Cited by 356Criminal Justice and Corrections AnalysisCriminal Justice and PenologyCrime Patterns and Interventions

The Growth, Scope, and Spatial Distribution of People With Felony Records in the United States, 1948–2010

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Shannon, Sarah K. S., Uggen, Christopher, Schnittker, Jason, Thompson, Melissa, Wakefield, Sara, Massoglia, Michael·2017·Demography

Abstract

The steep rise in U.S. criminal punishment in recent decades has spurred scholarship on the collateral consequences of imprisonment for individuals, families, and communities. Several excellent studies have estimated the number of people who have been incarcerated and the collateral consequences they face, but far less is known about the size and scope of the total U.S. population with felony convictions beyond prison walls, including those who serve their sentences on probation or in jail. This article develops state-level estimates based on demographic life tables and extends previous national estimates of the number of people with felony convictions to 2010. We estimate that 3 % of the total U.S. adult population and 15 % of the African American adult male population has ever been to prison; people with felony convictions account for 8 % of all adults and 33 % of the African American adult male population. We discuss the far-reaching consequences of the spatial concentration and immense growth of these groups since 1980.

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  • More than 19 million people in the US have a felony conviction.

    “The results are staggering; more than nineteen million people in the United States carry the burden of a felony conviction.”

    From The Rise of the Carceral State: Foundations and Contours of a Rapidly Changing Criminal Legal System (2025) · cites this paper as Shannon et al. 2017

    The Results (National-Level Estimates) estimate a total of 19 million people with felony convictions in 2010. The citing sentence says more than 19 million and presents the figure without its 2010 date; the source does not establish either the higher threshold or a current count. (LLM, conf=0.84)

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Research works printed but not linked: 15

  1. Carson EA Golinelli D 2013 Prisoners in 2012 (Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin, No. NCJ 243920) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Justice
  2. Clear TR 2007 Imprisoning communities New York, NY Oxford University Press
  3. Clear TR Frost NA 2014 The punishment imperative New York, NY NYU Press
  4. Enns PK 2016 Incarceration nation: How the United States became the most punitive democracy in the world Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press
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  6. Glaze LE Bonczar TP 2011 Probation and parole in the United States 2010 (Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin No. NCJ 236019) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Justice
  7. Guerino P Harrison PM Sabol WJ 2012 Prisoners in 2010 (Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin, No. NCJ 236096) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Justice
  8. Johnson RC Raphael S 2009 The effects of male incarceration dynamics on AIDS infection rates among African-American women and men Journal of Law and Economics 52 251 293
  9. Kaeble D Glaze L Tsoutis A Minton T 2015 Correctional populations in the United States, 2014 (Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin, No. NCJ 249513) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Justice
  10. Kaeble D Maruschak LM Bonczar TP 2015 Probation and parole in the United States, 2014 (Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin, No. NCJ 249057) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Justice
  11. Maruschak LM Bonczar TP 2013 Probation and parole in the United States, 2012 (Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin, No. NCJ 24842) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Justice
  12. Phelps MS 2017 Mass probation: Toward a more robust theory of state variation in punishment Punishment & Society 19 53 73 PMC6010031 29937694
  13. Tonry M 1996 Malign neglect: Race, crime, and punishment in America New York, NY Oxford University Press
  14. Tonry M 2004 Thinking about crime: Sense and sensibility in American penal culture New York, NY Oxford University Press
  15. U.S. Bureau of the Census 1984 1980 Census of Population (Vol. 2, Subject Reports) Washington, DC U.S. Department of Commerce

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Authors
Shannon, S. K. S., Uggen, C., Schnittker, J., Thompson, M., Wakefield, S., & Massoglia, M.
Affiliations
  • University of Georgia (US)
  • University of Minnesota (US)
  • University of Pennsylvania (US)
  • Portland State University (US)
  • Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US)
  • University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
Corresponding author
Shannon, Sarah K. S.
Venue
Demography
Published
2017-09-11
Volume
54
Issue
5
Pages
1795-1818
ISSN
  • 0070-3370 (ISSN-L)
  • 1533-7790
OpenAlex
W2755233168
Cited by
356
References
87
Citations by year
2026: 30 · 2025: 44 · 2024: 41 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 46 · 2021: 36 · 2020: 75 · 2019: 35 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 4
FWCI
88.95
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Demography (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
  • PDXScholar (Portland State University) (submittedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Funders
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (P2CHD047873, P2CHD041023)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
  • Social Sciences › Law › Criminal Justice and Penology
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
Keywords
felony conviction, prison population, incarceration rates, state-level estimates, African American men, racial disparities in incarceration, criminal justice policy
MeSH terms
Adult, Black or African American, Crime, Demography, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Mortality, Prisoners, Prisons, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, Life Tables, Databases, Factual, Geographic Information Systems, Racial Groups, Young Adult, Criminals, Spatial Analysis

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