Cited by 18Agricultural Innovations and PracticesAgricultural Development and ManagementSustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis

Extension and management pathways for enhanced farm sustainability: evidence from Irish dairy farms

Open access
Balaine, Lorraine, Läpple, Doris, Dillon, Emma J, Buckley, Cathal·2023·European Review of Agricultural Economics

Abstract

This article examines pathways among farmers’ extension participation, the uptake of recommended farm management practices and economic and environmental sustainability. We explore the ‘win-win’, efficiency-based focus of the Irish hybrid extension programme using an unbalanced panel dataset of dairy farms from 2010 to 2019. We apply two-way fixed effects regression models and sensitivity analyses to ensure the robustness of our results to effect heterogeneity and omitted variable bias. Our findings reveal that extension participation has a limited association with the adoption of recommended practices. These practices might be associated with economic benefits, while their environmental effects are not evident. Additionally, extension participation is not found to have a direct association with sustainability outcomes. These findings have important implications for extension programmes that focus on economic and environmental outcomes.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This paper examines whether participation in Ireland’s hybrid dairy extension discussion groups improved recommended management practices and farm economic/environmental sustainability from 2010 to 2019. It finds limited evidence that extension participation increased adoption of recommended practices, some economic links for those practices, and no robust evidence of environmental benefits.

Key findings

  • In the pooled 2010–2019 sample, discussion group members were 48.9% of observations and had participated for about 9.5 years on average; both members and non-members were below advisory targets, with homegrown grass at 78.12% vs 77.41% (target 93%) and calving rate at 83.45% vs 80.53% (target 90%).
  • TWFE results show discussion group participation had no significant association with homegrown grass (0.042, SE 0.095) or calving rate (0.13, SE 0.083); these insignificant effects for homegrown grass, cost and margin were robust to both sensitivity analyses.
  • Homegrown grass had a robust positive association with gross margin per cow (6.52, SE 1.02), while calving rate had positive TWFE associations with margin (4.93, SE 0.56) and negative associations with cost (−0.045, SE 0.017) but was not robust to effect heterogeneity.
  • Environmental effects were not evident: homegrown grass was negatively associated with nitrogen surplus (−0.94, SE 0.22) but not robust; calving rate was positively associated with nitrogen surplus (0.19, SE 0.10); neither practice significantly affected GHG per kg FPCM. Only 4 of 14 relationships were robust to both effect heterogeneity and omitted variable bias.

Methods

  • Uses an unbalanced panel of Irish dairy farms from the Teagasc National Farm Survey, 2010–2019: 2,848 observations across 437 farms, reduced to 2,241 observations for main analysis due to one-year lags; GHG models use 1,711 observations from 2013–2019.
  • Estimates two-way fixed effects regressions with individual and time fixed effects, farm-clustered standard errors, and one-year lags for discussion group participation and selected controls.
  • Robustness checks include subsample analyses for effect heterogeneity and the Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) omitted variable bias sensitivity analysis; the paper states it does not claim causal identification.

Limitations

  • The authors state three main limitations: only partial effects for selected indicators were explored; the analysis did not identify the benefits farmers perceive from continued participation; and observational data without natural experiments or instrumental variables make causal impact evidence difficult.
  • The text also notes data constraints: GHG data are available only after 2013, reducing that sample; calving rate is derived using national averages for stillbirths (about 4%) and twinning (about 2%); and for members who joined in or before 2010, initial participation year is self-declared.
  • Evident from the results: many estimates are sensitive to effect heterogeneity (only 6 of 14 coefficients robust) and omitted variable bias (11 of 14 robust), so only four relationships are robust to both, limiting strong conclusions.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1093/erae/jbac033

Cites

76 of 76 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 48 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    Extension participation has a limited association with the adoption of recommended farm management practices under study.

    “Our findings reveal that extension participation has a limited association with the adoption of recommended practices.”
    • Also stated in: § 1. Introduction · plain
      “Overall, our findings reveal that extension participation has a limited association with the adoption of recommended practices under study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    The recommended farm management practices under study might be associated with economic benefits.

    “These practices might be associated with economic benefits”
    • Also stated in: § 1. Introduction · hedged
      “These practices might be associated with economic benefits”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Extension participation is not found to have a direct association with sustainability outcomes.

    “Additionally, extension participation is not found to have a direct association with sustainability outcomes.”
    • Also stated in: § 1. Introduction · plain
      “Additionally, extension participation is not found to have a direct association with sustainability outcomes.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    The environmental effects of the recommended farm management practices under study are not evident.

    “while their environmental effects are not evident”
    • Also stated in: § 1. Introduction · plain
      “while their environmental effects are not evident”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    The effect of discussion group participation on nitrogen surplus is only significant for more established members who have been participating in discussion groups for longer than the median of members' pooled sample.

    “the effect of discussion group participation is only significant for more established members who have been participating in discussion groups for longer than the median of members' pooled sample.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 20
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 36
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Both discussion group members and non-members are below the advisory target of 90 per cent in-calf rates.

    “However, both discussion group members and non-members are below advisory targets of 93 per cent of homegrown grass in the diet of dairy cows and 90 per cent in-calf rates (Teagasc, 2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Teagasc, 2016

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    After EU quota removal, participation rates started dropping and reached the lowest figures of the panel in 2019 (43.0 per cent).

    “After EU quota removal, participation rates started dropping and reached the lowest figures of the panel in 2019 (43.0 per cent).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Discussion group members represent about 48.9 per cent of the pooled sample.

    “Discussion group members represent about 48.9 per cent of the sample and have been involved in discussion groups for about 9.5 years, on average.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Discussion group members have been involved in discussion groups for about 9.5 years on average.

    “Discussion group members represent about 48.9 per cent of the sample and have been involved in discussion groups for about 9.5 years, on average.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    When controlling for confounders as strong as household or stocking rate, the adjusted effects remain significant and of positive sign.

    “Finally, when controlling for confounders as strong as household or stocking rate, the adjusted effects remain significant and of positive sign.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Neither homegrown grass nor calving rate has a significant effect on GHG emitted per kg of FPCM.

    “Neither management practice has a significant effect on GHG emitted per kg of FPCM.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The proportion of discussion group members gradually increased from 2010 (46.8 per cent) until 2015 (53.7 per cent).

    “The proportion of discussion group members gradually increased from 2010 (46.8 per cent) until 2015 (53.7 per cent).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For discussion group members with extension years above the median, the effect of discussion group participation on nitrogen surplus is positive and statistically significant (coefficient 4.07, significant at 5%).

    “Nitrogen | 0.74 | 2.61 | 4.07 **”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For confounders as strong as stocking rate, R2_D~Z|X and R2_Y~Z|X,D values are 0.53 and 0.86 per cent, respectively, and the adjusted effect is consistent.

    “Similar results are found for confounders as strong as stocking rate, with 𝑅 2 𝐷∼𝑍|𝑋 and 𝑅 2 𝑌 ∼𝑍|𝑋, 𝐷 values of 0.53 and 0.86 per cent, respectively, and a consistent adjusted effect.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Only four of the analysed relationships are robust to both effect heterogeneity and OVB: the insignificant coefficient estimates of discussion group participation on homegrown grass, cost and margin, and the positive association of homegrown grass with margin.

    “Only four of the analysed relationships are robust to both effect heterogeneity and OVB; these are the insignificant coefficient estimates of discussion group participation on homegrown grass, cost and margin and the positive association of homegrown grass with margin.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    Homegrown grass has a lack of robustness for nitrogen surplus.

    “| Homegrown grass | No | No | Lack of robustness”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Both the effect of discussion group participation on nitrogen surplus and its effect on GHG emitted per unit of milk produced are sensitive to effect heterogeneity.

    “but both effects are sensitive to effect heterogeneity (Table 3 and Table D1 in Appendix D).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Calving rate has a lack of robustness for cost.

    “| Calving rate | No | Yes | Lack of robustness”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    The effect of homegrown grass on cost becomes statistically insignificant when controlling for a confounder as strong as the largest predictor of the outcome.

    “-0.032 (-1.21)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    Sensitivity to omitted variable bias is tested using the Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) methodology.

    “sensitivity to omitted variable bias (OVB) is tested using the Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) methodology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • The authors state this as an assumption: Confounders are as strong as the bounding characteristics (the largest predictors of treatment and outcome) in terms of variance explained.
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Individual and time fixed effects are controlled for and standard errors are clustered at the farm level in the regression models.

    “where individual and time fixed effects are controlled for and standard errors are clustered at the farm level (Allison, 2009;McCullagh and Nelder, 1989).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Allison, 2009 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites McCullagh and Nelder, 1989

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The analysis does not identify causal impacts due to data constraints but credibly signs the effects of interest under investigation.

    “This analysis does not claim to identify causal impacts due to data constraints; however, it credibly signs the effects of interest under investigation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Years of discussion group participation and some other control variables are included as one-year lags to limit simultaneity between dependent and independent variables.

    “to limit the simultaneity between dependent and independent variables, we include years of discussion group participation, as well as some other control variables, as one-year lags”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    A wide set of farm and farmers' characteristics are included as control variables in the regression models to reduce omitted variable bias.

    “We include a wide set of farm and farmers' characteristics as control variables in the regression models to reduce OVB.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    The econometric analysis is performed with two-way fixed effects regression models.

    “The econometric analysis is performed with two-way fixed effects (TWFE) regression models (Allison, 2009).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Allison, 2009 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    Robustness to effect heterogeneity is assessed by estimating equations on subsamples where treatment intensity varies and comparing results across subsamples and the full sample.

    “we estimate equations (1-3) on subsamples of the dataset, where the 'intensity' of our treatments (i.e.𝐷𝐺, 𝐻𝐺 or 𝐶𝑅) varies.Then, we compare the results obtained across the different subsamples and the full sample.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Changing farm practices requires knowledge on available technologies and how to implement them.

    “Yet, changing farm practices requires knowledge on available technologies and how to implement them (Chavas and Nauges, 2020).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Chavas and Nauges, 2020

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    To date, little empirical work has examined hybrid extension in depth and notably its success in striking a balance between farm economic and environmental sustainability.

    “To date, little empirical work has examined hybrid extension in depth and notably its success in striking a balance between farm economic and environmental sustainability (Feder, Birner and Anderson, 2011;Klerkx, de Grip and Leeuwis, 2006;Klerkx and Jansen, 2010).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Feder, Birner and Anderson, 2011

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    • cites Klerkx, de Grip and Leeuwis, 2006

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    • cites Klerkx and Jansen, 2010

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Agricultural extension plays a key role in disseminating new information to farmers and supporting the transition towards more sustainable production systems.

    “This underlines the key role of agricultural extension in disseminating new information to farmers and supporting the transition towards more sustainable production systems (Klerkx and Jansen, 2010;Norton and Alwang, 2020).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Klerkx and Jansen, 2010

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    • cites Norton and Alwang, 2020

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Irish extension target for calving rate is 90 per cent, translated from a 90 per cent in-calf rate at final pregnancy diagnosis.

    “Farmers should achieve a 90 per cent in-calf rate at the final pregnancy diagnosis (Teagasc, 2016), which can be translated into a 90 per cent target for the calving rate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Teagasc, 2016

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    High reproductive performance, notably represented by large calving rates, is key for matching spring pasture growth and cow intake demands.

    “In such a production system, high reproductive performance, notably represented by large calving rates, is key for matching spring pasture growth and cow intake demands (O' Sullivan et al., 2020;Shalloo, Cromie and McHugh, 2014).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites O' Sullivan et al., 2020

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    • cites Shalloo, Cromie and McHugh, 2014

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Irish extension target for homegrown grass is that 93 per cent of dry matter fed to dairy cows should come from homegrown grass, distributed between 74 per cent grazed grass and 19 per cent grass silage.

    “Ninety-three per cent of dry matter fed to dairy cows should come from homegrown grass, distributed between 74 per cent of grazed grass and 19 per cent from grass silage (Teagasc, 2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Teagasc, 2016

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    GHG emitted per unit of milk produced reflects milk GHG emission efficiency and is used as an indicator of farm environmental efficiency.

    “GHG emitted per unit of milk produced reflects milk GHG emission efficiency and is used as an indicator of farm environmental efficiency (Crosson et al., 2011).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Crosson et al., 2011 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Because extension participation is voluntary and discussion groups may attract more motivated farmers with better performances, concerns remain regarding time-varying unobserved heterogeneity.

    “because extension participation is voluntary and discussion groups may attract more motivated farmers with better performances, concerns remain regarding time-varying unobserved heterogeneity (Imbens and Wooldridge, 2009).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Imbens and Wooldridge, 2009 source

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The Irish dairy sector relies on a grass-based production system, where cows graze outdoors from early spring until late autumn through rotational grazing.

    “the Irish dairy sector relies on a grass-based production system, where cows graze outdoors from early spring until late autumn through rotational grazing (Kelly et al., 2020;L ä pple, Hennessy and O'Donovan, 2012).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Kelly et al., 2020 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites L ä pple, Hennessy and O'Donovan, 2012

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Nitrogen surplus gives a farm-level estimation of nitrogen potentially available for loss to the atmosphere and water bodies, and serves as an indicator of nutrient management and farm environmental pressure.

    “Nitrogen surplus gives a farm-level estimation of nitrogen, potentially available for loss to the atmosphere and water bodies, and hence serves as an indicator of nutrient management and farm environmental pressure (Buckley et al., 2016;Schr ö der et al., 2003).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Buckley et al., 2016 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Schr ö der et al., 2003

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The public extension body Teagasc operates under a mixed public-private arrangement.

    “The public extension body (Teagasc, the Agriculture and Food Development Authority) operates under a mixed public-private arrangementfoot_1 (Donnellan, Hennessy and Thorne, 2015).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Donnellan, Hennessy and Thorne, 2015

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    The general consensus in Irish studies is that adoption rates of practices in grassland management and reproductive performance are relatively low, notably due to information constraints.

    “To date, the general consensus in Irish studies is that adoption rates of practices in the areas of grassland management and reproductive performance are relatively low, notably due to information constraints (Hyland et al., 2018;Regan et al., 2021;Shalloo et al., 2021Shalloo et al., , 2018)).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Hyland et al., 2018 source

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    • cites Regan et al., 2021 source

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    • cites Shalloo et al., 2021 source

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisenone given

    The Irish hybrid extension programme adopted a 'win-win', efficiency-based approach to improve farm management practices and thereby enhance farm economic and environmental sustainability.

    “The programme adopted a 'win-win', efficiencybased approach to improve farm management practices and thereby enhance farm economic and environmental sustainability.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Best practice for Irish dairy farmers is to maximise homegrown grass in the diet of dairy cows with appropriate supplementation from concentrate feed when grass supply and grazing conditions are not adequate.

    “Best practice for Irish dairy farmers is to maximise homegrown grass in the diet of dairy cows with appropriate supplementation from concentrate feed when grass supply and grazing conditions are not adequate (O'Brien, Moran and Shalloo, 2018).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites O'Brien, Moran and Shalloo, 2018

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The overarching aim of extension is to improve farmers' decision-making and analytical skills, as well as to reduce information constraints associated with the adoption of new technologies.

    “The overarching aim of extension is to improve farmers' decision-making and analytical skills, as well as to reduce information constraints associated with the adoption of new technologies (Chavas and Nauges, 2020;Davis et al., 2012;Norton and Alwang, 2020).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Chavas and Nauges, 2020

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    • cites Davis et al., 2012 source

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    • cites Norton and Alwang, 2020

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationcitation

    Time delays in learning about new practices, implementing adjustments in farm management and observing changes in farm performance explain the associations.

    “This could be because of time delays in learning about new practices, implementing adjustments in farm management and observing changes in farm performance (Chavas and Nauges, 2020;Foster and Rosenzweig, 2010;Weersink and Fulton, 2020).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Chavas and Nauges, 2020

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    • cites Foster and Rosenzweig, 2010 source

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    • cites Weersink and Fulton, 2020

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  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The econometric analysis was bound by available data and methods.

    “Third, the econometric analysis was bound by available data and methods.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The study only explored partial effects by focusing on a selected set of farm management and sustainability indicators.

    “First, we only explored partial effects by focusing on a selected set of farm management and sustainability indicators.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Promoting recommended practices might serve as an indirect pathway towards some economic benefits, while their effect on environmental sustainability is not evident.

    “Promoting these practices might serve as an indirect pathway towards some economic benefits, while their effect on environmental sustainability is not evident.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationnone given

    In the absence of natural experiments or instrumental variables, it is difficult to provide evidence on extension impact with observational data.

    “In the absence of natural experiments or instrumental variables, it is difficult to provide evidence on extension impact with observational data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Recommended practices to improve homegrown grass may not be applicable to all discussion group members because of differences in their profiles and farm conditions.

    “Alternatively, recommended practices to improve homegrown grass may not be applicable to all discussion group members because of differences in their profiles and farm conditions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    TWFE estimates can give a misleading summary of the overall average causal response because the estimator puts more weight on doses close to the average than on the tails.

    “TWFE estimates can give a misleading summary of the overall average causal response because the estimator puts more weight on doses close to the average than on the tails.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Callaway, Goodman-Bacon and Sant'Anna (2021) source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    In the context of dairy sector growth, farm-level efficiency gains may have provided incentives to further increase the production scale, thereby outweighing environmental efficiency benefits or even resulting in unintended deterioration as a 'rebound' effect.

    “In the context of dairy sector growth, farm-level efficiency gains may have provided incentives to further increase the production scale, thereby outweighing environmental efficiency benefits or even resulting in unintended deterioration as a 'rebound' effect (Alcott, 2005;Barnes et al., 2019).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Alcott, 2005 source

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    • cites Barnes et al., 2019 source

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  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) extends the OVB framework to analyse the sensitivity to unobserved confounders.

    “Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) extends the OVB framework to analyse the sensitivity to unobserved confounders.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Over the 2010s, the 'win-win' approach of the Irish hybrid extension programme may not have been suitable to achieve the desired balance between economic and environmental objectives.

    “Over the 2010s, the 'win-win' approach of the Irish hybrid extension programme may not have been suitable to achieve the desired balance between economic and environmental objectives.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    When estimating the intensity of a continuous treatment with the TWFE estimator, the obtained effect mixes both the level effect and the slope effect.

    “when estimating the intensity of a continuous treatment d with the TWFE estimator (e.g.𝐷𝐺 in equations (1 and 2)), the obtained effect mixes both the 'level effect' and the 'slope effect'.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Callaway, Goodman-Bacon and Sant'Anna (2021) source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Many factors influencing grass production and utilisation are outside the farmer's direct control, such as weather and agronomic conditions.

    “A potential explanation for this insignificant finding is that many factors influencing grass production and utilisation are outside of the farmer's direct control, such as weather and agronomic conditions (Hanrahan et al., 2017).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Hanrahan et al., 2017 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Farmers may have different breeding strategies or varying needs to generate dairy replacements.

    “A potential explanation for these heterogeneous effects is that farmers may have different breeding strategies or varying needs to generate dairy replacements.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Econometric tools such as the Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) sensitivity analysis can help applied researchers expand knowledge on extension or technology effect when detailed information about farmers' extension participation, technology adoption behaviours and sustainability performance is available over time.

    “econometric tools, such as the Cinelli and Hazlett (2020) sensitivity analysis, can help applied researchers to expand the level of knowledge on extension or technology effect, especially when detailed information about farmers' extension participation, technology adoption behaviours and sustainability performance is available over time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Cinelli and Hazlett, 2020 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Extension can fail to improve farmers' management skills and get them to adopt recommended practices.

    “First, extension can fail to improve farmers' management skills and get them to adopt recommended practices.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
51 of 51
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Farmers' decision to participate in discussion groups is motivated by economic and/or environmental considerations.

    “based on the key assumption that farmers' decision to participate in discussion groups is motivated by economic and/or environmental considerations”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Confounders are as strong as the bounding characteristics (the largest predictors of treatment and outcome) in terms of variance explained.

    “Assuming that confounders are as strong as these bounding characteristics (in terms of variance explained)”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Little empirical work has been conducted to assess the Irish hybrid extension system.

    “Nevertheless, to date, little empirical work has been conducted to assess this type of extension system.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    It is not plausible to expect time-varying confounders to be more than as strong as the largest predictors of treatments or outcomes.

    “Thus, we assume that it is not plausible to expect time-varying confounders to be more than as strong as the largest predictors of our treatments or outcomes.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Confounders equally affect both treatment and outcome.

    “which is the assumption taken to estimate the 𝑅𝑉 value.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Improving herd genetic merit for fertility traits is a very slow process and hence a long-term breeding project.

    “Improving herd genetic merit for fertility traits is a very slow process and hence a long-term breeding project.”
6 of 6

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Stocking-rate coefficient has the wrong significance marker

    Minor

    In the calving-rate model, −2.26 divided by its reported standard error of 0.038 gives a test statistic of about −59.5. That warrants the paper's 1% marker (***), not the reported 5% marker (**).

1 of 1

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 77 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. International Dairy Federation, 2015, A common carbon footprint approach for the dairy sector: the IDF guide to standard life cycle assessment methodology
  2. McCullagh, 1989, Generalized Linear Models, 2nd edn, Monographs on Statistics and Applied Probability

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Balaine, L., Läpple, D., Dillon, E. J., & Buckley, C.
Affiliations
  • Teagasc - The Irish Agriculture and Food Development Authority (IE)
  • Ollscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway (IE)
Corresponding author
Balaine, Lorraine
Venue
European Review of Agricultural Economics
Published
2023-01-27
Volume
50
Issue
2
Pages
810-850
ISSN
  • 0165-1587 (ISSN-L)
  • 1464-3618
OpenAlex
W4318315753
Cited by
18
References
77
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 7 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 1
FWCI
5.24
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • European Review of Agricultural Economics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • GoeScholar The Publication Server of the Georg-August-Universität Göttingen (Georg-August-Universität Göttingen) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
Teagasc (Teagasc Walsh Scholarship Scheme)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › General Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agricultural Innovations and Practices
  • Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › General Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agricultural Development and Management
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Chemistry › Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis
Keywords
agricultural extension, extension participation, technology adoption, farm management practices, farm sustainability, economic sustainability, environmental sustainability, dairy farms

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-07.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-07.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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