Cited by 3,382Hydrology and Drought AnalysisClimate variability and modelsPlant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics

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Global warming and changes in drought

Trenberth, Kevin E., Dai, Aiguo, van der Schrier, Gerard, Jones, Philip D., Barichivich, Jonathan, Briffa, Keith R., Sheffield, Justin·2014·Nature Climate Change

DOI 10.1038/nclimate2067

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Background
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Zeng, Z., Wu, W., Peñuelas, J., Li, Y., Jiao, W., Li, Z., Ren, X., Wang, K., & Ge, Q. (2023) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00468-2 · Cited by 136
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“, 2003; Vicente-Serrano et al., 2013). For this reason SPI is thought to be a suitable variable to be used as external regressor in the change detection process. Vicente-Serrano et al. (2013) showed that the timing of vegetation response to droughts varies across biomes so that the time scale parameter of the SPI is h…”
Method
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“Differences may exist in results based on different observation datasets, which may result in uncertainties in validating the performance of model simulations (Trenberth et al., 2014; Hao et al., 2019).”
Background
Drought Risk of Global Terrestrial Gross Primary Productivity Over the Last 40 Years Detected by a Remote Sensing‐Driven Process Model
He, Q., Ju, W., Dai, S., He, W., Song, L., Wang, S., Li, X., & Mao, G. (2021) · Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences · doi:10.1029/2020jg005944 · Cited by 124
“In these regions, a significant wetting trend appeared to have occurred in recent years (Trenberth et al., 2014; W. Wang et al., 2015).”
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Flash droughts characterization over China: From a perspective of the rapid intensification rate
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Sub-Saharan Africa will increasingly become the dominant hotspot of surface water pollution
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“These disparate results are further discussed in Trenberth et al (2014).”
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“Climate change is likely to increase the frequency and intensity of some natural disturbances (e.g., storms; droughts; IPCC, 2013; Trenberth et al., 2014), and regional C balances will be strongly influenced by tropical forest regrowth dynamics, which are also likely to be altered by climate change…”
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Analyzing the Effects of Climate Factors on Soybean Protein, Oil Contents, and Composition by Extensive and High-Density Sampling in China
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“Due to the enhanced evapotranspiration (caused by rising temperatures) without increasing precipitation, higher frequency and magnitude of the hydrological drought risk have been predicted for the coming century in most locations over the world (Dai, 2013; Sheffield et al., 2012; Trenberth et al., 2014).”
Background
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Background
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“Precipitation is expected to become more variable in the near future, with the frequency of both shortterm (1-year) and long-term droughts increasing (Dai 2011; 2013; Ponce-Campos et al. 2013; Trenberth et al. 2014; Griffin and Anchukaitis 2014; Cook et al. 2015).”
Background
A water-energy balance approach for multi-category drought assessment across globally diverse hydrological basins
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Background
Hydrological response to changing climate conditions: Spatial streamflow variability in the boreal region
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Visible light driven photocatalytic activity of ZnO/CuO nanocomposites coupled with rGO heterostructures synthesized by solid-state method for RhB dye degradation
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Legacy effects of spring phenology on vegetation growth under preseason meteorological drought in the Northern Hemisphere
Zeng, Z., Wu, W., Ge, Q., Li, Z., Wang, X., Zhou, Y., Zhang, Z., Li, Y., Huang, H. D., Liu, G., et al. (2021) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108630 · Cited by 107
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Agriculture intensifies soil moisture decline in Northern China
Liu, Y., Pan, Z., Zhuang, Q., Miralles, D. G., Teuling, A. J., Zhang, T., An, P., Dong, Z., Zhang, J., He, D., et al. (2015) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep11261 · Cited by 107
How drought and salinity affect arbuscular mycorrhizal symbiosis and strigolactone biosynthesis?
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“Drought stress is considered the most important abiotic factor limiting plant growth and yield worldwide (Chaves and Oliveira 2004; Trenberth et al. 2014), and its negative effects are expected to increase in the coming years with climate change and growing water scarcity.”
Background
European warm-season temperature and hydroclimate since 850 CE
Ljungqvist, F. C., Seim, A., Krusic, P. J., González-Rouco, J. F., Werner, J., Cook, E. R., Zorita, E., Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., Destouni, G., et al. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab2c7e · Cited by 106
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“Because specific correlation structures between temperature and moisture will likely not be conserved under climate change (Trenberth et al 2014, Williams et al 2014), accurate yield projections made using future climate scenarios require separately quantifying the mechanisms by which high…”
Background
Soil microbial community resistance to drought and links to C stabilization in an Australian grassland
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“More importantly, the projected increased drought stress for cultivated croplands (Dai, 2012), with a more intense and longer lasting droughts in drier climate zones (Davin et al., 2014; Trenberth et al., 2014), challenges the representations of soil hydro-logical processes and their interactions with other factors fo…”
Background
Prediction of drought-induced reduction of agricultural productivity in Chile from MODIS, rainfall estimates, and climate oscillation indices
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“, 2019), as is the number of consecutive dry days in some parts of Eastern Africa, which may have 30 an impact on drought length and increase the rapidity of onset and the intensity of drought (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
The Influence of Topography on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle
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“Similarly, shallow water tables in valleys might reduce tree mortality by providing a buffer against droughts (Esteban et al., 2021; Hawthorne & Miniat, 2018; Hoylman et al., 2019), which are likely to set in quicker and become more intense with climate change (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
How do potential evapotranspiration formulas influence hydrological projections?
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“Various studies have projected a warmer and drier climate under changing climate scenarios for the region [105,106], as well as longer and more intense droughts [4].”
Background
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Background
Increasing meteorological drought under climate change reduces terrestrial ecosystem productivity and carbon storage
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ResultInfluential
Spinach biomass yield and physiological response to interactive salinity and water stress
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Comparing Palmer Drought Severity Index drought assessments using the traditional offline approach with direct climate model outputs
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Drought thresholds that impact vegetation reveal the divergent responses of vegetation growth to drought across China
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Drought-Induced Changes in Leaf Morphology and Anatomy: Overview, Implications and Perspectives
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Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation
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Food security and climate change: the case of rainfed maize production in Mexico
Tortarolo, G. N. M., Jaramillo, V. J., & Larsen, J. (2018) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.02.011 · Cited by 110
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Authors: Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., van der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., & Sheffield, J.
Affiliations: NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
University of East Anglia (GB)
Princeton University (US)
Corresponding author: Trenberth, Kevin E.
ORCID: Trenberth, Kevin E.
Dai, Aiguo
Jones, Philip D.
Barichivich, Jonathan
Briffa, Keith R.
Sheffield, Justin
Venue: Nature Climate Change
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 2013-12-20
Volume: 4
Issue: 1
Pages: 17-22
ISSN: 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
1758-6798
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2067
OpenAlex: W2108886061
Cited by: 3,382
References: 41
Citations by year: 2026: 299 · 2025: 317 · 2024: 360 · 2023: 347 · 2022: 397 · 2021: 399 · 2020: 332 · 2019: 243 · 2018: 232 · 2017: 170 · 2016: 148 · 2015: 89 · 2014: 42 · 2013: 1
FWCI: 71.19
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (acceptedVersion)
HAL (submittedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
Oskar-Bordeaux (Universite de Bordeaux) (submittedVersion)
Funders: U.S. Department of Energy (DESC0005689)
Natural Environment Research Council (NE/G018863/1)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
Keywords: drought, climate change impacts, Palmer Drought Severity Index, evapotranspiration, precipitation data quality, natural variation, ENSO, La Niña, drought attribution, global warming

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