Cited by 1,146Natural Resources and Economic DevelopmentPolitical Conflict and GovernanceCorruption and Economic Development

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 7 of the 7 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

What Have We Learned about the Resource Curse?

Open access
Ross, Michael L.·2015·Annual Review of Political Science

Abstract

Since 2001, hundreds of academic studies have examined the “political resource curse,” meaning the claim that natural resource wealth tends to adversely affect a country's governance. There is now robust evidence that one type of mineral wealth, petroleum, has at least three harmful effects: It tends to make authoritarian regimes more durable, to increase certain types of corruption, and to help trigger violent conflict in low- and middle-income countries. Scholars have also made progress toward understanding the mechanisms that lead to these outcomes and the conditions that make them more likely. This essay reviews the evidence behind these claims, the debates over their validity, and some of the unresolved puzzles for future research.

Overview

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1146/annurev-polisci-052213-040359

Cites

7 of 7 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The original resource-curse argument fails to take the endogeneity of oil extraction into account.

    “Furthermore, the original argument fails to take the obvious endogeneity of oil extraction into account (Ross 2015), and also overlooks that petroleum revenues may actually reduce conflict by helping governments bribe or suppress the opposition (Paine 2016).”

    From Dynamics and Logics of Civil War (2017) · cites this paper as Ross 2015

  • The link between oil and civil war operates primarily through an ethnoregional mechanism.

    “recent studies demonstrate that the link between oil and civil war operates primarily through an ethnoregional mechanism (Hunziker and Cederman 2017, cf. Ross 2015).”

    From Dynamics and Logics of Civil War (2017) · cites this paper as Ross 2015

  • In mineral-rich conflict-affected countries, securing control over resource deposits often becomes an end in itself, creating a distinct war economy that prolongs the fighting.

    “In mineral-rich conflict-affected countries, securing control over resource deposits (oil fields, artisanal gemstone mines) often becomes an end in itself, creating a distinct war economy that prolongs the fighting (134-136).”

    From Vicious Circles: Violence, Vulnerability, and Climate Change (2021) · cites this paper as [136]

  • Many low and middle-income countries experience a stark contrast between the hopes raised by their natural resource endowments and the everyday reality of deprivation that many people face.

    “Many low and middle-income countries experience a stark contrast between the hopes raised by their natural resource endowments and the everyday reality of deprivation that many people face.”

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 162

  1. 10.1177/0010414013495358 · DOI
  2. 10.1017/S0003055411000475 · DOI
  3. 10.1016/j.jebo.2011.09.009 · DOI
  4. 10.1162/rest.91.3.586 · DOI
  5. 10.1016/j.ecosys.2010.10.003 · DOI
  6. 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2007.12.005 · DOI
  7. 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2012.08.008 · DOI
  8. 10.1177/0010414013488557 · DOI
  9. 10.1162/rest.90.2.191 · DOI
  10. 10.1007/s10101-011-0105-3 · DOI
  11. 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2011.03.004 · DOI
  12. 10.1093/jae/ejs036 · DOI
  13. 10.1111/j.1467-9361.2011.00623.x · DOI
  14. 10.1177/0022343310368348 · DOI
  15. 10.1177/0022002707307120 · DOI
  16. Auty RM. 1993. Sustaining Development in the Mineral Economies: The Resource Curse Thesis . London: Routledge
  17. 10.1596/978-0-8213-8480-0 · DOI
  18. 10.1086/250107 · DOI · Paper page
  19. 10.1177/0022343309340500 · DOI
  20. 10.1017/S1755773913000234 · DOI
  21. 10.1177/003232928501400102 · DOI
  22. 10.1257/mac.6.4.1 · DOI
  23. 10.1177/0010414011401211 · DOI
  24. Beblawi H, 1987, The Rentier State, 49
  25. 10.1007/s10887-006-9000-0 · DOI
  26. 10.1016/0305-750X(94)90133-3 · DOI
  27. 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2009.07.012 · DOI · Paper page
  28. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.07.019 · DOI
  29. 10.3982/ECTA8073 · DOI
  30. 10.1093/qje/qjr025 · DOI · Paper page
  31. 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2009.10.004 · DOI
  32. 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2011.05.007 · DOI
  33. 10.1257/aer.90.3.526 · DOI
  34. 10.1111/j.1467-9442.2007.00509.x · DOI
  35. 10.1017/CBO9780511490897 · DOI
  36. 10.1257/aer.103.5.1759 · DOI
  37. 10.1162/REST_a_00201 · DOI
  38. 10.1093/oep/gpp024 · DOI
  39. 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00463.x · DOI
  40. 10.1177/0022002709336457 · DOI · Paper page
  41. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2005.04.004 · DOI
  42. 10.1007/s11127-011-9804-0 · DOI
  43. 10.1093/oep/gpp023 · DOI · Paper page
  44. 10.1257/app.5.1.208 · DOI
  45. Caselli F, Rohner D, Morelli M. 2013. The geography of interstate wars. NBER Work. Pap. No. 18978 · DOI
  46. Caselli F, Tesei A. 2011. Resource windfalls, political regimes, and political stability . NBER Work. Pap. No. 17601 · DOI
  47. 10.1017/S0020818300004574 · DOI
  48. Chaudhry KA, 1997, The Price of Wealth: Economies and Institutions in the Middle East
  49. 10.1007/s11127-009-9491-2 · DOI
  50. 10.1017/CBO9781139342476 · DOI
  51. Collier P, 2010, The Plundered Planet, 10.1093/oso/9780195395259.001.0001 · DOI
  52. 10.1093/oep/50.4.563 · DOI
  53. 10.1093/oep/gpn029 · DOI
  54. Collier P, 2005, Understanding Civil War: Evidence and Analysis
  55. 10.1257/mac.5.1.49 · DOI
  56. 10.1017/CBO9780511558818 · DOI
  57. 10.1007/s11127-010-9671-0 · DOI
  58. Cuvelier J, 2013, Extr. Ind. Soc., 1, 340
  59. 10.1111/j.1542-4774.2011.01025.x · DOI
  60. 10.1162/152638002320980605 · DOI
  61. 10.1016/j.socscimed.2012.11.010 · DOI
  62. 10.1596/1813-9450-5777 · DOI
  63. 10.1093/restud/rdt009 · DOI · Paper page
  64. 10.1017/CBO9780511510052 · DOI · Paper page
  65. 10.1017/S0003055409990219 · DOI · Paper page
  66. 10.1257/aer.102.4.1310 · DOI
  67. 10.1177/0022343304043770 · DOI · Paper page
  68. 10.1017/CBO9780511791062 · DOI
  69. Frankel JA, 2012, Commodity Price Volatility and Inclusive Growth in Low-Income Countries
  70. 10.1177/0010414007305817 · DOI · Paper page
  71. Gause III, 1994, Oil Monarchies: Domestic Security Challenges in the Arab Gulf States
  72. 10.1017/S0043887110000067 · DOI
  73. 10.1177/0022343311431288 · DOI
  74. Glynn AN, 2009, Does oil cause civil war because it causes state weakness?
  75. 10.1177/0010414007313123 · DOI
  76. 10.1177/0010414009332462 · DOI
  77. 10.1111/j.1540-6237.2011.00762.x · DOI
  78. Harwell E, 2011, Forests, Fragility, and Conflict: Overview and Case Studies, 10.1596/13067 · DOI
  79. 10.2307/20072891 · DOI
  80. 10.1017/S0020743807071073 · DOI
  81. 10.1177/0022002705277545 · DOI
  82. Humphreys M, 2007, Escaping the Resource Curse
  83. Hunziker P, 2012, No extraction without representation: petroleum production and ethnonationalist conflict
  84. 10.1093/wber/lhi010 · DOI
  85. 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.01.006 · DOI
  86. 10.1177/0010414004266867 · DOI
  87. 10.1017/CBO9780511779435 · DOI
  88. Kaldor M, 2007, Oil Wars
  89. Karl TL, 1997, The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-States, 10.1525/9780520918696 · DOI
  90. 10.1111/isqu.12065 · DOI
  91. 10.1016/j.jce.2009.04.001 · DOI
  92. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2008.07.002 · DOI
  93. 10.1177/0022343313493455 · DOI
  94. 10.1177/0010414011401215 · DOI
  95. 10.1260/014459803769520061 · DOI
  96. 10.1016/S0962-6298(01)00015-4 · DOI · Paper page
  97. Le Billon P, 2005, Fuelling War: Natural Resources and Armed Conflicts
  98. Le Billon P, 2012, Wars of Plunder: Conflicts, Profits, and the Politics of Resources
  99. 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.06.003 · DOI
  100. Leite C, Weidmann J. 1999. Does Mother Nature corrupt? Natural resources, corruption, and economic growth . Tech. Rep. WP/99/85. Int. Monet. Fund, Washington, DC · DOI · Paper page
  101. 10.1177/0010414013512607 · DOI
  102. 10.1177/0022002708327644 · DOI
  103. 10.1177/0022343309350015 · DOI · Paper page
  104. Mahdavi P. 2015. Explaining the oil advantage: effects of natural resource wealth on incumbent reelection in Iran. World Polit. In press. doi: 10.1017/S0043887114000392 · DOI
  105. Mahdavy H, 1970, Studies in Economic History of the Middle East, 428
  106. 10.1093/oep/gpt037 · DOI
  107. 10.1007/s11127-011-9820-0 · DOI
  108. 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2006.01045.x · DOI · Paper page
  109. Metcalf G, Wolfram C. 2014. Cursed resources? Political conditions and oil market volatility. Energy J. In press · DOI
  110. 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00595.x · DOI
  111. Miner C, 2013, Death, cell phones, and international mineral prices: violence against civilians in Africa
  112. Monteiro J, 2010, Does oil make leaders unaccountable? Evidence from Brazil's offshore oil boom
  113. Morelli M, Rohner D. 2014. Resource concentration and civil wars . NBER Work. Pap. 20129 · DOI
  114. 10.1007/s11127-006-9121-1 · DOI
  115. 10.1017/S0020818309090043 · DOI
  116. 10.1017/S1537592713002855 · DOI
  117. Moss T, 2012, The Governor's Solution: How Alaska's Oil Dividend Could Work in Iraq and Other Oil-Rich Countries.
  118. Omeje K, 2008, Extractive Economies and Conflicts in the Global South
  119. 10.1177/0010414008325575 · DOI
  120. 10.1017/S0003055413000415 · DOI
  121. 10.1162/REST_a_00292 · DOI
  122. Price SV, 2003, War and Tropical Forests
  123. Prichard W, Salardi P, Segal P. 2014. Taxation, non-tax revenue and democracy: new evidence using new cross-country data . Int. Cent. Tax Dev. Work. Pap. No. 23 · DOI
  124. 10.1080/09644016.2011.608530 · DOI
  125. 10.1017/S002081831100018X · DOI
  126. 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2006.01.008 · DOI
  127. 10.1353/wp.2001.0011 · DOI
  128. 10.1017/CBO9780511510359 · DOI
  129. Ross ML, 2003, The Political Economy of Armed Conflict, 47, 10.1515/9781685853402-005 · DOI
  130. 10.1017/S0007123404000031 · DOI
  131. 10.1177/0022343304043773 · DOI · Paper page
  132. 10.1146/annurev.polisci.9.081304.161338 · DOI
  133. 10.1017/S0003055408080040 · DOI
  134. 10.1515/9781400841929 · DOI
  135. Ross ML, 2012, Oil and unbalanced globalization
  136. 10.3386/w5398 · DOI · Paper page
  137. 10.1093/jae/ejs033 · DOI
  138. 10.1017/S0022381608080754 · DOI
  139. 10.1111/j.0092-5853.2004.00067.x · DOI
  140. Smith B, 2007, Hard Times in the Land of Plenty
  141. 10.1177/0022002705277796 · DOI
  142. 10.1177/0022343311411743 · DOI
  143. 10.1257/aer.89.1.22 · DOI · Paper page
  144. 10.1093/oxrep/grp015 · DOI
  145. Treisman D. 2013. Income, democracy, and leader turnover. Unpublished manuscript · DOI
  146. 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02327.x · DOI
  147. 10.1177/0010414006287238 · DOI
  148. 10.1257/jel.49.2.366 · DOI
  149. 10.1016/j.jeem.2010.03.003 · DOI
  150. Vandewalle D, 1998, Libya Since Independence: Oil and State-Building, 10.7591/9781501732362 · DOI
  151. 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2009.01.005 · DOI
  152. Wacziarg R, 2012, Economica, 79, 641, 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2011.00902.x · DOI
  153. Waldner D, 2015, The Oxford Handbook of Transformations of the State
  154. Weinstein JM, 2007, Inside Rebellion: The Politics of Insurgent Violence
  155. 10.1146/annurev.resource.050708.144219 · DOI
  156. 10.1177/0951629813493835 · DOI
  157. Wiens D, Poast P, Clark WR. 2014. The political resource curse: an empirical re-evaluation. Polit. Res. Q. 67:783–94 · DOI
  158. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.08.015 · DOI
  159. Wolfers J, 2009, Are voters rational? Evidence from gubernatorial elections
  160. Wright J, Frantz E, Geddes B. 2015. Oil and autocratic regime survival. Br. J. Polit. Sci. 45:287–306 · DOI
  161. Yates DA, 1996, The Rentier State in Africa: Oil Rent Dependency and Neocolonialism in the Republic of Gabon
  162. 10.1007/s10611-013-9504-4 · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Ross, M. L.
Affiliations
University of California, Los Angeles (US)
Corresponding author
Ross, Michael L.
Venue
Annual Review of Political Science
Published
2015-05-11
Volume
18
Issue
1
Pages
239-259
ISSN
  • 1094-2939 (ISSN-L)
  • 1545-1577
OpenAlex
W3125670285
Cited by
1,146
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 96 · 2025: 99 · 2024: 132 · 2023: 136 · 2022: 114 · 2021: 164 · 2020: 157 · 2019: 75 · 2018: 84 · 2017: 46 · 2016: 21 · 2015: 17
FWCI
13.64
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Annual Review of Political Science (publishedVersion)
  • eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › General Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Natural Resources and Economic Development
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Political Conflict and Governance
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Corruption and Economic Development
Keywords
resource curse, natural resource wealth, oil wealth, authoritarianism, regime durability, corruption, violent conflict, governance, low- and middle-income countries

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review