Cited by 127AI in Service InteractionsSpeech and dialogue systemsArtificial Intelligence Applications

Charting the Evolution and Future of Conversational Agents: A Research Agenda Along Five Waves and New Frontiers

Open access
Schöbel, Sofia, Schmitt, Anuschka, Benner, Dennis, Saqr, Mohammed, Janson, Andreas, Leimeister, Jan Marco·2024·Information Systems Frontiers

Abstract

Conversational agents (CAs) have come a long way from their first appearance in the 1960s to today’s generative models. Continuous technological advancements such as statistical computing and large language models allow for an increasingly natural and effortless interaction, as well as domain-agnostic deployment opportunities. Ultimately, this evolution begs multiple questions: How have technical capabilities developed? How is the nature of work changed through humans’ interaction with conversational agents? How has research framed dominant perceptions and depictions of such agents? And what is the path forward? To address these questions, we conducted a bibliometric study including over 5000 research articles on CAs. Based on a systematic analysis of keywords, topics, and author networks, we derive “five waves of CA research” that describe the past, present, and potential future of research on CAs. Our results highlight fundamental technical evolutions and theoretical paradigms in CA research. Therefore, we discuss the moderating role of big technologies, and novel technological advancements like OpenAI GPT or BLOOM NLU that mark the next frontier of CA research. We contribute to theory by laying out central research streams in CA research, and offer practical implications by highlighting the design and deployment opportunities of CAs.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This bibliometric study of 5,106 conversational-agent research articles maps the field into five historical waves and identifies technical, theoretical, design, general, managerial, and societal frontiers. It argues that the next wave is AI-driven CAs, with large language models and corporate players increasingly shaping research.

Key findings

  • The final bibliometric corpus contained 5,106 documents from 1,920 sources, including 1,290 articles, 130 book chapters, and 3,686 conference papers; average citations per document were 8.047.
  • The paper derives five waves of CA research: “zero hour” (ELIZA, 1966), “explore” (A.L.I.C.E., 1995), “kick-off” (IBM Watson, 2006), “hype” (Siri 2011, Alexa 2014, Google Assistant 2016), and “AI wave” (ChatGPT, 2022).
  • Pelachaud was the most productive author with 91 articles, followed by Bickmore with 61 and Griol with 47; the United States dominated citations with almost 10,000 total citations, followed by Germany with 2,595, while the UK, France, China, Italy, and Japan had between 1,000 and 2,000 citations.
  • Keyword clusters show fragmentation around terms such as chatbot, embodied CA, and virtual assistant; about 26% of the top 50 keywords referred to statistical models, about 30% to research focus, and 12 of 50 to interaction context, with trust, anthropomorphism, personality, and emotions prominent.

Methods

  • The search followed PRISMA-S and used Scopus, with the final search formula “chatbot*” or “virtual assistant*” or (“conversation* agent*”) or “smart assistant*” or “smart bot*” or “natural language interface”; inclusion was limited to English journal articles, conference proceedings, or book chapters of conference proceedings published prior to 2021, and data were downloaded on 31 May 2021.
  • From 6,397 retrieved articles, two reviewers reviewed 681 and agreed on 656, with an interrater agreement Cohen’s Kappa of 0.963 (adjusted = 0.892); disagreements were discussed and resolved, one reviewer completed the remaining articles, 5,107 articles matched the inclusion criteria, and one duplicate was removed.
  • Data were cleaned for author names, venues, and keywords using Scopus author IDs and OpenRefine; analysis used the R Bibliometrix package, with co-authorship and country networks built using fractional counting, Louvain modularity, Gephi, and the Fruchterman Reingold layout, while keyword co-occurrence used full counting.

Limitations

  • Stated: the authors may have missed some niche domain or research stream and may not have included literature using more specific keywords exclusively, such as “smart personal assistant/agent.”
  • Stated: only two authors reviewed the literature in detail and made inclusion/exclusion decisions; reviewing with more or other reviewers may have led to different results and a somewhat divergent body of literature.
  • Stated and evident: the corporate-affiliation analyses could not consider all potential sources and should be interpreted with caution; the keyword-based approach may underrepresent voice-based CAs, which the authors note found little appearance in the keyword cluster, and the authors state they cannot support claims about explainable and ethical AI with their own results because it was not an explicit focus.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1007/s10796-023-10375-9

Cites

93 of 93 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 74 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    The paper identified and studied nine literature reviews on CAs.

    “As a point of departure for our study, we identified and studied nine literature reviews on CAs (see Table 3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    All of the identified literature reviews on CAs have been published within the past five years.

    “All of these reviews have been published within the past five years, underlining the current omnipresence of CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingcitation

    Extant reviews mainly take a socio-technical design perspective by exploring specific design themes such as CA team collaboration or CAs for education.

    “In addition, we quickly realized that extant reviews mainly take a socio-technical design perspective by exploring specific design themes such as CA team collaboration (Diederich et al., 2022;Poser et al., 2022;Stieglitz et al., 2021;Abedin et al., 2022) or CAs for education (Smutny & Schreiberova, 2020).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Diederich et al., 2022

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    • cites Poser et al., 2022

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    • cites Smutny & Schreiberova, 2020 source

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  • Findingown data

    The term 'conversational agent' is mostly linked to terms concerned with the conversational nature and dialogue of the interaction, such as natural language and dialogue management.

    “The term “conversational agent” is mostly linked to terms concerned with the conversational nature and dialogue of the interaction, such as natural language and dialogue management.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Domains dominating the CA literature include HCI, affective computing, and ontology-related matters.

    “Domains dominating the CA literature include HCI, affective computing, and ontology-related matters.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 130
  • May combine two claims. 67
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    Findingown data

    The paper provides an overview of leading authors and countries and demonstrates the development of keywords in the CA research domain.

    “In our study, we provide an overview of leading authors and countries and demonstrate the development of keywords in this research domain.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The paper's results highlight fundamental technical evolutions and theoretical paradigms in CA research.

    “Our results highlight fundamental technical evolutions and theoretical paradigms in CA research.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The majority of the identified literature reviews focus on studies from 1998 onward, thereby neglecting first papers on CAs such as ELIZA.

    “The majority of reviews focus on studies from 1998 onward, thereby neglecting first papers on CAs such as well-known first text-based agent ELIZA (Weizenbaum, 1966).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Weizenbaum, 1966 source

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    Findingnone given

    The purple-colored research cluster is defined by authors such as Nass and is concerned with the personality of CAs.

    “The purple-colored research cluster is defined by authors, such as Nass, and is concerned with the personality of CAs.”
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    Findingown data

    Technical models, such as NLP, deep learning, and machine learning, appear in the chatbot cluster.

    “Technical models, such as NLP, deep learning, and machine learning, appear here.”
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    Findingnone given

    Approximately 30% of the 50 most prominent keywords illustrate the research focus.

    “Approximately 30% of the 50 most prominent keywords illustrate the research focus.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingcitation

    E-learning and mental health represent relevant interaction contexts, which have also seen great prominence in recent publications.

    “E-learning and mental health represent relevant interaction contexts, which have also seen great prominence in recent publications (Androutsopoulos et al., 1995; Chaves & Gerosa, 2021; Følstad & Skjuve, 2019; Hauswald et al., 2016).”
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    • cites Chaves & Gerosa, 2021 source

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    • cites Følstad & Skjuve, 2019

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    Findingown data

    The most prominent keywords are text-based CAs, with chatbot(s) being most frequent, followed by embodied CAs.

    “The most prominent are text-based CAs, with the chatbot(s) being most frequent, followed by embodied CAs.”
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    Findingown data

    The co-cited reference network is defined by four key clusters.

    “Our co-cited reference network, defined by four key clusters, allows us to better understand how the field was built and which theoretical foundations mainly drove CA research throughout time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    With 91 articles, Pelachaud is the most productive author.

    “With 91 articles, Pelachaud is the most productive author.”
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    All other keywords, such as Human-Computer Interaction or NLP, have been relevant over the last couple of years on a continuous level and to a high frequency.

    “All other keywords, such as Human-Computer Interaction or NLP, have been relevant over the last couple of years on a continuous level and to a high frequency.”
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    Findingown data

    The term 'voice user interface' appears within the CA cluster, yet is not linked to any further words.

    “The term “voice user interface” appears within the CA cluster, yet is not linked to any further words.”
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    Findingown data

    Smart personal assistants, such as Amazon's Alexa, are linked to the term 'conversational agent'.

    “Lastly, smart personal assistants, such as Amazons Alexa, are linked to the term as well.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    In general, authors from the same country published together, with an average collaboration score of 2.46.

    “In general, authors from the same country published together, with an average collaboration score of 2.46.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Germany has 2,595 total citations and is the country with the second-most citations.

    “A cluster of countries follows with a smaller number of total citations, with Germany with 2,595 total citations as the country with the second-most citations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    12 out of the 50 top keywords indicate the interaction context of a publication.

    “Lastly, keywords indicate the interaction context of a publication (12 out of the 50 top keywords).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingcitation

    The number of studies analyzed in the identified literature reviews ranges from 29 articles to 262 articles.

    “The number of studies analyzed in literature reviews ranges from 29 articles (Rheu et al., 2021) to 262 articles (Diederich et al., 2022).”
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    • cites Rheu et al., 2021 source

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    Findingown data

    Approximately 26% of the top keywords provide insights into the statistical models, pointing toward the importance of technical advances for the proliferation of CAs.

    “Approximately 26% of the top keywords provide insights into the statistical models, pointing toward the importance of technical advances for the proliferation of CAs.”
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    Findingown data

    The third most productive author is Griol, with 47 published articles.

    “The third most productive author is Griol, with 47 published articles.”
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    Findingown data

    Deep learning has been relevant from the beginning onward, similar to the keyword dialogue system.

    “Lastly, deep learning has been relevant from the beginning onward, similar to the keyword dialogue system.”
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    Findingown data

    AI, machine learning, and natural language (processing) dominate the keywords.

    “AI, machine learning, and natural language (processing) dominate the keywords, which also illustrates how this technical interplay makes the architecture of CAs unique.”
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    Findingnone given

    An equally extensive keyword cluster exists around the term 'chatbot'.

    “An equally extensive keyword cluster exists around the term “chatbot”.”
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    Findingown data

    The keywords affective computing, embodied CA, emotion, natural language interface, and virtual agent have no linear or clear development, but all increase over time.

    “This is different from the keywords affective computing, embodied CA, emotion, natural language interface, and virtual agent.These keywords have no linear or clear development, but all of them increase over time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Tasks such as question answering and information retrieval are associated with CAs.

    “Tasks such as question answering and information retrieval are associated with CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingreasoning

    In the context of embodied conversational agents, the personality and emotions of agents are commonly discussed.

    “In this context, the personality and emotions of agents are commonly discussed.”
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    Findingnone given

    The term 'embodied conversational agent' is more concerned with additional modalities, including the avatar or facial expression of the agent.

    “The term “embodied conversational agent”, is more concerned with additional modalities, including the avatar or facial expression of the agent.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The most relevant research focuses are trust and anthropomorphism, and agent personality and emotions.

    “The most relevant research focuses are trust and anthropomorphism, and agent personality and emotions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    With 61 published articles, Bickmore is the second most productive author, publishing between 2002 and 2020.

    “With 61 published articles, Pelachaud is followed by Bickmore as the second most productive author who published between 2002 and 2020.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Whereas Eastern players (i.e., Baidu, ASAPP) have increased in appearance, western players still dominate.

    “Whereas Eastern players (i.e., Baidu, ASAPP) have increased in appearance, western players still dominate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    The development of certain keywords, particularly AI, machine learning, natural language processing, neural network, and deep learning, showed either a huge spike in the last five years or continuous steep development.

    “We can observe this trend quite clearly when looking at the development of certain keywords, particularly”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    Traditional text-based conversational agent applications have started to shift to voice-based conversational agents.

    “Moreover, traditional text-based CA applications have started to shift to voice-based CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Publications by corporate affiliations were dominated by IBM and Microsoft until 2008, followed by Google from 2009 until 2011.

    “Publications by corporate affiliations were dominated by IBM and Microsoft until 2008, followed by Google from 2009 until 2011.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    The term 'conversational agent' does not necessarily seem to act as an overarching term for the different types of agents.

    “The term “conversational agent” does not necessarily seem to act as an overarching term for the different types of agents.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    The keywords AI, chatbot, and human-computer interaction started to emerge in 2000-2005.

    “For instance, the keywords”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Concluding the fourth wave, the authors observed a stronger focus on natural language understanding and the emergence of novel and advanced voice-based conversational agents.

    “Concluding the fourth wave of CA research, we have observed a stronger focus on natural language understanding and the emergence of novel and advanced voice-based CAs.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Certain tasks and contexts are connoted with certain terminology.

    “Moreover, certain tasks and contexts are connoted with certain terminology.”
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    Findingown data

    From 2012 onwards, publications by commercially affiliated researchers have become increasingly fragmented through a greater number of players and Asian companies such as Baidu becoming apparent.

    “From 2012 onwards, publications by commercially affiliated researchers have become increasingly fragmented (i.e., through a greater number of players and Asian companies, such as Baidu, becoming apparent).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    There has been a steady increase in the frequency of corporate-related keywords since 2000 and a steep increase since 2017.

    “Turning toward the temporal development of corporate-related keywords, we identified a steady increase in the frequency of these keywords since 2000 and a steep increase since 2017 (see Fig. 4).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Google is most frequently listed as a keyword in 2020 (N = 78), followed by Metfoot_0 (N = 49) and Microsoft (N = 41).

    “More specifically, Google is most frequently listed as a keyword in 2020 (N = 78), followed by Metfoot_0 (N = 49) and Microsoft (N = 41).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    Initial research driven by the CASA paradigm and the Turing test found great prevalence in contemporary studies.

    “In a similar vein, initial research driven by the CASA paradigm and the Turing test found great prevalence in contemporary studies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingcitation

    Only one comparable study, Io and Lee (2017), analyzed approximately 4200 articles, but only from 1998 onwards.

    “We find only one comparable study from Io and Lee (2017), who analyzed approximately 4200 articles, however only from the year 1998 onwards.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Io and Lee (2017)

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    Findingnone given

    While research into voice-based conversational agents has increased over the past few years, it has not yet been established as research around chatbots.

    “While research into voice-based CAs has increased over the past few years, it has not yet been established as research around chatbots.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The bibliometric analysis corpus draws from 1,920 sources.

    “Sources (Journals, Books, etc.) | 1,920”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The corpus includes 3,686 conference papers.

    “Conference papers | 3,686”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    Certain tasks, contexts, and technical models are commonly associated with different terms.

    “Interestingly, certain tasks, contexts, and technical models are commonly associated with different terms.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    The conversational agent does not necessarily seem to act as an overarching term for the different types of agents; certain tasks and contexts are connoted with certain terminology.

    “The CA does not necessarily seem to act as an overarching term for the different types of agents.Certain tasks and contexts are connoted with certain terminology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The average citation per document is 8.047.

    “Average citation per document | 8.047”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingreasoning

    A voice-based conversational agent finds little appearance in the keyword cluster, which may be the result of the choice of dominant keywords or voice-based agents not having been researched as extensively as text-based ones.

    “A voice-based CA finds little appearance in our keyword cluster, which may be the result of a certain choice of dominant keywords or voice-based agents not having been researched as extensively as text-based ones.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Most related studies are focused on literature only from the year 2000 or newer and do not include more than 100 articles.

    “Looking at related studies (see Appendix B), we find that most research is focused on literature only from the year 2000 or newer and does not include more than 100 articles.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    The corpus includes 130 book chapters.

    “Book chapters | 130”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    All other comparable studies have a more traditional literature review approach and seem to focus on some specific topic.

    “All other studies we find to be comparable have a more traditional literature review approach and seem to focus on some specific topic.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The average citation per year per document is 1.237.

    “Average citation per year per document | 1.237”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The corpus includes 1,290 articles.

    “Articles | 1,290”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The average years from publication for the documents is 5.81.

    “Average years from publication | 5.81”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The bibliometric analysis corpus comprises 5,106 documents.

    “Documents | 5,106”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The corpus has 14.801 Keywords plus (ID).

    “Keywords plus (ID) | 14.801”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    Most current CAs do not include personalized features, trust or explainable AI features, or believable humanization.

    “Most current CAs do not include personalized features, trust or explainable AI features or feature believeable humanization”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    Bickmore and Picard (2005) has 581 citations.

    “Bickmore and Picard (2005) | 581”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingnone given

    Most CA software, programs, libraries, and models are free and open source.

    “Most CA software, programs, libraries, models, etc. are free and open source.”
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    Findingnone given

    Many companies use CAs, but most are simple clickbots or less advanced CAs that may even hurt the interaction.

    “Many companies use CAs but most being simple clickbots or less advances CAs that may even hurt the interaction.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Findingown data

    The corpus has 8.327 authors' keywords (DE).

    “Authors' keywords (DE) | 8.327”
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    Premisecitation

    The first chatbot was developed in 1966 by Weizenbaum.

    “Historically, the first chatbot was developed in 1966 by Weizenbaum (1966).”
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    Premisecitation

    With the advent of AI and the deployment of more complex models such as neural networks, CAs offer the potential to be sophisticated interactive systems, assisting customers to handle complaints and acting as learning assistants in tutoring students or employees.

    “With the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) and the deployment of more complex models such as neural networks (Sedik et al., 2022;Goudos et al., 2019;Kushwaha & Kar, 2021), CAs offer the potential to be sophisticated interactive systems, assisting not only customers to handle their complaints but also acting as learning assistants in tutoring students or employees, for instance (Schmitt et al.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Sedik et al., 2022

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    • cites Kushwaha & Kar, 2021

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    Premisecitation

    Research on CAs is a rapidly growing field, with an increase in publications over the last few decades, especially fueled through the development of CAs such as Amazon's Alexa that build upon voice as a modality.

    “Research on such agents is a rapidly growing field, with an increase in publications over the last few decades, especially fueled through the development of CAs such as Amazon's Alexa that build upon voice as a modality, so called voice bots (Schmitt et al., 2021;Seaborn et al., 2022;Kendall et al., 2020).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
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    • cites Kendall et al., 2020 source

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    Premisecitation

    CAs' adoption can be impeded by communication and interaction problems, as well as ethical concerns.

    “In addition, CAs' adoption can be impeded by communication and interaction problems, as well as ethical concerns (Heyselaar & Bosse, 2019).”
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    • cites Heyselaar & Bosse, 2019

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    Interpretationreasoning

    The paper discusses the moderating role of big technologies and novel technological advancements like OpenAI GPT or BLOOM NLU that mark the next frontier of CA research.

    “Therefore, we discuss the moderating role of big technologies, and novel technological advancements like OpenAI GPT or BLOOM NLU that mark the next frontier of CA research.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
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    Study design and conductnone given

    Publication venues were cleaned by inspecting and fixing different venues with the same title and spelling variations.

    “2) Publication venues were cleaned by inspecting and fixing different venues with the same title and spelling variations (e.g., Computers & Education and Computers and Education).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
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    Study design and conductnone given

    Only journal articles, conference proceedings, or book chapters of conference proceedings published in English prior to 2021 were included; reviews, editorials, and other non-original articles were excluded.

    “Only journal articles, conference proceedings, or book chapters of conference proceedings that were published in English prior to 2021 (to include complete years in the trend analysis) were included.Reviews, editorials, and other non-original articles were excluded.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
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    Study design and conductnone given

    Keywords were compiled and cleaned with the aid of Google Openrefine.

    “3) Keywords were compiled and cleaned with the aid of Google Openrefine.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    The Scopus database was chosen because it covers most articles included in Web of Science and includes a larger selection of technical and social science articles.

    “We chose the Scopus database because it covers most articles included in Web of Science and includes a larger selection of technical and social science articles (Norris & Oppenheim, 2007).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Norris & Oppenheim, 2007 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The final search formula was 'chatbot*' or 'virtual assistant*' or ('conversation* agent*') or 'smart assistant*' or 'smart bot*' or 'natural language interface'.

    “The final search formula was “chatbot*” or “virtual assistant*” or (“conversation* agent*”) or “smart assistant*” or “smart bot*” or “natural language interface”.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    To avoid assigning higher weights to manuscripts with a higher number of authors, a fractional counting method was chosen to build a weighted co-authorship network.

    “To avoid assigning higher weights to manuscripts with a higher number of authors, we chose a fractional counting method to build a weighted co-authorship network (i.e., edge weights are inversely proportional to the number of authors) based on the recom mended methods by Perianes-Rodriguez et al. (2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Perianes-Rodriguez et al. (2016) source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    A keyword network was constructed using the full counting method, where keywords in the same manuscript were considered connected.

    “A keyword network was constructed using the full counting method, where keywords in the same manuscript were considered connected.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    The ten most cited articles were reviewed to arrive at an understanding of relevant topics driving CA research.

    “In the following, we reviewed the ten most cited articles to arrive at an understanding of relevant topics driving CA research (see Table 1).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: The ten most cited articles are substantially relevant for establishing and driving a common understanding of CA as a concept and making CAs prominent in the fields of Human-Computer Interaction and Information Systems.
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    A total of 5,107 articles were judged as matching the inclusion criteria, and one article was a duplicate and removed.

    “A total of 5,107 articles were judged as matching the inclusion criteria, and one article was a duplicate and removed.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    A total of 6,397 articles were retrieved.

    “A total of 6,397 articles were retrieved.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    The search protocol followed the PRISMA-S method.

    “The search protocol followed the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses literature search extension (PRISMA-S) method (Rethlefsen et al., 2021).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Rethlefsen et al., 2021 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    The cleaned dataset was analyzed using the R statistical language Bibliometrix package.

    “The cleaned dataset was analyzed using the R statistical language Bibliometrix package (Aria & Cuccurullo, 2017).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Aria & Cuccurullo, 2017 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Author names were manually checked and fixed with the aid of Scopus author IDs.

    “1) the author names were manually checked and fixed with the aid of Scopus author IDs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The country collaboration network was constructed in the same way (fractional counting) based on the authors' country affiliation.

    “The country collaboration network was constructed in the same way (fractional counting) based on the authors' country affiliation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Two reviewers reviewed 681 articles and agreed on 656, with an interrater agreement Cohen's Kappa of 0.963 (adjusted = 0.892).

    “Two reviewers (first author and third author) reviewed 681 articles and agreed on 656, with an interrater agreement Cohen's Kappa of 0.963 (adjusted = 0.892).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The dispersion of publication dates points toward the importance of the first technology established in this field and the ongoing interest in research on CAs fueled by ongoing advances in related technology.

    “This dispersion points toward the importance of the first technology established in this field and the ongoing interest in research on CAs fueled by ongoing advances in related technology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The diversity of definitions and connotations of CAs illustrates the fragmentation of CA research and lack of agreement on the terminology.

    “This diversity also illustrates the fragmentation of CA research and lack of agreement on the terminology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    The resultant network was plotted using Gephi with the Fruchterman Reingold layout algorithm.

    “The resultant network was plotted using Gephi (Bastian et al., 2009) with the Fruchterman Reingold layout algorithm (Fruchterman & Reingold, 1991), and each community was assigned a unique color (Fruchterman & Reingold, 1991).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Bastian et al., 2009

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Fruchterman & Reingold, 1991

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Subgroups of authors who frequently collaborated were mapped using Louvain modularity.

    “Subgroups (i.e., communities) of authors who frequently collaborated were mapped using Louvain modularity (De Meo et al., 2011) to highlight groups who frequently collaborated and their contribution and influence on the field.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites De Meo et al., 2011

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    For readability, the network was limited to the top 100 authors, based on a weighted degree threshold of 10.

    “For readability, the network was limited to the top 100 authors, based on a weighted degree threshold of 10.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The Scopus database has rigorously maintained metadata and a curated list of journals and conferences that are subjected to a strict inclusion process.

    “The Scopus database has rigorously maintained metadata and a curated list of journals and conferences that are subjected to a strict inclusion process (Baas et al., 2020;Singh et al., 2021).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Baas et al., 2020 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Singh et al., 2021 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisenone given

    The first wave of conversational agents was concerned with achieving a computer program that can resemble a conversation with a human under predetermined specific conditions.

    “This first wave of CAs was concerned with achieving a computer program that can resemble a conversation with a human under specific conditions that are predetermined.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The emergence of conversational agents rooted in the first simple rule-based agents like ELIZA marks the first wave of conversational agent research, the zero hour wave.

    “In this regard, the emergence of CAs, which is rooted in the very first, simple, and rule-based CAs like ELIZA, would mark the first wave of CA research -the”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The most prominent example from the second wave era is A.L.I.C.E. (release 1995) and its special language, artificial intelligence markup language.

    “The most prominent example from that era is the A.L.I.C.E.(release 1995) and the special language it was programmed with, the so-called artificial intelligence markup language (Wallace, 2009).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Wallace, 2009

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Although first approaches in conversational agent research existed before 2000, none represented true AI capabilities that first started to emerge about 2005 at least in the domain of conversational agent research.

    “Regarding”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    These technologies allow Rasa to overcome limitations of past frameworks that failed to understand natural language to a large extent and heavily relied on click-based solutions.

    “These technologies allow Rasa to overcome the limitations of past frameworks that failed to understand natural language to a large extend and heavily relied on click-based solutions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This development highlights the importance of natural language understanding technologies for the present and future of conversational agents and conversational agent research and the quickly and vastly growing capabilities of these technologies that enable next generation conversational agents.

    “This development also highlights the importance of NLU technologies for the present and future of CAs and CA research as well as the quickly and vastly growing capabilities of these technologies that enable next generation CAs and thus further pushing the frontiers of CA research.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    With the release of IBM Watson in 2006, IBM became the first big tech company to release a sophisticated product in the domain of conversational agents.

    “With the release of Watson, IBM became the first big tech company to release a sophisticated product in the domain of CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Voice-based CAs find little appearance in the keyword cluster, which may be the result of a certain choice of dominant keywords or voice-based CAs not having been researched as extensively as text-based ones.

    “Voice-based CAs find little appearance in our keyword cluster, which may be the result of a certain choice of dominant keywords or voice-based CAs not having been researched as extensively as text-based ones.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Nowadays, many people cannot imagine a life without conversational agents like Amazon's Alexa or Apple's Siri.

    “Nowadays, many people cannot imagine a life without CAs like Amazon's Alexa or Apple's Siri (Kendall et al., 2020).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Kendall et al., 2020 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Considering keyword development over time, topics around true or general AI will significantly gain in importance.

    “Considering the development of keywords over time, we predict that topics around”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The third wave kick-off is reflected in both the development of conversational agents and related technology and the emergence and distribution of keywords.

    “This kick-off is reflected in both the development of CAs and related technology (e.g., frameworks, implementations) and the emergence and distribution of keywords.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    The second wave of conversational agent research presented more advanced agents that for the first time made use of natural language processing and statistical methods.

    “The second wave of CA research presented us with more advanced CAs that, for the first time, made use of NLP and statistical methods.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    AI-driven intelligent embodied conversational agents may become more popular and, with increasing advancements, blur the lines between conversational agents and robot artifacts.

    “For instance, AIdriven intelligent embodied CAs may become more popular and, with increasing advancements, blur the lines between CAs and robot artifacts (Huang & Rust, 2021).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Huang & Rust, 2021 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Overall, machine learning and AI seem to be two of the core topics of the current wave of conversational agent research and current generation conversational agents as well as novel conversational agent artifacts.

    “Overall, machine learning and AI seem to be two of the core topics of current wave of CA research and the current as generation CAs as well as novel CA artifacts (Suta et al., 2020).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Suta et al., 2020

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Topics like embodiment and virtual agents, including avatars and other anthropomorphic approaches, may increase in significance as the ability to model human-like digital artifacts develops.

    “In addition, topics like embodiment and virtual agents, including avatars and other anthropomorphic approaches, may increase in significance as our ability to model human-like digital artifacts develops.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    By examining past research, CA research has undergone certain incremental steps that most likely have been enabled by technological advancements.

    “By examining past research, we can observe that CA research has undergone certain incremental steps that most likely have been enabled by technological advancements.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    The development of generative AI and large language models brings in beta versions of the future of conversational agents.

    “Especially the development of generative AI and according large language models bring in beta versions of the future of CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Google LaMDA provides new capabilities for natural language interactions through training a transformer model on conversations.

    “Current examples include for instance the Google conversational technology”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Thoppilan et al., 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    First conversational agents appeared in the second wave that could somewhat understand and resemble human emotions via scripted dialogue.

    “Furthermore, first CAs appeared that could somewhat understand and resemble human emotions via scripted dialogue.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The emergence of multimodality in the third wave highlights that voice-based and multimodal conversational agents would come after and are omnipresent today.

    “The emergence of this keyword at that time highlights that what should come after, which is what we see to be omnipresent today voice-based and multimodal CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Because of technological limitations, the second wave of conversational agents never managed to overcome the uncanny valley, marking a significant gap in research and practice that in some areas persists until today.

    “Although best efforts to humanize CAs were made (Porra et al., 2020), because of technological limitations, this wave of CAs never managed to overcome the uncanny valley of CAs, thus marking a significant gap in research and practice that in some areas persists until today.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Porra et al., 2020 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Rasa can be built to include spaCy and BERT for its natural language pipeline.

    “In this regard, Rasa can be build to include spaCy (Honnibal et al., 2020) and BERT (Devlin et al., 2018) for its' natural language pipeline.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Honnibal et al., 2020

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Devlin et al., 2018

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Widespread adoption of these developments would potentially enable conversational agents to become even more humanlike, to the point where humans may mistake a conversational agent for a real human.

    “A widespread adoption of these developments would potentially enable CAs to become even more humanlike, to the point where humans may mistake a CA for a real human as in the above introduced example of Google LaMDA (Thoppilan et al., 2022).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Thoppilan et al., 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    The first wave had strict technical limitations due to the computational capabilities of that era and therefore could not produce more advanced artifacts.

    “The first wave had strict technical limitations due to the computational capabilities of that era and therefore couldn't produce more advanced artifacts.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The keyword deep learning first emerged in conversational agent research after 2015 and emphasizes the potential AI-route conversational agent research may take in following years.

    “Particularly, the keyword”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationown data

    The keywords AI, NLP, and machine learning showcase what future road conversational agent research may take.

    “Moreover, from a more technical point of view, the keywords”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    Although the second wave brought first attempts at AI in conversational agent research, AI itself was still in a very early stage due to technological limitations and the virtual non-existence of voice-based conversational agents.

    “However, although this wave brought first attempts at AI in CA research, AI itself was still in a very early stage due to technological limitations and the virtual non-existence of voice-based CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Topics about true AI include full automation and autonomous conversational agents, which may be enabled by future advancements toward self-learning and real-time adaptable AI applications.

    “These topics about true AI include full automation and autonomous CAs, which may be enabled by future advancements toward self-learning and real-time adaptable AI applications.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The release of the beta version of OpenAI's ChatGPT based on further developments of GPT at the end of November 2022 is called by experts the most disruptive AI technology in 2022 and the future.

    “Most remarkable is the release of the beta version of OpenAI's ChatGPT based on further developments of GPT (Stokel-Walker, 2022;Brown et al., 2020b) end of November 2022, called by experts as the most disruptive AI technology in 2022 and the future (Haque et al., 2022).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Stokel-Walker, 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Brown et al., 2020b

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Haque et al., 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisereasoning

    In the 2010s, many advanced conversational agents enabled by significant advancements in AI and natural language processing became mainstream and omnipresent in everyday lives.

    “In the 2010s, many advanced CAs enabled by significant advancements in technology, particularly in AI and NLP, became mainstream and even omnipresent in our everyday lives.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    The actual understanding of natural language and the intentions behind it may become more important and powerful, based on advanced deep learning and natural language understanding methods.

    “Moreover, the actual understanding of natural language and the intentions behind it (i.e., what humans mean vs. sarcasm) may become more important and powerful, based on advanced deep learning and NLU methods (Suta et al., 2020).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Suta et al., 2020

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S1 (asserted), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The keywords chatbot and conversational agent highlight the real hype conversational agent research received from 2015 onwards.

    “The keywords”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This led to a vast increase in popularity and subsequently further development, research, and financial investment into conversational agents, as researchers and big tech players like Google or Amazon realized the potential.

    “This in return led to a vast increase in popularity and, subsequently, further development, research, and financial investment into these agents, as not only researchers but also big tech players like Google or Amazon realized the potential.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    The second wave led to dedicated languages and somewhat more advanced conversational agents entering the field.

    “This led to dedicated languages, and somewhat more advanced CAs entering the playing field.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    The emergence of conversational agents focused on crude artifacts with predetermined and programmed structure.

    “Circling back to the very beginning of CAs, we can observe that the emergence of CAs focused on rather crude artifacts with predetermined and programmed structure.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Conversational agents enjoyed a real hype from academia to corporate that swept over into the real world.

    “CAs enjoyed a real hype from academia to the corporate that swept over into the real world.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    The release of Watson started to draw significant attention from other big-tech companies in the following years.

    “That development started to draw significant attention from other big-tech companies in the following years.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    First, AI lite conversational agents emerged that made use of more than simple rule-based, statistical, or light AI methods.

    “First, AI”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    The first embodied conversational agents with anthropomorphic features emerged and became somewhat popular in the second wave.

    “In addition to these developments, the first embodied CAs with anthropomorphic features emerged and became somewhat popular.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Interfaces combining sophisticated conversational agent interfaces such as ChatGPT with avatar generators could enable fully customizable conversational agents with unmatched social presence and anthropomorphism.

    “Interfaces building upon machine learning pipelines that combine sophisticated CA interfaces, such as ChatGPT (Stokel-Walker, 2022), with avatar generators could enable in the future fully customizable CAs with a previously unmatched degree of social presence and anthropomorphism.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Stokel-Walker, 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    While a system's behavior based on machine learning was largely shaped by its input data, large language models introduce a novel facet of opacity to the user.

    “While a system's behavior based on machine learning was largely shaped by its input data, large language model introduce a novel facet of opacity to the user.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The authors expect to see a shift of research emphasis from trust in the system towards trust in the provider.

    “As a result, we expect to see a shift of research emphasis from trust in the system towards trust in the provider.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Considering how past technological advancements have been used by corporate players and monetized, the technology may go proprietary and paid.

    “Considering how past technological advancements have been used by corporate players and monetized, this may raise the concern of the technology going proprietary and paid.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Strategic decisions by corporate players might have larger implications on the conversational agent landscape, including organizations deciding whether to make or buy generative AI-based conversational agents.

    “Such strategic decisions might have larger implications on the CA landscape, including organizations deciding whether to”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    OpenAI is not only interested in developing frontier level technology for conversational agent research but also in monetizing it.

    “However, looking closer at OpenAI it is evident that this corporate player is not only interested in developing frontier level technology for CA research but also in monetizing it.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    AI and relevant topics related to it, such as trust in AI and explainable AI, are very likely to continue throughout the next wave.

    “Here, we find AI and relevant topics related to it (e.g., trust in AI, explainable AI) to be very likely to continue the throughout the next wave.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Questions of how a conversational agent's underlying model behaves and affects users become even more important.

    “Questions of how a CA's underlying model behaves and affects users become even more important.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The research was conducted according to established research guidelines and used established statistical methods followed as rigorously as possible.

    “Although we conducted our research according to established research guidelines and used established statistical methods that we followed as rigorously as possible, our research may not be without limitations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    The authors expect voice-based conversational agent research to become more popular and potentially become the modality of choice in the future.

    “As explained in our five-wave view on CA research, this observation reflects a natural development in CA research, and we expect voice-based CA research to become more popular and potentially become the modality of choice in the future (e.g., Rzepka et al. (2021)).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Rzepka et al. (2021)

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    ChatGPT is trained on a large language model with a cut-off point at the end of 2021.

    “For instance, the ChatGPT (Stokel-Walker, 2022) CA is trained on a large language model with a cut-off point end of the year 2021.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Stokel-Walker, 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Technological developments of conversational agent research and advancements in related fields like AI have raised the bar for technological requirements and are likely to continue this trend.

    “First, the technological developments of CA research and also advancements in related fields like AI have raised the bar for technological requirements and are likely to continue this trend.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    The analyses on commercially-funded publications could not consider all potential sources and should be interpreted with caution.

    “Although our analyses on commercially-funded publications could not consider all potential sources and thus should be interpreted with caution, they provide a first glimpse into emerging sectors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Data allows AI to deliver AI-based core functionality including improved natural language processing and understanding capabilities but also adaptability.

    “Data not only allows AI to deliver AI-based core functionality including improved natural language processing and understanding capabilities but also adaptabiliy.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationown data

    Future research may likely see a strong focus on data-driven and AI-driven approaches, as highlighted by keyword analysis and the five-wave view.

    “Here, we have pointed out that future research may likely see a strong focus on data-driven and AI-driven approaches, as highlighted by our keyword analysis and five-wave view on CA research.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Users' expectations regarding the capabilities of conversational agents will increase and the need for explainable AI and transparency potentially decrease, especially from a user's perspective.

    “At the same time, users' expectations regarding the capabilities of CAs' will increase and the need for explainable AI and transparency potentially decrease, especially from a user's perspective.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The authors may have missed some niche domain or research stream despite choosing appropriate keywords and outlets and not using publication year restrictions.

    “First, although we did our best to include as many relevant articles as possible by choosing the appropriate keywords and outlets and not using limitations like publication year restrictions, we may have missed some niche domain or research stream.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    With regard to individualization and personalization of conversational agents, AI is only one relevant aspect; another relevant aspect is the design of such AI-driven artifacts.

    “With regard to individualization and personalization of CAs, AI is only one relevant aspect, another relevant aspect is the design of such AI-driven artifacts (Behera et al., 2021).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Behera et al., 2021

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Reviewing the articles with more or other reviewers may have led to different results and a somewhat divergent body of literature.

    “Reviewing the articles with more or other reviewers may have led to different results and, thus, a somewhat divergent body of literature.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The authors may not have included literature that uses more specific keywords exclusively, such as smart personal assistant or agent.

    “Moreover, we may not have included literature that uses more specific keywords exclusively.An example of this would be research that uses”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Underlying technical papers on large language models such as GPT were previously published, but technologies such as ChatGPT now remain proprietary.

    “This is right now also visible through the development that underlying technical papers on large language models such as GPT were previously published (Brown et al., 2020b) but technologies such as ChatGPT now remain proprietary.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Brown et al., 2020b

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Moving from niches of computer science to standard technology, users' expectations regarding conversational agents' capabilities will continuously increase.

    “Moving from the niches of computer science to standard technology, users' expectations regarding CAs' capabilities will continuously increase.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Advancements in technological models and understanding thereof have made contemporary conversational agents sophisticated and commercially available to the large public.

    “Advancements in technological models and understanding thereof have made contemporary CAs sophisticated and commercially available to the large public.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    This has different implications for each type of conversational agent as well as the types of interaction users can have with conversational agents.

    “This, however, has different implications for each type of CA as well as the types of interaction users can have with CAs (e.g., text-based, voice-based, embodied) (Nguyen et al., 2021).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Nguyen et al., 2021

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The increasing appearance of keywords like affective computing and emotion reflects efforts to make conversational agents more human-like by touching on interpersonal human-human interactions.

    “This is also reflected in the increasing appearance of keywords like”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Interacting with conversational agents will become even more easily accessible, effortless, and integrated in humans' daily personal and work life.

    “In turn, interacting with CAs will become even more easily accessible, effortless, and integrated in humans' daily personal and work life.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These findings either indicate the relevance of certain conversational agents for particular domains or point toward the fragmentation of conversational agents across research outlets.

    “These findings either indicate the relevance of certain CAs for particular domains or point toward the fragmentation of CAs across research outlets.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    This could become a hindrance in further advancing the frontiers of conversational agent research as many researchers or practitioners may be disinclined to comply with these terms.

    “This could become a hindrance in further advancing the frontiers of CA research as many researchers or practitioners may be disinclined to comply with these terms.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Future developments might include interactions based not only on historical data but also real-time data.

    “Future developments might include in this context that interactions are not only based on historical data but also real-time data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Considering the interest of big corporate techs in AI and related topics that oftentimes act as affiliates of conversational agent research, this development will be at the core of the fifth wave of conversational agent research toward true AI-driven conversational agents.

    “Considering the interest of big corporate techs in AI and related topics that oftentimes act as affiliates of CA research, we predict this development to be at the core of the fifth wave of CA research toward true AI-driven CAs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: The development of AI-related keywords represents a novel hype of AI-related technology that will grow even further in the future.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Underlying functions and interrelatedness within a larger commercial ecosystem are becoming increasingly opaque.

    “In particular, the underlying functions and interrelatedness within a larger commercial ecosystem are becoming increasingly opaque.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    With increasing interest of Chinese players such as Baidu, there may be a shift toward Chinese affiliations during the next years.

    “Furthermore, with the increasing interest of Chinese players (e.g., Baidu), we may see a shift toward Chinese affiliations during the next years.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Only two of the authors reviewed the literature in detail and made decisions to include or exclude the literature.

    “Second, only two of the authors reviewed the literature in detail and made decisions to include or exclude the literature.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Recent developments around generative AI and large language models illustrate that conversational agents and their technical sophistication are a moving target, just like AI.

    “Recent developments around generative AI and LLM illustrate that, just like AI, CAs and their technical sophistication are a moving target.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The authors expect questions of how conversational agents will behave and their implications for how humans interact, work, and rely on external advice to be more important than ever.

    “Last, we expect the questions of how CAs (will) behave and their implications for how humans interact, work, and rely on external advice, to be more important than ever.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Public omnipresence has introduced tech corporations into the academic research field, with both becoming increasingly intertwined.

    “Public omnipresence, in turn, has introduced tech corporations into the academic research field, with both of them becoming increasingly intertwined.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    Emergent fields of application for CAs, as well as transforming existing fields and pushing boundaries, may become even more significant with increased societal impact.

    “Emergent fields of application for CAs as well as transforming existing fields and pushing the boundaries may become even more significant with increased societal impact”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Wahde & Virgolin, 2022

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    CAs already have a significant impact on society, which is expected to extend.

    “CAs already have a significant impact on society which is expected to extend.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Restriction of access to CA software may have serious adverse effects and hinder development and contributions by independent researchers and developers.

    “restriction of access may have serious adverse effects and hinder development and contributions by independant researchers and developers.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Free and open-source CA software fosters CA research and enables independent researchers to contribute.
165 of 165
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The ten most cited articles are substantially relevant for establishing and driving a common understanding of CA as a concept and making CAs prominent in the fields of Human-Computer Interaction and Information Systems.

    “Based on their citation numbers, we assume that these studies are substantially relevant for establishing and driving a common understanding of CA as a concept and making CAs prominent in the fields of Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) and Information Systems.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Topics like explainable and ethical AI will gain importance in the future.

    “In this regard, we assume that topics like explainable and ethical AI will gain importance in the future which is supported by recent research (Abedin et al., 2022).”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The development of AI-related keywords represents a novel hype of AI-related technology that will grow even further in the future.

    “Considering concepts like the Gartner hype cycle, we assume that this development represents a novel hype of AI-related technology that we predict will grow even further in the future, given that keywords on these topics show a very strong near-linear increase without deviation.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Free and open-source CA software fosters CA research and enables independent researchers to contribute.

    “This fosters CA research and enables independant researchers to contribute.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Monetarization is important for corporate players.

    “While monetarization is important for corporate players”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    CAs with actual conversational capability improve user experience and market position.

    “invest on CAs with actual conversational capability to improve user experience and their market position”
6 of 6

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Signaling transparency should help manage user expectations about the CA capabilities and mitigate trust damage by making the system seem less arbitrary and more predictable, ultimately contributing to a more resilient user-CA relationship.

    “This should help manage user expectations about the CA capabilities and mitigate trust damage by making the system seem less arbitrary and more predictable, ultimately contributing to a more resilient user-CA relationship (Bilal et al., 2025;Schöbel et al., 2024).”

    From Explainability in AI: Comparing Human-Like and System-Like Trust Repair Strategies (2026) · cites this paper as Schöbel et al., 2024

    Sections 5.2 and 5.3 (page numbers unavailable) identify transparency, explainability, user expectations, and trust as important issues in conversational-agent design. They do not say that signaling transparency manages expectations, makes a CA seem less arbitrary or more predictable, mitigates trust damage, or produces a more resilient user–CA relationship. (LLM, conf=0.83)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • ChatGPT is widely recognized as one of today's most advanced LLMs-based chatbots.

    “This cutting-edge natural language processing (NLP) tool is widely recognized as one of today's most advanced LLMs-based chatbots [70]”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Embodied-agent keyword described as both declining and steadily increasing

    Major

    The keyword analysis reports a decrease since 2017, while the discussion describes the same keyword as having a steep and steady increase.

  • Study period both excludes and includes 2021

    Minor

    The methodology says publications from 2021 were excluded, but the description of the analyzed articles says they extend through 2021. This changes the stated coverage of the bibliometric study.

  • Conflicting sample sizes for Io and Lee's study

    Minor

    The discussion says Io and Lee analyzed approximately 4,200 articles, but the paper's Table 3 continuation lists 61 articles for that study.

  • Conflicting dates for the emergence of "deep learning"

    Minor

    One keyword-analysis passage says deep learning was relevant from the beginning; a later passage says the keyword first emerged after 2015.

  • Publication-year restriction denied in limitations

    Minor

    The limitations say no publication-year restriction was used, whereas the methodology explicitly restricts inclusion to publications prior to 2021.

5 of 5

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 5

  1. BigScience. (2022). BigScience research workshop. https://bigscience.huggingface.co/. Accessed 22 Dec 2022.
  2. Davenport, T., & Mittal, N. (2022). How generative ai is changing creative work. Harvard Business Review.
  3. Krämer, N. C., Iurgel, I., & Bente, G. (2005). Emotion and motivation in embodied conversational agents. Proceedings of the symposium agents that want and like, artificial intelligence and the simulation of behavior, pp. 55–61.
  4. Mattioli, D., Herrera, S., & Toonkel, J. (2022). Amazon, in broad cost-cutting review, weighs changes at alexa and other unprofitable units. The Wall Street. Journal (11.10.2022). Accessed 22 Dec 2022.
  5. Wahde, M., & Virgolin, M. (2022). Conversational agents: theory and applications. arXiv:2202.03164. https://doi.org/10.1142/9789811246050. · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Schöbel, S., Schmitt, A., Benner, D., Saqr, M., Janson, A., & Leimeister, J. M.
Affiliations
  • Osnabrück University (DE)
  • University of St.Gallen (CH)
  • University of Kassel (DE)
  • University of Eastern Finland (FI)
Corresponding author
Schöbel, Sofia
Venue
Information Systems Frontiers
Published
2023-04-20
Volume
26
Issue
2
Pages
729-754
ISSN
  • 1387-3326 (ISSN-L)
  • 1572-9419
OpenAlex
W4366597599
Cited by
127
References
93
Citations by year
2026: 38 · 2025: 49 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 13 · 2017: 1
FWCI
11.88
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Information Systems Frontiers (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (acceptedVersion, other-oa)
  • Alexandria (UniSG) (University of St.Gallen) (acceptedVersion)
  • Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • Alexandria (UniSG) (University of St.Gallen) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
Funders
Universität Osnabrück
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › AI in Service Interactions
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Speech and dialogue systems
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Artificial Intelligence Applications
Keywords
chatbots, research evolution, large language models, generative models, human-agent interaction, research paradigms, conversational agent design, future research directions

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-09.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-09.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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