How social identity shapes conspiratorial belief
Open accessPublished version of a preprint
Abstract
While conspiracy theories may offer benefits to those who believe in them, they can also foster intergroup conflict, threaten democracy, and undercut public health. We argue that the motivations behind conspiracy theory belief are often related to social identity. Conspiracy theories are well-positioned to fulfill social identity needs such as belongingness goals, the need to think highly of one's in-group, and the need to feel secure in one's group status. Understanding the social motives that attract people to conspiracy theories should be a focus of future research, and may be key to creating more successful interventions to reduce socially harmful conspiracy theories.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Because social media platforms allow information to spread with less friction than in traditional news outlets, misinformation and conspiracy theories are able to go rapidly viral.
“Because social media platforms allow information to spread with less friction than in traditional news outlets, such as newspapers or television news, misinformation and conspiracy theories are able to go rapidly viral (Robertson et al. 2022, Van Bavel et al. 2021a, van der Linden et al. 2021).”
From Social Media and Morality. (2024) · cites this paper as Robertson et al. 2022
The Introduction says internet and social media let conspiracy theories spread through large communities, and New Directions says they may go viral online. The paper does not compare social media with newspapers or television, attribute the spread to lower friction, or establish that misinformation generally goes rapidly viral. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredConspiracy believers may self-select into online communities that share and reinforce their beliefs.
“This may lead conspiracy believers to self-select into online communities that in turn share and reinforce their beliefs (Robertson et al. 2022).”
From Social Media and Morality. (2024) · cites this paper as Robertson et al. 2022
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
The spread of true and false news online
Vosoughi, S., Roy, D., & Aral, S. (2018) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aap9559 · Cited by 8,847 · see citing works
Zarocostas, J. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30461-x · Cited by 2,344 · see citing works
Pennycook, G., McPhetres, J., Zhang, Y., Lu, J. G., & Rand, D. G. (2020) · Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/0956797620939054 · Cited by 1,715 · see citing works
Understanding Conspiracy Theories
Douglas, K. M., Uscinski, J. E., Sutton, R. M., Cichocka, A., Nefes, T., Ang, C. S., & Deravi, F. (2019) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12568 · Cited by 1,511 · see citing works
Emotion shapes the diffusion of moralized content in social networks
Brady, W. J., Wills, J. A., Jost, J. T., Tucker, J. A., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1618923114 · Cited by 1,396 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Past work has found that expressions of negativity (Robertson, Pröllochs et al., 2022) and moral outrage (Brady et al., 2017, 2021) tend to receive more engagement online, which may also contribute to the spread of conspiracy theories.”
BackgroundSelf-citationThe Psychology of Conspiracy Theories
Douglas, K. M., Sutton, R. M., & Cichocka, A. (2017) · Current Directions in Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/0963721417718261 · Cited by 1,316 · see citing works
Bruder, M., Haffke, P., Neave, N., Nouripanah, N., & Imhoff, R. (2013) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2013.00225 · Cited by 1,049 · see citing works
The Partisan Brain: An Identity-Based Model of Political Belief
Van Bavel, J. J., & Pereira, A. (2018) · Trends in Cognitive Sciences · doi:10.1016/j.tics.2018.01.004 · Cited by 743 · see citing works
Political Extremism Predicts Belief in Conspiracy Theories
van Prooijen, J.-W., Krouwel, A. P. M., & Pollet, T. V. (2015) · Social Psychological and Personality Science · doi:10.1177/1948550614567356 · Cited by 626 · see citing works
Out-group animosity drives engagement on social media
Rathje, S., Van Bavel, J. J., & van der Linden, S. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2024292118 · Cited by 560 · see citing works
Self-citationvan der Linden, S. (2015) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2015.07.045 · Cited by 391 · cited 2× · see citing works
“Exposure to conspiracy theories can reduce prosocial behavior (van der Linden, 2015), while increasing intentions to engage in anti-social behavior such as petty crime (Jolley et al., 2019).”
BackgroundHow social learning amplifies moral outrage expression in online social networks
Brady, W. J., McLoughlin, K., Doan, T. N., & Crockett, M. J. (2021) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abe5641 · Cited by 375 · see citing works
Exposure to intergroup conspiracy theories promotes prejudice which spreads across groups
Jolley, D., Meleady, R., & Douglas, K. M. (2020) · British Journal of Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjop.12385 · Cited by 268 · see citing works
Imhoff, R., & Lamberty, P. (2018) · European Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1002/ejsp.2494 · Cited by 267 · see citing works
Collective narcissism and anti-Semitism in Poland
Golec de Zavala, A., & Cichocka, A. (2012) · Group Processes & Intergroup Relations · doi:10.1177/1368430211420891 · Cited by 253 · see citing works
Belief in conspiracy theories and intentions to engage in everyday crime
Jolley, D., Douglas, K. M., Leite, A. C., & Schrader, T. (2019) · British Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjso.12311 · Cited by 186 · see citing works
Kofta, M., Soral, W., & Bilewicz, M. (2020) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/pspa0000183 · Cited by 182 · see citing works
Perceiving the World Through Group-Colored Glasses: A Perceptual Model of Intergroup Relations
Xiao, Y. J., Coppin, G., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2016) · Psychological Inquiry · doi:10.1080/1047840x.2016.1199221 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
Beliefs in conspiracy theories following ostracism
Poon, K.-T., Chen, Z., & Wong, W.-Y. (2020) · Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin · doi:10.1177/0146167219898944 · Cited by 115 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Past work has found that social identity-related goals (e.g. the desire to belong within a group) increase belief in conspiracy theories, such that people are more likely to endorse conspiracy theories after suffering social exclusion (Poon et al., 2020).”
Background
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 28
- Armaly, M. T., Buckley, D. T., & Enders, A. M. (2022). Christian nationalism and political violence: victimhood, racial identity, conspiracy, and support for the capitol attacks. Political behavior, 44(2), 937-960.
- Anon. (2019). FBI Bulletin: Anti-Government, Fringe Political Conspiracy Theories Likely Motivate Domestic Extremists to Commit Criminal, Violent Activity | Public Intelligence.
- Basit, A. (2021). Conspiracy Theories and Violent Extremism. Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses, 13(3), 1-9.
- Batailler, C., Brannon, S. M., Teas, P. E., & Gawronski, B. (2022). A signal detection approach to understanding the identification of fake news. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17(1), 78-98.
- Bezalel, G. Y. (2021). Conspiracy Theories and Religion: Reframing Conspiracy Theories as Bliks. Episteme, 18(4), 674-692.
- Brady, W. J., Crockett, M. J., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2020). The MAD model of moral contagion: The role of motivation, attention, and design in the spread of moralized content online. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 15(4), 978-1010.
- Đorđević, J. M., Žeželj, I., & Đurić, Ž. (2021). Beyond general political attitudes: conspiracy mentality as a global belief system predicts endorsement of international and local conspiracy theories. Journal of Social and Political Psychology, 9(1), 144-158.
- Golec De Zavala, A., Cichocka, A., Eidelson, R., & Jayawickreme, N. (2009). Collective narcissism and its social consequences. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 97(6), 1074.
- Harris, E.*, Rathje, S.*, Sternisko, A., Robertson, C. & Van Bavel, J. J. (2022). The SPIR Model of Social Media and Polarization: Exploring the role of Selection, Platform Design, Incentives, and Real World Context. International Journal of Communication.
- Imhoff, R., Dieterle, L., & Lamberty, P. (2021). Resolving the puzzle of conspiracy worldview and political activism: Belief in secret plots decreases normative but increases nonnormative political engagement. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 12(1), 71-79.
- Imhoff, R., Zimmer, F., Klein, O., António, J. H., Babinska, M., Bangerter, A., ... & Van Prooijen, J. W. (2022). Conspiracy mentality and political orientation across 26 countries. Nature Human Behaviour, 6(3), 392-403.
- LeBoeuf, R. A., & Norton, M. I. (2012). Consequence-cause matching: Looking to the consequences of events to infer their causes. Journal of Consumer Research, 39(1), 128- 141.
- Marchlewska, M., Cichocka, A., Łozowski, F., Górska, P., & Winiewski, M. (2019). In search of an imaginary enemy: Catholic collective narcissism and the endorsement of gender conspiracy beliefs. The Journal of Social Psychology, 159(6), 766-779.
- Pantucci, R. (2020). A view from the CT foxhole: Gilles de Kerchove, European Union (EU) Counter-Terrorism Coordinator. CTC Sentinel, 13(8), 8-17.
- Pretus, C., Servin-Barthet, C., Harris, E., Brady, W., Vilarroya, O., & Van Bavel, J. (preprint). The role of political devotion in sharing partisan misinformation. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1665189/v1 · DOI
- Rathje, S., Van Bavel, J. J., & van der Linden, S. (2022). Accuracy and Social Motivations Shape Judgements of (Mis) Information. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/hkqyv · DOI
- Ren, Z. B., Dimant, E., & Schweitzer, M. E. (2021). Social Motives for Sharing Conspiracy Theories. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3919364 · DOI
- Roozenbeek, J., Freeman, A. L., & van der Linden, S. (2021). How accurate are accuracy- nudge interventions? A preregistered direct replication of Pennycook et al. (2020). Psychological Science, 32(7), 1169-1178.
- Solovev, K., & Pröllochs, N. (2022). Moral Emotions Shape the Virality of COVID-19 Misinformation on Social Media. ArXiv Preprint ArXiv:2202.03590. · arXiv
- Stasielowicz, L. (2022). Who believes in conspiracy theories? A meta-analysis on personality correlates. Journal of Research in Personality, 98, 104229.
- Sternisko, A., Cichocka, A., Cislak, A., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2021). National Narcissism predicts the Belief in and the Dissemination of Conspiracy Theories During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From 56 Countries. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 01461672211054947.
- Tajfel, H.; Turner, J. C. (1979). "An integrative theory of intergroup conflict". In W. G. Austin; S. Worchel (eds.). The Social Psychology of Intergroup Relations. Monterey, CA: Brooks/Cole. pp. 33-47.
- Van Bavel, J. J., Reinero, D. A., Harris, E., Robertson, C. E., & Pärnamets, P. (2020). Breaking groupthink: Why scientific identity and norms mitigate ideological epistemology. Psychological Inquiry, 31(1), 66-72.
- Van Bavel, J. J., Harris, E. A., Pärnamets, P., Rathje, S., Doell, K. C., & Tucker, J. A. (2021). Political psychology in the digital (mis) information age: A model of news belief and sharing. Social Issues and Policy Review, 15(1), 84-113.
- Van Prooijen, J. W., & Van Dijk, E. (2014). When consequence size predicts belief in conspiracy theories: The moderating role of perspective taking. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 55, 63-73.
- van Prooijen, J. W. (2018). Populism as political mentality underlying conspiracy theories. In Belief systems and the perception of reality (pp. 79-96). Routledge.
- Uscinski, J. E., and Parent J. M. (2014). American Conspiracy Theories. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Williams, M. N., Marques, M. D., Hill, S. R., Kerr, J. R., & Ling, M. (2022). Why are beliefs in different conspiracy theories positively correlated across individuals? Testing monological network versus unidimensional factor model explanations. British Journal of Social Psychology.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Van Bavel, J. J., Robertson, C. E., del Rosario, K., Rasmussen, J., & Rathje, S. (2024) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-022123-110258 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
Self-citationPeople think that social media platforms do (but should not) amplify divisive content
Rathje, S., Robertson, C., Brady, W. J., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2024) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/17456916231190392 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Self-citation
- Authors
- Robertson, C. E., Pretus, C., Rathje, S., Harris, E. A., & Van Bavel, J. J.
- Affiliations
- New York University (US)
- Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ES)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Venue
- Current Opinion in Psychology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2022-10
- Volume
- 47
- Pages
- 101423
- ISSN
- 2352-250X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4285605553
- Cited by
- 57
- References
- 19
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 10 · 2023: 14 · 2022: 3
- FWCI
- 1.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Current Opinion in Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Repositori digital de la UPF (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) (submittedVersion)
- PsyArXiv (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- PsyArXiv (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada
- Gates Foundation
- Gates Cambridge Trust (1144)
- John Templeton Foundation (61378)
- AEG Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Paranormal Experiences and Beliefs
- Keywords
- conspiracy theories, social identity, conspiracy beliefs, sense of belonging, in-group favoritism, group status, social motives, intergroup conflict
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Public Health, Surveys and Questionnaires, Social Identification
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review