Is certainty more important than diagnosis for understanding race and gender disparities?: An experiment using coronary heart disease and depression case vignettes
Open accessAbstract
Objectives To (1) examine the influence of patient and provider attributes on physicians' diagnostic certainty and (2) assess the effect of diagnostic certainty on clinical therapeutic actions. Methods Factorial experiment of 128 generalist physicians using identical clinically authentic videotaped vignettes depicting patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) or depression. Results For CHD, physicians were least certain for Black patients (p=.003) and for younger female patients (p=.013). For depression, average certainty was higher than for the CHD presentation (74.0 vs. 57.9 on of scale of 0-100, p<.001) and there were no main effects of patient or provider characteristics. Increasing diagnostic certainty was a significant predictor of subsequent clinical actions, and these varied according to physician and patient characteristics across both conditions. Conclusions Physicians were least certain of their CHD diagnoses for Black patients and for younger women, but patient characteristics alone did not affect physician certainty of depression diagnoses. Physicians responded differentially to diagnostic certainty in terms of their clinical therapeutic actions such as test ordering and writing prescriptions. Physician responses to certainty may be as important as their responses to patient characteristics for understanding variation in clinical decision-making.
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Eight articles appeared to refer to the same data collected in a single cross-country comparison study, and a further two articles analysed the same data.
“eight articles appeared to refer to the same data collected in a single cross-country comparison study [27–32, 34, 35] and a further two articles analysed the same data [45, 47].”
From Implicit bias in healthcare professionals: a systematic review (2017) · cites this paper as [35]
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- Authors
- Lutfey, K. E., Link, C. L., Grant, R. W., Marceau, L. D., & McKinlay, J. B.
- Affiliations
- New England Research Institutes (US)
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lutfey, Karen E.
- Venue
- Health Policy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2009-03
- Volume
- 89
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 279-287
- ISSN
- 0168-8510 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC2676675
- OpenAlex
- W2029990752
- Cited by
- 42
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 2 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 4 · 2012: 6
- FWCI
- 1.90
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Health Policy (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute on Aging (R01 AG16747, R01AG016747)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Family Practice › Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Diversity and Career in Medicine
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Sex and Gender in Healthcare
- Keywords
- diagnostic certainty, racial disparities, gender disparities, coronary artery disease, depression, Black patients, young women, patient characteristics, provider characteristics, test ordering, drug prescribing, case vignettes
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Coronary Disease, Decision Making, Depression, Diagnosis, Differential, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Physicians, Sex Factors, Videotape Recording, Racial Groups, Health Status Disparities
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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