A systematic review and meta-analysis of suicidality in autistic and possibly autistic people without co-occurring intellectual disability
Open accessAbstract
Background: Suicidality is highly prevalent in autistic people without co-occurring intellectual disabilities, and high autistic traits are found in adults who have attempted suicide. However, prevalence rates for both autistic and possibly autistic people have not been synthesised meta-analytically. Aims: To (1) calculate pooled prevalence estimates of suicidality in autistic people and possibly autistic people without co-occurring intellectual disability; (2) evaluate the influence of participant and study level characteristics on heterogeneity; and (3) determine the quality of evidence. Methods: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guidelines were followed. PsycINFO, Embase, MEDLINE and Web of Science were systematically searched from 1992 to January 25, 2022. Empirical quantitative studies reporting prevalence of suicidal ideation, suicide plans, or suicide attempts and behaviours were considered for inclusion. Random effects models were used to estimate pooled prevalence of each suicidality outcome with 95% confidence intervals. Heterogeneity was explored using sensitivity and moderator analyses. Results: Data from 48,186 autistic and possibly autistic participants in 36 primary studies were meta-analysed. Pooled prevalence of suicidal ideation was 34.2% (95% CI 27.9–40.5), suicide plans 21.9% (13.4–30.4), and suicidal attempts and behaviours 24.3% (18.9–29.6). High levels of heterogeneity ( I 2 > 75) were observed in all three analyses. Estimates did not differ between autistic or possibly autistic samples. Geographical location ( p = 0.005), transgender or gender non-conforming samples ( p < 0.001) and type of report ( p < 0.001) significantly moderated suicidal ideation, whereas age group ( p = 0.001) and measure of suicidality ( p = 0.001) significantly moderated suicide plans. There was a significant association between the proportion of male participants and prevalence of suicide plans, with a decrease in the proportion of males for every unit change of suicide plan prevalence ( p = 0.013). No variables were found to moderate estimates of suicide attempts and behaviours. Conclusions: The results confirm suicidality is highly prevalent in both autistic and possibly autistic people without co-occurring intellectual disability and highlights potential moderators. Possibly autistic individuals require more attention in clinical and research considerations going forward to further understand and prevent suicide in both groups.
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A recent meta-analysis of data from over 48,000 autistic and possibly autistic individuals without co-occurring ID reported pooled prevalence rates of suicidal ideation to be 34% and suicidal attempts and behaviors to be 24%.
“A recent meta-analysis of data from over 48,000 autistic and possibly autistic individuals without co-occurring ID reported pooled prevalence rates of suicidal ideation to be 34% and suicidal attempts and behaviors to be 24% [112].”
From Pharmacological treatment in autism: a proposal for guidelines on common co-occurring psychiatric symptoms (2025) · cites this paper as [112]
As the proportion of male participants decreased, suicide plan prevalence increased.
“meta-regression results showed that as the proportion of male participants decreased, suicide plan prevalence increased [112]”
From Pharmacological treatment in autism: a proposal for guidelines on common co-occurring psychiatric symptoms (2025) · cites this paper as [112]
Gender was an important moderating factor for suicidality in autistic individuals without co-occurring ID.
“Gender was an important moderating factor;”
From Pharmacological treatment in autism: a proposal for guidelines on common co-occurring psychiatric symptoms (2025) · cites this paper as [112]
Suicidal ideation was higher in samples from individuals who are transgender or gender non-conforming.
“suicidal ideation was higher in samples from individuals who are transgender or gender non-conforming”
From Pharmacological treatment in autism: a proposal for guidelines on common co-occurring psychiatric symptoms (2025) · cites this paper as [112]
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Manter, M. A., Birtwell, K. B., Bath, J., Friedman, N. D. B., Keary, C. J., Neumeyer, A. M., Palumbo, M. L., Thom, R. P., Stonestreet, E., Brooks, H., et al. (2025) · BMC Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12916-024-03814-0 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
“A recent meta-analysis of data from over 48,000 autistic and possibly autistic individuals without co-occurring ID reported pooled prevalence rates of suicidal ideation to be 34% and suicidal attempts and behaviors to be 24% [112].”
Santomauro, D. F., Hedley, D., Sahin, E., Brugha, T. S., Naghavi, M., Vos, T., Whiteford, H. A., Ferrari, A. J., & Stokes, M. A. (2024) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2024.116150 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Differential Diagnosis of ICD-11 Personality Disorder and Autism Spectrum Disorder in Adolescents
Bach, B., & Vestergaard, M. (2023) · Children · doi:10.3390/children10060992 · Cited by 27 · see citing works
“Moreover, recent meta-analytic research also shows an increased risk of suicidal behavior in individuals with ASD [50,73].”
Background
- Authors
- Newell, V., Phillips, L., Jones, C., Townsend, E., Richards, C., & Cassidy, S.
- Affiliations
- University of Nottingham (GB)
- Loughborough University (GB)
- University of Birmingham (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Newell, Victoria
- Venue
- Molecular Autism
- Published
- 2023-03-15
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 12-12
- ISSN
- 2040-2392 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC10018918
- OpenAlex
- W4324354182
- Cited by
- 143
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 44 · 2025: 54 · 2024: 37 · 2023: 8
- FWCI
- 7.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Molecular Autism (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Repository@Nottingham (University of Nottingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- University of Birmingham Research Portal (University of Birmingham) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- Economic and Social Research Council (ES/P000711/1)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Suicide and Self-Harm Studies
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Autism Spectrum Disorder Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Down syndrome and intellectual disability research
- Keywords
- suicidality, autism spectrum disorder, autistic traits, suicide attempts, suicide planning, suicidal ideation, suicide prevention, prevalence, intellectual disability, sex differences
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Autistic Disorder, Humans, Male, Intellectual Disability, Suicide, Suicide, Attempted, Suicidal Ideation
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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