Network Mendelian randomization: using genetic variants as instrumental variables to investigate mediation in causal pathways.
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Mendelian randomization uses genetic variants, assumed to be instrumental variables for a particular exposure, to estimate the causal effect of that exposure on an outcome. If the instrumental variable criteria are satisfied, the resulting estimator is consistent even in the presence of unmeasured confounding and reverse causation. METHODS: We extend the Mendelian randomization paradigm to investigate more complex networks of relationships between variables, in particular where some of the effect of an exposure on the outcome may operate through an intermediate variable (a mediator). If instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator are available, direct and indirect effects of the exposure on the outcome can be estimated, for example using either a regression-based method or structural equation models. The direction of effect between the exposure and a possible mediator can also be assessed. Methods are illustrated in an applied example considering causal relationships between body mass index, C-reactive protein and uric acid. RESULTS: These estimators are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding if, in addition to the instrumental variable assumptions, the effects of both the exposure on the mediator and the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals and linear without interactions. Nevertheless, a simulation study demonstrates that even considerable heterogeneity in these effects does not lead to bias in the estimates. CONCLUSIONS: These methods can be used to estimate direct and indirect causal effects in a mediation setting, and have potential for the investigation of more complex networks between multiple interrelated exposures and disease outcomes.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
Burgess extends Mendelian randomization to mediation networks, using genetic instrumental variables for an exposure and a mediator to estimate direct and indirect causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. The proposed regression-based and structural equation model estimators perform well in simulations and are illustrated with BMI, C-reactive protein, and uric acid data.
Key findings
- Direct and indirect effects can be estimated when IVs are available for both exposure and mediator, under IV assumptions plus linearity without interactions and homogeneity of individual-level effects.
- In simulations with 5000 individuals, 1000 datasets per scenario, and 12 scenarios (12 000 datasets total), both regression-based and SEM methods estimated average direct and indirect effects without substantial bias even with heterogeneity τ² = 0.22 and 0.42; SEM estimates were more efficient, with lower mean standard errors.
- A causal effect of X on Z was detected in all but seven of 12 000 datasets (>99.9%), while a causal effect of Z on X was found in 4.8%, consistent with chance.
- In the applied example using 7158 EPIC-InterAct participants, the BMI allele score was associated with CRP (P = 0.009) but the CRP allele score was not clearly associated with BMI (P = 0.17); the direct effect of BMI on uric acid not via CRP was 0.053 (SE 0.035), total effect 0.052 (0.032), and indirect effect −0.001 (0.016), suggesting no mediation via CRP.
Methods
- The paper develops regression-based approaches—ratio/Wald method, two-stage least squares, and multiple-stage least squares—and a structural equation modelling approach to estimate direct and indirect effects using separate IVs for exposure and mediator.
- A simulation study generated data under linear models with varying heterogeneity in individual-level causal effects (τ² = 0, 0.22, 0.42), plus sensitivity analyses for interaction and correlated effects.
- An applied example used data on BMI, CRP, and uric acid from 7158 participants in the EPIC-InterAct study, with weighted allele scores as IVs and adjustment for age, sex, and centre.
Limitations
- Stated by the authors: consistency formally requires IV assumptions, linearity without interactions, and homogeneity of the exposure–mediator and mediator–outcome effects; simulation showed some bias when an interaction term had non-zero mean and slight bias in the direct effect when individual-level effects were correlated with substantial heterogeneity.
- Stated by the authors: methods assume continuous variables and do not address binary exposures, mediators, or outcomes with non-collapsibility; post-treatment confounders cannot in general be identified without further assumptions; pleiotropy can make mediation assessment problematic; Mendelian randomization cannot address time-varying effects or feedback.
- Stated by the authors: SEM estimation relies on multivariate normality and correct path-diagram specification; the applied example is observational and uses allele scores, so causal interpretation depends on the validity of the IV assumptions.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 35 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
A simulation study demonstrates that even considerable heterogeneity in the effects of the exposure on the mediator and the mediator on the outcome does not lead to bias in the estimates.
“Nevertheless, a simulation study demonstrates that even considerable heterogeneity in these effects does not lead to bias in the estimates.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · hedged
“although simulation analyses suggest that estimates may be robust to substantial random heterogeneity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Abstract · hedged
- Findingown data
Using multiple-stage least squares, the direct effect estimate is 0.053 (standard error 0.037).
“Using the multiple-stage least squares method, again adjusting for age, sex and centre in all the regression stages, the estimates of total, direct and indirect effect are 0.052 (0.033), 0.053 (0.037) and −0.001 (0.017), respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
No substantial bias was found when there was a zero mean interaction between X and Z in the model for Y.
“A similar finding of no substantial bias was found when there was a zero mean interaction between X and Z in the model for Y (Web Table A1, available as Supplementary data at IJE online)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Using structural equation modelling, the direct effect estimate is 0.048 (standard error 0.034).
“Estimates of total, direct and indirect effect are 0.052 (0.032), 0.048 (0.034) and 0.004 (0.013), respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Using equation (2), the direct effect of BMI on uric acid not via CRP is 0.053 (standard error 0.035).
“Using equation (2), the direct effect of BMI on uric acid not via CRP is 0.053 (standard error 0.035).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
Using structural equation modelling, the indirect effect estimate is 0.004 (standard error 0.013).
“Estimates of total, direct and indirect effect are 0.052 (0.032), 0.048 (0.034) and 0.004 (0.013), respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Estimates using the SEM method were more efficient, with lower mean standard errors than those from the regression-based method.
“Estimates using the SEM method seemed to be more efficient, with estimates having lower mean standard errors than those from the regression-based method.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The allele score for uric acid is not associated with BMI (P = 0.57).
“The allele score for uric acid is not associated with BMI (P = 0.57).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Both the regression-based and SEM methods estimate the average direct and indirect effects without substantial bias, even when there is individual-level heterogeneity of effects (τ2 > 0).
“Both methods appear to estimate the average direct and indirect effects without substantial bias, even when there is individual-level heterogeneity of effects (τ2 > 0).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Out of the 12,000 datasets, using a 5% significance level, a causal effect of X on Z was found in all but seven datasets (>99.9%).
“Out of the 12 000 datasets, using a 5% significance level, a causal effect of X on Z was found in all but seven datasets (>99.9%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The allele score for CRP is not clearly associated with BMI (P = 0.17).
“whereas the allele score for CRP is not clearly associated with BMI (P = 0.17)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The total effect of BMI on uric acid is 0.052 (standard error 0.032).
“This is similar to the total effect of 0.052 (0.032).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Some bias was observed when the interaction term had non-zero mean.
“although some bias was observed when the interaction term had non-zero mean (Web Table A2, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The mean standard errors agreed well with the empirical standard deviations of the estimates.
“The mean standard errors agreed well with the empirical standard deviations of the estimates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The allele score for BMI is not associated with uric acid (P = 0.12).
“The allele score for BMI is not associated with uric acid (P = 0.12)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The indirect effect of BMI on uric acid via CRP is −0.001 (standard error 0.016).
“The indirect effect is −0.001 (0.016).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Under heterogeneity in the genetic effects on the exposure and mediator, results were not materially different from those in the original simulation.
“Under heterogeneity in the genetic effects on the exposure and mediator, results were not materially different to those in the original simulation (Web Table A3, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Under correlation in the causal effect parameters βXi, γXi, γZi, there was a slight bias in estimates of the direct effect in the direction of the correlation when there was substantial heterogeneity in the parameters.
“Under correlation in the causal effect parameters βXi, γXi, γZi, there was a slight bias in estimates of the direct effect in the direction of the correlation when there was substantial heterogeneity in the parameters”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Using multiple-stage least squares, the total effect estimate is 0.052 (standard error 0.033).
“Using the multiple-stage least squares method, again adjusting for age, sex and centre in all the regression stages, the estimates of total, direct and indirect effect are 0.052 (0.033), 0.053 (0.037) and −0.001 (0.017), respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Under correlation in the causal effect parameters, there was no evident bias in estimates of the indirect effect.
“but no evident bias in estimates of the indirect effect (Web Table A4, available as Supplementary data at IJE online).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Similar results were obtained from all three estimation approaches.
“Similar results were obtained from all three estimation approaches.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Using multiple-stage least squares, the indirect effect estimate is −0.001 (standard error 0.017).
“Using the multiple-stage least squares method, again adjusting for age, sex and centre in all the regression stages, the estimates of total, direct and indirect effect are 0.052 (0.033), 0.053 (0.037) and −0.001 (0.017), respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The allele score for BMI is associated with CRP (P = 0.009).
“The allele score for BMI is associated with CRP (P = 0.009)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Using structural equation modelling, the total effect estimate is 0.052 (standard error 0.032).
“Estimates of total, direct and indirect effect are 0.052 (0.032), 0.048 (0.034) and 0.004 (0.013), respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
If instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator are available, direct and indirect effects of the exposure on the outcome can be estimated using either a regression-based method or structural equation models.
“If instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator are available, direct and indirect effects of the exposure on the outcome can be estimated, for example using either a regression-based method or structural equation models.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“When instrumental variables are available for an exposure and mediator in a causal network, the direct and indirect effects of the exposure on an outcome, controlling for the mediator, can be estimated in the presence of unmeasured confounding in the model considered.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
- Premisecitation
The total effect of an exposure on an outcome can be decomposed into a direct and an indirect effect when the effect is partially mediated by another risk factor.
“The total effect of the exposure on the outcome can therefore be decomposed into a direct and an indirect effect.11,12”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [11] Pearl J Direct and indirect effects. Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Seattle, WA, 2–5 August 2001. San Francisco, CA: Morgan Kaufmann, 2001. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Petersen M Sinisi S van der Laan M Estimation of direct causal effects. Epidemiology 2006; 17: 276– 84. 16617276 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The methods can be used to estimate direct and indirect causal effects in a mediation setting.
“These methods can be used to estimate direct and indirect causal effects in a mediation setting”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
If there are post-treatment confounders, the natural direct effect cannot in general be identified without further assumptions, even if these variables are measured.
“If there are post-treatment confounders U* (Figure 3), then the natural direct effect cannot in general be identified (even if these variables are measured20) without further assumptions.21”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [20] Avin C Shpitser I Pearl J Identifiability of path-specific effects. Technical Report. Proceedings of the Nineteenth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Edinburgh, UK, 30 July–5 August 2005. San Francisco, CA: Morgan Kaufmann, 2005.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [21] Tchetgen Tchetgen EJ VanderWeele TJ Identification of natural direct effects when a confounder of the mediator is directly affected by exposure. Epidemiology 2014; 25: 282– 91. 24487211 PMC4230499 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Maintaining linearity without interaction, the total causal effect of X on Y can be decomposed into the sum of direct and indirect effects even with post-treatment confounders.
“Maintaining the assumption that effects are linear without interaction terms, the total causal effect of X on Y can be further decomposed into: (3) which is simply the sum of the direct and indirect effects as before.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
If the natural direct effect is constant with respect to the mediator for all individuals, then it is equal to the controlled direct effect for all values of the mediator.
“If the natural direct effect is constant with respect to the mediator for all individuals, then it is equal to the controlled direct effect for all values of the mediator.13”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Robins J Greenland S Identifiability and exchangeability for direct and indirect effects. Epidemiology 1992; 3: 143– 55. 1576220 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
A genetic variant used in Mendelian randomization need not be causally related to the exposure; a variant in linkage disequilibrium with the causal variant that satisfies the IV assumptions can be used as an IV.
“In fact, unlike Figure 1, a genetic variant used in a Mendelian randomization analysis need not necessarily be causally related to the exposure; it may be a proxy for the true causal variant. Any variant in linkage disequilibrium (meaning correlated in its distribution) with the causal variant which satisfies the IV assumptions can be used as an IV.7”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Herńan M Robins J Instruments for causal inference: an epidemiologist’s dream? Epidemiology 2006; 17: 360– 72. 16755261 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
The estimators for direct and indirect effects are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding if, in addition to the instrumental variable assumptions, the effects of the exposure on the mediator and the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals and linear without interactions.
“These estimators are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding if, in addition to the instrumental variable assumptions, the effects of both the exposure on the mediator and the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals and linear without interactions.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“Formally, strong assumptions of linearity without interaction and homogeneity of causal effects are required for the consistency of estimators”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals.
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
- Interpretationcitation
Direct and indirect effects can also be estimated by a multiple-stage least squares approach.
“Similar estimates of the direct and indirect effects corresponding to equation (2) can also be obtained by a ‘multiple-stage least squares’ approach”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [22] Tchetgen Tchetgen EJ Lin SH Robust estimation of pure/natural direct effects with mediator measurement error. Technical Report 152. Harvard University Biostatistics Working Paper Series. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University, 2012.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [23] Pearl J Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference. 2nd edn New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
If the instrumental variable criteria are satisfied, the Mendelian randomization estimator is consistent even in the presence of unmeasured confounding and reverse causation.
“If the instrumental variable criteria are satisfied, the resulting estimator is consistent even in the presence of unmeasured confounding and reverse causation.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“The IV assumptions about the relationship of the genetic variant with the other variables enable identification and consistent estimation of the causal effect of the exposure on the outcome.6”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] Davey Smith G Ebrahim S ‘Mendelian randomization’: can genetic epidemiology contribute to understanding environmental determinants of disease? Int J Epidemiol 2003; 32: 1– 22. 12689998 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [6] Angrist J Imbens G Rubin D Identification of causal effects using instrumental variables. J Am Stat Assoc 1996; 91: 444– 55. source
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
- Interpretationcitation
If all effects are linear without interaction terms, the natural direct effect of X on Y not mediated by Z can be obtained, under homogeneity of causal effects across individuals, as the difference between the total effect of X on Y and the product of the effects of X on Z and Z on Y.
“If all effects are linear without interaction terms, the natural direct effect of X on Y not mediated by Z can be obtained, under the assumption of homogeneity of causal effects across individuals in the population, as the difference between the total effect of X on Y and the product of the effects of X on Z and Z on Y.19”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] VanderWeele T Vansteelandt S Conceptual issues concerning mediation, interventions and composition. Stat Interface 2009; 2: 457– 68.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals.
- Interpretationnone given
The direction of effect between the exposure and a possible mediator can be assessed using instrumental variables for both variables.
“The direction of effect between the exposure and a possible mediator can also be assessed.”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“The direction of causal effect between the exposure and mediator can also be verified.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
- Interpretationreasoning
The natural indirect effect is the product of the effect of X on Z and the effect of Z on Y.
“The natural indirect effect is β^X→Zβ^Z→Y.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The controlled direct effect is equal to the natural direct effect in the linear setting if the controlled direct effect is constant for all values of the mediator, that is if there is no interaction between X and Z in their effect on Y.
“However this is equal to the natural direct effect in the linear setting if the controlled direct effect is constant for all values of the mediator, that is if there is no interaction between X and Z in their effect on Y.13”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Robins J Greenland S Identifiability and exchangeability for direct and indirect effects. Epidemiology 1992; 3: 143– 55. 1576220 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
In the set-up where it is uncertain whether Z is a mediator of X or vice versa, it is possible to test for a causal effect between X and Z in both directions.
“In the set-up of Figure 2, but where it is uncertain whether Z is a mediator of X or vice versa, it is additionally possible to test for a causal effect between X and Z in both directions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
IV analysis can be performed in a SEM framework by using the IV assumptions to define a causal path diagram under which the data can be analysed.
“IV analysis can be performed in a SEM framework as the IV assumptions can be used to define a causal path diagram under which the data can be analysed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In a SEM framework, the indirect effect of X on Y via Z can be calculated under linearity and homogeneity without interactions either by estimating the total effect and subtracting the direct effect, or by multiplying the coefficient for X on Z by that for Z on Y.
“The indirect effect of X on Y via Z can be calculated under the assumptions of linearity and homogeneity of effects without interactions either by estimating the total effect of X on Y assuming the path diagram of Figure 4 and subtracting the direct effect, or (as in this paper) by multiplying the coefficient for the causal effect of X on Z by that for the causal effect of Z on Y.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals.
- Interpretationcitation
The use of separate IVs for X and for Z can be viewed as separate experiments to set the values of X and Z.
“In the context of mediation, the use of separate IVs for X and for Z can be viewed as separate experiments to set the values of X and Z,34”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [34] Imai K Tingley D Yamamoto T Experimental designs for identifying causal mechanisms. J R Stat So A 2013; 176: 5– 51.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Reciprocal Mendelian randomization approaches may provide evidence on the direction of causal effects.
“Where this is not possible, reciprocal Mendelian randomization approaches may provide evidence on the direction of causal effects, although all such estimates rely on the assumption that these effects do not vary in direction over time.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The causal effects between the exposure and mediator do not vary in direction over time.
- Interpretationcitation
The reliance on separate experiments and the decomposition of the indirect effect into the product of separate effects can lead to incorrect inferences if the causal effects of X on Z and of Z on Y vary substantially for different individuals.
“The reliance on separate experiments and the decomposition of the indirect effect into the product of separate effects on the mediator and outcome can lead to incorrect inferences if the causal effects of X on Z and of Z on Y vary substantially for different individuals in the population. This is known as the fallacy of the causal chain approach35”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Imai K Keele L Tingley D Yamamoto T Unpacking the black box of causality: Learning about causal mechanisms from experimental and observational studies. Am Polit Sci Rev 2011; 105: 765– 89.
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
It is possible for the average causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome to be positive, but for the average indirect effect to be negative.
“It is even possible for the average causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome to be positive, but for the average indirect effect to be negative.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [36] Simpson EH The interpretation of interaction in contingency tables. J R Stat Soc B 1951; 13: 238– 41.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [37] Pearl J Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference. 2nd edn New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Using IVs in a non-parametric setting to estimate the distributions of the exposure and mediator would allow the calculation of a controlled direct effect.
“using IVs in a non-parametric setting to estimate the distributions of the exposure and mediator would allow the calculation of a controlled direct effect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The use of IVs for both the exposure and the mediator formally requires the assumption of homogeneity across individuals of the effects of a unit change in the exposure on the mediator and on the outcome, as well as of a unit change in the mediator on the outcome.
“Hence the use of IVs for both the exposure and the mediator formally requires the assumption of homogeneity across individuals of the effects of a unit change in the exposure on the mediator and on the outcome, as well as of a unit change in the mediator on the outcome.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals.
- Interpretationown data
Any effect of BMI on uric acid concentrations does not seem to be mediated via CRP levels.
“We conclude that any effect of BMI on uric acid concentrations does not seem to be mediated via CRP levels.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Genetic variants are available which satisfy the instrumental variable assumptions for the exposure–mediator and mediator–outcome relationships.
- Premisecitation
In the theoretical example, the effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are in different directions for subgroups of the population.
“In this example, the effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are in different directions for subgroups of the population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Imai K Keele L Tingley D Yamamoto T Unpacking the black box of causality: Learning about causal mechanisms from experimental and observational studies. Am Polit Sci Rev 2011; 105: 765– 89.
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
A theoretical example has been demonstrated with extreme patterns of heterogeneity which would lead to misleading results from a mediation analysis using separate instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator.
“A theoretical example has been demonstrated with extreme patterns of heterogeneity which would lead to misleading results from a mediation analysis using separate instrumental variables for the exposure and mediator.35”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Imai K Keele L Tingley D Yamamoto T Unpacking the black box of causality: Learning about causal mechanisms from experimental and observational studies. Am Polit Sci Rev 2011; 105: 765– 89.
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
In randomized trials where the interaction between random assignment and a baseline covariate is used as an instrumental variable for the mediator, the assumption of homogeneous effects across individuals is less fundamental than in the Mendelian randomization context considered in this paper.
“This means that, in the context of randomized trials where the interaction between random assignment and a baseline covariate is used as an IV for the mediator, the assumption of homogeneous effects across individuals is less fundamental than in the Mendelian randomization context considered in this paper.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In practice, associations between the mediator and instrumental variables for the exposure may reflect pleiotropy rather than mediation.
“In practice, it is possible that such associations may reflect pleiotropy (multiple effects of a single gene) rather than mediation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If there are alternative pathways by which variants associated with the exposure may be associated with the mediator, then the assessment of mediation is more problematic.
“If there are alternative pathways by which variants associated with the exposure may be associated with the mediator, then the assessment of mediation is more problematic.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 16
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 14
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataA causal effect of Z on X was found in 4.8% of datasets, which is no more than would be expected by chance alone.
“A causal effect of Z on X was found in 4.8% of datasets, which is no more than would be expected by chance alone.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataIn the simulation study, mean estimates of the direct effect of X on Y were approximately 1.00 and mean estimates of the indirect effect were approximately 0.98 across all levels of heterogeneity.
“1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1.01 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.22”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“1 | 1 | 0.98 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.98 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.98 | 0.21 | 0.20”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Results · plain
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationMendelian randomization uses genetic variants, assumed to be instrumental variables for a particular exposure, to estimate the causal effect of that exposure on an outcome.
“Mendelian randomization uses genetic variants, assumed to be instrumental variables for a particular exposure, to estimate the causal effect of that exposure on an outcome.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1] Davey Smith G Ebrahim S ‘Mendelian randomization’: can genetic epidemiology contribute to understanding environmental determinants of disease? Int J Epidemiol 2003; 32: 1– 22. 12689998 source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationAssuming the path diagram is correctly specified, coefficients from a SEM can be viewed as representing causal effects, although the causal nature of the estimates is by prior assumption rather than empirically established by the data.
“Assuming that the path diagram is correctly specified, coefficients from a SEM can be viewed as representing causal effects, although the causal nature of the estimates is by prior assumption rather than being empirically established by the data.25”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] Cox D Causality: some statistical aspects. J R Stat Soc A 1992; 155: 291– 301.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The path diagram in the structural equation model is correctly specified.
May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenIf multiple risk factors with associated IVs are measured in the same dataset, the causal effect of each risk factor on the outcome can be estimated, and each risk factor can be considered as the outcome to estimate causal effects between risk factors.
“If multiple risk factors with associated IVs have been measured in the same dataset, then the causal effect of each of the risk factors on the outcome can be estimated. Additionally, each of the risk factors can be considered as the outcome in an IV analysis, and the causal effects of the risk factors on each other can be estimated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Premisenone givenParameters in causal networks can be estimated using structural equation models.
“Alternatively, parameters in this causal network and other more complex networks can be estimated using structural equation models (SEMs).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationnone givenThe methods have potential for the investigation of more complex networks between multiple interrelated exposures and disease outcomes.
“have potential for the investigation of more complex networks between multiple interrelated exposures and disease outcomes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe instrumental variable assumptions are: association with the exposure of interest; lack of association with any confounder of the exposure-outcome relationship, including unmeasured confounders; and lack of conditional association with the outcome given the exposure and all confounders.
“These variants must satisfy the assumptions of an instrumental variable (IV): association with the exposure of interest; lack of association with any confounder of the exposure–outcome relationship (including those that are unmeasured); and lack of conditional association with the outcome given the exposure and all the confounders.2”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] Didelez V Sheehan N Mendelian randomization as an instrumental variable approach to causal inference. Stat Methods Med Res 2007; 16: 309– 30. 17715159 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningChanges in the effects of the exposure and mediator over time and feedback between the exposure and mediator cannot be addressed by a conventional Mendelian randomization analysis.
“As such, changes in the effects of the exposure and mediator over time and feedback between the exposure and mediator cannot be addressed by a conventional Mendelian randomization analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] Burgess S Butterworth A Malarstig A Thompson S Use of Mendelian randomisation to assess potential benefit of clinical intervention. BMJ 2012; 345: e7325. 23131671 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationCausal effects estimated in a Mendelian randomization analysis represent long-term relationships, equivalent to a randomized trial where the intervention is made at conception.
“As genetic subgroups of a population defined by an IV represent subpopulations with long-term average differences in the exposure of interest,31 the causal effects estimated in a Mendelian randomization analysis represent long-term relationships, equivalent to a randomized trial where the intervention is made at conception.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Ebrahim S Davey Smith G Mendelian randomization: can genetic epidemiology help redress the failures of observational epidemiology? Hum Genet 2008; 123: 15– 33. 18038153 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe natural direct effect is intrinsically a counterfactual quantity and cannot be observed from any experiment.
“This is intrinsically a counterfactual quantity, and as such cannot be observed from any experiment.33”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [33] Robins J Richardson T Causality and psychopathology: finding the determinants of disorders and their cures. Alternative Graphical Causal Models and the Identification of Direct Effects. New York: Oxford University Press, 2011.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationEstimation of parameters and many goodness-of-fit tests in SEM rely on the assumption of multivariate normality of the variables.
“Estimation of parameters and many goodness-of-fit tests rely on the assumption of multivariate normality of the variables.29”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] Muthén B Beyond SEM: General latent variable modeling. Behaviormetrika 2002; 29: 81– 117.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The variables are multivariate normal for SEM estimation and goodness-of-fit tests.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationWith a sample size of 5000 and the simulated IV effects, the average F statistics are around 65, so the potential of bias from weak instruments is small.
“With a sample size of 5000, this corresponds to average F statistics of around 65, so the potential of bias from weak instruments is small.38”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] Burgess S Thompson S; CRP CHD Genetics Collaboration. Avoiding bias from weak instruments in Mendelian randomization studies. Int J Epidemiol 2011; 40: 755– 64. 21414999 source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe total effect of the exposure on the outcome is equal to the sum of the natural direct and indirect effects.
“The total effect of the exposure on the outcome is equal to the sum of the natural direct and indirect effects.11,13”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [11] Pearl J Direct and indirect effects. Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Seattle, WA, 2–5 August 2001. San Francisco, CA: Morgan Kaufmann, 2001. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [13] Robins J Greenland S Identifiability and exchangeability for direct and indirect effects. Epidemiology 1992; 3: 143– 55. 1576220 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe Monte Carlo standard error of the mean estimates is around 0.005.
“The Monte Carlo standard error of the mean estimates, representing the uncertainty due to the finite number of datasets, is around 0.005.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe regression-based and SEM methods give similar estimates, which are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding, under the instrumental variable assumptions together with further assumptions on the linearity of effects without interaction terms and on the homogeneity of individual-level effects of the exposure on the mediator and the exposure and mediator on the outcome.
“The regression-based and SEM methods discussed in this paper give similar estimates, which are consistent in the presence of unmeasured confounding, under the instrumental variable assumptions together with further assumptions on the linearity of effects without interaction terms and on the homogeneity of individual-level effects of the exposure on the mediator and the exposure and mediator on the”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Genetic variants are available which satisfy the instrumental variable assumptions for the exposure–mediator and mediator–outcome relationships.
- Rests on an assumption: The data-generating models considered in the simulation are the most likely to occur in applied examples.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Effects are linear without interaction terms.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenIn each regression, adjustment is made for age, sex and centre.
“In each regression, adjustment is made for age, sex and centre.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataIncreases in BMI cause increases in CRP levels, but the opposite is not true.
“suggesting that increases in BMI cause increases in CRP levels, but the opposite is not true.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Genetic variants are available which satisfy the instrumental variable assumptions for the exposure–mediator and mediator–outcome relationships.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataEstimates of the direct and indirect effects using the methods presented in this paper are robust to quite substantial random heterogeneity in the causal and genetic effects, and to random (zero mean) individual-level interaction, in the range of simulation examples considered.
“We conclude that estimates of the direct and indirect effects using the methods presented in this paper are robust to quite substantial random heterogeneity in the causal and genetic effects, and to random (zero mean) individual-level interaction, in the range of simulation examples considered.”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
“A simulation study suggests that random heterogeneity in the effects between the exposure, mediator and outcome does not lead to substantial bias in the estimators of the direct and indirect effects for the wide range of data-generating mechanisms considered; although there was some bias when variability in the individual-level effect parameters was correlated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The data-generating models considered in the simulation are the most likely to occur in applied examples.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · hedged
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrevious research has shown that genetic variants associated with BMI are associated with CRP levels and uric acid concentrations, but the reverse was not found for genetic variants which are plausible instrumental variables for CRP and uric acid.
“Previous research has shown that genetic variants associated with BMI are associated with CRP levels30,39 and associated with uric acid concentrations,40 although in both cases the reverse was not found for genetic variants which are plausible IVs for CRP and for uric acid.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [30] Timpson N Nordestgaard B Harbord R C-reactive protein levels and body mass index: elucidating direction of causation through reciprocal Mendelian randomization. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord 2011; 35: 300– 08. PMC4783860 20714329 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [39] Welsh P Polisecki E Robertson M Unraveling the directional link between adiposity and inflammation: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization approach. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2010; 95: 93– 99. 19906786 PMC2805500 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [40] Palmer TM Nordestgaard BG Benn M Association of plasma uric acid with ischaemic heart disease and blood pressure: Mendelian randomisation analysis of two large cohorts. BMJ 2013; 347: f4262. 23869090 PMC3715134 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe greater efficiency of the SEM method corresponds to its stronger distributional assumption of multivariate normality, which is satisfied in this example.
“This corresponds to the stronger distributional assumption of multivariate normality, which is satisfied in this example, made by the SEM method.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Individual-level effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the exposure and mediator on the outcome are homogeneous.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAlthough not all causal models can be distinguished on the basis of observational data, models which have different conditional independence structures result in joint distributions for the variables which can be empirically compared.
“Although not all causal models can be distinguished on the basis of observational data, models which have different conditional independence structures result in joint distributions for the variables which can be empirically compared.56,57”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [56] Pearl J An introduction to causal inference. Int J Biostat 2010; 6: 1– 60. PMC2836213 20305706
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [57] Rosa G Valente B de los Campos G Wu X Gianola D Silva M Inferring causal phenotype networks using structural equation models. Genet Sel Evol 2011; 43: 6. 21310061 PMC3056759
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenIn Mendelian randomization, the genetic variant is not permitted to have an effect on the outcome except via the exposure.
“In Mendelian randomization, the genetic variant is not permitted to have an effect on the outcome except via the exposure.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenA key difficulty in two-step epigenetic Mendelian randomization is finding genetic variants specifically associated with the phenotype and with the epigenetic marker if the two variables are closely biologically related.
“A key difficulty here is finding genetic variants specifically associated with the phenotype and with the epigenetic marker if the two variables are closely biologically related.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationWhen using genetic variants as instruments, the association between the instrumental variable and the exposure is often weak, and using the interaction between this variant and a baseline covariate as an instrumental variable for the mediator would typically result in an even weaker instrumental variable for the mediator, leading to substantial finite sample bias and imprecision, even if all theIV
“When using genetic variants as instruments, the association between the IV and the exposure is often weak, and thus using the interaction between this variant and a baseline covariate as an IV for the mediator would typically result in an even weaker IV for the mediator, leading to substantial finite sample bias and imprecision, even if all the IV assumptions were met.50”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [50] Burgess S Thompson S Bias in causal estimates from Mendelian randomization studies with weak instruments. Stat Med 2011; 30: 1312– 23. 21432888 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenAlthough the causal network is generally high-dimensional and unknown, the direction of potential causal relationships between layers of data can often be deduced from external biological knowledge.
“Although the causal network is generally high-dimensional and unknown, the direction of potential causal relationships between layers of data can often be deduced from external biological knowledge.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe use of instrumental variables provides a valuable addition to mediation analysis by relaxing the no unmeasured confounding assumption, but it does so at the cost of reintroducing stronger assumptions of linearity and no interaction, a trade-off which must carefully be evaluated in any given context.
“The use of instrumental variables provides a valuable addition to mediation analysis by relaxing the no unmeasured confounding assumption, but it does so at the cost of reintroducing these stronger assumptions of linearity and no interaction, a trade-off which must carefully be evaluated in any given context.52”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] Ogburn E Commentary of ‘Mediation analysis without sequential ignorability: Using baseline covariates interacted with random assignment as instrumental variables’ by Dylan Small. J Stat Res 2012; 46: 105– 11. 25435642 PMC4244702
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenRelationships between epigenetic markers, transcription factors and proteins can be affected by confounding and reverse causation in the same way as relationships between phenotypic exposures and outcomes.
“Relationships between epigenetic markers, transcription factors and proteins can be affected by confounding and reverse causation in the same way as relationships between phenotypic exposures and outcomes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
The causal effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the mediator on the outcome are homogeneous across individuals.
“under the assumption of homogeneity of causal effects across individuals in the population”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The path diagram in the structural equation model is correctly specified.
“Assuming that the path diagram is correctly specified”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The variables are multivariate normal for SEM estimation and goodness-of-fit tests.
“Estimation of parameters and many goodness-of-fit tests rely on the assumption of multivariate normality of the variables.29”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The causal effects between the exposure and mediator do not vary in direction over time.
“all such estimates rely on the assumption that these effects do not vary in direction over time.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The causal effect of the exposure on the outcome is partially mediated by another risk factor.
“We suppose that the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome is partially mediated by another risk factor.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Genetic variants are available which satisfy the instrumental variable assumptions for the exposure–mediator and mediator–outcome relationships.
“Throughout, we have assumed that genetic variants are available which satisfy the IV assumptions for the exposure–mediator and mediator–outcome relationships.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The data-generating models considered in the simulation are the most likely to occur in applied examples.
“those considered in this paper were chosen as they were thought to be the most likely to occur in applied examples.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Effects are linear without interaction terms.
“under the instrumental variable assumptions together with further assumptions on the linearity of effects without interaction terms and on the homogeneity of individual-level effects of the exposure on the mediator and the exposure and mediator on the outcome.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Individual-level effects of the exposure on the mediator and of the exposure and mediator on the outcome are homogeneous.
“under the instrumental variable assumptions together with further assumptions on the linearity of effects without interaction terms and on the homogeneity of individual-level effects of the exposure on the mediator and the exposure and mediator on the outcome.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The multivariate normality assumption of the SEM method is satisfied in the simulation example.
“This corresponds to the stronger distributional assumption of multivariate normality, which is satisfied in this example, made by the SEM method.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Combining a range of analyses with orthogonal validation is the most powerful way of addressing causal questions, within the triangulation of evidence framework.
“Combining this with orthogonal validation – such as through the use of positive and negative controls ( Section 7) – is the most powerful way of addressing causal questions, within the triangulation of evidence framework 96, 97 .”
From Guidelines for performing Mendelian randomization investigations (2020) · cites this paper as [96]
Mendelian randomization investigations are worthwhile in providing an alternative line of aetiological evidence even though the instrumental variable assumptions can never be proved beyond all doubt.
“Mendelian randomization investigations are worthwhile in providing an alternative line of aetiological evidence even though the instrumental variable assumptions can never be proved beyond all doubt 96, 97 .”
From Guidelines for performing Mendelian randomization investigations (2020) · cites this paper as [96]
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Small, D. S. (2012) · Journal of Statistical Research · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Invited Commentary: Decomposing with a Lot of Supposing
Kaufman, J. S. (2010) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwq329 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 6
- 2004, International Journal of Epidemiology, 3, 30
- 2009, Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 10, 18
- 2010, 25, 51, 10.1214/10-STS321 · DOI · Paper page
- 2012, J STAT RES, 46, 89
- 2012, J STAT RES, 46, 105
- 2010, 6, 1
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Orienting the causal relationship between imprecisely measured traits using GWAS summary data.
Hemani, G., Tilling, K., & Davey Smith, G. (2017) · PLoS Genetics · doi:10.1371/journal.pgen.1007081 · Cited by 2,607 · see citing works
Mendelian Randomization as an Approach to Assess Causality Using Observational Data
Sekula, P., Del Greco M, F., Pattaro, C., & Köttgen, A. (2016) · Journal of the American Society of Nephrology · doi:10.1681/asn.2016010098 · Cited by 2,351 · see citing works
Sanderson, E., Glymour, M. M., Holmes, M. V., Kang, H., Morrison, J., Munafò, M. R., Palmer, T., Schooling, C. M., Wallace, C., Zhao, Q., et al. (2022) · Nature Reviews Methods Primers · doi:10.1038/s43586-021-00092-5 · Cited by 2,229 · see citing works
Guidelines for performing Mendelian randomization investigations
Burgess, S., Davey Smith, G., Davies, N. M., Dudbridge, F., Gill, D., Glymour, M. M., Hartwig, F. P., Holmes, M. V., Minelli, C., Relton, C. L., et al. (2020) · Wellcome Open Research · doi:10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15555.2 · Cited by 1,273 · see citing works
Self-citationMendelian randomisation for mediation analysis: current methods and challenges for implementation
Carter, A. R., Sanderson, E., Hammerton, G., Richmond, R. C., Davey Smith, G., Heron, J., Taylor, A. E., Davies, N. M., & Howe, L. D. (2021) · European Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s10654-021-00757-1 · Cited by 1,215 · see citing works
Mendelian Randomization: Concepts and Scope
Richmond, R. C., & Davey Smith, G. (2022) · Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Medicine · doi:10.1101/cshperspect.a040501 · Cited by 841 · see citing works
Distinguishing genetic correlation from causation across 52 diseases and complex traits
O’Connor, L. J., & Price, A. L. (2018) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/s41588-018-0255-0 · Cited by 394 · see citing works
Dale, C. E., Fatemifar, G., Palmer, T. M., White, J., Prieto-Merino, D., Zabaneh, D., Engmann, J. E. L., Shah, T., Wong, A., Warren, H. R., et al. (2017) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.116.026560 · Cited by 345 · see citing works
Burgess, S., Thompson, D. J., Rees, J. M. B., Day, F. R., Perry, J. R., & Ong, K. K. (2017) · Genetics · doi:10.1534/genetics.117.300191 · Cited by 197 · see citing works
Self-citationZhou, W., Liu, G., Hung, R. J., Haycock, P. C., Aldrich, M. C., Andrew, A. S., Arnold, S. M., Bickeböller, H., Bojesen, S. E., Brennan, P., et al. (2021) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.33292 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Schoeler, T., Choi, S. W., Dudbridge, F., Baldwin, J., Duncan, L., Cecil, C. M., Walton, E., Viding, E., McCrory, E., & Pingault, J.-B. (2019) · JAMA Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2019.0310 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
Yang, Q., Sanderson, E., Tilling, K., Borges, M. C., & Lawlor, D. A. (2019) · doi:10.1101/19009605 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
- Authors
- Burgess, S., Daniel, R. M., Butterworth, A. S., Thompson, S. G., & the EPIC-InterAct Consortium
- Affiliations
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Burgess, S.
- Venue
- International Journal of Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2014-08-22
- Volume
- 44
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 484-495
- ISSN
- 0300-5771 (ISSN-L)
- 1464-3685
- PMC
- PMC4469795
- OpenAlex
- W2111735528
- Cited by
- 543
- References
- 66
- Citations by year
- 2026: 52 · 2025: 112 · 2024: 141 · 2023: 65 · 2022: 30 · 2021: 40 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 16 · 2017: 20 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 6
- FWCI
- 14.10
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- International Journal of Epidemiology (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University) (acceptedVersion)
- LSHTM Research Online (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) (acceptedVersion)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Wellcome Trust (100114)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NF-SI-0512-10165)
- British Heart Foundation (SP/08/007/23628, RG/08/014/24067)
- European Commission (LSHM_CT_2006_037197)
- Medical Research Council (G1002283, MR/L003120/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Keywords
- mediation analysis, causal inference, genetic instruments, direct and indirect effects, unmeasured confounding, reverse causality, body mass index, C-reactive protein, uric acid
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Monte Carlo Method, Regression Analysis, Genetic Variation, Models, Statistical, Causality, Mendelian Randomization Analysis
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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