Natural history of asymptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction in the community
Abstract
Background— Information is limited regarding the rates of progression to congestive heart failure (CHF) and death in individuals with asymptomatic left ventricular systolic dysfunction (ALVD). We sought to characterize the natural history of ALVD, by studying unselected individuals with this condition in the community. Methods and Results— We studied 4257 participants (1860 men) from the Framingham Study who underwent routine echocardiography. The prevalence of ALVD (visually estimated ejection fraction [EF]≤50% without a history of CHF) was 6.0% in men and 0.8% in women. During up to 12 years of follow-up, rates of CHF among subjects with normal left ventricular systolic function (EF >50%, n=4128) and ALVD (n=129) were 0.7 and 5.8 per 100 person-years, respectively. After adjustment for cardiovascular disease risk factors, ALVD was associated with a hazards ratio (HR) for CHF of 4.7 (95% CI 2.7 to 8.1), compared with individuals without ALVD. An elevated risk of CHF after ALVD was observed even in individuals without prior myocardial infarction or valvular disease, with an adjusted HR of 6.5 (CI 3.1 to 13.5). Mild ALVD (EF 40% to 50%, n=78) and moderate-to-severe ALVD (EF <40%, n=51) were associated with adjusted HRs for CHF of 3.3 (CI 1.7 to 6.6) and 7.8 (CI 3.9 to 15.6), respectively. ALVD was also associated with an increased mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.6, CI 1.1 to 2.4). The median survival of ALVD subjects was 7.1 years. Conclusion— Individuals with ALVD in the community are at high risk of CHF and death, even when only mild impairment of EF is present. Additional studies are needed to define optimal therapy for mild ALVD.
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There are no strategies to identify individuals at risk of developing structural heart diseases, despite evidence-based interventions that can alter the course of patients.
“Moreover, there are no strategies to identify individuals at risk of developing SHDs, despite the presence of evidence-based interventions that can alter the course of patients.6-8”
From Ensemble Deep Learning Algorithm for Structural Heart Disease Screening Using Electrocardiographic Images (2025) · cites this paper as [8]
Recent guidelines emphasize detection of asymptomatic ventricular dysfunction (stage B heart failure) to understand and prevent overt heart failure.
“Recent guidelines have a notable emphasis on the detection of asymptomatic ventricular dysfunction (“stage B heart failure”) as part of efforts to understand and prevent overt heart failure.61”
From The Framingham Heart Study and the epidemiology of cardiovascular disease: a historical perspective (2014) · cites this paper as [61]
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Colucci, W. S., Kolias, T. J., Adams, K. F., Armstrong, W. F., Ghali, J. K., Gottlieb, S. S., Greenberg, B., Klibaner, M. I., Kukin, M. L., & Sugg, J. E. (2007) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.106.666016 · Cited by 181 · see citing works
“Treatment Regimen Patients who met inclusion/exclusion criteria were randomized in a 1:1:1 ratio to a 52-week treatment with metoprolol succinate extended-release tablets (metoprolol succinate, TOPROL-XL, AstraZeneca, Wilmington, Del) or placebo as follows: (1) metoprolol succinate 200 mg/d (high-dose group); (2) meto…”
Thomas, J. D., Edvardsen, T., Abraham, T. P., Appadurai, V., Badano, L. P., Banchs, J. A., Cho, G., Cosyns, B., Delgado, V., Donal, E., et al. (2025) · Journal of the American Society of Echocardiography · doi:10.1016/j.echo.2025.07.007 · Cited by 170 · see citing works
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The natriuretic peptides in cardiovascular medicine
Munagala, V. K., BURNETTJR, J., & Redfield, M. M. (2004) · Current Problems in Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2004.07.002 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Detection of Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction From Electrocardiographic Images
Sangha, V., Nargesi, A. A., Dhingra, L. S., Khunte, A., Mortazavi, B. J., Ribeiro, A. H., Banina, E., Adeola, O., Garg, N., Brandt, C. A., et al. (2023) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.122.062646 · Cited by 150 · see citing works
“Further sensitivity analyses demonstrated consistent model performance on ECGs: (1) without a prolonged PR interval (AUROC, 0.”
MethodDunlay, S. M., Givertz, M. M., Aguilar, D., Allen, L. A., Chan, M., Desai, A. S., Deswal, A., Dickson, V. V., Kosiborod, M. N., Lekavich, C. L., et al. (2019) · Journal of Cardiac Failure · doi:10.1016/j.cardfail.2019.05.007 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
Choi, E., Rosen, B. D., Fernandes, V., Yan, R. T., Yoneyama, K., Donekal, S., Opdahl, A., de Almeida, A. L. C., Wu, C. O., Gomes, A. S., et al. (2013) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/eht133 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Advances in Multimodality Imaging in Cardio-Oncology
Baldassarre, L. A., Ganatra, S., Lopez‐Mattei, J., Yang, E. H., Zaha, V. G., Wong, T. C., Ayoub, C., DeCara, J. M., Dent, S. F., Deswal, A. M., et al. (2022) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2022.08.743 · Cited by 137 · see citing works
Predictors and Outcomes of Heart Failure with Mid-Range Ejection Fraction
Bhambhani, V., Kizer, J. R., Lima, J. A. C., van der Harst, P., Bahrami, H., Nayor, M. G., de Filippi, C. R., Enserro, D. M., Blaha, M. J., Cushman, M., et al. (2017) · European Journal of Heart Failure · doi:10.1002/ejhf.1091 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Self-citationRisk factors for heart failure
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“Natriuretic peptides also are correlated with increased LV mass and systolic dysfunction [213–215], known precursors of HF [139,140].”
BackgroundSelf-citationCD36 Expression Contributes to Age-Induced Cardiomyopathy in Mice
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Left Ventricular Dysfunction in Patients Receiving Cardiotoxic Cancer Therapies
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Development of heart failure in recent hypertension trials
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Abnormal electrocardiographic findings in athletes: recognising changes suggestive of cardiomyopathy
Drezner, J. A., Ashley, E. A., Baggish, A. L., Börjesson, M., Corrado, D., Owens, D. S., Patel, A. A., Pelliccia, A., Vetter, V. L., Ackerman, M. J., et al. (2013) · British Journal of Sports Medicine · doi:10.1136/bjsports-2012-092069 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
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“Unless compensated for by hyperkinetic wall motion in remote areas, the physiological effect of a WMA is a reduction in the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) which is closely related to prognosis in chronic coronary artery disease [7-11].”
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Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction
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The Influence of Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Characteristics on Heart Failure
Myasoedova, E., Crowson, C. S., Nicola, P., Kremers, H. M., Davis, J. M., Roger, V. L., Therneau, T. M., & Gabriel, S. E. (2011) · The Journal of Rheumatology · doi:10.3899/jrheum.100979 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
“Medications were modeled 2 ways: (1) as use at any time where the time-dependent covariates reflected medication start dates only; and (2) as current use where the time-dependent covariates represented the time each patient was taking each medication, beginning at start date and ending at stop date for each medication.”
MethodMureddu, G. F., Agabiti, N., Rizzello, V., Forastiere, F., Latini, R., Cesaroni, G., Masson, S., Cacciatore, G., Colivicchi, F., Uguccioni, M., et al. (2012) · European Journal of Heart Failure · doi:10.1093/eurjhf/hfs052 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
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“Congestive heart failure (CHF) remains to be one of the major cardiovascular disorders in the world”
BackgroundThe Epidemiology of Congestive Heart Failure: Contributions from the Framingham Heart Study
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Arterial Stiffness Is Associated With Regional Ventricular Systolic and Diastolic Dysfunction
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Elevated Levels of Oxidative DNA Damage in Serum and Myocardium of Patients With Heart Failure
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“Yet, a notable 62% of patients with asymptomatic LVEF decline who developed CHF had a history of baseline or interval myocardial infarction.(14) However, in the oncology setting, the association between asymptomatic LVEF decline and CHF is”
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“0 25 (3-65) 94 (91-96) 7 (1-24) 98 (97-99) Black 688 8.”
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Association of Cardiorespiratory Fitness With Left Ventricular Remodeling and Diastolic Function
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“Because asymptomatic global LV dysfunction is considered to be a subclinical marker of heart failure because of its frequent progression to symptomatic CHF ( 25 ,26), the IMT-related alterations of regional LV function reported in this study could represent the earliest signs of myocardial functional impairment in the…”
BackgroundPhosphinic peptides as zinc metalloproteinase inhibitors
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“The original intention of the analysis was to develop a risk score using the available clinical variables.”
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Left Ventricular Assist Devices Are Underutilized
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- Authors
- Wang, T. J., Evans, J. C., Benjamin, E. J., Levy, D., LeRoy, E. C., & Vasan, R. S.
- Affiliations
- Boston University (US)
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2003-08-26
- Volume
- 108
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 977-982
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- OpenAlex
- W2095689312
- Semantic Scholar
- c0b4cca1f7420447dfabc94c7398e07a3c8a6163
- Cited by
- 633
- References
- 24
- Citations by year
- 2026: 21 · 2025: 21 · 2024: 28 · 2023: 22 · 2022: 20 · 2021: 45 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 36 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 39 · 2016: 32 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 28 · 2013: 37 · 2012: 36
- FWCI
- 11.05
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (5k23hl074077-03, 5k24hl004334-08, n01hc25195-41-0-1, 5r01ns017950-40)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K23 HL074077-01, K24-HL-04334-01A1, N01‐HC25195)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (5-R01-NS-17950)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Function and Risk Factors
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Heart Failure Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiomyopathy and Myosin Studies
- Keywords
- natural history (disease), congestive heart failure, mortality risk, ejection fraction, Framingham Heart Study, community-based cohort, disease progression
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Echocardiography, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Massachusetts, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Stroke Volume, Systole, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Incidence, Prevalence, Survival Rate, Proportional Hazards Models, Age of Onset, Age Distribution, Disease Progression, Ventricular Dysfunction, Left, Risk Assessment, Disease-Free Survival
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