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Are births underreported in rural China? Manipulation of statistical records in response to China’s population policies
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Under the current family planning policy in China, the criterion for evaluating all parties involved in the birth planning system provides an incentive for everyone to see that the policy is met, either in reality through strict enforcement of family planning regulations, or statistically through manipulation of statistical records. We investigate underreporting of births in four rural counties of northern China, using data from a 1992 sample survey featuring a reproductive history. To clarify the mechanisms of underreporting, we focus on the ways in which reporting errors may affect the distribution of first births by time since marriage. The results of our investigation suggest that in three of the four counties, first-birth intervals are lengthened by underreporting of girl babies and by replacing them with second births reported as first births.
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“A study carried out in rural Sichuan province in 1990 reported a doubling of maternal deaths for unapproved pregnancies as compared with those receiving government sanction. 11”
From The Effect of China's One-Child Family Policy after 25 Years (2005) · cites this paper as [11]
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“In rural China, births are underreported, and many families have not adhered to CFPP, raising more than two children (Merli and Raftery 2000).”
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InfluentialThe Cultural Revolution and the Timing of First Marriage in China
Li, X., & Zhou, D. (2021) · Canadian Studies in Population · doi:10.1007/s42650-021-00046-y
An Ethical Assessment of the Legitimacy of Anti-natalistic Birth Policies
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Metadata
- Authors
- Merli, M. G., & Raftery, A. E.
- Affiliations
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- Venue
- Demography
- Publisher
- Duke University Press
- Published
- 2000-02-01
- Volume
- 37
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 109-126
- ISSN
- 0070-3370 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-7790
- OpenAlex
- W2018447293
- Cited by
- 110
- References
- 55
- Citations by year
- 2024: 3 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 4 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 4 · 2016: 6 · 2015: 7 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 1.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Demography (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DigitalGeorgetown (Georgetown University Library) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Rockefeller Foundation
- University of Pennsylvania
- University of Washington
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Gender Studies › Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Reproductive Health and Contraception
- Keywords
- statistical manipulation, family planning policy, one-child policy, rural China, first birth interval, sex-selective abortion, reproductive history
- MeSH terms
- China, Data Collection, Family Planning Services, Female, Forms and Records Control, Humans, Infant Mortality, Infant, Newborn, Male, Population Control, Public Policy, Regression Analysis, Rural Population, Sex Ratio, Proportional Hazards Models
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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