Divided by the vote: Affective polarization in the wake of the Brexit referendum
Open accessAbstract
A well-functioning democracy requires a degree of mutual respect and a willingness to talk across political divides. Yet numerous studies have shown that many electorates are polarized along partisan lines, with animosity towards the partisan out-group. This article further develops the idea of affective polarization, not by partisanship, but instead by identification with opinion-based groups. Examining social identities formed during Britain's 2016 referendum on European Union membership, the study uses surveys and experiments to measure the intensity of partisan and Brexit-related affective polarization. The results show that Brexit identities are prevalent, felt to be personally important and cut across traditional party lines. These identities generate affective polarization as intense as that of partisanship in terms of stereotyping, prejudice and various evaluative biases, convincingly demonstrating that affective polarization can emerge from identities beyond partisanship.
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Focal issues and politicians can serve as key political dividing lines.
“Focal issues-like, for example, Brexit in the United Kingdom (e.g., Hobolt et al., 2021) or vaccination status (Filsinger & Freitag, 2024;Wagner & Eberl, 2025)-can serve as key political dividing lines; so too can politicians-like, for example, Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil (Areal, 2022).”
From Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures (2026) · cites this paper as Hobolt et al., 2021
Surveys in multi-party contexts have relied on social distance measures and trait ratings to broaden the measure of affective polarization to consider its social consequences.
“Broadening the measure of affective polarization to consider its social consequences, surveys in multi-party contexts have also relied on social distance measures (e.g., Knudsen, 2021) and trait ratings (Hobolt et al., 2021).”
From Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures (2026) · cites this paper as Hobolt et al., 2021
In the UK Brexit referendum, high levels of affective polarization ensued.
“Both sides exhibited ego-justifying and group-justifying biases that increased issue polarization on economic matters335, and high levels of affective polarization ensued336.”
From Cognitive–motivational mechanisms of political polarization in social-communicative contexts (2022) · cites this paper as [336]
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“This has been shown to function as a social identity that is separable from issue positions (Kinder and Kalmoe 2017; Malka and Lelkes 2010; Mason 2018).”
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“Así como pasó en Reino Unido con el referéndum para el Brexit (Hobolt, Leeper y Tilley, 2021), en Catalunya el proceso independentista también ha generado y/o fortalecido divisiones en la dimensión de la vida cotidiana: muchos son los ejemplos de testimonios de amigues que no se reúnen más, de…”
Background
- Authors
- Hobolt, S. B., Leeper, T. J., & Tilley, J.
- Affiliations
- London School of Economics and Political Science (GB)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Hobolt, Sara B.
- Venue
- British Journal of Political Science
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2020-07-07
- Volume
- 51
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 1476-1493
- ISSN
- 0007-1234 (ISSN-L)
- 1469-2112
- OpenAlex
- W3008845104
- Cited by
- 496
- References
- 10
- Citations by year
- 2026: 56 · 2025: 100 · 2024: 88 · 2023: 102 · 2022: 78 · 2021: 51 · 2020: 21
- FWCI
- 217.56
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- orcid.org
- Locations
- British Journal of Political Science (publishedVersion)
- London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (submittedVersion)
- London School of Economics and Political Science Theses Online (London School of Economics and Political Science) (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- American Political Science Association
- University of Exeter
- Durham University
- Universität Zürich
- Economic and Social Research Council (ES/R000573/1)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Social and Intergroup Psychology
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Populism, Right-Wing Movements
- Keywords
- affective polarization, Brexit, Brexit referendum, social identity, partisan identity, prejudice, stereotyping
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