Dismantling, optimising and personalising internet cognitive-behavioural therapy for depression: a systematic review and component network meta-analysis using individual participant data
Open accessAbstract
Background Internet cognitive behavioural therapy (iCBT) is a viable delivery format of CBT for depression. However, iCBT programmes include training in a wide array of cognitive and behavioural skills via different delivery methods, and it remains unclear which of these components are more efficacious and for whom.Methods We did a systematic review and individual participant data component network meta-analysis (cNMA) of iCBT trials for depression. We searched PubMed, PsycINFO, Embase, and the Cochrane Library for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) published from database inception to Jan 1, 2019, that compared any form of iCBT against another or a control condition in the acute treatment of adults (aged ≥18 years) with depression. Studies with inpatients or patients with bipolar depression were excluded. We sought individual participant data from the original authors. When these data were unavailable, we used aggregate data. Two independent researchers identified the included components. The primary outcome was depression severity, expressed as incremental mean difference (iMD) in the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) scores when a component is added to a treatment. We developed a web app that estimates relative efficacies between any two combinations of components, given baseline patient characteristics. This study is registered in PROSPERO, CRD42018104683.Findings We identified 76 RCTs, including 48 trials contributing individual participant data (11 704 participants) and 28 trials with aggregate data (6474 participants). The participants' weighted mean age was 42·0 years and 12 406 (71%) of 17 521 reported were women. There was suggestive evidence that behavioural activation might be beneficial (iMD -1·83 [95% credible interval (CrI) -2·90 to -0·80]) and that relaxation might be harmful (1·20 [95% CrI 0·17 to 2·27]). Baseline severity emerged as the strongest prognostic factor for endpoint depression. Combining human and automated encouragement reduced dropouts from treatment (incremental odds ratio, 0·32 [95% CrI 0·13 to 0·93]). The risk of bias was low for the randomisation process, missing outcome data, or selection of reported results in most of the included studies, uncertain for deviation from intended interventions, and high for measurement of outcomes. There was moderate to high heterogeneity among the studies and their components.Interpretation The individual patient data cNMA revealed potentially helpful, less helpful, or harmful components and delivery formats for iCBT packages. iCBT packages aiming to be effective and efficient might choose to include beneficial components and exclude ones that are potentially detrimental. Our web app can facilitate shared decision making by therapist and patient in choosing their preferred iCBT package.Funding Japan Society for the Promotion of Science.
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- Findingown data
Behavioural activation produced a beneficial additive effect on depression, with an iMD of -1.83 (95% CrI -2.90 to -0.80) and a standardised effect size of -0.31 (95% CrI -0.48 to -0.13).
“There was evidence that the non-specific treatment effects and behavioural activation components might have beneficial effects”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“the iMD of −1·83 (95% CrI −2·90 to −0·80) for behavioural activation in our cNMA corresponds to a standardised effect size of −0·31 (95% CrI −0·48 to −0·13)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Findingown data
Human encouragement combined with automated encouragement reduces dropout from iCBT treatment, with a combined iOR of 0.32 (95% CrI 0.13 to 0.93).
“We found that human encouragement in conjunction with automated encouragement decreases dropout from treatment (combined iOR 0·32 [95% CrI 0·13 to 0·93]; appendix p 73)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Behaviour therapy for insomnia was also helpful, with large point estimates but wider confidence intervals.
“There was weaker evidence that behaviour therapy for insomnia was also helpful, showing large point estimates but with wider confidence intervals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- Findingown data
The design-by-treatment test showed strong evidence of global inconsistency (Q=37.8, 17 df, p=0.0026).
“The design-by-treatment test for global inconsistency showed strong evidence of global inconsistency (Q=37·8, 17 df, p=0·0026);”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Cognitive restructuring did not show a beneficial additive effect in the current cNMA, with an iMD of 0.30 (95% CrI -0.87 to 1.41) and a standardised effect size of 0.05 (95% CrI -0.15 to 0.24).
“which estimated the iMD for cognitive restructuring to be 0·30 (95% CrI −0·87 to 1·41), corresponding to a standardised effect size of 0·05 (95% CrI −0·15 to 0·24).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
- Findingown data
The non-specific treatment effects component had beneficial effects.
“There was stronger evidence that the behavioural activation and non-specific treatment effects components had beneficial effects”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- Findingown data
The dropout-from-treatment component network meta-analysis included five aggregate-data trials and ten IPD trials comparing active treatments.
“For dropouts from treatment, we did a cNMA of studies comparing active treatments from five trials providing aggregate data and ten providing individual participant data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Every iCBT treatment package examined was more effective than waiting-list control.
“All iCBT treatment packages were found to be superior to the waiting list control.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Heterogeneity among studies and components was moderate to high.
“There was moderate to high heterogeneity among the studies and their components.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“Common heterogeneity τ was considered moderate to high.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingnone given
Automated encouragement by email or text messaging might improve adherence to iCBT.
“Having automated encouragement via emails or text messaging and human encouragement by telephone or email without reference to the therapeutic contents might enhance adherence to the treatment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Relaxation produced a harmful additive effect on depression, with an iMD of 1.20 (95% CrI 0.17 to 2.27).
“whereas the relaxation component might have negative effects”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
“By contrast, relaxation emerged as potentially harmful in our cNMA, with iMD of 1·20 (95% CrI 0·17 to 2·27).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
- Findingown data
The non-specific treatment effects component produced a beneficial additive effect on depression, with an iMD of -1.41 (95% CrI -2.52 to -0.30) and a standardised effect size of -0.24 (95% CrI -0.42 to -0.05).
“There was evidence that the non-specific treatment effects and behavioural activation components might have beneficial effects”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · boosted
“The non-specific treatment effects component had a robust additive effect of an iMD of −1·41 (95% CrI −2·52 to −0·30), corresponding to a standardised effect size of −0·24 (95% CrI −0·42 to −0·05).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · boosted
- Findingown data
Human encouragement combined with automated encouragement might improve therapy efficacy, with a combined iMD of -0.55 (95% CrI -1.75 to 0.65).
“and might be able to promote therapy efficacy (combined iMD −0·55 [95% CrI −1·75 to 0·65]; figure 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was no indication that IPD and aggregate data studies differed systematically.
“Overall, there was no indication of systematic differences between individual participant data and aggregate data studies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Human encouragement by telephone or email that does not refer to therapeutic contents might improve adherence to iCBT.
“Having automated encouragement via emails or text messaging and human encouragement by telephone or email without reference to the therapeutic contents might enhance adherence to the treatment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For a 45-year-old woman in a relationship with baseline PHQ-9 of 12, an efficient iCBT package (psychoeducation, behavioural intervention, problem solving, automated and human encouragement) had an estimated relative effect versus waiting list of -4.9 (95% CrI -6.8 to -3.1).
“For example, for a 45-year-old female patient, in a relationship, and with a baseline PHQ-9 score of 12, the relative effect of an efficient iCBT package consisting of psychoeducation, behavioural intervention, and problem solving using automated and human encouragement (ie, non-specific treatment effects plus psychoeducation plus behavioural activation plus problem solving plus automated Encourag”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component-covariate interactions were assumed to be linear.
- Findingown data
Behavioural activation may improve depression severity in iCBT, with an incremental mean difference of -1.83 (95% CrI -2.90 to -0.80).
“There was suggestive evidence that behavioural activation might be beneficial (iMD −1·83 [95% credible interval (CrI) −2·90 to −0·80])”
- Also stated in: § Results · boosted
“There was stronger evidence that the behavioural activation and non-specific treatment effects components had beneficial effects”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- Also stated in: § Results · boosted
- Findingown data
Component estimates for dropout from treatment were imprecise.
“The obtained estimates for the components were imprecise but there was some suggestion that automated encouragement and human encouragement reduced dropout from treatment”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- Findingown data
Baseline depression severity was the strongest prognostic factor for endpoint depression.
“Baseline severity emerged as the strongest prognostic factor for endpoint depression.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“Baseline severity was the strongest prognostic factor but the estimated effect modifications (ie, interactions with treatment components) were relatively small.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component-covariate interactions were assumed to be linear.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
Baseline depression severity was the strongest prognostic factor.
“Baseline severity of depression emerged as the strongest prognostic factor”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Combining human and automated encouragement reduced dropout from treatment, with an incremental odds ratio of 0.32 (95% CrI 0.13 to 0.93).
“Combining human and automated encouragement reduced dropouts from treatment (incremental odds ratio, 0·32 [95% CrI 0·13 to 0·93]).”
- Also stated in: § Results · hedged
“there was some suggestion that automated encouragement and human encouragement reduced dropout from treatment (combined iOR 0·32 [95% CrI 0·13–0·93]; appendix p 73).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- Also stated in: § Results · hedged
- Findingown data
Relaxation may worsen depression severity in iCBT, with an incremental mean difference of 1.20 (95% CrI 0.17 to 2.27).
“and that relaxation might be harmful (1·20 [95% CrI 0·17 to 2·27])”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“but the relaxation component was detrimental.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
Estimated effect modifications with treatment components were relatively small.
“Baseline severity was the strongest prognostic factor but the estimated effect modifications (ie, interactions with treatment components) were relatively small.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component-covariate interactions were assumed to be linear.
- Findingown data
The median completion rate of programme lessons was 72%.
“although the median completion rate of the programme lessons was 72%”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Given baseline severity, age, gender, and relationship status, the web app can estimate the relative effects of any combination treatment compared with another.
“given the baseline severity, age, gender, and relationship status, our web app can estimate the relative effects of any combination treatment over another.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Pre-specified and post-hoc sensitivity analyses for the primary outcome were concordant with the primary analyses.
“The results of the pre-specified and post-hoc sensitivity analyses for the primary outcome are shown in the appendix (pp 77–83); these results were concordant with the primary analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The contour-enhanced funnel plot showed no evidence of publication bias.
“The contour-enhanced funnel plot comparing all active treatments versus waiting list showed no evidence of publication bias (appendix p 66).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The individual participant data component network meta-analysis identified components and delivery formats that may be helpful, less helpful, or harmful for iCBT packages.
“The individual patient data cNMA revealed potentially helpful, less helpful, or harmful components and delivery formats for iCBT packages.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects were assumed to be additive.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Component-covariate interactions were assumed to be linear.
- Premisecitation
Guided iCBT can be as effective as face-to-face individual, group, or other delivery formats of CBT of similar length.
“It is now well established that guided iCBT can be as effective as face-to-face individual, group, or other delivery formats of CBT of similar length.10–12”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [10] Cuijpers, 2019, Effectiveness and acceptability of cognitive behavior therapy delivery formats in adults with depression: a network meta-analysis, JAMA Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Wagner, 2014, Internet-based versus face-to-face cognitive-behavioral intervention for depression: a randomized controlled non-inferiority trial, J Affect Disord source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Karyotaki, 2018, Do guided internet-based interventions result in clinically relevant changes for patients with depression? An individual participant data meta-analysis, Clin Psychol Rev source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
Inter-rater reliability for component classification was excellent, with mean agreement 93.3% and mean kappa 0.76.
“The inter-rater reliability of judgements for components was excellent, with a mean percentage agreement of 93·3% (range 84·0–98·6%) and a mean κ of 0·76 (range 0·38–0·96) for the 17 components (panel; appendix pp 42–51).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
López-López and colleagues' component network meta-analysis of CBT for depression found no evidence of specific effects for any skills or delivery formats.
“López-López and colleagues’8 cNMA of CBT for depression found no evidence of specific effects for any skills or delivery formats.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] López-López, 2019, The process and delivery of CBT for depression in adults: a systematic review and network meta-analysis, Psychol Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisenone given
Previous dismantling studies and component network meta-analyses mainly examined face-to-face CBT, where it is hard to confirm that intended components were delivered and that no other elements were added unless fidelity was monitored.
“One fundamental limitation of all previous dismantling studies and cNMAs is that they dealt mainly with face-to-face CBT, in which it is difficult to be sure that the claimed components have actually been administered as intended and that no other elements were introduced, unless treatment fidelity was monitored.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
The study's conclusions apply to the components and delivery modes as they were implemented in the included studies.
“Similarly, our conclusions are applicable to the components and delivery modes as implemented in the included studies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The included studies were generally of adequate quality except for domains where psychotherapy trials cannot avoid possible bias because blinding is infeasible.
“The included studies were generally of adequate quality except for the domains for which psychotherapy trials cannot escape possible biases due to unfeasibility of blinding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The network might have been confounded by unobserved imbalances across comparisons, such as antidepressant use and treatment duration, because transitivity was assessed for only a small number of possible effect modifiers.
“We only assessed the transitivity assumption for a small number of possible effect modifiers, thus, our network might have been confounded by unobserved imbalances across comparisons, such as antidepressant use and treatment duration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
A prior systematic review found no additive effect of cognitive restructuring, with a standardised mean difference of -0.06 (95% CI -0.68 to 0.55).
“The same systematic review found no additive effect of cognitive restructuring; the SMD based on three dismantling studies was −0·06 (95% CI −0·68 to 0·55).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Cuijpers, 2017, Component studies of psychological treatments of adult depression: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Psychother Res
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
The evidence supporting some recommendations, especially for cognitive restructuring, problem solving, or therapeutic guidance, remains relatively imprecise.
“the evidence supporting some of these recommendations, especially for cognitive restructuring, problem solving, or therapeutic guidance is still relatively imprecise”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Unguided iCBT might improve its efficacy by choosing its included components appropriately.
“There might therefore be room for unguided iCBT itself to improve its efficacy by appropriately choosing the included components.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Using individual participant data allowed the study to estimate relative efficacies of any combination of components based on patients' baseline characteristics.
“Lastly, by using individual participant data we were able to estimate relative efficacies of any combination of components based on patients’ baseline characteristics.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The present analyses can only address the effects of deciding to include particular components as principal ones at the start of treatment, under an intention-to-treat interpretation.
“The present analyses, therefore, can only speak to the effects of the decision to include particular components as their principal ones in the iCBT programme at the start of the treatment, as per the intention-to-treat principle of interpreting RCTs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
A prior systematic review estimated a pooled standardised mean difference of -0.46 (95% CI -0.91 to -0.01) for the additive effect of behavioural activation.
“which estimated a pooled standardised mean difference (SMD) of −0·46 (95% CI −0·91 to −0·01) for the additive effect of behavioural activation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Cuijpers, 2017, Component studies of psychological treatments of adult depression: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Psychother Res
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
A sensitivity analysis excluding trials that used miscellaneous components corroborated the primary analysis results.
“A sensitivity analysis excluding trials that used such miscellaneous components, however, corroborated the primary analysis results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The intransitivity is unlikely to have greatly affected the component estimates because the components in that comparison also appeared in other comparisons.
“However, this intransitivity is unlikely to have affected the estimates for the components to a great extent, because the components included in the cognitive therapy and attention or psychological placebo comparison were also included in other comparisons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If replicated, the findings on encouragement could increase the scalability of iCBT.
“Because human encouragement without reference to the therapeutic contents can be provided by trained lay people, these findings if replicated could increase scalability of iCBT.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Human encouragement that does not refer to therapeutic contents can be provided by trained lay people.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Important potential effect modifiers, such as childhood adversities or baseline cognitive or behavioural skills, were not included in the model.
“Important potential effect modifiers, such as childhood adversities37 or baseline cognitive or behavioural skills,38 were therefore not included in our model.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [37] Nemeroff, 2003, Differential responses to psychotherapy versus pharmacotherapy in patients with chronic forms of major depression and childhood trauma, Proc Natl Acad Sci USA source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [38] Cheavens, 2012, The compensation and capitalization models: a test of two approaches to individualizing the treatment of depression, Behav Res Ther source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
When individual participant data were pooled, only four commonly reported patient characteristics could be analysed as prognostic factors or effect modifiers.
“Fifth, when the individual participant data were pooled, there were only four commonly reported patient characteristics that we could analyse as prognostic factors or effect modifiers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
A sensitivity analysis limiting the number of CBT skills per arm to four or fewer produced estimates similar to the primary analysis.
“when we ran a sensitivity analysis limiting the included number of CBT skills per arm to four or fewer, the estimates were similar to those of the primary analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
No data were available on exactly which components were completed and by whom.
“no data were available as to exactly which components were completed and by whom.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 21
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 17
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe review identified 76 randomised controlled trials of iCBT for depression, with 48 trials providing individual participant data (11,704 participants) and 28 trials providing aggregate data (6,474 participants).
“We identified 76 RCTs, including 48 trials contributing individual participant data (11 704 participants) and 28 trials with aggregate data (6474 participants).”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“We finally included 76 trials and sought individual participant data from the original authors. Authors of 48 (63%) studies agreed to provide individual participant data representing 11 704 randomly assigned participants; the remaining 28 studies were included as aggregate data, representing 6474 randomly assigned participants (appendix p 17).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Results · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataBehaviour therapy for insomnia might be beneficial, but the evidence is suggestive and imprecise and comes from only four studies.
“weaker evidence that the behaviour therapy for insomnia component might be helpful”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
“There was suggestive evidence that behaviour therapy for insomnia could be beneficial. However, this therapy was included as a component in only four studies and the estimates for its efficacy were imprecise.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataCompared with waiting list, cognitive therapy, behavioural activation, third-wave CBT, CBT, psychoeducation, and problem-solving therapy all showed greater efficacy.
“Cognitive therapy, behavioural activation, third-wave cognitive behavioural therapy, CBT, psychoeducation, and problem-solving therapy were all shown to be more efficacious than waiting list.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the current network, unguided iCBT programmes often included relaxation: 14 of 29 (48%) when neither human encouragement nor therapeutic guidance was used, 13 of 29 (45%) when only human encouragement was used, and nine of 44 (20%) when both were used.
“These programmes often included relaxation as a component: 14 (48%) of 29 programmes used relaxation when neither human encouragement nor therapeutic guidance was used, 13 (45%) of 29 programmes used relaxation when only human encouragement was used, but only nine (20%) of 44 programmes used relaxation when human encouragement plus therapeutic guidance were used”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn the network, relaxation exercises were included in 36 arms, but the reports generally did not specify what patients actually did in each programme.
“In our network, relaxation exercises were included in 36 arms but the reports generally did not specify what patients actually did in each programme.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe negative findings of López-López and colleagues might be explained by their inclusion of mostly face-to-face CBT, where therapists could modify or omit contents unless fidelity was rigorously monitored.
“These negative findings might be due to the fact that the authors included mostly face-to-face CBT interventions, which generally allowed broad discretion to therapists who might have reduced, modified, or even left out some contents and introduced new contents outside the therapy manual, unless the trials were rigorously monitored for fidelity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataOne comparison (cognitive therapy vs attention or psychological placebo) had much higher baseline severity than other comparisons, but other effect modifiers appeared evenly distributed.
“One comparison (cognitive therapy vs attention or psychological placebo) had much higher baseline severity than all other comparisons but otherwise these effect modifiers appeared to be evenly distributed across comparisons (appendix pp 64–65).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe funding body did not participate in designing the study, collecting or analysing data, interpreting results, or writing the report.
“The funders of the study had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe study was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42018104683).
“This study is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42018104683)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationTraditional dismantling studies have generally been underpowered and of poor methodological quality.
“However, such studies have been typically underpowered and of poor methodological quality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [4] Ahn, 2001, Where oh where are the specific ingredients? A meta-analysis of component studies in counseling and psychotherapy, J Couns Psychol source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [5] Bell, 2013, Are the parts as good as the whole? A meta-analysis of component treatment studies, J Consult Clin Psychol source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitationTwo independent reviewers assessed study validity using the Cochrane revised risk of bias tool.
“Pairs of two independent reviewers (TAF, AS, EGO) independently assessed the validity of the included studies using the revised risk of bias tool by Cochrane.17”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] Sterne, 2019, RoB 2: a revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomised trials, BMJ
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe study protocol had already been published.
“This protocol for this study has already been published.18”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [18] Furukawa, 2019, Dismantling, personalising and optimising internet cognitive-behavioural therapy for depression: a study protocol for individual participant data component network meta-analysis, BMJ Open
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataInter-rater reliability for risk of bias assessment was satisfactory, with mean agreement 93.9% and mean weighted kappa 0.52.
“The inter-rater reliability of risk of bias assessment was satisfactory, with a mean percentage agreement of 93·9% (range 87·5–97·8%) and a mean weighted κ of 0·52 (range 0·17–0·84) for the five domains (appendix pp 58–59).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationCBT is the most widely studied psychotherapy for depression.
“Cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) is the most widely studied type of psychotherapy for depression.1,2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] Barth, 2013, Comparative efficacy of seven psychotherapeutic interventions for patients with depression: a network meta-analysis, PLoS Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [2] Cuijpers, 2019, The effects of fifteen evidence-supported therapies for adult depression: a meta-analytic review, Psychother Res
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataMost included studies had low risk of bias for randomisation, missing outcome data, and selection of reported results; risk was uncertain for deviations from intended interventions and high for outcome measurement.
“The risk of bias was low for the randomisation process, missing outcome data, or selection of reported results in most of the included studies, uncertain for deviation from intended interventions, and high for measurement of outcomes.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“The risk of bias according to the Cochrane’s revised risk of bias tool17 was low in 66 studies (86%) for randomisation process, in six studies (8%) for the deviation from intended interventions, in 64 studies (83%) for missing outcome data, in two studies (3%) for measurement of the outcome, and 53 studies (69%) for selection of the reported results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Also stated in: § Results · plain
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe report follows PRISMA extension statements for network meta-analysis and individual participant data meta-analysis.
“This report follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension statements for network meta-analysis19 and for individual participant data meta-analysis.20”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] Hutton, 2015, The PRISMA extension statement for reporting of systematic reviews incorporating network meta-analyses of health care interventions: checklist and explanations, Ann Intern Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [20] Stewart, 2015, Preferred reporting items for systematic review and meta-analyses of individual participant data: the PRISMA-IPD statement, JAMA source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe contrast between behavioural activation and cognitive restructuring in the current analyses is due to how easily each skill is learned within iCBT, not to their intrinsic efficacy.
“behavioural activation emerged as beneficial but cognitive restructuring did not in the current analyses, not because of these skills’ intrinsic efficacy but simply because of their ease of learning within iCBT.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningExtrapolating component combinations beyond those examined in the current dataset increases uncertainty, and possible deviations from assumptions such as additivity may have a larger impact on validity.
“We must be careful when extrapolating the combinations beyond those examined in the current dataset: as more and more components are combined to build packages not explored in the trials included in this study, the uncertainty around the estimates increases, and possible deviations from our assumptions (eg, additivity of component effects) might have a bigger impact on the validity of our results”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThere was indication of intransitivity for the comparison between cognitive therapy and attention or psychological placebo, and of global inconsistency in the network.
“Fourth, there was indication of intransitivity for a comparison between cognitive therapy and attention or psychological placebo and of global inconsistency in the network.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA component network meta-analysis of CBT for panic disorder identified muscle relaxation as detrimental.
“the cNMA of CBT for panic disorder has identified muscle relaxation as detrimental.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Pompoli, 2018, Dismantling cognitive-behaviour therapy for panic disorder: a systematic review and component network meta-analysis, Psychol Med source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataA post-hoc sensitivity analysis examining potential interactions among components gave results similar to the additive model, but the study was possibly underpowered to detect interactions.
“Although a post-hoc sensitivity analysis examining potential interactions among components provided similar results to the additive model, the study was possibly underpowered to detect interactions among components.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe additive effect of guidance could be due to human encouragement alone or to the combination of human encouragement plus therapeutic guidance when baseline severity is high, with the incremental effect decreasing at lower baseline severity.
“the additive effect of guidance could then be due to human encouragement or due to the combination of human encouragement plus therapeutic guidance when the baseline severity was high at 25 points; the incremental effect decreased when the baseline severity was lower.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningWith detailed definitions and inquiries to authors, the study achieved satisfactory to excellent inter-rater agreement.
“with detailed definitions as described in the table and inquiries of the authors when necessary (see appendix pp 18–41 for results of our communications), we were able to achieve satisfactory to excellent inter-rater agreement.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe component network meta-analysis increased precision by including more studies than narrowly defined dismantling studies and by combining direct and indirect estimates.
“The cNMA increased precision by including more studies than narrowly defined dismantling studies and by combining direct and indirect estimates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationLópez-López and colleagues' decomposition of CBT contents raised concerns because some arms contained only homework and many lacked psychoeducation.
“López-López and colleagues’ decomposition of the CBT contents also raised some concerns because some arms had only homework as their content while many arms did not have psychoeducation”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] López-López, 2019, The process and delivery of CBT for depression in adults: a systematic review and network meta-analysis, Psychol Med source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationGuided iCBT has been shown to be superior to unguided iCBT, especially among patients with higher baseline depression severity.
“guided iCBT has been shown to be superior to unguided iCBT,10 especially among patients with higher baseline severity of depression.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [10] Cuijpers, 2019, Effectiveness and acceptability of cognitive behavior therapy delivery formats in adults with depression: a network meta-analysis, JAMA Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [35] Karyotaki, 2021, Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy for depression: a systematic review and individual patient data network meta-analysis, JAMA Psychiatry source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningConclusions about the specific efficacy of CBT skills apply to iCBT and might not readily generalise to face-to-face CBT.
“Any conclusions about specific efficacy of CBT skills therefore pertain to iCBT and will inform which components to include in the efficacious and efficient iCBT package, but such findings might not readily generalise to face-to-face CBT.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningiCBT packages built from the identified components have the potential to be more efficacious, less burdensome for users, and less demanding on provider resources, making iCBT more scalable.
“Such packages have the potential to be more efficacious, less burdensome for users, and less demanding on provider resources, with the net effect of rendering iCBT even more scalable.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningRelaxation tended to be included in CBT arms with more skills, which might have reduced the time available to learn and practise those skills and lowered their efficacy.
“Relaxation tended to be included in CBT arms that included a greater number of skills, which might have allowed less time to learn and practise those particular skills and have reduced their efficacy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe non-specific treatment effects component includes both placebo effects and common or non-specific psychotherapy factors.
“the non-specific treatment effects component includes both the placebo effect and the common or non-specific psychotherapy factor”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenIn the current network, there was no evidence of data availability bias for individual participant data or of publication bias of active treatments over the waiting list.
“In the current network, there was no evidence of data availability bias for individual participant data or of publication bias of active treatments over the waiting list, the most frequent control condition.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Skills not covered by the classification were assumed to have only non-specific treatment effects.
“When skills not covered in this classification (eg, expressive writing, dreamwork) were included, we assumed such interventions to have some non-specific treatment effects only.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Common heterogeneity was assumed across all treatment comparisons.
“assuming common heterogeneity for all treatment comparisons.25”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Component effects were assumed to be additive.
“The models disentangled the effects of components assuming additivity,9”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Component-covariate interactions were assumed to be linear.
“The component-covariate interactions were modelled assuming linearity.”
The paper relies on this without support.
iCBT delivers each cognitive and behavioural skill uniformly and as intended by programme developers.
“iCBT provides a unique platform whereby each cognitive and behavioural skill is offered uniformly and as intended by the programme developers.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Component effects are additive: for any component c, the relative effect of c plus X versus X alone is the same for any combination X not containing c, and there are no interactions between components.
“we assumed additivity of the component effects—ie, that for any given component (c), the relative effect of c plus X versus X only is the same for any X, where X represents any combination of”
“Thus, our results assumed no interactions between components.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Most participants completed a majority of the included components.
“we can assume that most participants had actually completed a majority of the included components”
The paper relies on this without support.
Human encouragement that does not refer to therapeutic contents can be provided by trained lay people.
“Because human encouragement without reference to the therapeutic contents can be provided by trained lay people”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the Strategic Use of New generation antidepressants study, switching or augmenting medications as early as 3 weeks was associated with an NNT of 10 in achieving remission by 9 weeks in comparison with standard length acute phase treatment.
“For example, in the Strategic Use of New generation antidepressants study, switching or augmenting mediations as early as 3 weeks was associated with an NNT of 10 in achieving remission by 9 weeks in comparison with standard length acute phase treatment. 598”
From Time for united action on depression: a Lancet–World Psychiatric Association Commission (2022) · cites this paper as [598]
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“depression demonstrated that BA was the most beneficial, followed by behavioral therapy for insomnia and problemsolving.(29) A meta-analysis focused on CBT for FCR found that contemporary approaches focused on the process of cognition showed greater efficacy than traditional CBT that focused on the contents of cogniti…”
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Furukawa, T. A., Suganuma, A., Ostinelli, E. G., Andersson, G., Beevers, C. G., Shumake, J., Berger, T., Boele, F. W., Buntrock, C., Carlbring, P., Choi, I., Christensen, H., Mackinnon, A., Dahne, J., Huibers, M. J. H., Ebert, D. D., Farrer, L., Forand, N. R., Strunk, D. R., Ezawa, I. D., Forsell, E., Kaldo, V., Geraedts, A., Gilbody, S., Littlewood, E., Brabyn, S., Hadjistavropoulos, H. D., Schneider, L. H., Johansson, R., Kenter, R., Kivi, M., Björkelund, C., Kleiboer, A., Riper, H., Klein, J. P., Schröder, J., Meyer, B., Moritz, S., Bücker, L., Lintvedt, O., Johansson, P., Lundgren, J., Milgrom, J., Gemmill, A. W., Mohr, D. C., Montero-Marin, J., Garcia-Campayo, J., Nobis, S., Zarski, A.-C., O'Moore, K., Williams, A. D., Newby, J. M., Perini, S., Phillips, R., Schneider, J., Pots, W., Pugh, N. E., Richards, D., Rosso, I. M., Rauch, S. L., Sheeber, L. B., Smith, J., Spek, V., Pop, V. J., Ünlü, B., van Bastelaar, K. M. P., van Luenen, S., Garnefski, N., Kraaij, V., Vernmark, K., Warmerdam, L., van Straten, A., Zagorscak, P., Knaevelsrud, C., Heinrich, M., Miguel, C., Cipriani, A., Efthimiou, O., Karyotaki, E., & Cuijpers, P.
- Affiliations
- Kyoto University (JP)
- Warneford Hospital (GB)
- Linköping University (SE)
- The University of Texas at Austin (US)
- University of Bern (CH)
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (DE)
- Stockholm University (SE)
- The University of Sydney (AU)
- Black Dog Institute (AU)
- Medical University of South Carolina (US)
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (NL)
- Technical University of Munich (DE)
- Australian National University (AU)
- Donald & Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell (US)
- The Ohio State University (US)
- Region Stockholm (SE)
- Linnaeus University (SE)
- University of York (GB)
- University of Regina (CA)
- St. Joseph’s Healthcare Hamilton (CA)
- University of Bergen (NO)
- University of Gothenburg (SE)
- University of Lübeck (DE)
- University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (DE)
- GAIA (Germany) (DE)
- The University of Melbourne (AU)
- Northwestern University (US)
- Klinikum Osnabrück (DE)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- St Vincent's Hospital Sydney (AU)
- Imperial College London (GB)
- University of Nottingham (GB)
- University of Twente (NL)
- Trinity College Dublin (IE)
- McLean Hospital (US)
- Oregon Research Institute (US)
- Fontys University of Applied Sciences (NL)
- Tilburg University (NL)
- PsyQ (NL)
- Leiden University (NL)
- Zorginstituut Nederland (NL)
- Freie Universität Berlin (DE)
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust (GB)
- Harvard University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Furukawa, Toshi A
- ORCID
- Furukawa, Toshi A
- Suganuma, Aya
- Ostinelli, Edoardo G
- Andersson, Gerhard
- Beevers, Christopher G
- Shumake, Jason
- Berger, Thomas
- Boele, Florien Willemijn
- Buntrock, Claudia
- Carlbring, Per
- Choi, Isabella
- Christensen, Helen
- Mackinnon, Andrew
- Dahne, Jennifer
- Huibers, Marcus J H
- Ebert, David D
- Farrer, Louise
- Forand, Nicholas R
- Strunk, Daniel R
- Ezawa, Iony D
- Forsell, Erik
- Kaldo, Viktor
- Gilbody, Simon
- Littlewood, Elizabeth
- Brabyn, Sally
- Hadjistavropoulos, Heather D
- Schneider, Luke H
- Johansson, Robert
- Kenter, Robin
- Kivi, Marie
- Björkelund, Cecilia
- Kleiboer, Annet
- Riper, Heleen
- Klein, Jan Philipp
- Schröder, Johanna
- Meyer, Björn
- Moritz, Steffen
- Lintvedt, Ove
- Johansson, Peter
- Lundgren, Johan
- Milgrom, Jeannette
- Gemmill, Alan W
- Mohr, David C
- Nobis, Stephanie
- Zarski, Anna-Carlotta
- Newby, Jill M
- Phillips, Rachel
- Schneider, Justine
- Pots, Wendy
- Richards, Derek
- Rosso, Isabelle M
- Rauch, Scott L
- Sheeber, Lisa B
- Smith, Jessica
- Spek, Viola
- Garnefski, Nadia
- Kraaij, Vivian
- Vernmark, Kristofer
- Warmerdam, Lisanne
- Zagorscak, Pavle
- Knaevelsrud, Christine
- Heinrich, Manuel
- Miguel, Clara
- Cipriani, Andrea
- Efthimiou, Orestis
- Karyotaki, Eirini
- Cuijpers, Pim
- Venue
- The Lancet Psychiatry
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2021-06
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 500-511
- ISSN
- 2215-0366 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8838916
- OpenAlex
- W3159498050
- Cited by
- 255
- References
- 49
- Citations by year
- 2026: 34 · 2025: 39 · 2024: 71 · 2023: 49 · 2022: 49 · 2021: 12 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 7.06
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Pure Amsterdam UMC (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- VU Research Portal (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion)
- Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- BORIS (University Library Bern) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion)
- mediaTUM – the media and publications repository of the Technical University Munich (Technical University Munich) (submittedVersion)
- Amsterdam UMC (VU Amsterdam) - Institutional Repository (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Queen Mary Research Online (Queen Mary University of London) (submittedVersion)
- VU Research Portal (submittedVersion)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Trinity's Access to Research Output (TARA) (Trinity College Dublin) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
- Funders
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Digital Mental Health Interventions
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychological Treatments and Assessments
- Keywords
- depression, treatment components, behavioral activation, relaxation, treatment discontinuation, baseline depression severity, prognostic factors, personalized treatment, individual patient data, treatment optimization, digital mental health interventions
- MeSH terms
- Network Meta-Analysis, Depressive Disorder, Humans, Systems Analysis, Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Internet
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-06.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-06.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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