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Global warming and changes in drought
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“First, there are numerous types of droughts: agricultural, metrological, and hydrological.23”
From A Big Data Guide to Understanding Climate Change: The Case for Theory-Guided Data Science (2014) · cites this paper as [23]
In the citing paper
“One study 23 further highlighted the disparate results by pointing out (among other reasons) that each study relied on a different precipitation dataset.”
From A Big Data Guide to Understanding Climate Change: The Case for Theory-Guided Data Science (2014) · cites this paper as [23]
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Self-citationThe Changing Character of Precipitation
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Self-citationChanges in Climate Extremes and their Impacts on the Natural Physical Environment
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Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America
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Changes in Major Global River Discharges Directed into the Ocean
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“The predicted increase in the intensity and/or length of droughts globally (IPCC, 2014; Trenberth et al., 2014), combined with changes in bark beetle dynamics associated with climate change (Bentz et al.”
BackgroundHarnessing the potential of cross-protection stressor interactions for conservation: a review
Rodgers, E. M., & Isaza, D. F. G. (2021) · Conservation Physiology · doi:10.1093/conphys/coab037 · Cited by 53
Drought monitoring in Ceyhan Basin, Turkey
Yuce, M. I., & Eşit, M. (2021) · Journal of Applied Water Engineering and Research · doi:10.1080/23249676.2021.1932616 · Cited by 55
Duarte‐Carvajalino, J. M., Silva-Arero, E. A., Góez-Vinasco, G. A., Torres-Delgado, L. M., Ocampo-Paez, O. D., & Castaño-Marín, Á. M. (2021) · Horticulturae · doi:10.3390/horticulturae7070176 · Cited by 56
“Due to climate change, crops worldwide are suffering from unexpected and longer severe weather changes such as droughts, which are becoming increasingly more intense [3].”
BackgroundAn Insight into Plant Growth-Promoting Rhizobacteria-Mediated Mitigation of Stresses in Plant
Borah, P., Gogoi, N., Asad, S. A., Rabha, A. J., & Farooq, M. (2022) · Journal of Plant Growth Regulation · doi:10.1007/s00344-022-10787-y · Cited by 55
“Natural droughts are expected to set in sooner, become more intense, and last longer in response to the changes in global water cycle due to warming in the twenty-first century (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
BackgroundRafalska, A., Walkiewicz, A., Osborne, B. A., Klumpp, K., & Bieganowski, A. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162127 · Cited by 56
Wu, C., Zhong, L., Yeh, P. J. ‐., Gong, Z., Lv, W., Chen, B., Jun Liang, Z. H. O. U., Li, J., & Wang, S. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167632 · Cited by 55
Suo, N., Xu, C., Cao, L., Song, L., & Lei, X. (2023) · CATENA · doi:10.1016/j.catena.2023.107624 · Cited by 56
Peng, L., Sheffield, J., Wei, Z., Ek, M., & Wood, E. F. (2024) · Earth System Dynamics · doi:10.5194/esd-15-1277-2024 · Cited by 55
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Foreword: Drought complexity and assessment under climate change conditions
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“The different sensitivity of the available drought indices to the precipitation and the AED is also another source of uncertainty (Vicente-Serrano et al., 2015), and finally the quality of the long-term climate information available at the global scale (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
BackgroundFeng, H. (2016) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/srep32782 · Cited by 59
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“Recently, based on various drought indices in which ETo was involved (Croitoru et al. 2013), regional and global droughts were revealed to increase with successive and rapid warming (Sheffield et al. 2012; Dai 2013; Trenberth et al. 2014; IPCC 2014).”
BackgroundPhysical Stress, Consumer Control, and New Theory in Ecology.
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Decadal-Scale Vegetation Change Driven by Salinity at Leading Edge of Rising Sea Level
Taillie, P. J., Moorman, C. E., Poulter, B., Ardón, M., & Emanuel, R. E. (2019) · Ecosystems · doi:10.1007/s10021-019-00382-w · Cited by 57
How is the risk of hydrological drought in the Tarim River Basin, Northwest China?
Yang, P., Xia, J., Zhang, Y., Zhan, C., & Sun, S. (2019) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.07.361 · Cited by 55
Mapping of climate change research in the Arab world: a bibliometric analysis
Zyoud, S. H., & Fuchs-Hanusch, D. (2019) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-019-07100-y · Cited by 57
Long-term relative decline in evapotranspiration with increasing runoff on fractional land surfaces
Wang, R., Gentine, P., Yin, J., Chen, L., Chen, J., & Li, L. (2021) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-25-3805-2021 · Cited by 55
Assessment of drought hazard, vulnerability and risk in Iran using GIS techniques
Alamdarloo, E. H., Khosravi, H., Molaei, S. N., & Gholami, A. (2020) · Journal of Arid Land · doi:10.1007/s40333-020-0096-4 · Cited by 55
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“Past research (Trenberth et al., 2014) has indicated that an increase in temperature from global climate change could intensify droughts.”
BackgroundOn the occurrence of the worst drought in South Asia in the observed and future climate
Aadhar, S., & Mishra, V. K. (2020) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd6a6 · Cited by 57
Feedback attribution to dry heatwaves over East Asia
Seo, Y., Ha, K., & Park, T. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf18f · Cited by 55
Zhang, X., Chen, Y., Fang, G., Li, Y., Li, Z., Wang, F., & Xia, Z. (2022) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127457 · Cited by 55
Climate warming outweighs vegetation greening in intensifying flash droughts over China
Zhang, M., Yuan, X., Otkin, J. A., & Ji, P. (2022) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac69fb · Cited by 54
Spatial based drought assessment: Where are we heading? A review on the current status and future
Dikshit, A., Pradhan, B., HUETE, A. R., & Park, H. (2022) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157239 · Cited by 57
Dwivedi, A. K., Singh, V., Anwar, K., Pareek, A., & Jain, M. (2023) · Plant Physiology and Biochemistry · doi:10.1016/j.plaphy.2023.107849 · Cited by 52
Gu, L., Pallardy, S. G., Hosman, K. P., & Sun, Y. (2015) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.11.014 · Cited by 54
Ma, S., Zhou, T., Angélil, O., & Shiogama, H. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0636.1 · Cited by 54
“…influence on the severe droughts in the SEPTP Because severe drought events can be triggered by considerable natural internal variability, such as ENSO and the IPO (Dai 2013; Trenberth et al. 2014), it is impossible to unambiguously attribute a single drought event to anthropogenic climate change.”
BackgroundInfluentialChattopadhyay, S., Edwards, D. R., Yu, Y., & Hamidisepehr, A. (2017) · Environmental Processes · doi:10.1007/s40710-017-0259-2 · Cited by 54
“The current century is an era of ubiquitous climate change (Huntington 2006; Green et al. 2011), and studies having a variety of provenances agree on the major role of anthropogenic global warming in accelerating climatic variation (Haddeland et al. 2014; Trenberth et al. 2014).”
BackgroundRahman, M., Islam, M., & Bräuning, A. (2018) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2018.11.034 · Cited by 54
Inland surface waters in protected areas globally: Current coverage and 30-year trends
Bastin, L., Gorelick, N., Saura, S., Bertzky, B., Dubois, G., Fortin, M., & Pekel, J. (2019) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0210496 · Cited by 56
“Negative transitions due to agricultural irrigation will be especially accentuated by temperature increase and precipitation decrease resulting from climate change [40].”
BackgroundFajardo, A., Gazol, A., Mayr, C., & Camarero, J. J. (2019) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.13580 · Cited by 54
Data variability or paradigm shift? Slow versus fast recovery of biological soil crusts-a review
Kidron, G. J., Xiao, B., & Benenson, I. (2020) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137683 · Cited by 56
Qaisrani, Z. N., Nuthammachot, N., Techato, K., & Asadullah, A. (2021) · Arabian Journal of Geosciences · doi:10.1007/s12517-020-06302-w · Cited by 54
Delavaux, C. S., Schemanski, J. L., House, G. L., Tipton, A. G., Sikes, B. A., & Bever, J. D. (2020) · The ISME Journal · doi:10.1038/s41396-020-00783-z · Cited by 53
“Understanding plant pathogen responses to environmental drivers is particular important given contemporary and future pressure from anthropogenic change, including changes in land use, temperature, and the intensity and frequency of precipitation events [31, 32].”
BackgroundUsing botanic gardens and arboreta to help identify urban trees for the future
Hirons, A. D., Watkins, H., Baxter, T., Miesbauer, J. W., Male‐Muñoz, A., Martin, K. W. E., Bassuk, N., & Sjöman, H. (2020) · Plants People Planet · doi:10.1002/ppp3.10162 · Cited by 54
Regional differences in rapid evolution during severe drought
Anstett, D. N., Branch, H. A., & Angert, A. L. (2021) · Evolution Letters · doi:10.1002/evl3.218 · Cited by 52
Senamaw, A., Addisu, S., & Suryabhagavan, K. V. (2021) · ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS RESEARCH · doi:10.1186/s40068-020-00204-2 · Cited by 53
Probabilistic assessment of vegetation vulnerability to drought stress in Central Asia
Yuan, Y., Bao, A., Jiang, P., Hamdi, R., Termonia, P., Maeyer, P. D., Guo, H., Zheng, G., Yu, T., & Prishchepov, A. V. (2022) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114504 · Cited by 52
Implications of changes in climate and human development on 21st-century global drought risk
Elkouk, A., POKHREL, Y. N., Satoh, Y., & Bouchaou, L. (2022) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115378 · Cited by 53
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Oijen, M. A. V., Balkovi, J., Beer, C., Cameron, D., Ciais, P., Crämer, W., Kato, T., Kuhnert, M., Martin, R., Myneni, R. B., et al. (2014) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-11-6357-2014 · Cited by 53
“Much of this debate centres on whether the indices can detect whether ongoing climate change has already altered drought prevalence (e.g. Trenberth et al., 2014).”
BackgroundLi, Z., Cheng, B., Yong, B., Liu, T., Yan, P., Zhang, X., Ma, X., Huang, L., Liu, W., & Nie, G. (2019) · Planta · doi:10.1007/s00425-019-03277-1 · Cited by 53
Aadhar, S., & Mishra, V. K. (2019) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab4862 · Cited by 53
Baronetti, A., Hidalgo, J. C. G., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Acquaotta, F., & Fratianni, S. (2019) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.6467 · Cited by 53
“Trenberth et al. (2013) studied the various drought triggering factors on a global scale.”
BackgroundMarch of the mangroves: Drivers of encroachment into southern temperate saltmarsh
Whitt, A. A., Coleman, R. A., Lovelock, C. E., Gillies, C. L., Ierodiaconou, D. A., Liyanapathirana, M., & Macreadie, P. I. (2020) · Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science · doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2020.106776 · Cited by 53
Climatological Drought Forecasting Using Bias Corrected CMIP6 Climate Data: A Case Study for India
Shrestha, A., Rahaman, M. M., Kalra, A., Jogineedi, R., & Maheshwari, P. (2020) · Forecasting · doi:10.3390/forecast2020004 · Cited by 53
“Due to climate change, future projections of climate also show an increase in global drought events [6].”
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Global soil microbial biomass decreases with aridity and land‐use intensification
Wan, X., Chen, X., Huang, Z., & Chen, H. Y. H. (2021) · Global Ecology and Biogeography · doi:10.1111/geb.13282 · Cited by 51
Drought indices: aggregation is necessary or is it only the researcher's choice?
Faiz, M. A., Zhang, Y., Ma, N., Baig, F., Naz, F., & Niaz, Y. (2021) · Water Science & Technology Water Supply · doi:10.2166/ws.2021.163 · Cited by 53
Biological Adaptations Associated with Dehydration in Mosquitoes
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Spatial and temporal evolution of drought characteristics across the Yellow River basin
Zhou, K., Wang, Y., Chang, J., Zhou, S., & Guo, A. (2021) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108207 · Cited by 52
Tropical extreme droughts drive long-term increase in atmospheric CO2 growth rate variability
Luo, X., & Keenan, T. F. (2022) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-28824-5 · Cited by 58
Amplified future risk of compound droughts and hot events from a hydrological perspective
Feng, S., Hao, Z., Zhang, Y., Zhang, X., & Hao, F. (2023) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129143 · Cited by 52
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The 2018 west-central European drought projected in a warmer climate: how much drier can it get?
Aalbers, E., van Meijgaard, E., Lenderink, G., de Vries, H., & van den Hurk, B. (2023) · Natural hazards and earth system sciences · doi:10.5194/nhess-23-1921-2023 · Cited by 54
“Under prevailing conditions of clear skies, high solar radiation, high temperatures and increasingly dry air, the response in the atmospheric evaporative demand is substantial ( + 1 mm d or + 35 % over the growing season).”
BackgroundEffects of diurnal temperature range and drought on wheat yield in Spain
Hernández‐Barrera, S., Rodríguez‐Puebla, C., & Challinor, A. J. (2016) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-016-1779-9 · Cited by 56
“A comparison of drought indices effect (Begueria et al. 2014) on wheat yield would be a challenge for further research since the choice of the formula to compute evapotranspiration is currently under debate (Dai 2011; Trenberth et al. 2014).”
BackgroundThe Precipitation Variations in the Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) Plateau during 1961–2015
Wan, G., Yang, M., Liu, Z., Wang, X., & Liang, X. (2017) · Atmosphere · doi:10.3390/atmos8050080 · Cited by 52
“It has caused the number of extreme precipitation events and flood disasters increasing[9,10].”
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“However, drought stress, likely to be worsened by climate change (Trenberth et al. 2014), decreases yield and may alter the contents of fatty acids, protein, and carbohydrates in soybean seeds (Dornbos and Mullen 1992).”
BackgroundResende, T. C., Longuevergne, L., Gurdak, J. J., Leblanc, M. J., Favreau, G., Ansems, N., van der Gun, J., Gaye, C. B., & Aureli, A. (2018) · Hydrogeology Journal · doi:10.1007/s10040-018-1864-5 · Cited by 52
Enhanced drought tolerance of foxtail millet seedlings by sulfur dioxide fumigation
Han, Y., Yang, H., Wu, M., & Yi, H. (2019) · Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety · doi:10.1016/j.ecoenv.2019.04.006 · Cited by 52
Amnuaylojaroen, T., & Chanvichit, P. (2019) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02442-5 · Cited by 52
“SPI ¼ X i−Xm σ ð1Þ Xi Monthly precipitation Xm Mean precipitation σ Standard deviation Crop Water Need (CWN) is defined as the equilibrium of water demand and supply for irrigation management (Pidwirny 2006).”
MethodInfluentialHuman Influence on the Increasing Drought Risk Over Southeast Asian Monsoon Region
Zhang, L., Chen, Z., & Zhou, T. (2021) · Geophysical Research Letters · doi:10.1029/2021gl093777 · Cited by 52
“Climate change could further aggravate drought by either enhancing evapotranspiration or suppressing precipitation (Dai, 2011; Trenberth et al., 2014), and Southeast Asian monsoon region is one of the hotspots with strong drying under global warming (Cook et al.”
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Spatial patterns of European droughts under a moderate emission scenario
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Inhibition of microbial biofuel production in drought-stressed switchgrass hydrolysate
Ong, R. G., Higbee, A. J., Bottoms, S., Dickinson, Q., Xie, D., Smith, S. A., Serate, J., Pohlmann, E. L., Jones, A. D., Coon, J. J., et al. (2016) · Biotechnology for Biofuels · doi:10.1186/s13068-016-0657-0 · Cited by 50
“Intense rainfall followed by longer dry spells limits the replenishment of soil moisture [33], and in certain regions this may negatively influence biomass yields and processing characteristics.”
Kim, D., Lee, W., Kim, S. T., & Chun, J. A. (2019) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1029/2019wr024991 · Cited by 51
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“Drought is generally defined as a “prolonged absence or marked deficiency of precipitation”, a “deficiency of precipitation that results in water shortage for some activity or for some group”, or a “period of abnormally dry weather sufficiently prolonged for the lack of precipitation to cause a serious hydrological im…”
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Sperdouli, I., Mellidou, Ι., & Moustakas, M. (2021) · Climate · doi:10.3390/cli9110154 · Cited by 50
Li, S., Hamani, A. K. M., Zhang, Y., Liang, Y., Gao, Y., & Duan, A. (2021) · BMC Plant Biology · doi:10.1186/s12870-021-03304-y · Cited by 50
“Drought could seriously restrict agricultural and economic development [1, 2].”
BackgroundNovel Trichoderma Isolates Alleviate Water Deficit Stress in Susceptible Tomato Genotypes
Rawal, R., Scheerens, J. C., Fenstemaker, S., Francis, D. M., Miller, S. A., & Benítez, M. (2022) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2022.869090 · Cited by 50
Climate-induced salinization may lead to increased lake nitrogen retention
Jiang, X., Liu, C., Hu, Y., Shao, K., Tang, X., Zhang, L., Gao, G., & Qin, B. (2022) · Water Research · doi:10.1016/j.watres.2022.119354 · Cited by 50
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“…and plasticity as well as differences in species-specific responses to climate which could lead to shifts in community composition due to variations in demographic rates or plant coverage through species shift at high temperatures (Ulrich et al., 2014; Butterfield, 2015; Berdugo et al., 2019).”
BackgroundTang, J., Niu, B., Hu, Z., & Zhang, X. (2024) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110025 · Cited by 51
Early detection of drought onset using near surface temperature and humidity observed from space
Behrangi, A., Fetzer, E. J., & Granger, S. L. (2016) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/01431161.2016.1204478 · Cited by 50
“A warmer climate can reduce frequency of rain (longer dry spells) along with an increase in the intensity of rain events (Trenberth et al. 2014).”
BackgroundDrought Stress and the Recovery from Xylem Embolism in Woody Plants
Nardini, A., Savi, T., Trifilò, P., & Gullo, M. A. L. (2017) · Progress in botany · doi:10.1007/124_2017_11 · Cited by 50
Herrera-Estrada, J. E., & Sheffield, J. (2017) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-16-0491.1 · Cited by 52
Self-citationYang, Q., Ma, Z., Zheng, Z., & Duan, Y. (2017) · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · doi:10.1007/s00376-017-6313-1 · Cited by 50
Drought Monitoring With Spectral Indices Calculated From Modis Satellite Images In Hungary
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“In recent years, the frequency of droughts that are due to global warming-related climate change has increased and is accompanied by a rise in the severity of these phenomena (IPCC, 2013; Trenberth et al., 2014).”
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“, are identified as the contributing factors in the changes in extreme rainfall events (Donat et al., 2016; Suman & Maity, 2020; Trenberth et al., 2014).”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., van der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., & Sheffield, J.
- Affiliations
- NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
- University of East Anglia (GB)
- Princeton University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Trenberth, Kevin E.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Climate Change
- Published
- 2013-12-20
- Volume
- 4
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 17-22
- ISSN
- 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
- 1758-6798
- OpenAlex
- W2108886061
- Cited by
- 3,382
- References
- 41
- Citations by year
- 2026: 299 · 2025: 317 · 2024: 360 · 2023: 347 · 2022: 397 · 2021: 399 · 2020: 332 · 2019: 243 · 2018: 232 · 2017: 170 · 2016: 148 · 2015: 89 · 2014: 42 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 71.19
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (acceptedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
- Oskar-Bordeaux (Universite de Bordeaux) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- U.S. Department of Energy (DESC0005689)
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE/G018863/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Keywords
- drought, climate change impacts, Palmer Drought Severity Index, evapotranspiration, precipitation data quality, natural variation, ENSO, La Niña, drought attribution, global warming
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