Ozone and daily mortality rate in 21 cities of East Asia: how does season modify the association?
Abstract
Previous studies in East Asia have revealed that the short-term associations between tropospheric ozone and daily mortality rate were strongest in winter, which is opposite to the findings in North America and Western Europe. Therefore, we investigated the season-varying association between ozone and daily mortality rate in 21 cities of East Asia from 1979 to 2010. Time-series Poisson regression models were used to analyze the association between ozone and daily nonaccidental mortality rate in each city, testing for different temperature lags. The best-fitting model was obtained after adjustment for temperature in the previous 2 weeks. Bayesian hierarchical models were applied to pool the city-specific estimates. An interquartile-range increase of the moving average concentrations of same-day and previous-day ozone was associated with an increase of 1.44% (95% posterior interval (PI): 1.08%, 1.80%) in daily total mortality rate after adjustment for temperature in the previous 2 weeks. The corresponding increases were 0.62% (95% PI: 0.08%, 1.16%) in winter, 1.46% (95% PI: 0.89%, 2.03%) in spring, 1.60% (95% PI: 1.03%, 2.17%) in summer, and 1.12% (95% PI: 0.73%, 1.51%) in fall. We found significant associations between short-term exposure to ozone and higher mortality rate in East Asia that varied considerably from season to season with a significant trough in winter.
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Previous studies assessing the relationship between ozone and mortality in China were unable to test for confounding by PM2.5 because PM2.5 was not officially monitored nationally before 2013.
“Because PM2.5 was not officially monitored nationally in China before 2013, previous studies assessing the relationship between ozone and mortality in China were unable to test for confounding by PM2.5 (Chen et al., 2013; Chen et al., 2014; Kan et al., 2008; Liu et al., 2013; Yang et al., 2012).”
From Acute effect of ozone exposure on daily mortality in seven cities of Jiangsu Province, China: no clear evidence for threshold (2017) · cites this paper as Chen et al., 2014
The study's estimates of the ozone-mortality relationship are generally consistent with previous multicity studies and meta-analyses in China.
“Our estimates of the ozone-mortality relationship are generally consistent with previous multicity studies and meta-analyses in China (Chen et al., 2014; Shang et al., 2013; Tao et al., 2011; Yan et al., 2013).”
From Acute effect of ozone exposure on daily mortality in seven cities of Jiangsu Province, China: no clear evidence for threshold (2017) · cites this paper as Chen et al., 2014
The study found comparable risk estimates for the ozone-mortality relationship compared with other time-series studies with at least three years of data.
“However, we have found comparable risk estimates for ozone-mortality relationship compared with other time-series studies with at least three years of data (Chen et al., 2014; Tao et al., 2011).”
From Acute effect of ozone exposure on daily mortality in seven cities of Jiangsu Province, China: no clear evidence for threshold (2017) · cites this paper as Chen et al., 2014
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Self-citation
- Authors
- Chen, R., Cai, J., Meng, X., Kim, H., Honda, Y., Guo, Y. L., Samoli, E., Yang, X., & Kan, H.
- Affiliations
- Fudan University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Kan, Haidong
- ORCID
- Venue
- American Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2014-08-19
- Volume
- 180
- Issue
- 7
- Pages
- 729-736
- ISSN
- 0002-9262 (ISSN-L)
- 1476-6256
- OpenAlex
- W2050067268
- Cited by
- 77
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 9 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 9 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 2 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 3.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Indoor Air Quality and Microbial Exposure
- Keywords
- tropospheric ozone, short-term ozone exposure, daily mortality, seasonal variation, non-accidental mortality, temperature adjustment, air pollution health effects, East Asian cities
- MeSH terms
- Air Pollutants, Air Pollution, Bayes Theorem, Asia, Eastern, Humans, Mortality, Ozone, Regression Analysis, Seasons, Temperature, Urban Health, Models, Statistical, Poisson Distribution
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