Belief in conspiracy theories and intentions to engage in everyday crime
Open accessAbstract
Belief in conspiracy theories is associated with negative outcomes such as political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction. The current studies – one cross‐sectional ( N = 253) and one experimental ( N = 120) – tested the hypothesis that belief in conspiracy theories would increase intentions to engage in everyday crime. Study 1 demonstrated that belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty–Humility). Study 2 demonstrated that exposure to conspiracy theories (vs. control) increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future, through an increased feeling of anomie. The perception that others have conspired may therefore in some contexts lead to negative action rather than inaction.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
Belief in conspiracy theories predicted greater everyday crime in a cross-sectional UK sample, and experimental exposure to conspiracy material increased future everyday crime intentions via anomie. The findings suggest conspiracy beliefs can promote active antisocial behavior, not only disengagement or inaction.
Key findings
- Study 1: conspiracy beliefs were positively correlated with everyday crime behaviors (r = .26, p < .001) and uniquely predicted them in hierarchical regression (β = .15, p < .05; Step 3 R² = .35, ΔR² = .02), controlling for demographics, HEXACO traits, and moral identity. Honesty-Humility was the strongest predictor (β = −.39, p < .001).
- Study 2: exposure to a conspiracy article increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future (conspiracy M = 2.50, SD = 1.39 vs. control M = 2.02, SD = .93; t(118) = −2.2464, p = .027, d = 0.41).
- Study 2 mediation: conspiracy exposure marginally increased anomie (conspiracy M = 4.32, SD = .97 vs. control M = 3.96, SD = 1.07; t(118) = −1.916, p = .058, d = 0.34), and anomie mediated the effect on everyday crime intentions (mean estimate = .12, SE = .07, 95% CI [.0060, .3012]). Disillusionment did not differ between conditions (t(118) = .118, p = .906).
- Manipulation check: conspiracy endorsement was higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 4.28, SD = 1.15) than control (M = 3.84, SD = 1.20; t(118) = −2.03, p = .044, d = 0.37).
Methods
- Study 1: cross-sectional online UK Prolific sample (abstract reports N = 252; Method reports N = 253: 93 male, 157 female, 3 transgender; M age = 36.97, SD = 11.71). Measures included HEXACO-60, Moral Identity Scale, general and specific conspiracy beliefs, and the Everyday Crime Scale for past behavior and intentions; conspiracy items were combined into one scale (α = .96) and everyday crime items into one scale (α = .84). Main analysis was hierarchical regression entering age/gender, HEXACO and moral identity, then conspiracy beliefs.
- Study 2: experimental UK Prolific sample of N = 120 (32 male, 88 female; M age = 33.88, SD = 10.35), randomized to a conspiracy article (n = 60) or control (n = 60). Measures included a conspiracy manipulation check, anomie, disillusionment, and future everyday crime intentions; mediation was tested with PROCESS Model 4 using 5,000 bootstraps.
Limitations
- Stated: social desirability may have affected self-reports; the outcome was intentions rather than actual behavior; financial situation could not be ruled out; the design could not test whether conspiracy theories appeal to those already predisposed to immoral behavior or alter perceived norms; longitudinal designs, alternative causal paths (e.g., anomie → conspiracy), and other mediators/moderators (e.g., moral disengagement, social identity) remain untested.
- Stated: Study 2 effect sizes were moderate, and Honesty-Humility explained the largest variance in Study 1.
- Evident from the text: Study 1 sample size is inconsistent (abstract N = 252 vs. Method N = 253), and Study 2’s anomie condition difference is only marginal (p = .058) even though the mediation confidence interval excludes zero.
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Claims the paper makes
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- Findingown data
Exposure to conspiracy theories (vs. control) increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future.
“Study 2 demonstrated that exposure to conspiracy theories (vs.control) increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future”
- Also stated in: § Conspiracy theories and everyday crime · plain
“Next, a t-test revealed that being exposed to a conspiracy article (vs. control) influenced participants' levels of intention to engage in everyday crime in the future, t(118) = -2.2464,p = .027,d = 0.41.”
- Also stated in: § Conspiracy theories and everyday crime · plain
“Specifically, intentions to engage in everyday crime were significantly higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 2.50, SD = 1.39) than the control condition (M = 2.02, SD = .93).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Conspiracy theories and everyday crime · plain
- Findingown data
Study 1 found that belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty-Humility).
“Study 1 demonstrated that belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty-Humility).”
- Also stated in: § Results and discussion · boosted
“These results provide empirical evidence that belief in conspiracy theories plays a unique role in predicting a person's everyday crime behaviour when controlling for the effects of other known predictors.”
- Also stated in: § Results and discussion · plain
“Specifically, belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours, alongside Honesty-Humility, Agreeableness, Extraversion, and Openness to Experience.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Results and discussion · boosted
- Findingown data
In Study 2, exposure to a pro-conspiracy article (vs. control) did not affect participants' disillusionment (t(118) = .118, p = .906).
“There was, however, no difference in the measure of disillusionment, t(118) = .118,p = .906.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Belief in conspiracy theories was significantly positively correlated with everyday crime behaviours.
“As expected, belief in conspiracy theories was significantly positively correlated with everyday crime behaviours.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In Study 2, anomie significantly mediated the effect of exposure to conspiracy theories (vs. control) on intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future, with an indirect effect of .12 (SE .07), 95% CI [.0060, .3012].
“Based on bootstrapping with 5000 resamples using PROCESS Model 4, the mean estimates effect is .12(SE .07)with 95% confidence interval of .0060 to .3012.”
- Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
“However, whilst we found that anomie was a significant mediator of the relationship between conspiracy theories and criminal behaviour (Study 2), feelings of disillusionment did not mediate.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
- Findingown data
There were no significant effects of participant age or gender on the dependent measure.
“There were no significant effects involving participant age or gender on the dependent measure (p > .05),so these factors are not discussed further.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In Study 2, exposure to a pro-conspiracy article (vs. control) marginally significantly increased participants' anomie (conspiracy M = 4.32, SD = 0.97; control M = 3.96, SD = 1.07; t(118) = -1.916, p = .058, d = 0.34).
“Reading a conspiracy article (vs. control) influenced participants' levels of anomie, t(118) = -1.916,p = .058,d = 0.34.Specifically, anomie was marginally significantly higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 4.32, SD = 0.97) than the control condition (M = 3.96, SD = 1.07).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Men were more likely to engage in everyday crime.
“In addition, men were also more likely to engage in everyday crime.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Honesty-Humility explained the largest variance in predicting everyday crime.
“It is worth noting, however, that Honesty-Humility was shown to explain the largest variance in predicting everyday crime, and in Study 2, the effect sizes, whilst robust, were of moderate size.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In Study 1, belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known psychological predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty-Humility).
“In Study 1, belief in conspiracy theories predicted everyday crime behaviours when controlling for other known psychological predictors of everyday crime (e.g., Honesty-Humility).”
- Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
“| 3 | Conspiracy beliefs | | | .15* |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § General discussion · plain
- Findingown data
In Study 2, feelings of disillusionment did not mediate the relationship between conspiracy theories and criminal behaviour.
“However, whilst we found that anomie was a significant mediator of the relationship between conspiracy theories and criminal behaviour (Study 2), feelings of disillusionment did not mediate.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In Study 1, gender predicted everyday crime, with men more likely than women to indicate they would engage in everyday crime in the future.
“At Step 1, gender predicted everyday crime, but age did not; specifically, men (vs.women) indicated that they would be more likely to engage in everyday crime in the future.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In Study 1, age did not predict everyday crime.
“At Step 1, gender predicted everyday crime, but age did not; specifically, men (vs.women) indicated that they would be more likely to engage in everyday crime in the future.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Conspiracy theories appear to increase prejudice toward powerful groups who are perceived to conspire.
“Furthermore, they appear to increase prejudice toward powerful groups who are perceived to conspire (Imhoff & Bruder, 2014).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Imhoff & Bruder, 2014
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- Interpretationreasoning
The perception that others have conspired may in some contexts lead to negative action rather than inaction.
“The perception that others have conspired may therefore in some contexts lead to negative action rather than inaction.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The effect of exposure to conspiracy theories on intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future was mediated by increased feeling of anomie.
“Study 2 demonstrated that exposure to conspiracy theories (vs.control) increased intentions to engage in everyday crime in the future, through an increased feeling of anomie.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Conspiracy believers are more likely to endorse violence as a means to get things done.
“Conspiracy believers are also more likely to endorse violence as a means to get things done (Uscinski & Parent, 2014).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Uscinski & Parent, 2014
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- Premisecitation
People who endorse conspiracy theories point fingers at those in authority, accusing them of illegal or immoral acts.
“People who endorse conspiracy theories point fingers at those in authority, accusing them of illegal or immoral acts (Jolley, Douglas, & Sutton, 2018).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Jolley, Douglas, & Sutton, 2018
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- Premisecitation
The perception that society's social fabric is breaking down can involve lower levels of trust in authorities and others generally.
“Similarly, the perception that society's social fabric is breaking down can involve lower levels of trust in authorities and others generally (e.g., Dirks, 1999;Rothstein & Eeek, 2009).”
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- cites Rothstein & Eeek, 2009
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- Premisecitation
People believe in conspiracy theories to the extent that they would also be willing-in the same situations-to conspire themselves.
“In support of this view, findings suggest that people believe in conspiracy theories to the extent that they would also be willing-in the same situations-to conspire themselves (Douglas & Sutton, 2011).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Douglas & Sutton, 2011
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- Premisecitation
Personality factors play an important role in predicting everyday crime.
“Although unethical decision-making is complex and has multiple underlying sets of predictors (Kish-Gephart, Harrison, & Trevino, 2010), personality factors seem to play an important role in predicting everyday crime.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kish-Gephart, Harrison, & Trevino, 2010
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- Premisecitation
Moral identity predicts moral behaviours in a variety of settings.
“Moral identity-which can be described as a mental representation of one's moral character expressed to others through public and private actions (Aquinio & Reed, 2002)-has been shown to predict moral behaviours in a variety of settings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Aquino & Reed, 2002
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- Premisecitation
Disillusionment has been found to increase after exposure to conspiracy theories.
“Disillusionment has been found to increase after exposure to conspiracy theories (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b) and might also lead to increased intention to engage in everyday crime.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
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- Study design and conductreasoning
Study 1 data were cross-sectional, so no causal direction can be claimed.
“Whilst Study 1 demonstrated that personality traits such as Honesty-Humility predict everyday crime, the data were cross-sectional and therefore we cannot make a claim for a causal direction.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Conspiracy-related material can increase people's intentions to engage in everyday crime.
“This study extends the findings from Study 1 by demonstrating that conspiracyrelated material can increase people's intentions to engage in everyday crime.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Both general and specific conspiracy belief measures are typically highly correlated.
“Whilst both measures are typically highly correlated (see Brotherton, et al., 2013), including both measures allowed us to determine whether it is general or specific types of conspiracy beliefs (or both) that predict everyday crime”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Brotherton, et al., 2013
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- Study design and conductown data
The manipulation was successful: belief in conspiracy theories was higher in the conspiracy condition than the control condition.
“There was a significant difference between the conspiracy condition and control condition for endorsement of conspiracy theories, t(118) = -2.03,p = .044,d = 0.37.”
- Also stated in: § Manipulation check · plain
“Specifically, belief in conspiracy theories was higher in the conspiracy condition (M = 4.28, SD = 1.15) than the control condition (M = 3.84, SD = 1.20).The manipulation was therefore successful.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Manipulation check · plain
- Interpretationown data
Study 2 provided experimental evidence of the role that conspiracy theories play in predicting intentions to engage in everyday crime.
“Study 2 has therefore provided experimental evidence of the role that conspiracy theories play in predicting intentions to engage in everyday crime.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The current research establishes that belief in, and exposure to, conspiracy theories predicts an increased tendency toward everyday crime.
“The current research establishes that belief in, and exposure to, conspiracy theories predicts an increased tendency toward everyday crime.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Conspiracy theories play a unique role in predicting everyday crime alongside known predictors.
“Nonetheless, our research demonstrates the unique role that conspiracy theories play alongside these known predictors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Everyday crime might be a flexible and dynamic response to the social context, and in particular to how social norms are perceived to be followed (or not) by powerful groups in society.
“Specifically, this research highlights that everyday crime might be a flexible and dynamic response to the social context, and in particular to how social norms are perceived to be followed (or not) by powerful groups in society.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Depending on the context, conspiracy theories may lead to action rather than inaction.
“Depending on the context, therefore, conspiracy theories may lead to action rather than inaction.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductcitation
The outcome measure was based on intentions, which do not always lead to real behaviours.
“Another factor to note is that the outcome measure was based on intentions which do not always lead to real behaviours (e.g., LaPiere, 1934;Sheeran, 2002).”
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- cites Sheeran, 2002
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- Premisecitation
Individuals react more negatively to deviant behaviour when the perpetrator is an ingroup member than an outgroup member.
“However, it is well-established that individuals react more negatively to deviant behaviour when the perpetrator is an ingroup member (i.e., a member of our relevant social category) than an outgroup member (e.g., Marques, Yzerbyt, & Leyens, 1988;Leite, Pinto, & Abrams, 2016), as the former place the validity of our ingroup in jeopardy (Marques, Abrams, & Serodio, 2001).”
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- cites Leite, Pinto, & Abrams, 2016
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- cites Marques, Abrams, & Serodio, 2001
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- Interpretationown data
People subscribing to the view that others have conspired might be more inclined toward unethical actions.
“It demonstrates that people subscribing to the view that others have conspired might be more inclined toward unethical actions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 20
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 32
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Findingown dataCriminal behaviours were negatively associated with Honesty-Humility, Agreeableness-Anger, Conscientiousness, Openness to Experience and Moral Identity (symbolisation), and positively associated with Extraversion.
“Criminal behaviours were also negatively associated with Honesty-Humility, Agreeableness-Anger, Conscientiousness, Openness to Experience and Moral Identity (symbolisation), and positively associated with Extraversion.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataHonesty-Humility was negatively correlated with conspiracy beliefs, and Moral Identity (internalisation) was positively correlated with conspiracy beliefs.
“Honesty-Humility was negatively correlated conspiracy beliefs, and Moral Identity (internalisation) was positively correlated with conspiracy beliefs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataExploratory factor analysis of everyday crime items revealed one factor (eigenvalue 4.23) explaining 52.81% of variance, so items were combined into one measure.
“Using oblique rotation (promax), we conducted an exploratory factor analysis of the individual items of both scales.Statistical assumptions were met, and the analysis revealed one factor (eigenvalue 4.23), explaining 52.81 per cent of the variance.We therefore combined the items into one measure of everyday crime (α = .84).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn Study 2, the effect sizes, whilst robust, were of moderate size.
“It is worth noting, however, that Honesty-Humility was shown to explain the largest variance in predicting everyday crime, and in Study 2, the effect sizes, whilst robust, were of moderate size.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationEveryday crimes are common offences that most people are likely to commit at some point in their lives.
“Everyday crimes are common offences that most people are likely to commit at some point in their lives (Karstedt & Farrall, 2006).”
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PremisecitationConspiracy theories appear to increase feelings of powerlessness and disillusionment rather than making people feel better.
“Conspiracy theories appear to increase feelings of powerlessness and disillusionment (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b) rather than making people feel better.”
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PremisecitationConspiracy theories can fuel intergroup conflict and prejudice, which can generalize to other out-groups not involved in the alleged conspiracies.
“They can fuel intergroup conflict and prejudice (e.g., Bilewicz, Winiewski, Kofta, & Wójcik, 2013;Kofta & Sedek, 2005;Golec de Zavala & Cichocka, 2012), which in turn can even generalize to other out-groups who are not involved in the alleged conspiracies (Jolley, Meleady, & Douglas, under review).”
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- cites Kofta & Sedek, 2005
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PremisecitationBelief in organisational conspiracy theories is associated with decreased commitment to the organisation, increased job dissatisfaction, and willingness to leave the organisation.
“Moreover, belief in organisational conspiracy theories-that is, believing that powerful groups act secretly to achieve objectives at the cost of employees-is associated with decreased commitment to the organisation, and with increased job dissatisfaction and willingness to leave the organisation (Douglas & Leite, 2017).”
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PremisecitationConspiracy theories appear to discourage people from voting, from reducing their carbon footprint, and from vaccinating their children.
“For example, conspiracy theories appear to discourage people from voting, from reducing their carbon footprint, and from vaccinating their children (Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b).”
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PremisecitationBelief in conspiracy theories is associated with negative outcomes such as political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction.
“Belief in conspiracy theories is associated with negative outcomes such as political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction.”
- Also stated in: § Belief in conspiracy theories and intentions to engage in everyday crime · plain
“including political disengagement, prejudice, and environmental inaction (see Douglas et al., 2017 for a review).”
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PremisecitationHonesty-Humility and Conscientiousness predicted White Collar Crime behaviours.
“In a similar vein, van Gelder and de Vries (2016) found that Honesty-Humility and Conscientiousness predicted White Collar Crime (WCC) behaviours, which are crimes committed by employees against their employing organisation.”
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PremisecitationIn the HEXACO model, Honesty-Humility is an important predictor of unethical business decisions.
“Specifically, in the HEXACO model of personality (Lee & Ashton, 2004), Honesty-Humility (which embodies people's moral conscience) is an important predictor of unethical business decisions (Lee & Ashton, 2008).”
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PremisecitationConspiracy theories are associated with increased levels of mistrust, cynicism, and anomie.
“Specifically, conspiracy theories are associated with increased levels of mistrust (Einstein & Glick, 2015;Jolley & Douglas, 2014b), cynicism (Swami, Chamorro-Premuzic, & Furnham, 2010) and anomie-or a general feeling of unrest and dissatisfaction (Abalakina-Paap, Stephan, Craig, & Gregory, 1999).”
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- cites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
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PremisecitationMoral identity predicts a lower likelihood of lying in a salary negotiation and a greater likelihood of acting in a prosocial way.
“For example, moral identity predicts a lower likelihood of lying in a salary negotiation and a greater likelihood of acting in a prosocial way (Aquino, Freeman, Reed, Lim, & Felps, 2009;Winterich, Aquino, Mittal, & Swartz, 2013).”
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- cites Winterich, Aquino, Mittal, & Swartz, 2013
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PremisecitationDouglas et al. (2017) suggested that social factors such as anomie and feelings of alienation are likely to be exacerbated by conspiracy theories.
“In a recent review, Douglas et al. (2017) suggested that social factors, such as anomie and feelings of alienation, are likely to be exacerbated by conspiracy theories.”
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PremisecitationHonesty-Humility is a robust individual-level correlate of criminal behaviour, alongside Agreeableness and Conscientiousness, which consistently predict criminal and anti-social behaviour.
“It is also a robust individual-level correlate of criminal behaviour (Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990;Pratt & Cullen, 2000), alongside Agreeableness and Conscientiousness, which consistently predict criminal and anti-social behaviour (Miller & Lynam, 2001).”
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- cites Pratt & Cullen, 2000
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PremisecitationThe imbalance between cultural goals and the means available to individuals to achieve what is expected is likely to result in anomie, which in turn increases deviant behaviour and crime.
“Specifically, the imbalance between cultural goals (i.e., what is expected at the individual level) and the means available to individuals to achieve what is expected, are is likely to result in anomie, which in turn increases deviant behaviour and crime.”
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PremisecitationSocial reality is often uncertain, and people often look to others to infer expected attitudes, beliefs, and behaviours.
“Given that social reality is often uncertain, people will often look to others to infer what the expected attitudes, beliefs and behaviours are that will help them navigate the social world (Festinger, 1950;Reynolds, Subašić, & Tindall, 2014).”
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- cites Reynolds, Subašić, & Tindall, 2014
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PremisecitationConspiracy theories are associated with anomie, and anomie is associated with unethical behaviours.
“Specifically, we know that conspiracy theories are associated with anomie (Abalakina-Paap et al., 1999) and that anomie, in turn, is associated with unethical behaviours (Ramaseshan & Ewing, 2001).”
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- cites Ramaseshan & Ewing, 2001
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Study design and conductcitationA sample size of 253 participants was recruited following recommendations for stable correlations (n = 250).
“Following recommendations regarding sample size calculations to receive stable correlations (n = 250; Schönbrodt & Perugini, 2013), 253 participants (93 male, 157 female and three transgender; Mage = 36.97,SD = 11.71) were recruited via the online recruitment platform, Prolific Academic.”
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Study design and conductnone givenThe scales were presented in random order.
“These scales were presented in random order.”
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Study design and conductown dataParticipants were randomly assigned to conspiracy theory article vs control conditions.
“Participants were randomly assigned to one of two conditions (conspiracy theory article [n = 60] vs. control [n = 60]).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationTwelve statements about conspiracy theories were used as a manipulation check.
“Participants were then asked to read twelve statements about conspiracy theories, which were used as a manipulation check (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b, α = .91).”
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Study design and conductnone givenPresentation of the everyday crime scales was counterbalanced.
“Presentation of the scales was counterbalanced.”
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Study design and conductcitationA sample size of approximately 120 was required for 80% power to detect a small-medium effect size determined from previous research.
“A small-medium effect size determined from previous research (e.g., Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b) required a sample size of approximately 120 for 80% power of detecting the effect.”
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Study design and conductnone givenPresentation of the two conspiracy scales was counterbalanced.
“Presentation of the two scales was counterbalanced.”
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Interpretationown dataExposure to a pro-conspiracy account (vs. control) directly increases feelings of anomie, leading to an increased intention to engage in everyday crime in the future.
“The results demonstrated that being exposed to a pro-conspiracy account (vs.control) directly increase feelings of anomie, leading to an increased intention to engage in everyday crime in the future.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningA key contextual factor may be feeling empowered by the action or inaction.
“A key contextual factor may be feeling empowered by the action or inaction.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationSocial factors such as alienation and anomie may be psychological antecedents of belief in conspiracy theories and may also be exacerbated by exposure to conspiracy theories.
“This is consistent with recent theorising suggesting that social factors, such as alienation and anomie, may not only be psychological antecedents of belief in conspiracy theories, but they might also be exacerbated by exposure to conspiracy theories (Douglas et al., 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Douglas et al., 2017
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBeliefs in conspiracy theories are dynamic and vary according to the social context, including being influenced by people's epistemic, existential, and social motives.
“Importantly, this finding also supports the idea that beliefs in conspiracy theories are dynamic and vary according to the social context, including being influenced by people's epistemic, existential, and social motives (Douglas et al., 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Douglas et al., 2017
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningDisillusionment may promote more passive responses to conspiracy theories (e.g., political inaction) rather than active responses (e.g., engaging in crime).
“Disillusionment may promote more passive responses to conspiracy theories (e.g., political inaction) rather than active responses (e.g., engaging in crime).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationHonesty-Humility is a consistent predictor of everyday crime.
“Alongside predictors such as Honesty-Humility, which is a consistent predictor of everyday crime (van Gelder & de Vries, 2016), belief in conspiracy theories was also a significant positive predictor of such behaviour.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites van Gelder & de Vries, 2016
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningSocial desirability may have played a role in the participants' answers in our studies.
“For example, social desirability may have played a role in the participants' answers in our studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPrevious research has demonstrated that conspiracy theories can lead to disengagement from politics, climate science, vaccination and the workplace.
“Previous research has demonstrated that conspiracy theories can lead to disengagement from politics, climate science, vaccination and the workplace (Douglas & Leite, 2017;Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Douglas & Leite, 2017
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataConspiracy theories do not always lead to apathy and inaction; instead, they might lead people to actively engage in antisocial behaviour.
“It demonstrates that conspiracy theories do not always lead to apathy and inaction.Instead, conspiracy theories might lead people to actively engage in antisocial behaviour.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrevious research found that disillusionment was influenced by conspiracy theories and that disillusionment mediated the relationship between exposure to conspiracy theories and both political and environmental intentions.
“This was surprising since previous research has found that disillusionment was influenced by conspiracy theories, and that disillusionment mediated the relationship between exposure to conspiracy theories and both political and environmental intentions (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Jolley & Douglas, 2014b
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPeople who believed in conspiracy theories were more likely to take political action such as organizing a protest.
“This finding resonates with the work of Imhoff and Bruder (2014) who found that people who believed in conspiracy theories were more likely to take political action such as organizing a protest.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Imhoff and Bruder (2014)
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe current research was unable to examine the possibility that conspiracy theories appeal to those who are already predisposed to immoral behaviour.
“Furthermore, whilst in the current research we were able to provide casual evidence that conspiracy theories predict everyday crime via feelings of anomie, we were unable to examine the possibility that conspiracy theories appeal to those who are already predisposed to immoral behaviour.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMoral disengagement may account for decisions to engage in WCC behaviours.
“For example, research has shown that moral disengagement may account for decisions to engage in WCC behaviours (Egan, Hughes, & Palmer, 2015).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Egan, Hughes, & Palmer, 2015
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningThe current investigation measured a range of everyday crime behavioural intentions instead of focusing on a single behavioural indicator.
“It also allowed us to measure a range of everyday crime behavioural intentions instead of focusing on a single behavioural indicator.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenDifferences in financial security could plausibly determine attitudes and behaviours associated with crime.
“Although participants on Prolific Academic are predominantly in fulltime employment (see Prolific Academic, 2018), differences in financial security could plausibly determine attitudes and behaviours associated with crime.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenGreater anomie might lead to higher conspiracy belief, which could predict intentions to engage in everyday crimes.
“However, it is plausible that a different causal path may also exist.That is, greater anomie might lead to higher conspiracy belief, which could predict intentions to engage in everyday crimes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningWe cannot rule out the possibility that participants' criminal behaviours were the result of their financial situation rather than their conspiracy beliefs.
“Another limitation of the current research is that we cannot rule out the possibility that participants' criminal behaviours were the result of their financial situation rather than their conspiracy beliefs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe current investigation ensured anonymity to participants who took part.
“However, the current investigation did allow us to study the sensitive topic of everyday crime whilst ensuring anonymity to participants who took part.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The role of conspiracy theories in predicting everyday crime is unexplored, and researchers have paid less attention to whether conspiracy beliefs lead individuals to engage in unethical behaviours themselves.
“However, researchers have paid less attention to whether conspiracy beliefs lead individuals to engage in unethical behaviours themselves.”
“However, the role of conspiracy theories in predicting everyday crime remains unexplored.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
People holding stronger conspiracy theory beliefs are more open to everyday crimes.
“People holding stronger conspiracy theory beliefs are more open to everyday crimes [24]”
From The dark side of social movements: social identity, non-conformity, and the lure of conspiracy theories (2020) · cites this paper as [24]
Statistics recomputed
Every reported test result, recomputed from its test statistic and degrees of freedom. A result shows as not adding up only once an independent check has confirmed it.
- Consistentt(118) = -2.03reported p = .044 · recomputed p = .045
“t(118) = -2.03,p = .044”
- Consistentt(118) = -2.2464reported p = .027 · recomputed p = .027
“t(118) = -2.2464,p = .027”
- Consistentt(118) = -1.916reported p = .058 · recomputed p = .058
“t(118) = -1.916,p = .058”
- Consistentt(118) = 0.118reported p = .906 · recomputed p = .906
“t(118) = .118,p = .906”
- ConsistentF(1, 118) = 5reported p = .027 · recomputed p = .027
“F(1,118) = 5.00, p = .027”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Figure marks the total effect as p < .01 despite reporting p = .027
MinorThe figure marks the .48 total-effect estimate with two asterisks, defined as p < .01. The text reports p = .027 for the same conspiracy-versus-control effect on crime intentions.
“[0.48 (.22)**]”
“Next, a t-test revealed that being exposed to a conspiracy article (vs. control) influenced participants' levels of intention to engage in everyday crime in the future, t(118) = -2.2464,p = .027,d = 0.41.”
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Sorted by citations
Understanding Conspiracy Theories
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“2014b) and health (Jolley and Douglas, 2014a) contexts, as well as to higher feelings of anomie (Jolley et al., 2019), which describes perceptions of alienation, the disorderliness of the (social) world and general dissatisfaction.”
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“…theories decreases intentions to engage in politics and civic behaviors (Jolley & Douglas, 2014a, 2014b) but increases intentions to engage in everyday crime (Jolley et al., 2019), a finding interpretable as a quid pro quo reaction to the perceived legal noncompliance on the side of the powerful.”
BackgroundConspiracy theories and the conspiracy mindset: implications for political ideology
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Mistrust and misinformation: A two-component, socio-epistemic model of belief in conspiracy theories
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“Previous work has showcased that conspiracy believers are motivated by self-interests (e.g., Cichocka et al., 2016) and adopt self-serving behaviours (e.g., Jolley et al., 2019).”
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“Thus, perceived norms of conspiracy belief may influence personal BC, especially if people perceive groups with which they identify strongly as endorsing conspiracy theories [46, 47].”
BackgroundThe entertainment value of conspiracy theories
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“Finally, consistent with previous research (Jolley & Douglas, 2014b; Jolley et al., 2019), exposing participants to a conspiracy theory increased their belief in it, F(1, 298) = 91.”
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“Given the links between externalizing features, such as impulsivity and violence propensity (Jolley et al., 2019; Swami, Weis, et al., 2016), and conspiracy beliefs, in future work it may be helpful to clarify the relations between externalizing disorder features and conspiracy beliefs.”
BackgroundInfluentialConspiracy beliefs prospectively predict health behavior and well-being during a pandemic
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“…theories lowers people ’ s favorability toward vaccinating children (Jolley & Douglas, 2014), and that exposure to governmental conspiracy theories increases people ’ s willingness to commit minor forms of crime (e.g. filing false insurance claims; Jolley, Douglas, Leite, & Schrader, 2019).”
Are conspiracy theories harmless?
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“…willingness to conspire themselves (Douglas & Sutton, 2011), more relaxed attitudes towards gun ownership (Uscinski & Parent, 2014) and are more likely to engage in everyday small crimes such as running red traffic lights and paying for goods with cash to avoid taxation (Jolley et al., 2019).”
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The psychological and political correlates of conspiracy theory beliefs
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Conspiracy beliefs and the individual, relational, and collective selves
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Stojanov, A., & Halberstadt, J. (2020) · European Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1002/ejsp.2690 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Pantazi, M., Papaioannou, K., & van Prooijen, J. (2021) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12779 · Cited by 76 · see citing works
Jolley, D., Douglas, K. M., Skipper, Y., Thomas, E., & Cookson, D. (2021) · British Journal of Developmental Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjdp.12368 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Self-citationPsychological benefits of believing conspiracy theories
van Prooijen, J. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101352 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
Antecedents and consequences of COVID-19 conspiracy beliefs: a systematic reviewPreprint
van Mulukom, V., Pummerer, L., Alper, S., Bai, H., Čavojová, V., Farias, J. E. M., Kay, C. S., Lazarević, L. B., Lobato, E. J. C., Marinthe, G., et al. (2020) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/u8yah · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Jolley, D., Douglas, K. M., Marchlewska, M., Cichocka, A. K., & Sutton, R. M. (2021) · Journal of Applied Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/jasp.12829 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Self-citationAre misinformation, antiscientific claims, and conspiracy theories for political extremists?
Enders, A. M., & Uscinski, J. E. (2021) · Group Processes & Intergroup Relations · doi:10.1177/1368430220960805 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
“Since beliefs in dubious ideas lead to negative medical, social, and political outcomes (Jolley et al., 2019; Oliver & Wood, 2014b; van der Linden, 2015), understanding beliefs in misinformation, antiscientific claims, and conspiracy theories has become a critical area of study for researchers (Douglas et al.”
BackgroundThere are higher levels of conspiracy beliefs in more corrupt countries
Alper, S. (2022) · European Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1002/ejsp.2919 · Cited by 67 · see citing works
Reflective thinking predicts lower conspiracy beliefs: A meta-analysis
Yelbuz, B. E., Madan, E., & Alper, S. (2022) · Judgment and Decision Making · doi:10.1017/s1930297500008913 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
“believer (Allington et al., 2020; Douglas & Sutton, 2015; Jolley et al., 2019; Jolley et al., 2020), such as reducing willingness to vaccinate against serious diseases and viruses (Bertin et al.”
BackgroundInfluentialContemporary trends in psychological research on conspiracy beliefs. A systematic review
Pilch, I., Turska-Kawa, A., Wardawy, P., Olszanecka-Marmola, A., & Smołkowska-Jędo, W. (2023) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1075779 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
“, 2021), criminal intentions and support for violence (Jolley et al., 2019; Jolley and Paterson, 2020).”
BackgroundŠrol, J., Čavojová, V., & Mikušková, E. B. (2022) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2021.726076 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Allington, D., Buarque, B., & Flores, D. B. (2020) · Language and Literature International Journal of Stylistics · doi:10.1177/0963947020971997 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Social and Cognitive Aspects of the Vulnerability to Political Misinformation
Pantazi, M., Hale, S. A., & Klein, O. (2021) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12797 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Cause and effect: On the antecedents and consequences of conspiracy theory beliefs
Uscinski, J. E., Enders, A. M., Klofstad, C., & Stoler, J. B. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101364 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Of precarity and conspiracy: Introducing a socio‐functional model of conspiracy beliefs
Adam‐Troian, J., Chayinska, M., Paladino, M. P., Uluğ, Ö. M., Vaes, J., & Wagner‐Egger, P. (2022) · British Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjso.12597 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
“Likewise, it is possible that precarity leads to higher perceptions of anomie, the collapse of societal fabric, which are themselves linked with higher levels of conspiracy beliefs (Jolley et al., 2019; Salvador Casara et al., 2022).”
BackgroundLukić, P., & Živanović, M. (2021) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2021.110876 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
How social identity shapes conspiratorial belief
Robertson, C. E., Pretus, C., Rathje, S., Harris, E. A., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101423 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Bertin, P., Marinthe, G., Biddlestone, M., & Delouvée, S. (2021) · Journal of Experimental Social Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.jesp.2021.104252 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Hornsey, M. J., Pearson, S. G., Kang, J., Sassenberg, K., Jetten, J., Lange, P. A. M. V., Medina, L. G., Amiot, C. E., Ausmees, L., Baguma, P., et al. (2022) · European Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1002/ejsp.2888 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Conspiracy beliefs as an adaptation to historical trauma
Bilewicz, M. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101359 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Papaioannou, K., Pantazi, M., & van Prooijen, J. (2022) · British Journal of Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjop.12602 · Cited by 47 · see citing works
Belief in conspiracy theories and non-normative behavior
Pummerer, L. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101394 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
The antidepressant hoax: Conspiracy theories decrease health‐seeking intentions
Natoli, E., & Marques, M. D. (2020) · British Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjso.12426 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Hattersley, M., Brown, G. D. A., Michael, J., & Ludvig, E. A. (2021) · Cognition · doi:10.1016/j.cognition.2021.104956 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Hartmann, M., & Müller, P. (2021) · Psychological Reports · doi:10.1177/00332941211073656 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
“Some researchers have used the HEXACO model of personality rather than the Big 5, and found that the additional variable honesty-humility was negatively associated with both preventive behaviour and conspiracy beliefs (Jolley et al., 2019; Volk et al., 2021).”
MethodAustralasian Public Awareness and Belief in Conspiracy Theories: Motivational Correlates
Marques, M. D., Ling, M., Williams, M. N., Kerr, J. R., & McLennan, J. (2021) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12746 · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Injustice Without Evidence: The Unique Role of Conspiracy Theories in Social Justice Research
van Prooijen, J. (2021) · Social Justice Research · doi:10.1007/s11211-021-00376-x · Cited by 44 · see citing works
“, 2021; Rottweiler & Gill, 2020), a willingness to commit minor forms of crime (Jolley et al., 2019), extremism, populism, and radicalization (Bartlett & Miller, 2010; Krouwel et al.”
BackgroundHow conspiracy theories can stimulate political engagement
Kim, Y. (2019) · Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties · doi:10.1080/17457289.2019.1651321 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
McCarthy, M., Murphy, K., Sargeant, E., & Williamson, H. (2021) · Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy · doi:10.1111/asap.12291 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Generalized Dispositional Distrust as the Common Core of Populism and Conspiracy Mentality
Thielmann, I., & Hilbig, B. E. (2023) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12886 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Group-oriented motivations underlying conspiracy theories
van Prooijen, J. (2024) · Group Processes & Intergroup Relations · doi:10.1177/13684302241240696 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
“This may be reflected in a myriad of ways, such as increased unethical behavior (e.g., crime; see Jolley et al., 2019), societal unrest (e.g., the Capitol Hill riots; violent protests during the coronavirus pandemic; see also Imhoff et al., 2021), increased support for populist parties,…”
Conspiracy theories as opportunistic attributions of power
Nera, K., Bertin, P., & Klein, O. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101381 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Behavior in cheating paradigms is linked to overall approval rates of crowdworkers
Schild, C., Lilleholt, L., & Zettler, I. (2020) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.2195 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
The impact of social desirability bias on conspiracy belief measurement across cultures
Smallpage, S., Enders, A., Drochon, H., & Uscinski, J. E. (2022) · Political Science Research and Methods · doi:10.1017/psrm.2022.1 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Interconnectedness and (in)coherence as a signature of conspiracy worldviews
Miani, A., Hills, T. T., & Bangerter, A. (2022) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.abq3668 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
“Belief in CTs is also associated with political extremism and violence (8, 9) and increased intentions to engage in everyday crime (10).”
LOCO: The 88-million-word language of conspiracy corpus
Miani, A., Hills, T. T., & Bangerter, A. (2021) · Behavior Research Methods · doi:10.3758/s13428-021-01698-z · Cited by 35 · see citing works
“Moreover, transmission can also be motivated strategically, independently of belief, to influence constituencies, such as when CTs or fake news is intentionally shared on social media to affect outcomes like voter behavior (Bangerter et al., 2020; Douglas et al., 2019).”
BackgroundInfluential“Is It the Message or the Messenger?”: Conspiracy Endorsement and Media Sources
Mancosu, M., & Vegetti, F. (2020) · Social science computer review · doi:10.1177/0894439320965107 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“, 2020), and even engagement with petty crime (Jolley et al., 2019).”
BackgroundThe Creativity of Conspiracy Theories
Bonetto, É., & Arciszewski, T. (2021) · The Journal of Creative Behavior · doi:10.1002/jocb.497 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
The stock market is rigged? Conspiracy beliefs and distrust predict lower stock market participation
Fiagbenu, M. E. (2022) · Applied Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1002/acp.3981 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
COVID-19 Conspiracies, Trust in Authorities, and Duty to Comply with Social Distancing Restrictions
Murphy, K., Mccarthy, M., Sargeant, E., & Williamson, H. (2022) · International Criminology · doi:10.1007/s43576-021-00042-x · Cited by 27 · see citing works
“Holding a conspiracy-prone worldview has also been linked to greater willingness to accept violence as a justifiable course of action and to engage in criminal behaviour (Jolley & Paterson, 2020; Jolley et al., 2019).”
BackgroundA longitudinal analysis of conspiracy beliefs and Covid-19 health responses
van Prooijen, J., Amodio, D. M., Boot, A. B., Eerland, A., Etienne, T. W., Krouwel, A. P. M., Onderčo, M., Verkoeijen, P. P. J. L., & Zwaan, R. A. (2022) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291722002938 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Wagner-Egger, P., Adam-Troian, J., Cordonier, L., Cafiero, F., & Bronner, G. (2022) · International Review of Social Psychology · doi:10.5334/irsp.556 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
The sociodemographic correlates of conspiracism
Enders, A. M., Klofstad, C., Diekman, A. B., Drochon, H. H., de Waal, J. R., Littrell, S., Premaratne, K., Verdear, D., Wuchty, S., & Uscinski, J. E. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-64098-1 · Cited by 21 · see citing works
Čavojová, V., Šrol, J., & Mikušková, E. B. (2023) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-023-04284-y · Cited by 20 · see citing works
“That is probably because people high in conspiracy thinking do not trust the government and seem to prefer non-normative actions that contradict government regulations (Jolley et al., 2019; Marinthe et al., 2020).”
Stopping the Steal: The Ecology of Conspiracy in a Politically Polarized Nation
Allain, M. L., Bhattarai, A., McNeally, P. B., & Medina, R. (2023) · The Professional Geographer · doi:10.1080/00330124.2023.2223255 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
“In support of the findings of Beckett (2020), Douglas and Sutton (2011), Greenspan (2020), and Jolley et al. (2019), we expect that those Whites most affected by changing demographics or economies might also be more likely to believe con-spiracy theories that support the success of their racial or…”
Pummerer, L., Ditrich, L., Winter, K., & Sassenberg, K. (2022) · Social Psychology and Personality Science · doi:10.1177/19485506221144150 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
“Given that earlier research on everyday crimes and the violation of COVID-19 regulations assessed the belief in specific theories (Jolley et al., 2019; Pummerer, Bo¨hm, et al., 2022), we also opted for a well-established measure of belief in conspiracy theories (Lewandowsky et al., 2013), rather…”
Verschwörungsmentalität und Extremismus – Befunde aus Befragungsstudien in der Schweiz
Baier, D., & Manzoni, P. (2020) · Monatsschrift für Kriminologie und Strafrechtsreform · doi:10.1515/mks-2020-2044 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Dass Verschwörungstheorien zudem das Verhalten beeinflussen, belegt eine Studie von Jolley et al. (2019).”
BackgroundRejection of the status quo: Conspiracy theories and preference for alternative political systems
Papaioannou, K., Pantazi, M., & van Prooijen, J. (2024) · British Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjso.12754 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Szymaniak, K., Zajenkowski, M., Fronczyk, K., Leung, S. J., & Harmon‐Jones, E. (2023) · Journal of Research in Personality · doi:10.1016/j.jrp.2023.104374 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Evil perceptions mediate the association between trait anger and generic conspiracy beliefs
Harmon‐Jones, E., & Szymaniak, K. (2023) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2023.112303 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Rasul, M. E., Ahmed, S., Cho, J., & Gil-López, T. (2025) · Journal of Broadcasting & Electronic Media · doi:10.1080/08838151.2025.2495803 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
“…of misinformation on podcasts, we propose the following hypothesis: Political scientists have found that beliefs in misinformation and conspiracy theories are linked to adverse political outcomes such as increased criminal behavior and extremism (Jolley et al., 2019; van Prooijen et al., 2015).”
The relationship between conspiracy theory beliefs and political violence
Enders, A. M., Klofstad, C., & Uscinski, J. E. (2024) · Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review · doi:10.37016/mr-2020-163 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
“…(Rathje, 2022), and a willingness to engage in Machiavellian tactics and criminal behavior (Pavlović & Wertag, 2021)––also predict conspiracy theory beliefs (Douglas & Sutton, 2011; Enders, Klofstad, et al., 2023; Jolley et al., 2019; Klofstad et al., 2024; Uscinski, Enders, Diekman, et al., 2022).”
Caroti, D., Adam‐Troian, J., & Arciszewski, T. (2022) · Applied Cognitive Psychology · doi:10.1002/acp.3969 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
The psychological study of conspiracy theories: Strengths and limitations
van Prooijen, J., & Imhoff, R. (2022) · Current Opinion in Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101465 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Crime and Punishment in Times of Pandemics
Sarel, R. (2020) · European Journal of Law and Economics · doi:10.1007/s10657-021-09720-7 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Schrader, T., Jolley, D., Jolley, R. P., & Krahenbuhl, S. (2024) · Group Processes & Intergroup Relations · doi:10.1177/13684302241247985 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“Jolley et al. (2019) also demonstrated that exposure to conspiracy theories about significant events (e.g., 9/11) led to stronger intentions to engage in everyday crimes (e.g., accepting cash for items sold to avoid tax).”
Self-citationEngaging with Conspiracy Believers
Douglas, K. M., Sutton, R. M., Biddlestone, M., Green, R., & Toribio‐Flórez, D. (2024) · Review of Philosophy and Psychology · doi:10.1007/s13164-024-00741-0 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Self-citationCicco, G. D., Molinario, E., Contu, F., Pierro, A., Douglas, K. M., & Kruglanski, A. W. (2025) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-025-07710-5 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
“Conspiracy beliefs, indeed, have been shown to be linked to violent political engagement (Imhoff et al., 2021), as well as non-violent behaviors such as science denialism (van Mulukom et al., 2022) or everyday crime (Jolley et al., 2019).”
Self-citationImhoff, R., Dieterle, L., & Lamberty, P. (2019) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/v4pb9 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Hagen, R. (2019) · Sociological Forum · doi:10.1111/socf.12547 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Are rules made to be broken? Conspiracy exposure promotes aggressive behavior
Poon, K., Chan, R. S. W., & Lai, H. (2023) · Political Psychology · doi:10.1111/pops.12947 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
The Societal Impacts of Covid-19: A Transnational Perspective
Bozkurt, V., Dawes, G. D., Gülerce, H., & Westenbroek, P. (2021) · Istanbul University Press eBooks · doi:10.26650/b/ss49.2021.006 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Blanchard, A., Keenan, G. S., Heym, N., & Sumich, A. L. (2022) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2022.112060 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Jungkunz, S., Fahey, R. A., & Hino, A. (2024) · Political Studies · doi:10.1177/00323217241259229 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“…seem futile from the perspective of a conspiracy theorist” (Imhoff et al., 2021: 73)—in fact, conspiracy belief appears to diminish the individual’s willingness to participate in the social contract, increasing the likelihood of violent and anti-social behaviors generally (Jolley et al., 2019).”
Poier, S., & Suchanek, M. (2024) · Journal of public health · doi:10.1007/s10389-024-02210-5 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
“…between conspiracy beliefs and adherence to government guidelines (Freeman et al. 2022) or social distancing behavior (Marinthe et al. 2020), while there were, e.g., positive relations to non-normative behavior which counteract governmental regulations (Marinthe et al. 2020; Jolley et al. 2019).”
Of Precarity and Conspiracy: Introducing A Socio-Functional Model of Conspiracy BeliefsPreprint
Adam‐Troian, J., Chayinska, M., Paladino, M. P., Uluğ, Ö. M., Vaes, J., & Wagner‐Egger, P. (2021) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/mnfrd · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Jolley, D., Paterson, J. L., & Thomas, R. A. (2023) · Social Psychology · doi:10.1027/1864-9335/a000529 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationAlper, S., Toribio‐Flórez, D., Capraro, V., & Douglas, K. M. (2024) · Social Psychological and Personality Science · doi:10.1177/19485506241302878 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
“Thus, unsurprisingly, believing in conspiracy theories is related to a lack of trust in others (Abalakina-Paap et al., 1999; Douglas et al., 2019; Douglas & Sutton, 2018; Goertzel, 1994; Golec de Zavala & Federico, 2018; van Prooijen & Acker, 2015) and with lower levels of trust in governments,…”
InfluentialSelf-citationHartmann, M., & Müller, P. (2021) · doi:10.31124/advance.16644889.v1 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
How Are Conspiracy Beliefs Associated with Generosity?Preprint
Alper, S., Toribio‐Flórez, D., Douglas, K. M., & Capraro, V. (2021) · doi:10.31234/osf.io/fdyxr · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Self-citationBode, L., & Vraga, E. (2025) · doi:10.1093/oso/9780197565896.001.0001 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Bullying and Conspiracy Theories
Jolley, D., & Lantian, A. (2022) · Social Psychology · doi:10.1027/1864-9335/a000492 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Self-citationConspiracy beliefs and majority influence
Pummerer, L., Fock, L., Winter, K., & Sassenberg, K. (2024) · Journal of Social Psychology · doi:10.1080/00224545.2024.2397491 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“…norms (Pummerer et al., 2022), intentions to engage in everyday crimes and non-normative political action (Imhoff & Bruder, 2014; Imhoff et al., 2021; Jolley et al., 2019), and fewer intentions to vaccinate (Hornsey et al., 2018; Winter; Pummerer et al., 2022) – to just mention some examples.”
How belief in conspiracy theories could harm sustainability
van Prooijen, J., Šrol, J., & Maglić, M. (2025) · Nature Human Behaviour · doi:10.1038/s41562-025-02243-0 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Also, recall that conspiracy beliefs predict an increased willingness to commit financial crimes 90–93 .”
How Belief in Conspiracy Theories Addresses Some Basic Human Needs
Wheeler, E. A. (2020) · Identity in a changing world · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-38270-4_11 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Religion, conspiracy theory and consumer ethics: a moderated mediation analysis
Arli, D. I. (2022) · Marketing Intelligence & Planning · doi:10.1108/mip-03-2022-0111 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Phillips, J. B. (2025) · Journal of Social and Personal Relationships · doi:10.1177/02654075251328116 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“…with lowering institutional trust (Imhoff & Lamberty, 2018), fostering prejudice (e.g. antisemitism see Bilewicz et al., 2013), criminal behavior (Jolley et al., 2019), political violence (Jolley & Paterson, 2020), and radicalization and violent extremism (e.g. see Douglas et al. ’ s discussion…”
InfluentialKolinsky, R., Justino, J., Arnal, C., Tossonian, M., Rautu, I.-S., Bouali, H., Morais, J., & Klein, O. (2021) · Cadernos de Linguística · doi:10.25189/2675-4916.2021.v2.n1.id319 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Vally, Z. (2021) · Mental Health Effects of COVID-19 · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-824289-6.00001-5 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Mouafo, A., Nzekaih, H. K. E., & Messanga, G. (2023) · Current Research in Psychology · doi:10.3844/crpsp.2023.10.23 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“Conspiracy theories are attempts to explain important political and social events and circumstances highlighting conspiracies hatched by two or more powerful actors (Douglas et al ., 2019; Jolley et al ., 2022).”
BackgroundThe social psychology of conspiracy theories: Key insights and future challenges
Douglas, K. M., & Sutton, R. M. (2025) · Advances in experimental social psychology · doi:10.1016/bs.aesp.2024.10.004 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Self-citationPummerer, L., Gkinopoulos, T., Douglas, K. M., Jolley, D., & Sassenberg, K. (2024) · Psychological Inquiry · doi:10.1080/1047840x.2024.2442906 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“Given the typical action tendencies of anger, it is likely that this emotion also plays a role in the relations between conspiracy beliefs and intentions to engage in everyday crimes (in the UK, Jolley et al., 2019), collective action (in German facebook groups, Frischlich, 2022), non-normative behaviors (in Greece an…”
InfluentialSelf-citation
- Authors
- Jolley, D., Douglas, K. M., Leite, A. C., & Schrader, T.
- Affiliations
- University of Staffordshire (GB)
- University of Kent (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Jolley, Daniel
- Venue
- British Journal of Social Psychology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2019-01-19
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 534-549
- ISSN
- 0144-6665 (ISSN-L)
- 2044-8309
- OpenAlex
- W2909408410
- Semantic Scholar
- c6166d1b0d39491fc8eb8cf3b070be4cc493289e
- Cited by
- 186
- References
- 55
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 38 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 37 · 2021: 33 · 2020: 18 · 2019: 4
- FWCI
- 46.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- Licence
- Locations
- British Journal of Social Psychology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Northumbria Research Link (Northumbria University) (acceptedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- Staffordshire Online Repository (Staffordshire University) (acceptedVersion)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
- Durham Research Online (Durham University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent) (submittedVersion)
- OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- British Psychological Society
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Misinformation and Its Impacts
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Social Psychology › Deception detection and forensic psychology
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Keywords
- conspiracy theories, everyday crime, anomie, honesty-humility, political disengagement, prejudice
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Anomie, Crime, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Politics, Social Behavior, Thinking
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