor response capacity to treat injured people.
“This implies a poor response capacity to treat injured people.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: In Myanmar, learning first-aid techniques is not established in school curricula nor required for getting a driving licence.
- Premisecitation
Individual resilience on the household level and community resilience contribute substantially to mitigation in the early stages of disasters.
“Therefore, individual resilience on the household level and community resilience contribute substantially to mitigation in the early stages of disasters (Donahue et al. 2014; UNOCHA 2017a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Donahue et al. 2014 source
- cites UNOCHA 2017a
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: During the initial period of extended natural disasters, emergency medical care and public emergency response services are concentrated on focal points and many affected areas cannot be supplied initially.
- Premisecitation
International assistance can usually mobilize funds and response measures within the first 72 h after the disaster.
“International assistance can usually mobilize funds and response measures within the first 72 h after the disaster (Russell et al. 1995; Peters and Kraas 2014; UNOCHA 2017a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Premisecitation
Institutional disaster preparedness in Yangon's townships remains weak.
“Even though these strategic frameworks underline the priority placed on disaster preparedness for increasing disaster resilience, the institutional disaster preparedness in Yangon’s townships remains weak (Zin Mar Than et al. 2020), e.g. risk communication and training for providing disaster education are not well established.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Zin Mar Than et al. 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The results show that living conditions and behaviour in urban areas reduce the capacity for coping with food supply insufficiencies.
“However, the results also show that living conditions and behaviour in urban areas reduce the capacity for coping with food supply insufficiencies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Using mobile phones for risk and crisis communication would mean that access to knowledge is ensured in 95% of the households.
“Using mobile phones for risk and crisis communication would mean that the access to knowledge is ensured in 95% of the households.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
Urban lifestyles and the normal urban infrastructure reduce resilience through, e.g. a higher buying frequency and availability of daily goods in regular times or small apartments sizes with less space for stockpiling.
“Urban lifestyles and the normal urban infrastructure reduce resilience through, e.g. a higher buying frequency and availability of daily goods in regular times or small apartments sizes with less space for stockpiling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The difference in experiences between Pazundaung and Dawbon and Thaketa is due to the age structure of the survey sample.
“The difference in experiences between Pazundaung and Dawbon and Thaketa is due to the age structure of the survey sample.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The wide range in the amounts of stored drinking water shows that highly vulnerable households exist in Yangon.
“However, the wide range in the amounts of stored drinking water shows that highly vulnerable households exist in Yangon.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The level of individual preparedness is influenced by personal perceptions of individual risks and circumstances.
“However, studies revealed that the level of individual preparedness is influenced by personal perceptions of individual risks and circumstances (Paton et al. 2013).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Paton et al. 2013 source
- Interpretationreasoning
This result indicates a gap of knowledge concerning appropriate behaviour during certain natural hazards.
“This result indicates a gap of knowledge concerning appropriate behaviour during certain natural hazards.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
People can increase their ability to cope with, adapt to, and recover from hazard impacts by preparedness.
“People can increase their ability to cope with, adapt to, and recover from hazard impacts by preparedness (Paton 2006; Paton et al. 2013).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Paton 2006
- cites Paton et al. 2013 source
- Interpretationreasoning
The local population needs to cope with supply insufficiencies of critical infrastructures, such as medical emergencies, within the first three days after a disaster.
“The local population, therefore, needs to cope with supply insufficiencies of critical infrastructures, such as medical emergencies, within the first three days after a disaster.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: During the initial period of extended natural disasters, emergency medical care and public emergency response services are concentrated on focal points and many affected areas cannot be supplied initially.
- Interpretationreasoning
The geographical location of the townships, and thus previous experience with flooding, has an impact on inhabitants' behaviour during disasters such as flooding.
“It seems that the geographical location of the townships, and thus previous experience with flooding, has an impact on inhabitants’ behaviour during disasters such as flooding.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The buying frequency for water is high compared to the buying frequency for dry food.
“That buying frequency is high compared to the buying frequency for dry food.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 55
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 42
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
May combine two claims.
Premiseown dataThis result exceeds numbers from the Philippines and Thailand, where 50% and only 14.4% of the population stockpile food, as well as from Hong Kong, where 57.3% store food.
“This result exceeds numbers from, e.g. the Philippines and Thailand, where 50% and only 14.4% of the population stockpile food (Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017), as well as from Hong Kong, where 57.3% store food (Tam et al. 2018).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017 source
The passages returned from the indexed copy are bibliographic entries, not findings about food stockpiling. Searches for “14.4%,” “stockpile food,” and the Philippines and Thailand percentages found no passage verifying the two figures attributed to Hoffmann and Muttarak. The Hong Kong figure is attached to a different citation and is not part of this verdict. (LLM, conf=0.70)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites Tam et al. 2018 source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationSocial support during disasters is a further central part of local disaster resilience.
“Social support during disasters is a further central part of local disaster resilience. Social support includes daily exchange and social networks with others (Scherer and Cho 2003; Djalante et al. 2020) and the acquisition of volunteers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites Scherer and Cho 2003 source
- cites Djalante et al. 2020 source
Section 3.2.6 says community-based disaster preparedness is crucial and that community networks can aid warnings, while social linkages may influence risk perception. This supports a role for social networks in local preparedness, but it does not describe daily exchange or establish social support as a central part of disaster resilience. The citation appears before the separate mention of acquiring volunteers. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationStudies have pointed out the positive impact on disaster preparedness of formal education, such as in nursery schools, schools and universities, and informal education, such as community-based methods to reduce disaster risks.
“In fact, studies have pointed out the positive impact on disaster preparedness of formal education, such as in nursery schools, schools and universities (Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017), and informal education, such as community-based methods to reduce disaster risks (Allen 2006; Maskrey 2011).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017 source
The searches for formal education, schooling, and disaster preparedness returned only the paper’s abstract and metadata, not a passage from its full text. Under the specified evidence rule, those results cannot establish what the paper says about formal education in nursery schools, schools, or universities. The informal-education clause is attributed to other sources and is not judged here. (LLM, conf=0.65)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites Allen 2006 source
- cites Maskrey 2011 source
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningSeven per cent, mainly from Dawbon and those with high school and graduate degrees, would open the door and windows.
“Seven per cent, mainly from Dawbon and those with high school and graduate degrees, would open the door and windows, probably because, during past cyclones, people were instructed by authorities to do so.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataWhile answers concerning flooding seemed more directed and solution focused, behaviour during tropical cyclones and earthquakes seemed highly diverse and partly contradictive.
“While the answers to questions concerning flooding seemed to be more directed and solution focused, the behaviour during tropical cyclones and earthquakes seemed to be highly divers and partly contradictive.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataReasons for not stockpiling dry food include shortage of money (15.2%), shops being nearby (16.7%), buying food daily in daily neighbourhood markets (19.9%), seeing no need (4.5%), small and single household sizes (7.6%), less storing space (4.5%), not cooking at home (7.6%), thinking stockpiling food would be unhealthy (9.1%), fear of vermin infestation or expiring food (4.5%), and not wanting to
“Besides a shortage of money (15.2%), many of the reasons for the lack of stockpiling are based on the urban settlement characteristics: people said that shops are nearby (16.7%) and the household buys food daily in daily neighbourhood markets (19.9%). Consequently, they saw no need (4.5%) for stockpiling dry food. Also, small and single household sizes (7.6%) and less storing space (4.5%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMobile phones (14.2%) and power banks/light sources (13.7%) were ranked as important belongings, while battery-driven radios (0.3%) were less often mentioned.
“Also, mobile phones (14.2%) as alternative sources of information with charged power banks and light sources (13.7%) were ranked as important belongings. Battery-driven radios (0.3%) were less often mentioned.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Findingnone givenMany people associate religion and monasteries and other religious buildings with places of safety and security.
“Furthermore, many people associate religion and monasteries and other religious buildings with places of safety and security.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataOther answers referred to helping (6.5%) or warning (3.0%) family, friends, and neighbours.
“Other answers referred to helping (6.5%) or warning (3.0%) family, friends, and neighbours.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataMost of the answers came from participants in Dawbon (26-28%).
“Most of the answers came from participants in Dawbon (26–28%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOnly 1.4% mentioned their concerns about being separated from their families in case of disasters, while people mainly expressed their concerns about health and life of their family members (36.0%).
“Only 1.4% mentioned their concerns about being separated from their families in case of disasters, while people mainly expressed their concerns about health and life of their family members (36.0%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFewer people relied on newspapers (15.1%), mouth-to-mouth information (12.8%) and alarms or sirens (7.3%).
“Fewer people relied on newspapers (15.1%), mouth-to-mouth information (12.8%) and alarms or sirens (7.3%) (Fig. 3b).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOnly 9.3% of the participants, mainly those from Pazundaung and Tamwe and with higher educational degrees, would stay under furniture.
“Only 9.3% of the participants, mainly those from Pazundaung and Tamwe and with higher educational degrees, would stay under furniture.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFewer people in Pazundaung referred to cleaning drainage but more in Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa.
“Fewer people in Pazundaung referred to this aspect but more in Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenIn case of electricity supply disruptions, the households have alternative sources of lighting.
“In case of electricity supply disruptions, the households have alternative sources of lighting.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe total median number of stored litres of drinking water per household member was 8 L, with a range of 1.0-95.0 L per person.
“The total median number of stored litres of drinking water per household member was 8 L, including a high range of 1.0–95.0 L per person.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Findingnone givenThere is a high motivation to volunteer as part of disaster management.
“There is a high motivation to volunteer as part of disaster management.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataA clear focus in all townships was on helping family, friends, and neighbours (19.3%) and also on cooperation with neighbours and organisations (7.5%).
“A clear focus in all townships was on helping family, friends, and neighbours (19.3%) and also on cooperation with neighbours and organisations (7.5%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOnly 8.8% of the respondents stored dry food for 2-3 days, 19.0% had dry food for one week at home, and 12.2% for two weeks.
“Only 8.8% of the respondents stored dry food for 2–3 days, 19.0% had dry food for one week at home and 12.2% for two weeks.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the survey, the most frequently mentioned important belongings to carry in case of evacuation were important documents (122.9%), money and jewellery/gold/valuables (68.8%), food and water (49.7%), clothes (27.0%), and medicine (19.4%).
“Many respondents were aware of the main important belongings, such as (i) important documents (122.9%),1 (ii) money and jewellery, gold and valuables (68.8%), (iii) food and water (49.7%), (iv) clothes (27.0%), and (v) medicine (19.4%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe main light sources were LED lights (24.5%), battery-driven torches (11.8%), candles (10.7%), emergency lights (9.5%), chargeable lights (8.6%), solar lights (1.4%), flashlights (0.9%), generators (9.3%), or inverters (6.8%).
“The main light sources were LED lights (24.5%). Besides this source, a high variety of alternative light sources were mentioned such as battery-driven torches (11.8%), candles (10.7%) or emergency lights (9.5%), chargeable lights (8.6%), solar lights (1.4%), flashlights (0.9%), or even generators (9.3%) or inverters (6.8%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningPeople see no need and no space to stockpile water and food in regular times.
“People see no need and no space to stockpile water and food in regular times.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOnly 25.9% of those who prepared medical provision had first-aid kits at home or separately noted contact numbers of doctors or health stations (25.2%).
“However, only 25.9% of those had first-aid kits at home or separately noted contact numbers of doctors or health stations (25.2%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn case of an earthquake, the majority of respondents would go outside to open spaces (37.1%) or move to unspecified safe places or a shelter (25.7%).
“In case of an earthquake, the majority of respondents would go outside to open spaces (37.1%) or move to unspecified safe places or a shelter (25.7%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThe answers to questions about flooding were less contradictive.
“The answers to questions about flooding were less contradictive.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe percentage of smart phone users in Yangon is unclear as it was not separately accessed in the survey.
“The percentage of smart phones users in Yangon is, however, unclear as it was not separately accessed in the survey.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn case of a tropical cyclone, 34.1% of the households would move to a shelter, 25.3% would stay at home.
“In case of a tropical cyclone, 34.1% of the households would move to a shelter, 25.3% would stay at home.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe median number of mobile phones per household was three; only two out of 440 households had no mobile phone.
“In contrast, the median number of mobile phones per household was three; only two out of 440 households had no mobile phone.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationKnowledge and behaviour during disasters differ on small scales between townships and between people with different educational backgrounds in Yangon.
“Knowledge and behaviour during disasters differ on small scales between townships and between people with different educational backgrounds in Yangon.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Findingnone givenDisaster preparedness and exchange about potential disasters is perceived as a religiously sensitive topic in Myanmar.
“Disaster preparedness and exchange about potential disasters is perceived as a religiously sensitive topic in Myanmar.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThis answer came mainly from participants in Dawbon and Thaketa and also from people with higher educational degrees (high school and graduate school).
“This answer came mainly from participants in Dawbon and Thaketa and also from people with higher educational degrees (high school and graduate school).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataYangon's population seems to be well prepared for short- and medium-term food supply insufficiencies, as more than 70% store enough dry food, such as rice or flour, for one week or longer and alternative cooking devices exist.
“Yangon’s population seems to be well prepared for short- and medium-term food supply insufficiencies, as more than 70% store enough dry food, such as rice or flour, for one week or longer and alternative cooking devices exist.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataPeople wanted to cooperate with civil society organisations (62.2%), the neighbourhood (48.7%), or governmental administrative units (44.2%) for voluntary disaster prevention.
“People wanted to cooperate with civil society organisations (62.2%), the neighbourhood (48.7%), or with governmental administrative units (44.2%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThe TV is still the main information source and would reach the majority of the Yangon population.
“The TV is still the main information source and would reach to the majority of the Yangon population.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAnswers to the open questions about behaviour in case of natural hazards were diverse and, in many cases, contradictive.
“Answers to the open questions about behaviour in case of these natural hazards were diverse and, in many cases, contradictive.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAlmost all participants in Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa (90.0-91.8%) had already experienced a cyclone, while in Pazundaung 73.6% said they had experienced such an event.
“While almost all participants in the townships of Tamwe, Dawbon, and Thaketa (90.0–91.8%) had already experienced a cyclone, in Pazundaung 73.6% said they had experienced such an event.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningIn Pazundaung, the average buying frequency of the drinking water barrels is a week, but people have a higher buying frequency, e.g. every two or three days, in other townships.
“In Pazundaung, the average buying frequency of the drinking water barrels is a week, but people have a higher buying frequency, e.g. every two or three days, in other townships.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataA small number of people would increase the house's resistance against cyclones (3.8%) and/or repair damages from the storm immediately (2.4%).
“A small number of people would increase the house’s resistance against cyclones (3.8%) and/or repair damages from the storm immediately (2.4%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenIn our study, we assessed also a tendency to this correlation.
“In our study, we assessed also a tendency to this correlation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe main alternative cooking sources were charcoal (42.7%) and gas (42.3%); firewood was less often mentioned (1.8%).
“The main alternative cooking sources were charcoal (42.7%) and gas (42.3%); firewood was less often mentioned (1.8%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThere was no significant difference in stockpiling of food between townships, education, sex, or occupation, while those who stockpiled food were significantly older than those who did not (p < 0.01).
“There was no significant difference in stockpiling of food between townships, education, sex, or occupation, while those who stockpiled food were significantly older than those who did not (p < 0.01).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOther important strategies were keeping important things for evacuation (6.1%), building water barriers and sandbags (3.7%), and construction of boats and life jackets from plastic bottles (1.9%).
“Other important strategies were ‘keeping important things for evacuation’ (6.1%), ‘building water barriers and sandbags’ (3.7%), and the ‘construction of boats and life jackets from plastic bottles’ (1.9%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningMany people were aware that one of the human-made reasons for flooding are blocked drainages; thus 14.7% would clean or check the drainage system.
“Many people were aware that one of the human-made reasons for flooding are blocked drainages; thus 14.7% would clean or check the drainage system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenThere is a high solidarity in the civil society.
“There is a high solidarity in the civil society.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningMost people are prepared for short-term power-cuts but not for longer electric power supply disruptions.
“This means that most people are prepared for short-term power-cuts but not for longer electric power supply disruptions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe 7% who would open door and windows probably did so because during past cyclones people were instructed by authorities to do so.
“Seven per cent, mainly from Dawbon and those with high school and graduate degrees, would open the door and windows, probably because, during past cyclones, people were instructed by authorities to do so.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenMore opportunities for and better coordination of volunteer work would strengthen civil society and ensure a better social embeddedness of those who run a risk of becoming left behind.
“More opportunities for and better coordination of volunteer work would strengthen civil society and ensure a better social embeddedness of those who run a risk of becoming left behind.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAccording to the SPHERE guideline, the minimum amount of drinking water needed per day per person is 2.5-3 L.
“According to the SPHERE guideline, the minimum amount of drinking water needed per day per person is 2.5–3 L (Sphere Association 2018).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sphere Association 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIt might not be common to have extra food at home as, especially in the densely settled areas of Yangon, living space is limited and consuming street food daily is common.
“It also might not be common to have extra food at home as, especially in the densely settled areas of Yangon, living space is limited and consuming street food daily is common.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningAreas with frequent power cuts might be better prepared due to a greater flexibility to adapt to alternative forms of cooking.
“Areas with frequent power cuts might be better prepared due to a greater flexibility to adapt to alternative forms of cooking.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe YCDC recommends stockpiling water bottles and (dry) food for three days per household in order to be prepared for an eventual evacuation.
“The YCDC recommends stockpiling water bottles and (dry) food for three days per household in order to be prepared for an eventual evacuation (YCDC 2020).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites YCDC 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationInitiatives for increasing institutional preparedness started after cyclone Nargis in 2009.
“Initiatives for increasing institutional preparedness started after cyclone Nargis in 2009 (Zin Mar Than et al. 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Zin Mar Than et al. 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataReligious buildings play an important role in disaster response as safe shelters because the locations of monasteries and other religious buildings are well known in the neighbourhoods and these locations can be easily communicated.
“Religious buildings play an important role in disaster response as safe shelters because the locations of monasteries and other religious buildings are well known in the neighbourhoods and these locations can be easily communicated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningDue to the high and immediate availability of food, shops, and goods in regular times, some people see no need for extra stockpiling.
“Due to the high and immediate availability of food, shops, and goods in regular times, some people see no need for extra stockpiling.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA study of household resilience concerning flooding in Bangladesh has shown a positive impact of education on household resilience.
“A study of household resilience concerning flooding in Bangladesh, for instance, has shown a positive impact of education on household resilience (Mondal et al. 2021).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Mondal et al. 2021 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPeople affected by cyclone Nargis reported that they did not get proper alerts in advance and thus had been surprised by the cyclone's intensity.
“People affected by cyclone Nargis reported that they did not get proper alerts in advance and thus had been surprised by the cyclone’s intensity (Nyan Win Myint et al. 2011).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Nyan Win Myint et al. 2011
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningResilience on a household level can be improved on the level of preparedness for medical emergencies and for supply insufficiencies (water and food, energy, information, and communication), and with knowledge about behaviour and evacuation situations.
“Resilience on a household level can be improved on the level of preparedness for medical emergencies and for supply insufficiencies (water and food, energy, information, and communication), and with knowledge about behaviour and evacuation situations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe study shows that megacities, like Yangon, generally have good prerequisites for resilience during and after disasters.
“The study shows that megacities, like Yangon, generally have good prerequisites for resilience during and after disasters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationCommunity resilience emerges from a set of networked adaptive capacities with dynamic trajectories having potential to maintain function during and adapting in the aftermath of disasters.
“Community resilience emerges from a set of networked adaptive capacities with dynamic trajectories having potential to maintain function during and adapting in the aftermath of disasters (Norris et al. 2008).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Norris et al. 2008 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAlternative cooking devices without electricity are still present in Yangon and in use, as in many developing countries.
“Alternative cooking devices without electricity are still present in Yangon (Zin Nwe Myint 2006) and in use, as in many developing countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Zin Nwe Myint 2006
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataIn total, 440 households were selected through a stratified sampling method, with township and ward administrative levels as strata, yielding 110 interviews per township and 11 interviews per randomly selected ward.
“In total, 440 households were selected through a stratified sampling method. Township and ward administrative levels served as strata, and thus 110 interviews per township and, more detailed, 11 interviews per randomly selected ward were collected.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningSmart phones could be used as alternatives to TV and radios when communicating with the general public during disasters.
“Smart phones could, thus, be used as alternatives to TV and radios when communicating with the general public during disasters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A high proportion of Yangon respondents have smart phones and can access social media and apps.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe difference in buying frequency of drinking water barrels between Pazundaung and other townships is probably related to the greater number of well-educated and employed inhabitants in Pazundaung, who can afford to stockpile due to better income and potentially have more storage space.
“This difference is probably related to the greater number of well-educated and employed inhabitants in Pazundaung, who can afford to stockpile due to better income and potentially have more storage space.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenDawbon and Thaketa have comparable, large riverbank areas and are impacted by high tide flooding from time to time.
“Those two townships have comparable, large riverbank areas and are impacted by high tide flooding from time to time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningOur findings from Yangon emphasize the general importance of contextualizing disaster impacts and improving the institutional and private disaster responses.
“Our findings from Yangon emphasize the general importance of contextualizing disaster impacts and improving the institutional and private disaster responses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningTownships where more experience with disasters was reported, such as Dawbon, might have a better routine in coping by more frequently experiencing and responding to disasters.
“Townships where more experience with disasters was reported, such as Dawbon, might have a better routine in coping by more frequently experiencing and responding to disasters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataDue to the lack of normal distribution, nonparametric tests (Kruskal-Wallis-test and Mann-Whitney-test) were conducted and the Spearman range-correlated coefficient was used for the statistical analysis.
“Due to the lack of normal distribution, nonparametric tests, such as the Kruskal–Wallis-test and the Mann–Whitney-test, were conducted and the Spearman range-correlated coefficient was used for the statistical analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe mentioned coping strategies are not always the most effective or life-saving measures as they more intuitively developed out of a disastrous situation.
“However, the mentioned coping strategies are not always the most effective or life-saving measures as they more intuitively developed out of a disastrous situation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningFor evacuation situations, all mentioned belongings were important, which indicates a certain level of resilience in the general public.
“For evacuation situations, all mentioned belongings were important, which indicates a certain level of resilience in the general public.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThere is a lack of knowledge on natural hazards and important preparedness measurements for staying capable of acting during and after disasters as well as keeping an acceptable level of stability and prospects for sustainable developments.
“However, there is a lack of knowledge on natural hazards and important preparedness measurements for staying capable of acting during and after disasters as well as keeping an acceptable level of stability and prospects for sustainable developments.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThey can be used as a basis for future research in other natural disaster-prone regions and (mega) cities, which could lead towards developing a more generalized framework for improving disaster resilience and preparedness.
“They can be used as a basis for future research in other natural disaster-prone regions and (mega) cities, which could lead towards developing a more generalized framework for improving disaster resilience and preparedness.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSeveral studies have shown that experience of disasters increases the chances of better preparedness.
“Several studies have also shown that experience of disasters increases the chances of better preparedness (Guo and Li 2016; Roder et al. 2016; Deng et al. 2017; Hoffmann and Muttarak 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningPotentials and opportunities for volunteer work in different stages of disasters exist; however, they need to be better coordinated and promoted.
“Potentials and opportunities for volunteer work in different stages of disasters exist; however, they need to be better coordinated and promoted.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenYounger people might not know or remember if their households had experienced specific extreme events, posing a response bias.
“Younger people might not know or remember if their households had experienced specific extreme events, posing a response bias here.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThis study can provide qualitative results and lacks clear quantifications of urban resilience.
“This study, however, can also provide qualitative results and lacks clear quantifications of urban resilience.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the USA, in case of emergency only 25% would go for TV for information and 60% would visit specific websites.
“In comparison to that, in the USA, for instance, in case of emergency only 25% would go for TV for information and 60% would visit specific websites (Kapucu 2008).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kapucu 2008 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningCommunity-based resilience can be improved through experience and correct behaviour.
“Community-based resilience can be improved through experience and correct behaviour.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningMore offers in voluntary civil engagements in risk preparedness could improve disaster response systems, strengthen the social fabric of the civil society, and counteract the increasing anonymity in urban contexts.
“More offers in voluntary civil engagements in risk preparedness could, firstly, improve disaster response systems, secondly, strengthen the social fabric of the civil society, and thirdly, counteract the increasing anonymity in urban contexts.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe answers suggest that family members stay together and do not lose each other during an evacuation.
“The answers suggest that family members stay together and do not lose each other during an evacuation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningComprehensive education of the urban population on specific natural hazards and on household preparedness, such as first-aid techniques could boost the anticipating, preventing and adapting capacities and thus contribute tremendously to strengthening the resilience in urban areas.
“Comprehensive education of the urban population on specific natural hazards and on household preparedness, such as first-aid techniques could boost the anticipating, preventing and adapting capacities and thus contribute tremendously to strengthening the resilience in urban areas.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationIn general, Yangon's civil society can cover the first 72 h in disastrous events since its stockpiling behaviour concerning water and food is in accordance with the recommendations of YCDC and the SPHERE project.
“In general, Yangon’s civil society can cover the first 72 h in disastrous events since its stockpiling behaviour concerning water and food is in accordance with the recommendations of YCDC and the SPHERE project (Sphere Association 2018; YCDC 2020).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Sphere Association 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites YCDC 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
The paper relies on this without support.
Little is known about resilience at the household level.
“Unfortunately, little is known about resilience at the household level.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
During the initial period of extended natural disasters, emergency medical care and public emergency response services are concentrated on focal points and many affected areas cannot be supplied initially.
“During the initial period of extended natural disasters, it can be assumed that emergency medical care and public emergency response services are concentrated on focal points and that many affected areas cannot be supplied initially.”
The paper relies on this without support.
There is not yet a common understanding of how resilience can be quantified and practically applied to different systems.
“Despite the increasing importance of the resilience concept, there is not yet a common understanding of how resilience can be quantified and practically applied to different systems (e.g. households, social groups, cities, regions, countries).”
The paper relies on this without support.
It is still unclear at which scale differences in knowledge and preparedness appear.
“However, it is still unclear at which scale these differences in knowledge and preparedness appear.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
In Tamwe, the high number of people who have experienced a cyclone is due to an influx of migrants from the Ayeyarwady Delta to Yangon townships, including Tamwe, within the last years after Nargis.
“We assume that in Tamwe the high number of people who have experienced a cyclone is due to the fact that, within the last years after Nargis, there was an influx of migrants from the Ayeyarwady Delta to Yangon townships, including Tamwe (Pattison et al. 2016; O’Connor 2020).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The institutions lack the flexibility to adapt to disastrous situations and have limited capacity to absorb shocks.
“The institutions lack the flexibility to adapt to disastrous situations and have limited capacity to absorb shocks.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Little effort is made to prepare the population.
“Little effort is made to prepare the population.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
A high proportion of Yangon respondents have smart phones and can access social media and apps.
“However, we assume a high distribution of smart phones and that most of the respondents can access social media and apps.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In Myanmar, learning first-aid techniques is not established in school curricula nor required for getting a driving licence.
“In Myanmar, learning first-aid techniques is not established in school curricula nor required for getting a driving licence.”
The paper relies on this without support.
General knowledge about natural hazards and the ability to recognise early warning signs are key factors in individual resilience and anticipative capacities.
“General knowledge about natural hazards and the ability to recognise early warning signs of approaching hazards are key factors in individual resilience and anticipative capacities.”
The paper relies on this without support.
These aspects can substantially increase survival chances in case of disasters.
“These aspects can substantially increase survival chances in case of disasters.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In case of a natural hazard, chaotic situations may occur and groups of people may be split or individuals can get lost.
“In case of a natural hazard, chaotic situations may occur and groups of people may be split or individuals can get lost.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Urban areas are characterized by a higher number of single households and workers and business households, which are highly vulnerable during disasters due to deficient social embedding and urban anonymity.
“Urban areas are characterized by a higher number of single households and workers and business households, which are highly vulnerable during disasters due to deficient social embedding and urban anonymity.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Dry-food storage percentages conflict
MajorThe four stated storage-duration groups total 96.9% of respondents, leaving at most 3.1% who did not store dry food. The paper separately says 18.9% stored none.
“Only 8.8% of the respondents stored dry food for 2–3 days, 19.0% had dry food for one week at home and 12.2% for two weeks. 56.9% stored dry food for one month or longer”
“Interestingly, 18.9% did not store dry food at all.”
Lighting-duration percentages are incompatible
MinorIf 50% had lighting alternatives lasting less than 0.4 days, at least 50% must have had alternatives lasting two days or less-not 25% as stated.
“50% (median) of the respondents said that their light alternatives would last for less than half a day (0.4 days).”
“25% of the sample had light alternatives for 2 days or less.”
Questionnaire section count does not match the list
MinorThe questionnaire is described as having eight sections, but the list runs from (i) through (ix), naming nine sections.
“The quantitative questionnaire contained eight sections with a mix of open and closed questions”
“(viii) perception and preparedness concerning the new Corona virus, and (ix) cooperation potential of the civil society.”
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Living with water: quantitative assessment of property-level resilience to urban flooding
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Exploring Community Disaster Resilience After Kosi Floods 2008 in Bihar, India
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Oral Healthcare Challenges in the Aftermath of the Myanmar Earthquake 2025: A Narrative Review
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Factors Influencing Natural Disaster Risk Management for Seismic Activity: A Literature ReviewPreprint
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Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India
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- Authors
- Heinkel, S.-B., Thiebes, B., Than, Z. M., Aung, T., Kyi, T. T., Mar, W. L., Oo, S. S., Miller, C., Willkomm, M., Maung, W., Myint, Z. N., Soe, K. K., Spohner, R., & Kraas, F.
- Affiliations
- University of Cologne (DE)
- Myanmar Environment Institute (MM)
- University of Yangon (MM)
- Corresponding author
- Heinkel, Sophie-Bo
- ORCID
- Venue
- Natural Hazards
- Published
- 2022-02-11
- Volume
- 112
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 1273-1294
- ISSN
- 0921-030X (ISSN-L)
- 1573-0840
- PMC
- PMC8831175
- OpenAlex
- W4225650837
- Semantic Scholar
- c1dd8f484dfc8d453b720eafa55048d6b0a07e2e
- Cited by
- 43
- References
- 52
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 1 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 12.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Natural Hazards (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Research Square (acceptedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Kölner Universitäts PublikationsServer (Universität zu Köln) (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (01LE1904A1-C1)
- Universität zu Köln
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Disaster Management and Resilience
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Earthquake and Disaster Impact Studies
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › Emergency Medical Services › Disaster Response and Management
- Keywords
- disaster preparedness, household resilience, social resilience, Yangon, tropical cyclones, floods, earthquakes, first aid knowledge, disaster communication, volunteer mobilization, urban food supply, risk preparedness
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-11-04.
Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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