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Cited by 384

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 42 of the 42 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Economic growth, convergence, and world food demand and supply

Open access
Fukase, Emiko, Martin, Will·2020·World Development
DOI 10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104954
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Abstract

In recent years, developing countries have been growing much more rapidly than the industrial countries. This growth convergence has potentially very important implications for world food demand and for world agriculture because of the increase in demand for agricultural resources as diets shift away from starchy staples and towards animal-based products and fruits and vegetables. Using a resource-based measure of food production and consumption that accounts for the much higher production costs associated with animal-based foods, this article finds per capita demand growth to be a more important driver of food demand than population growth between now and 2050. Using the middle-ground Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenario to 2050 from the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, which assumes continued income convergence, the article finds that the increase in food demand (102 percent) would be about a third greater than under a hypothetical scenario of all countries growing at the same rate (78 percent). As convergence increases the growth of food supply by less than demand, it appears to be a driver of upward pressure on world food prices.

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Metadata

Authors
Fukase, E., & Martin, W.
Venue
World Development
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-08
Volume
132
Pages
104954
ISSN
0305-750X (ISSN-L)
DOI
10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.104954
OpenAlex
W2770693396
Cited by
384
References
42
FWCI
34.70
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid

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