Cited by 1,917Statistical Methods in Clinical TrialsEthics in Clinical ResearchMeta-analysis and systematic reviews

The role and interpretation of pilot studies in clinical research

Open access
Leon, Andrew C., Davis, Lori L., Kraemer, Helena C.·2011·Journal of Psychiatric Research

Abstract

Pilot studies represent a fundamental phase of the research process. The purpose of conducting a pilot study is to examine the feasibility of an approach that is intended to be used in a larger scale study. The roles and limitations of pilot studies are described here using a clinical trial as an example. A pilot study can be used to evaluate the feasibility of recruitment, randomization, retention, assessment procedures, new methods, and implementation of the novel intervention. A pilot study is not a hypothesis testing study. Safety, efficacy and effectiveness are not evaluated in a pilot. Contrary to tradition, a pilot study does not provide a meaningful effect size estimate for planning subsequent studies due to the imprecision inherent in data from small samples. Feasibility results do not necessarily generalize beyond the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the pilot design. A pilot study is a requisite initial step in exploring a novel intervention or an innovative application of an intervention. Pilot results can inform feasibility and identify modifications needed in the design of a larger, ensuing hypothesis testing study. Investigators should be forthright in stating these objectives of a pilot study. Grant reviewers and other stakeholders should expect no more.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.jpsychires.2010.10.008

Cites

16 of 16 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 5 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Premisecitation

    When event rates are reported and no adverse event is observed for a particular category, the rule of three should be applied to estimate the upper bound of the 95% CI, where the upper bound is approximately 3/n.

    “When event rates are reported and no adverse event is observed for a particular category, the rule of three should be applied to estimate the upper bound of the 95% CI, where the upper bound is approximately 3/n.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Jovanovic & Levy, 1997

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites Jovanovic et al., 1997

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Interpretationreasoning

    Basing a decision to proceed or terminate evaluation of a particular intervention on pilot data is perilous because there is a very good chance that the decision will be derived from false positive or false negative results.

    “Basing a decision to proceed or terminate evaluation of a particular intervention on pilot data is perilous because there is a very good chance that the decision will be derived from false positive or false negative results.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Interpretationreasoning

    Each aspect of feasibility could be quite different from an uncontrolled study when intervention assignment is randomized and blinded, particularly if placebo is a distinct possibility.

    “Each aspect of feasibility could be quite different from an uncontrolled study when intervention assignment is randomized and blinded, particularly if placebo is a distinct possibility.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Interpretationreasoning

    A pilot study can better address its goals if a control group is part of the design.

    “With these issues in mind, a pilot study can better address its goals if a control group is part of the design.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Interpretationreasoning

    A case series estimate tends to be steeped in optimism, particularly if an estimate of such magnitude is seldom, if ever, seen in full scale trials for psychiatric disorders.

    “A case series estimate tends to be steeped in optimism, particularly if an estimate of such magnitude is seldom, if ever, seen in full scale trials for psychiatric disorders.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 13
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 13
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Pilot results can inform feasibility and identify modifications needed in the design of a larger, ensuing hypothesis testing study.

    “Pilot results can inform feasibility and identify modifications needed in the design of a larger, ensuing hypothesis testing study.”
    • Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · plain
      “Pilot results inform feasibility, which in turn, is instructive in that it points to modifications needed in the planning and design of a larger efficacy trial.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The definition of clinically meaningful is not entirely empirically-based, but instead requires input from clinicians who treat the patient population of interest and perhaps from patients with the disorder.

    “The definition of clinically meaningful is not entirely empirically-based, but instead requires input from clinicians who treat the patient population of interest and perhaps from patients with the disorder.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Good clinical practices developed in a pilot include refinement of source documentation, informed consent procedures, data collection tools, regulatory reporting procedures, and monitoring/oversight procedures, especially when multiple sites and investigators are engaged.

    “These good clinical practices include the refinement of source documentation, informed consent procedures, data collection tools, regulatory reporting procedures, and monitoring/oversight procedures, especially when multiple sites and investigators are engaged in the study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Safety, efficacy and effectiveness are not evaluated in a pilot study.

    “Safety, efficacy and effectiveness are not evaluated in a pilot.”
    • Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · plain
      “a pilot study is not a hypothesis testing study and therefore safety and efficacy are not evaluated.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Pilot studies generate pilot data, and their design need not be guided with the support of prior pilot data.

    “Pilot studies generate pilot data, their design need not be guided with the support of prior pilot data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    It is possible, but highly unlikely, that the between group effect size (d) from a pilot study sample will provide a reasonable estimate of the population effect size (Δ), but that cannot be known based on the pilot data.

    “It is possible, but highly unlikely, that the between group effect size (d) from a pilot study sample will provide a reasonable estimate of the population effect size (Δ), but that cannot be known based on the pilot data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    A pilot study can be critical in research staff training and provide experiences that strengthen and confirm competencies and skills required for the investigation to be conducted with accuracy and precision.

    “A pilot study can be critical in research staff training and provide experiences that strengthen and confirm competencies and skills required for the investigation to be conducted with accuracy and precision.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    An alternative approach is to base sample size estimates for a full scale RCT on what is deemed a clinically meaningful effect.

    “An alternative approach is to base sample size estimates for a full scale RCT on what is deemed a clinically meaningful effect.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    A pilot study provides opportunity to develop consistent practices to enhance data integrity and protection of human subjects.

    “A pilot study provides opportunity to develop consistent practices to enhance data integrity and the protection of human subjects.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    We learn little if anything about the efficacy of an intervention with data from a small sample; yet, a great deal can be learned from a pilot study.

    “We learn little if anything about the efficacy of an intervention with data from a small sample; yet, as discussed earlier, a great deal can be learned from a pilot study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    This applies to effect sizes for any type of outcome, be it a severity rating, a response status, or survival status.

    “This applies to effects sizes for any type of outcome, be it a severity rating, a response status, or survival status.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    With imprecision comes a vast disparity in sample size estimates and, if sample size determination for a subsequent study is based on an imprecise estimate, there is an enormous risk of underpowered or overpowered design.

    “Hence, with imprecision comes a vast disparity in sample size estimates and, if sample size determination for a subsequent study is based on an imprecise estimate, there is an enormous risk of underpowered or overpowered design.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Pilot studies are a necessary first step in exploring novel interventions and novel applications of interventions.

    “In summary, pilot studies are a necessary first step in exploring novel interventions and novel applications of interventions – whether in a new patient population or with a novel delivery system (e.g., transdermal patch).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    A pilot study is not, and should not be considered, a preliminary test of the intervention hypothesis.

    “Although a pilot study will undoubtedly incorporate relevant outcome measures and can serve a vital role in treatment development, it is not, and should not, be considered a preliminary test of the intervention hypothesis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisereasoning

    The primary role of a pilot study is to examine the feasibility of a research endeavor.

    “The primary role of a pilot study is to examine the feasibility of a research endeavor.”
    • Also stated in: § INTRODUCTION · plain
      “The fundamental purpose of conducting a pilot study is to examine the feasibility of an approach that is intended to ultimately be used in a larger scale study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    A theoretical rationale for the intervention or methodology being proposed for a pilot study is still needed.

    “This does not preclude the need for a theoretical rationale for the intervention or the methodology being proposed for a pilot study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If a pilot study effect size is unduly large (false positive), subsequent trials will be designed with an inadequate number of participants to provide the statistical power needed to detect clinically meaningful effects and that would lead to negative trials.

    “If a pilot study effect size is unduly large (i.e., a false positive result), subsequent trials will be designed with an inadequate number of participants to provide the statistical power needed to detect clinically meaningful effects and that would lead to negative trials.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    Pilot studies provide an opportunity to implement and examine the feasibility of the adverse event reporting system.

    “However, pilot studies provide an opportunity to implement and examine the feasibility of the adverse event reporting system.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    It is reasonable and expected that a pilot study is proposed with no pilot or other preliminary data supporting the proposal and that its proposed sample size is based on pragmatics such as patient flow and budgetary constraints.

    “It is quite reasonable and expected that a pilot study is proposed with no pilot or other preliminary data supporting the proposal and that its proposed sample size is based on pragmatics such as patient flow and budgetary constraints.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    A pilot study can be used to evaluate the feasibility of recruitment, randomization, retention, assessment procedures, new methods, and implementation of the novel intervention.

    “A pilot study can be used to evaluate the feasibility of recruitment, randomization, retention, assessment procedures, new methods, and implementation of the novel intervention.”
    • Also stated in: § INTRODUCTION · plain
      “evaluate the feasibility of recruitment, randomization, retention, assessment procedures, new methods, and/or implementation of the novel intervention.”
    • Also stated in: § WHAT A PILOT STUDY CAN DO: ASSESS FEASIBILITY · plain
      “A pilot study can be used to evaluate the feasibility of recruitment, randomization, retention, assessment procedures, and implementation of the novel intervention and each of these can be quantified”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Two fundamental reasons that hypothesis testing is not used in a pilot study are the limited state of knowledge about the methods or intervention in the patient population to be studied and the smaller proposed sample size.

    “There are two fundamental reasons that hypothesis testing is not used in a pilot study: the limited state of knowledge about the methods or intervention in the patient population to be studied and the smaller proposed sample size.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    As a consequence, pilot studies can reduce the proportion of failed trials and allow research funds to be spent on projects for which feasibility has been demonstrated and quantified.

    “As a consequence, pilot studies can reduce the proportion of failed trials and allow research funds to be spent on projects for which feasibility has been demonstrated and quantified.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Well-conceived and implemented pilot studies will reduce the risk of several problems commonly faced in clinical trials, including inability to recruit the proposed sample size and corresponding reduction in statistical power, excessive attrition due to intolerable procedures or interventions, and the need to modify a protocol midway through a trial.

    “Well-conceived and implemented pilot studies will reduce the risk of several problems that are commonly faced in clinical trials. These include the inability to recruit the proposed sample size and a corresponding reduction in statistical power, excessive attrition due to intolerable procedures or interventions, and the need to modify a protocol midway through a trial.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Estimates become more precise with larger sample sizes.

    “Estimates become more precise with larger sample sizes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
24 of 24
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The true population effect size is unknown when a pilot study is designed.

    “An essential challenge of therapeutic development is that the true population effect size is unknown at the time a pilot study is designed.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Methods will likely be modified after a pilot study, even if minimally.

    “This is because it is quite likely that the methods will be modified after the pilot, even if minimally.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Pilot results presented to grant review committees tend to be selective, overly optimistic, and at times misrepresentational.

    “Furthermore, pilot results that are presented to grant review committees tend to be selective, overly optimistic and, at times, misrepresentational.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Many pilot studies have far fewer than 18 participants per group.

    “Many pilot studies have far fewer than 18 participants/group and therefore even greater imprecision.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It is not unusual for research grant applications and pilot study publications to convey optimism based on pilot data.

    “Nevertheless, it is not unusual for research grant applications and pilot study publications to convey such optimism, particularly when based on pilot data.”
5 of 5

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The planned sample size was 30 allowing for attrition.

    “The planned sample size was 30 allowing for attrition. This study will inform the sample size for any future RCT (Leon et al., 2011).”

    From A mixed methods pilot and feasibility open trial of internet-delivered cognitive behaviour therapy (iCanADAPT Advanced) for people with advanced cancer with depression and/or anxiety (2021) · cites this paper as Leon et al., 2011

    The citation attaches to the statement that this pilot study will inform the sample size of a future RCT, not to the authors’ planned sample of 30. In “Pilot Study Effect Sizes and Sample Size Determination” (page unavailable), Leon et al. say pilot results should not be used to determine a subsequent trial’s sample size because small-sample effect estimates are imprecise. They do say pilots can assess recruitment and attrition, but do not endorse using pilot results to determine the RCT sample size. (LLM, conf=0.82)

    Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • This pilot study did not have a power calculation.

    “This was a pilot study which like other pilot studies of MI did not have a power calculation. 31,32”

    From A Pilot Randomized Controlled Trial to Assess the Impact of Motivational Interviewing on Initiating Behavioral Therapy for Migraine (2020) · cites this paper as [31]

    In “Sample Size Determination in Designing a Pilot Study,” the paper says power analyses should not be presented for pilot studies that do not propose inferential tests; sample size should instead reflect feasibility needs. It does not establish whether the citing authors’ particular study, or other MI pilot studies, actually omitted a power calculation. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Data analyses in the context of a pilot study are not hypothesis-driven but serve to provide information regarding feasibility and acceptability of the intervention.

    “Data analyses in the context of a pilot study are not hypothesis-driven but serve to provide information regarding feasibility and acceptability of the intervention [55].”

    From Acceptance and Commitment Therapy Wellness Program for Latine Adults Who Smoke and Have Psychological Distress: Protocol for a Feasibility Study (2023) · cites this paper as [55]

    The Abstract and Sample Size Determination section say pilot studies assess feasibility rather than test hypotheses, including the feasibility of implementing an intervention. The 'Rationale for a Control or Comparison Group' section mentions acceptability specifically for control-group aspects and procedures in psychotherapy or psychosocial interventions; it does not establish assessment of intervention acceptability as a general purpose of pilot-study analyses. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • A common misuse of pilot and feasibility studies has been the application of hypothesis testing for clinical outcomes in small under-powered studies.

    “A common misuse of pilot and feasibility studies has been the application of hypothesis testing for clinical outcomes in small under-powered studies.”
  • Hypothesis testing in pilot studies, particularly for effectiveness/efficacy of clinical outcomes, has been widely criticised due to the improper purpose and lack of statistical power of such evaluations.

    “Hypothesis testing in pilot studies, particularly in the context of effectiveness/efficacy of clinical outcomes, has been widely criticised due to the improper purpose and lack of statistical power of such evaluations [2, 20, 21, 23].”

Cites

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1 of the 17 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Cited by

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Authors
Leon, A. C., Davis, L. L., & Kraemer, H. C.
Affiliations
  • Weill Cornell Medicine (US)
  • University of Alabama (US)
  • Stanford University (US)
Corresponding author
Leon, Andrew C.
Venue
Journal of Psychiatric Research
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2011-05
Volume
45
Issue
5
Pages
626-629
ISSN
0022-3956 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2168434488
Cited by
1,917
References
17
Citations by year
2026: 203 · 2025: 190 · 2024: 143 · 2023: 169 · 2022: 163 · 2021: 217 · 2020: 169 · 2019: 136 · 2018: 128 · 2017: 120 · 2016: 92 · 2015: 80 · 2014: 52 · 2013: 31 · 2012: 17
FWCI
14.45
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of Psychiatric Research (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
Funders
National Institute of Mental Health (P30MH068638, R01MH060447)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Ethics in Clinical Research
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty › Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
Keywords
pilot study, feasibility assessment, clinical trials, research design, sample size determination, effect size estimation, generalizability, recruitment and retention, intervention implementation, research funding review
MeSH terms
Clinical Trials as Topic, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Feasibility Studies, Humans, Pilot Projects, Biomedical Research

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Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-09-28.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-09-28.

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