Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers?
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Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
People tend to rate themselves above average on a variety of desirable skills and traits.
“well over half of survey respondents typically rate themselves in the top 50 percent of drivers (Svenson, 1981), ethics (Baumhart, 1968), managerial prowess (Larwood and Whittaker, 1977), productivity (Cross, 1977), health (Weinstein, 1980) and a variety of desirable skills.”
From Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-Serving Biases (1997) · cites this paper as Svenson, 1981
Cites
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Managerial myopia: Self-serving biases in organizational planning.
Larwood, L., & Whittaker, W. (1977) · Journal of Applied Psychology · doi:10.1037/0021-9010.62.2.194 · Cited by 490 · see citing works
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Illusion and well‐being: A social psychological perspective on mental health
Taylor, S. E., & Brown, J. D. (1988) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/0033-2909.103.2.193 · Cited by 7,814 · see citing works
Unrealistic optimism about future life events
Weinstein, N. D. (1980) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.39.5.806 · Cited by 4,999 · see citing works
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1983) · Psychological Review · doi:10.1037/0033-295x.90.4.293 · Cited by 3,991 · see citing works
The trouble with overconfidence.
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“Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment.”
Dawes, R. M., Faust, D., & Meehl, P. E. (1989) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.2648573 · Cited by 2,298 · see citing works
Resistance to Medical Artificial Intelligence
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Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability
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Explaining Bargaining Impasse: The Role of Self-Serving Biases
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Self-Enhancement: Food for Thought
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Sanbonmatsu, D. M., Strayer, D. L., Medeiros-Ward, N., & Watson, J. M. (2013) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0054402 · Cited by 440 · see citing works
Comparing to perfection: How cultural norms for appearance affect social comparisons and self-image
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Forming beliefs: Why valence matters
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- Authors
- Svenson, O.
- Affiliations
- Stockholm University (SE)
- Corresponding author
- Svenson, Ola
- ORCID
- Svenson, Ola
- Venue
- Acta Psychologica
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 1981-02
- Volume
- 47
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 143-148
- ISSN
- 0001-6918 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1982314020
- Cited by
- 1,969
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 47 · 2025: 49 · 2024: 103 · 2023: 55 · 2022: 66 · 2021: 75 · 2020: 74 · 2019: 83 · 2018: 77 · 2017: 70 · 2016: 72 · 2015: 74 · 2014: 97 · 2013: 90 · 2012: 74
- FWCI
- 39.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Acta Psychologica (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality › Traffic and Road Safety
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Risk Perception and Management
- Keywords
- perceived competence, driving skills, driving risk, self-assessment, overconfidence, risk-taking, group comparison, driver behavior
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
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