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Dropout from individual psychotherapy for major depression: A meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials
Abstract
Dropout from mental health treatment poses a substantial problem, but rates vary substantially across studies and diagnoses. Focused reviews are needed to provide more detailed estimates for specific areas of research. Randomized clinical trials involving individual psychotherapy for unipolar depression are ubiquitous and important, but empirical data on average dropout rates from these studies is lacking. We conducted a random-effects meta-analysis of 54 such studies (N=5852) including 80 psychotherapy conditions, and evaluated a number of predictors of treatment- and study-level dropout rates. Our overall weighted dropout estimates were 19.9% at the study level, and 17.5% for psychotherapy conditions specifically. Therapy orientation did not significantly account for variance in dropout estimates, but estimates were significantly higher in psychotherapy conditions with more patients of minority racial status or with comorbid personality disorders. Treatment duration was also positively associated with dropout rates at trend level. Studies with an inactive control comparison had higher dropout rates than those without such a condition. Limitations include the inability to test certain potential predictors (e.g., socioeconomic status) due to infrequent reporting. Overall, our findings suggest the need to consider how specific patient and study characteristics may influence dropout rates in clinical research on individual therapy for depression.
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“A more focused meta-analysis reviewing only individual psychotherapy for major depression found a similar drop-out rate of 19.9% (Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
From Acceptability and Feasibility of an Intervention to Enhance Social Group Belonging: Evidence From Three Trials of Groups 4 Health (2022) · cites this paper as Cooper & Conklin, 2015
In the citing paper
“First, Copper and Conklin found an increased attrition risk of 23.5% from trials involving an inactive control condition (which is relevant to Phases I and II of our data here).”
From Acceptability and Feasibility of an Intervention to Enhance Social Group Belonging: Evidence From Three Trials of Groups 4 Health (2022) · cites this paper as Cooper & Conklin, 2015
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“In fact, the average dropout rate across the studies was 15.7%, which is perfectly in line with a recent meta-analysis on dropouts from individual psychotherapy for major depression (Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
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“For example, dropout rate from psychotherapies, in general, is about 19% (50) while the dropout rate from selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors are about 26% and tricyclics about 28% (51).”
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“Furthermore, treatment dropout rates can be significantly higher in these vulnerable populations due to limited transport, insurance-coverage difficulties, child-care responsibilities, work schedule conflicts, and lack of knowledge about available treatments (Cooper and Conklin, 2015).”
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“Additionally, meta-regressions are only able to detect if a variable is or is not associated with dropout across studies (Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
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“Largescale studies show that patients do not complete around 20–35 % of psychological therapy interventions (Cooper and Conklin 2015; Hans and Hiller 2013; Roos and Werbart 2013; Royal College of Psychiatrists 2013; Swift and Greenberg 2012).”
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Editorial: A Call to Action for an Antiracist Clinical Science
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“Each of these are higher than the estimated 17.5% dropout rate in face to face psychotherapy for depression (Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
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“However, it is often difficult to avoid attrition bias when conducting trials with inactive controls [52], and inactive controls are sometimes challenged as unethical in settings in which participants could be given an existing usual care intervention [53].”
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“…disparities exist in mental health treatment and healthcare: POC are less likely to utilize and more likely to prematurely withdraw from services (Cooper & Conklin, 2015; McClendon et al., 2020), resulting in limited benefits of usual care and more persistent conditions (e.g., depression…”
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“Although two-thirds of depressed patients would prefer to receive psychotherapy rather than medication (Brody, Khaliq, & Thompson, 1997), only 10–45% ever make a first appointment and a significant portion will drop out before treatment ends (Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
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“Another study (Cooper and Conklin, 2015) showed that in trials of psychotherapy for depression, inactive control conditions (a category inclusive of WL and placebo, but not of TAU) were associated with higher overall drop-out rates than active ones.”
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“In addition, dropout may have a particularly insidious and invisible effect on meta-analytic reviews, where detecting its influence is dependent on the degree to which authors of primary literature studies adhere to reporting standards (Cooper & Conklin, 2015; Rief & Hofmann, 2008).”
BackgroundSelf-citationCognitive Behavioral Therapy for Insomnia in People With Chronic Disease
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“9% (Cooper and Conklin, 2015), the dropout rate in the current study was relatively low when taking into account the long duration of the intervention program.”
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“Estimates based on the RCT literature (e.g., individual psychotherapy for major depressive disorder) have been similar (17.5%; Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
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“These meta-analyses have found that the dropout in CBT was 17% in randomized clinical trials (Cooper & Conklin, 2015) and 25% in non-randomized effectiveness studies (Hans & Hiller, 2013).”
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“As dropout is an important therapeutic outcome, there is a need to identify its predictors, as well as intervention strategies that reduce the risk of dropout (Cooper & Conklin, 2015; Swift & Greenberg, 2012; Swift, Greenberg, Whipple, & Kominiak, 2012).”
BackgroundSelf-citationDo psychosocial treatment outcomes vary by race or ethnicity? A review of meta-analyses
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“The overall dropout rate of about 29% is above average for psychotherapy trials for depression [50], but within the normal range, given the higher dropout rates in trials using medication and/or naturalistic settings [51].”
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“5%) [75], and no significant difference emerged between the therapies, it may still limit the interpretation of the findings.”
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“Dropouts from exercise treatment represent a huge barrier that impedes individual benefit from an intervention, and appear to be a particular problem in persons with depression [54].”
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“There are several studies that reported worse treatment results in patients with depressive disorders comorbid with PDs. 57,90,91 94 Differences in the results of these studies can be explained by the different patient populations studied.”
Influentialvan Bronswijk, S. C., Lemmens, L. H. J. M., Huibers, M. J. H., Arntz, A. R., & Peeters, F. P. M. L. (2018) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2018.02.003 · Cited by 29
“…low motivation for change, poor therapeutic alliance, low treatment credibility and failure to improve early in treat-ment (Arnow et al., 2007; Cooper and Conklin, 2015; Schindler et al., 2013; Taylor et al., 2012)), individual risks for dropout should be estimated, and speci fi c…”
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“…self-help interventions ranging between 2.2 and 45.5% (Cuijpers, Donker, van Straten, Li, & Andersson, 2010; Newman, Szkodny, Llera, & Przeworski, 2011), psychotherapy interventions estimated at 17.5% (Cooper & Conklin, 2015), and exercise interventions estimated at 17.2% (Stubbs et al., 2016).”
InfluentialWho will stay and who will go? Identifying risk factors for psychotherapy dropout
McGovern, C., Athey, A. J., Beale, E. E., Overholser, J. C., Gomez, S. H., & Silva, C. (2024) · Counselling and Psychotherapy Research · doi:10.1002/capr.12783 · Cited by 30
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“Während diese Hypothese substanzielle Unterstützung auf Basis einiger Primärstudien erhalten hat, wurde dies wiederum in einer Meta-Analyse nicht bestätigt, die ähnliche Abbrecherquoten einer individuellen Psychotherapie bei Männern und Frauen mit Depressionen zeigt [14].”
BackgroundCruwys, T., Haslam, C., Haslam, S. A., Rathbone, J. A., & Donaldson, J. L. (2022) · Behavior Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.beth.2022.06.011 · Cited by 23
Osma, J., Péris-Baquero, Ó., Suso‐Ribera, C., Sauer-Zavala, S. E., & Barlow, D. H. (2021) · Cognitive Therapy and Research · doi:10.1007/s10608-021-10208-6 · Cited by 25
Frank, E., Wallace, M. L., Matthews, M. J., Kendrick, J., Leach, J., Moore, T., Aranovich, G. J., Choudhury, T., Shah, N. R., Framroze, Z., et al. (2022) · Frontiers in Digital Health · doi:10.3389/fdgth.2022.870522 · Cited by 24
“%) is among the lowest ever observed in a clinical trial of a depression intervention where drop-out rates in the 17.5% – 47.8% range are common (22).”
BackgroundInfluentialSimulating clinical trial visits yields patient insights into study design and recruitment
Lim, S.-Y., Kivitz, A., McKinnell, D., Pierson, M. E., & O'Brien, F. S. (2017) · Patient Preference and Adherence · doi:10.2147/ppa.s137416 · Cited by 24
“In addition, patients from racial minority groups have higher dropout rates in clinical trials compared with white patients.(5,7) This underrepresentation of African-Americans is particularly relevant for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) clinical trials.”
BackgroundSong, J., Litvin, B., Allred, R., Chen, S., Hull, T. D., & Areán, P. A. (2023) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/46052 · Cited by 25
“Still, on average, participants completed a considerable proportion of their treatment, and varying levels of treatment engagement are reflective of the psychotherapeutic treatments provided in community settings [38].”
Matthews, E. B., Savoy, M. L., Paranjape, A., Washington, D., Hackney, T., Galis, D., & Zisman‐Ilani, Y. (2022) · Journal of General Internal Medicine · doi:10.1007/s11606-022-07427-2 · Cited by 22
Lund, H. N., Pedersen, I. N., Heymann-Szlachcinska, A. M., Tuszewska, M., Bízik, G., Larsen, J. I., Drago, A., Kulhay, E., Larsen, A., Sørensen, H. Ø., et al. (2022) · Nordic Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1080/08039488.2022.2080254 · Cited by 22
“The study had a low dropout rate compared to the estimate of the protocol and to clinical trials of psychotherapy in depression [32].”
ResultShould rTMS be considered a first-line treatment for major depressive episodes in adults?
O’Sullivan, S. J., Buchanan, D. M., Batail, J.-M. V., & Williams, N. (2024) · Clinical Neurophysiology · doi:10.1016/j.clinph.2024.06.004 · Cited by 24
Jakobsen, H., Andersson, G., Havik, O. E., & Nordgreen, T. (2016) · Internet Interventions · doi:10.1016/j.invent.2016.11.002 · Cited by 25
“This is however somewhat higher than what has been found for individual CBT in a meta-analysis by Cooper and Conklin (2015).”
ResultZuccolo, P. F., Xavier, M. O., Matijasevich, A., Polanczyk, G. V., & Fatori, D. (2021) · Trials · doi:10.1186/s13063-021-05179-8 · Cited by 21
Luedke, A., Peluso, P. R., Diaz, P., Freund, R. R., & Baker, A. Z. (2017) · Journal of Counseling & Development · doi:10.1002/jcad.12125 · Cited by 20
van Bronswijk, S. C., Lemmens, L. H. J. M., Huibers, M. J. H., & Peeters, F. P. M. L. (2020) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2020.09.135 · Cited by 24
Li, L., Wang, L., Duan, Y., Xiao, P., Zhou, Y., Luo, X., Liu, X., Xie, J., & Cheng, A. S. K. (2022) · Cancer Medicine · doi:10.1002/cam4.5030 · Cited by 18
Westhoff, M., Berg, M., Reif, A., Rief, W., & Hofmann, S. G. (2024) · Cognitive Therapy and Research · doi:10.1007/s10608-024-10487-9 · Cited by 28
“…effect sizes for anxiety and depression treatments remain moderate (Cuijpers et al., 2019; Weitz et al., 2018), with substantial therapy dropout (Cooper & Conklin, 2015; Gersh et al., 2017), high non-responder rates (Springer et al., 2018) and some patient subgroups deteriorating despite…”
Transcranial focused ultrasound targeting the default mode network for the treatment of depression
Schachtner, J. N., Dahill-Fuchel, J. F., Ehrmann, K., Bawiec, C. R., Hollender, P. J., Ornellas, S. B., Konecky, S. D., Achrol, A. S., & Allen, J. J. B. (2025) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2025.1451828 · Cited by 20
“…of participants dropped out due to lack of positive effects of the treatment, which is also signi fi cantly better than dropout rates in traditional clinical depression trials, such as individual psychotherapy and pharmaceuticals with up to one-third drop out prior to treatment completion (40 – 42).”
Rajan, G., Wachtler, C., Lee, S., Wändell, P. E., Philips, B., Wahlström, L., Svedin, C. G., & Carlsson, A. C. (2020) · Journal of Interpersonal Violence · doi:10.1177/0886260520965973 · Cited by 20
“…the dropout rates for PTSD treatment are often high in real clinical settings as opposed to the clinical trial settings (Najavits, 2015); even in study settings however, meta-analysis finds dropout rates of between 16 and 18% (Cooper & Conklin, 2015; Imel et al., 2013; Lewis et al., 2020).”
Henry, J. A., Goodworth, M.-C., Lima, E., Zaugg, T., & Thielman, E. J. (2022) · Ear & Hearing · doi:10.1097/aud.0000000000001150 · Cited by 18
“These average dropout rates of 14 to 16% are actually lower than the average of 17.5% observed from a meta-analysis of studies of in-person psychotherapy for depression (Cooper & Conklin 2015).”
BackgroundInfluentialThe therapeutic alliance and dropout in cognitive behavioral therapy of depression
Murphy, S. T., Garcia, R. A., Cheavens, J. S., & Strunk, D. R. (2022) · Psychotherapy Research · doi:10.1080/10503307.2021.2025277 · Cited by 18
“…a common occurrence, with a meta-analysis estimating the rate of dropout for individual psychotherapy of major depression to be about 20% overall (Cooper & Conklin, 2015) The effects of dropout are important to consider, as dropout is related to a range of negative effects, chief among them…”
BackgroundResultInfluentialGuimarães, M. E. A., Derhon, V., Signori, L. U., Seiffer, B., Wolf, S., & Schuch, F. B. (2024) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2024.08.025 · Cited by 31
Counseling dropout, retention, and ethnic/language match for Asian Americans.
Presley, S., & Day, S. X. (2018) · Psychological Services · doi:10.1037/ser0000223 · Cited by 18
Soucy, I., Provencher, M. D., Fortier, M., & McFadden, T. (2018) · Journal of Mental Health · doi:10.1080/09638237.2018.1466031 · Cited by 21
“While this attrition is comparable to other self-help (Newman et al., 2011), psychotherapy (Cooper & Conklin, 2015) and PA interventions (Stubbs et al., 2016), the authors consider it to be quite high given the many aspects of these guided selfhelp interventions that should promote adherence (e.g.…”
ResultGloster, A. T., Haller, E., Villanueva, J., Block, V., Benoy, C., Meyer, A. H., Brogli, S., Kuhweide, V., Karekla, M., Bader, K., et al. (2023) · Psychotherapy and Psychosomatics · doi:10.1159/000529411 · Cited by 16
Carpallo-González, M., Muñoz‐Navarro, R., González‐Blanch, C., & Vindel, A. C. (2023) · International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology · doi:10.1016/j.ijchp.2023.100379 · Cited by 20
“…Imel, Laska, Jakupcak and Simpson (2013) 42 1850 PTSD Individual and group Hans and Hiller (2013) 34 1880 Depression Individual and group Cooper and Conklin (2015) 54 5852 Depression Individual Fern andez, Salem, Swift and Ramtahal (2015) 115 20995 Various disorders (DR disaggregated by disorder)…”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialNavigating treatment recommendations for PTSD: A rapid review
Lee, E., & Bowles, K. H. (2020) · International Journal of Mental Health · doi:10.1080/00207411.2020.1781407 · Cited by 21
“For example, two meta-analytic reviews note that the average dropout rate for depression as 19.9% (Cooper & Conklin, 2015) and anxiety as 16.99% (Gersh et al., 2017).”
BackgroundInfluentialTreatment dropout among veterans and their families: Quantitative and qualitative findings.
Amsalem, D., Lopez-Yianilos, A., Lowell, A., Pickover, A. M., Arnon, S., Zhu, X., Suarez-Jimenez, B., Ryba, M., Bergman, M., Such, S., et al. (2022) · Psychological Trauma: Theory, Research, Practice, and Policy · doi:10.1037/tra0001109 · Cited by 16
Benjet, C. L., Borges, G. L. G., Orozco, R., Aguilar‐Gaxiola, S., Andrade, L. H., Cía, A. H., Hwang, I. H., Kessler, R. C., Piazza, M., Posada‐Villa, J., et al. (2022) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2022.02.019 · Cited by 18
Darnell, D. A., Pullmann, M. D., Hull, T. D., Chen, S., & Areán, P. A. (2022) · JMIR Formative Research · doi:10.2196/36521 · Cited by 17
“Marital status did not appear to be related to psychotherapy or mental health service disengagement in previous face-to-face psychotherapy studies [23,28,36].”
Backgroundvan Dijk, D. A., Deen, M. L., van den Boogaard, T. M., Ruhé, H. G., Spijker, J., & Peeters, F. P. M. L. (2022) · European Archives of Psychiatry and Clinical Neuroscience · doi:10.1007/s00406-022-01499-1 · Cited by 16
“Co-morbidity such as personality disorders and eating disorders [6, 9, 29] are considered to be risk enhancing by some, but other studies describe no or even a protective effect of personality pathology [13, 21].”
BackgroundResultInfluentialLatent Profiles of Comorbid Depression as Predictors of PTSD Treatment Outcome
Burton, M. S., Cooper, A. A., Mello, P. G., Feeny, N. C., & Zoellner, L. A. (2021) · Behavior Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.beth.2020.12.005 · Cited by 20
Self-citationWollmer, M. A., Neumann, I., Jung, S., Bechinie, A., Herrmann, J., Müller, A., Wohlmuth, P., Fournier-Kaiser, L., Sperling, C., Peters, L., et al. (2022) · Journal of Psychopharmacology · doi:10.1177/02698811211069108 · Cited by 16
“With randomized open allocation to either BTX or ACU treatment, we intended to avoid disappointment, higher attrition rates, and nocebo effects that may arise from discovering allocation to the placebo group (Cooper and Conklin, 2015; Doering et al., 2014; Furukawa et al., 2014).”
MethodVancampfort, D., Firth, J., Schuch, F. B., Rosenbaum, S., Probst, M., Ward, P. B., Damme, T. V., Binder, M. D., & Stubbs, B. (2016) · Mental health and physical activity · doi:10.1016/j.mhpa.2016.09.002 · Cited by 16
“…with its typical use in RCTs, and that adopted in other reviews of dropout in physical activity RCTs (Vancampfort et al 2016, Stubbs et al 2016), which was: ‘unexpected patient attrition among individuals who were randomized to a treatment but failed to complete it’ (Cooper & Conklin, 2015).”
MethodDetermining maximal achievable effect sizes of antidepressant therapies in placebo‐controlled trials
Hieronymus, F., Lisinski, A., Hieronymus, M., Näslund, J., Eriksson, E., & Østergaard, S. D. (2021) · Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica · doi:10.1111/acps.13340 · Cited by 14
Oliveira, J. T., Sousa, I., Ribeiro, A. P., & Gonçalves, M. M. (2021) · Clinical Psychology & Psychotherapy · doi:10.1002/cpp.2694 · Cited by 15
Walther, A., Ehlert, U., Schneeberger, M., Eggenberger, L., Flückiger, C., Komlenac, N., Heald, A. H., Rice, T., Palm, S., Seidler, Z. E., et al. (2023) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2023.1129386 · Cited by 15
Schulte-Frankenfeld, P. M., Breedvelt, J., Brouwer, M. E., van der Spek, N., Bosmans, G., & Bockting, C. (2024) · Clinical Psychology in Europe · doi:10.32872/cpe.13717 · Cited by 18
“%) and in line with estimates from other psychotherapy trials for depression in children and youth (Cooper & Conklin, 2015; Wright et al., 2021).”
Solomonov, N., & Barber, J. P. (2015) · Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences · doi:10.1017/s2045796015000815 · Cited by 15
“Meta-analyses comparing dropout rates in different psychotherapies have yielded mixed findings, from equal dropout rates across treatments (Cooper & Conklin, 2015), to significant differences between psychotherapies, with the highest rate in CBT and the lowest rate in PST (Cuijpers et al. 2008).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialMårtensson, E., Coumoundouros, C., Sörensdotter, R., von Essén, L., & Woodford, J. (2022) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2022.09.093 · Cited by 19
“Future research should seek to enhance retention (Cooper and Conklin, 2015), and report intervention characteristics in detail, e.g. using the TIDieR checklist (Hoffmann et al., 2014).”
Metadata
- Authors
- Cooper, A. A., & Conklin, L. R.
- Affiliations
- Case Western Reserve University (US)
- Boston University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Cooper, Andrew A.
- Venue
- Clinical Psychology Review
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2015-08
- Volume
- 40
- Pages
- 57-65
- ISSN
- 0272-7358 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W243214355
- Cited by
- 264
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 30 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 25 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 18 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 4
- FWCI
- 2.23
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Clinical Psychology Review (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychotherapy Techniques and Applications
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Mental Health Treatment and Access
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
- Keywords
- treatment discontinuation, individual psychotherapy, major depressive disorder, predictors of dropout, personality disorders, treatment duration, psychotherapy research
- MeSH terms
- Major Depressive Disorder, Humans, Patient Dropouts, Psychotherapy, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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