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Cited by 633Land Use and Ecosystem ServicesImpact of Light on Environment and HealthGlobalization, Historical Perspectives, and International Relations

Long-term dynamic modeling of global population and built-up area in a spatially explicit way: HYDE 3.1

Klein Goldewijk, Kees, Beusen, Arthur, Janssen, Peter·2010·The Holocene
DOI 10.1177/0959683609356587
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Abstract

This paper describes a tool for long-term global change studies; it is an update of the History Database of the Global Environment (HYDE) with estimates of some of the underlying demographic driving factors of global change. We estimate total and urban/rural population numbers, densities and fractions (including built-up area) for the Holocene, roughly the period 10 000 BC to AD 2000 with a spatial resolution of 5 min longitude/latitude. With a total global population increase from 2 to 6145 million people over that time span, resulting in a global population density increase of < 0.1 cap/km 2 to almost 46 cap/km 2 and a urban built-up area evolving from almost zero to 0.5 million km 2 (still only <0.5% of the total global land surface, but with a huge impact in terms of demands of food, services, building materials, etc.), it is clear that this must have had, and will continue to have, a profound influence on the Earth’s environment and its associated (climate) change. We hope that this data base can contribute to the Earth System Modelers community to gain better insight into long-term global change research.

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Crossref · 10.1177/0959683609356587

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44 of 44 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

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  • Global population growth can be differentiated into a period of relatively slower growth from 1750-1940 C.E. and one of more rapid growth from 1950-2010 C.E.

    “recent analyses ( 15, 16 ) suggest that it can be differentiated into a period of relatively slower growth from 1750 -1940 C.E., and one of more rapid growth from 1950 -2010 C.E.”

    From The Anthropocene is functionally and stratigraphically distinct from the Holocene (2016) · cites this paper as [16]

  • Industrial technologies, especially mechanization, have largely decoupled human labor from productivity increases, enabling an unprecedented proportion of human populations to live within cities, which even today occupy less than 1% of Earth's ice-free land.

    “Industrial technologies, especially mechanization, have also largely decoupled human labor from productivity increases, enabling an unprecedented proportion of human populations to live within cities, which even today occupy less than 1% of Earth’s ice-free land (19).”

    From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [19]

  • The scale and rate of urbanization over the past two centuries is unprecedented, with the percentage of human populations living in cities growing from approximately 7% in 1800, to 16% in 1900, to more than 50% today.

    “Still, the scale and rate of urbanization over the past two centuries is unprecedented, with the percentage of human populations living in cities growing from approximately 7% in 1800, to 16% in 1900, to more than 50% today (19).”

    From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [19]

  • Global land use and population datasets divided into five arc minute grid cells (spatial resolution approximately 85 km2 at the equator) were obtained for the HYDE 3.1 and KK10 global land-use models.

    “Global land use and population datasets divided into five arc minute grid cells (spatial resolution ∼85 km2 at the equator) were obtained for the HYDE 3.1 (19, 31) and KK10 (4) global land-use models.”

    From Used planet: a global history (2013) · cites this paper as [19]

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Authors
Klein Goldewijk, K., Beusen, A., & Janssen, P.
Affiliations
  • Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Netherlands,
  • Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL)
ORCID
Venue
The Holocene
Publisher
SAGE Publications
Published
2010-03-22
Volume
20
Issue
4
Pages
565-573
ISSN
  • 0959-6836 (ISSN-L)
  • 1477-0911
DOI
10.1177/0959683609356587
OpenAlex
W2017548562
Cited by
633
References
44
Citations by year
2026: 11 · 2025: 26 · 2024: 33 · 2023: 51 · 2022: 56 · 2021: 62 · 2020: 50 · 2019: 51 · 2018: 50 · 2017: 45 · 2016: 47 · 2015: 36 · 2014: 35 · 2013: 33 · 2012: 19
FWCI
22.97
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Licence
journals.sagepub.com/page/policies/text-and-data-mining-license (tdm)
Locations
The Holocene (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Land Use and Ecosystem Services
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Impact of Light on Environment and Health
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Globalization, Historical Perspectives, and International Relations
Keywords
built-up areas, urbanization, population density, demographic drivers, Holocene, spatially explicit data, Earth system modeling, rural and urban populations

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