Mendelian randomization: can genetic epidemiology help redress the failures of observational epidemiology?
Abstract
Establishing causal relationships between environmental exposures and common diseases is beset with problems of unresolved confounding, reverse causation and selection bias that may result in spurious inferences. Mendelian randomization, in which a functional genetic variant acts as a proxy for an environmental exposure, provides a means of overcoming these problems as the inheritance of genetic variants is independent of-that is randomized with respect to-the inheritance of other traits, according to Mendel's law of independent assortment. Examples drawn from exposures and outcomes as diverse as milk and osteoporosis, alcohol and coronary heart disease, sheep dip and farm workers' compensation neurosis, folate and neural tube defects are used to illustrate the applications of Mendelian randomization approaches in assessing potential environmental causes of disease. As with all genetic epidemiology studies there are problems associated with the need for large sample sizes, the non-replication of findings, and the lack of relevant functional genetic variants. In addition to these problems, Mendelian randomization findings may be confounded by other genetic variants in linkage disequilibrium with the variant under study, or by population stratification. Furthermore, pleiotropy of effect of a genetic variant may result in null associations, as may canalisation of genetic effects. If correctly conducted and carefully interpreted, Mendelian randomization studies can provide useful evidence to support or reject causal hypotheses linking environmental exposures to common diseases.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Causal effects estimated in a Mendelian randomization analysis represent long-term relationships, equivalent to a randomized trial where the intervention is made at conception.
“As genetic subgroups of a population defined by an IV represent subpopulations with long-term average differences in the exposure of interest,31 the causal effects estimated in a Mendelian randomization analysis represent long-term relationships, equivalent to a randomized trial where the intervention is made at conception.”
From Network Mendelian randomization: using genetic variants as instrumental variables to investigate mediation in causal pathways. (2015) · cites this paper as [31]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease with Pravastatin in Men with Hypercholesterolemia
Shepherd, J., Cobbe, S. M., Ford, I., Isles, C. G., Lorimer, A. R., Macfarlane, P. W., McKillop, J. H., & Packard, C. J. (1995) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199511163332001 · Cited by 7,449 · see citing works
Davey Smith, G., & Ebrahim, S. (2003) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyg070 · Cited by 5,882 · see citing works
Self-citationReplication of Genome-Wide Association Signals in UK Samples Reveals Risk Loci for Type 2 Diabetes
Zeggini, E., Weedon, M. N., Lindgren, C. M., Frayling, T. M., Elliott, K. S., Lango, H., Timpson, N. J., Perry, J. R. B., Rayner, N. W., Freathy, R. M., et al. (2007) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1142364 · Cited by 2,194 · see citing works
Limitations of the Application of Fourfold Table Analysis to Hospital Data
Berkson, J. (1946) · Biometrics Bulletin · doi:10.2307/3002000 · Cited by 1,810 · cited 1× · see citing works
“This is a form of ‘Berkson’s bias’, well known to epidemiologists (Berkson 1946).”
BackgroundSmith, G. D., Lawlor, D. A., Harbord, R., Timpson, N., Day, I., & Ebrahim, S. (2007) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0040352 · Cited by 569 · see citing works
Self-citationWhat can mendelian randomisation tell us about modifiable behavioural and environmental exposures?
Smith, G. D., & Ebrahim, S. (2005) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7499.1076 · Cited by 545 · see citing works
Self-citationLawlor, D. A., Smith, G. D., Bruckdorfer, K. R., Kundu, D., & Ebrahim, S. (2004) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(04)16260-0 · Cited by 438 · see citing works
Self-citationLowering LDL—not only how low, but how long?
Brown, M. S., & Goldstein, J. L. (2006) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1125884 · Cited by 204 · see citing works
A new perspective on developmental plasticity and the principles of adaptive morph determination
Leimar, O., Hammerstein, P., & Van Dooren, T. J. M. (2006) · The American Naturalist · doi:10.1086/499566 · Cited by 126 · see citing works
Capitalizing on Mendelian randomization to assess the effects of treatments
Smith, G. D. (2007) · Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · doi:10.1258/jrsm.100.9.432 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Verbanck, M., Chen, C.-Y., Neale, B., & Do, R. (2018) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-018-0099-7 · Cited by 8,591 · see citing works
Mendelian randomization: genetic anchors for causal inference in epidemiological studies
Davey Smith, G., & Hemani, G. (2014) · Human Molecular Genetics · doi:10.1093/hmg/ddu328 · Cited by 4,677 · see citing works
Self-citationSanderson, E., Glymour, M. M., Holmes, M. V., Kang, H., Morrison, J., Munafò, M. R., Palmer, T., Schooling, C. M., Wallace, C., Zhao, Q., et al. (2022) · Nature Reviews Methods Primers · doi:10.1038/s43586-021-00092-5 · Cited by 2,229 · see citing works
Common variants associated with plasma triglycerides and risk for coronary artery disease
Do, R., Willer, C. J., Schmidt, E. M., Sengupta, S., Gao, C., Peloso, G. M., Gustafsson, S., Kanoni, S., Ganna, A., Chen, J., et al. (2013) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/ng.2795 · Cited by 862 · see citing works
Mendelian Randomization: Concepts and Scope
Richmond, R. C., & Davey Smith, G. (2022) · Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Medicine · doi:10.1101/cshperspect.a040501 · Cited by 841 · see citing works
Self-citationValidating therapeutic targets through human genetics
Plenge, R. M., Scolnick, E. M., & Altshuler, D. (2013) · Nature Reviews Drug Discovery · doi:10.1038/nrd4051 · Cited by 712 · see citing works
Relton, C. L., & Davey Smith, G. (2012) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyr233 · Cited by 567 · see citing works
Self-citationBurgess, S., Daniel, R. M., Butterworth, A. S., Thompson, S. G., & the EPIC-InterAct Consortium (2015) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyu176 · Cited by 543 · see citing works
Plasma lipoproteins: genetic influences and clinical implications
Hegele, R. A. (2009) · Nature Reviews Genetics · doi:10.1038/nrg2481 · Cited by 462 · see citing works
Use of allele scores as instrumental variables for Mendelian randomization
Burgess, S., & Thompson, S. G. (2013) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyt093 · Cited by 452 · see citing works
Lane, J. M., Vlasac, I., Anderson, S. G., Kyle, S. D., Dixon, W. G., Bechtold, D. A., Gill, S., Little, M. A., Luik, A., Loudon, A., et al. (2016) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/ncomms10889 · Cited by 312 · see citing works
Deconstructing a Syndrome: Genomic Insights Into PCOS Causal Mechanisms and Classification
Dapas, M., & Dunaif, A. (2022) · Endocrine Reviews · doi:10.1210/endrev/bnac001 · Cited by 300 · see citing works
Staley, J. R., & Burgess, S. (2017) · Genetic Epidemiology · doi:10.1002/gepi.22041 · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Kröger, J., Zietemann, V., Enzenbach, C., Weikert, C., Jansen, E. H., Döring, F., Joost, H.-G., Boeing, H., & Schulze, M. B. (2011) · The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.3945/ajcn.110.005447 · Cited by 270 · see citing works
Prospects for epigenetic epidemiology
Foley, D. L., Craig, J. M., Morley, R., Olsson, C. J., Dwyer, T., Smith, K., & Saffery, R. (2008) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwn380 · Cited by 244 · see citing works
Davey Smith, G. (2011) · Genes & Nutrition · doi:10.1007/s12263-010-0181-y · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Self-citationPleiotropy-robust Mendelian randomization.
van Kippersluis, H., & Rietveld, C. A. (2018) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/dyx002 · Cited by 125 · see citing works
Rasmussen, K. L., Tybjærg‐Hansen, A., Nordestgaard, B. G., & Frikke‐Schmidt, R. (2018) · Alzheimer's & Dementia · doi:10.1016/j.jalz.2017.05.006 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
How environment and genes shape the adolescent brain
Paus, T. (2013) · Hormones and Behavior · doi:10.1016/j.yhbeh.2013.04.004 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
McMahon, G., Taylor, A. E., Davey Smith, G., & Munafò, M. R. (2014) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0103448 · Cited by 49 · see citing works
Self-citationMendelian Randomization analysis of the causal effect of adiposity on hospital costs
Dixon, P., Hollingworth, W., Harrison, S., Davies, N. M., & Davey Smith, G. (2020) · Journal of Health Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2020.102300 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Self-citationUse of Genetic Variation as Biomarkers for Alzheimer's Disease
Reitz, C., & Mayeux, R. (2009) · Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.04945.x · Cited by 24 · see citing works
- Authors
- Ebrahim, S., & Davey Smith, G.
- Affiliations
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Ebrahim, Shah
- ORCID
- Ebrahim, Shah
- Venue
- Human Genetics
- Published
- 2007-11-23
- Volume
- 123
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 15-33
- ISSN
- 0018-7348 (ISSN-L)
- 0340-6717
- 1432-1203
- OpenAlex
- W2116908385
- Cited by
- 410
- References
- 11
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 42 · 2024: 53 · 2023: 39 · 2022: 32 · 2021: 32 · 2020: 16 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 13 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 16 · 2015: 14 · 2014: 12 · 2013: 25 · 2012: 16
- FWCI
- 1.81
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Human Genetics (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Explore Bristol Research (submittedVersion)
- Bristol Research (University of Bristol) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetics and Physical Performance
- Keywords
- Mendelian randomization, causal inference, environmental exposure, confounding, reverse causality, selection bias, linkage disequilibrium, population stratification, pleiotropy, canalization, genetic epidemiology
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Linkage Disequilibrium, Genome, Human, Molecular Epidemiology, Genetic Diseases, Inborn
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review