Cited by 3,382Hydrology and Drought AnalysisClimate variability and modelsPlant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics

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Global warming and changes in drought

Trenberth, Kevin E., Dai, Aiguo, van der Schrier, Gerard, Jones, Philip D., Barichivich, Jonathan, Briffa, Keith R., Sheffield, Justin·2014·Nature Climate Change

DOI 10.1038/nclimate2067

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Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America
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South Asian river basins in a 1.5 °C warmer world
Lutz, A., ter Maat, H. W., Wijngaard, R. R., Biemans, H., Syed, A., Shrestha, A. B., Wester, P., & Immerzeel, W. W. (2018) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-018-1433-4 · Cited by 83
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“The United Nations estimates that five billion people may suffer from water shortages by 2050 (Trenberth et al. 2014).”
Background
Application of Remote Sensing in Detecting and Monitoring Water Stress in Forests
Le, T. S., Harper, R. J., & Dell, B. (2023) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs15133360 · Cited by 80
Propagation of forcing and model uncertainties on to hydrological drought characteristics in a multi-model century-long experiment in large river basins
Samaniego, L., Kumar, R., Breuer, L., Chamorro, A., Flörke, M., Pechlivanidis, I. G., Schäfer, D., Shah, H. L., Vetter, T., Wortmann, M., et al. (2016) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1778-y · Cited by 81
“…historical meteorological observations and those related to the modeling chains used to estimate drought indices and/or derived characteristics have not yet led to conclusive results with respect to the effects of global warming on droughts (Dai 2013; Sheffield et al. 2013; Trenberth et al. 2014).”
Background
National-scale analysis of simulated hydrological droughts (1891–2015)
Rudd, A. C., Bell, V. A., & Kay, A. L. (2017) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.05.018 · Cited by 80
“Similarly, Sheffield et al. (2012) find little change in meteorological drought globally over 1950-2010, although this is the subject of debate as there have been a number of studies producing apparently conflicting results (Trenberth et al. 2014).”
Result
The first global multi-timescale daily SPEI dataset from 1982 to 2021
Liu, X., Yu, S., Yang, Z., Dong, J., & Peng, J. (2024) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-024-03047-z · Cited by 91
“As global warming accelerates the terrestrial water cycle 12 , droughts have increased substantially in many regions 13,14 and are projected to become more frequent, severer and longer in the warmer future 1,15 .”
Background
Assessing the response of vegetation photosynthesis to meteorological drought across northern China
Xu, H., Wang, X., Zhao, C., & Yang, X. (2020) · Land Degradation and Development · doi:10.1002/ldr.3701 · Cited by 75
Projected changes in temperature, precipitation and potential evapotranspiration across Indus River Basin at 1.5–3.0 °C warming levels using CMIP6-GCMs
Mondal, S. K., Tao, H., Huang, J., Wang, Y., Su, B., Zhai, J., Jing, C., Wen, S., Jiang, S., Chen, Z., et al. (2021) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147867 · Cited by 79
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Assessment of droughts and wheat yield loss on the North China Plain with an aggregate drought index (ADI) approach
Wang, S., Mo, X., Hu, S., Liu, S., & Liu, Z. (2018) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.12.047 · Cited by 79
Land carbon models underestimate the severity and duration of drought’s impact on plant productivity
Kolus, H. R., Huntzinger, D. N., Schwalm, C. R., Fisher, J. B., McKay, N. P., Fang, Y., Michalak, A. M., Schaefer, K. M., Wei, Y., Poulter, B., et al. (2019) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-019-39373-1 · Cited by 78
Remote sensing of forest die-off in the Anthropocene: From plant ecophysiology to canopy structure
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What are social-ecological systems and social-ecological systems research?
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“Although PET is usually calculated by means of the Penman–Monteith's approach (Allen et al., 2006; Sheffield et al., 2012; Trenberth et al., 2014), such method is not free from criticism due to specific thresholds and unlimited supply of moisture, that is not realistic in very dry conditions…”
BackgroundMethod
Substantial increase of compound droughts and heatwaves in wheat growing seasons worldwide
He, Y., Fang, J., Xu, W., & Shi, P. (2021) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.7518 · Cited by 83
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Background
Early Drought Stress Warning in Plants: Color Pictures of Photosystem II Photochemistry
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Spatial-temporal patterns of land surface evapotranspiration from global products
Tang, R., Peng, Z., Liu, M., Li, Z.-L., Jiang, Y., Hu, Y., Huang, L., Wang, Y., Wang, J., Li, J., et al. (2024) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2024.114066 · Cited by 88
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Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Zabalza, J., Borràs, G., López‐Moreno, J. I., Plà, E., Pascual, D., Savé, R., Biel, C., Funes, I., Azorín-Molina, C., et al. (2017) · Journal of Hydrology Regional Studies · doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.01.004 · Cited by 87
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“The observed changes are also confounded by the uncertainties in data, methodology, and metrics of hydrological changes [ Kumar et al ., 2009; Shefﬁeld et al ., 2012; Allan , 2014; Greve et al ., 2014; Trenberth et al ., 2014].”
A regionally-adapted implementation of conservation agriculture delivers rapid improvements to soil properties associated with crop yield stability
Williams, A., Jordan, N. R., Smith, R. G., Hunter, M. C., Kammerer, M. A., Kane, D. A., Koide, R. T., & Davis, A. S. (2018) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-018-26896-2 · Cited by 86
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BackgroundMethod
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Drought risk assessment under climate change is sensitive to methodological choices for the estimation of evaporative demand
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Knapp, A. K., Condon, K. V., Folks, C. C., Sturchio, M. A., Griffin‐Nolan, R. J., Kannenberg, S. A., Gill, A. S., Hajek, O. L., Siggers, J. A., & Smith, M. D. (2023) · Functional Ecology · doi:10.1111/1365-2435.14460 · Cited by 78
Carbon uptake and water use in woodlands and forests in southern Australia during an extreme heat wave event in the “Angry Summer” of 2012/2013
van Gorsel, E., Wolf, S., Cleverly, J., Isaac, P. R., Haverd, V., Ewenz, C., Arndt, S. K., Beringer, J., de Dios, V. R., Evans, B., et al. (2016) · Biogeosciences · doi:10.5194/bg-13-5947-2016 · Cited by 76
“As heat waves increase in frequency, duration and intensity in the future (Trenberth et al., 2014), however, we expect a decline in the ameliorating effects of intermittent rain events and an increased risk of mortality.”
Influential
Drought Atlas of India, 1901–2020
Chuphal, D. S., Kushwaha, A. P., Aadhar, S., & Mishra, V. K. (2024) · Scientific Data · doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02856-y · Cited by 78
Dry and hot: the hydraulic consequences of a climate change–type drought for Amazonian trees
Fontes, C. G., Dawson, T. E., Jardine, K. J., McDowell, N. G., Gimenez, B., Anderegg, L. D. L., Negrón-Juárez, R. I., Higuchi, N., Fine, P. V. A., de Araújo, A. C., et al. (2018) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2018.0209 · Cited by 78
Combined Use of Multiple Drought Indices for Global Assessment of Dry Gets Drier and Wet Gets Wetter Paradigm
Yang, T., Ding, J., Liu, D., Wang, X., & Wang, T. (2018) · Journal of Climate · doi:10.1175/jcli-d-18-0261.1 · Cited by 76
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“Climate change will increase the frequency and severity of drought events in numerous regions [11–14], leading to dramatic impacts on crop growth and productivity [12].”
Background
Ch. 1: Our Globally Changing Climate. Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I
Wuebbles, D. J., Easterling, D. R., Hayhoe, K., Knutson, T. R., Kopp, R. E., Kossin, J. P., Kunkel, K. E., LeGrande, A. N., Mears, C. A., Sweet, W., et al. (2017) · doi:10.7930/j08s4n35 · Cited by 82
Future Intensification of the Water Cycle with an Enhanced Annual Cycle over Global Land Monsoon Regions
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A multi-index evaluation of changes in compound dry and hot events of global maize areas
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Management of phosphorus nutrient amid climate change for sustainable agriculture
Maharajan, T., Ceasar, S. A., Krishna, T. P. A., & Savarimuthu Ignacimuthu, S. J. (2021) · Journal of Environmental Quality · doi:10.1002/jeq2.20292 · Cited by 80
Impact of oceans on climate change in drylands
Guan, X., Ma, J., Huang, J., Huang, R., Zhang, L., & Ma, Z. (2019) · Science China Earth Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11430-018-9317-8 · Cited by 74
Quantitative vulnerability assessment of water quality to extreme drought in a changing climate
Kim, J., Jain, S., Lee, J.-H., Chen, H., & Park, S.-Y. (2019) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.04.052 · Cited by 73
Review of broad-scale drought monitoring of forests: Toward an integrated data mining approach
Norman, S. P., Koch, F. H., & Hargrove, W. W. (2016) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2016.06.027 · Cited by 73
“Generally, normal values are estimated using a long reference period (30 years or more) that is intended to sample natural variation sufficiently (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
Background
Estimating tree canopy cover percentage in a mediterranean silvopastoral systems using Sentinel-2A imagery and the stochastic gradient boosting algorithm
Godinho, S., Guiomar, N., & Gil, A. (2017) · International Journal of Remote Sensing · doi:10.1080/01431161.2017.1399480 · Cited by 72
“likely to increase in severity and duration as a consequence of climate change (Prudhomme et al. 2014; Trenberth et al. 2014; Vrochidou et al. 2013), have led to a widespread degradation of SPS (e.”
Background
Drought and Distress in Southeastern Australia
Hanigan, I. C., Schirmer, J., & Niyonsenga, T. (2018) · EcoHealth · doi:10.1007/s10393-018-1339-0 · Cited by 72
Impact of nutrients and water level changes on submerged macrophytes along a temperature gradient: A pan‐European mesocosm experiment
Ersoy, Z., Scharfenberger, U., Baho, D. L., Bucak, T., Feldmann, T., Hejzlar, J., Levi, E. E., Mahdy, A., Nõges, T., Papastergiadou, E., et al. (2020) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.15338 · Cited by 72
A composite drought index developed for detecting large-scale drought characteristics
Faiz, M. A., Zhang, Y., Zhang, X., Ma, N., Aryal, S., Ha, T. T. V., Baig, F., & Naz, F. (2021) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127308 · Cited by 72
Can southern Australian rainfall decline be explained? A review of possible drivers
McKay, R. C., Boschat, G., Rudeva, I., Pepler, A. S., Purich, A., Dowdy, A. J., Hope, P. K., Gillett, Z. E., & RAUNIYAR, S. P. (2023) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.820 · Cited by 79
Assessing vegetation resilience and vulnerability to drought events in Central Asia
Jiang, L., Liu, B., Guo, H., Yuan, Y., Liu, W., & Jiapaer, G. (2024) · Journal of Hydrology · doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131012 · Cited by 74
Spring-summer droughts in the Czech Land in 1805-2012 and their forcings
Brázdil, R., Trnka, M., Mikšovský, J., Řezníčková, L., & Dobrovolný, P. (2014) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.4065 · Cited by 72
“The SPEI was introduced by Vicente-Serrano et al. (2010) to improve the original SPI concept.”
Method
Contribution of water-limited ecoregions to their own supply of rainfall
Miralles, D. G., Nieto, R., McDowell, N. G., Dorigo, W. A., Verhoest, N. E. C., Liu, Y., Teuling, A. J., Dolman, A. J., Good, S. P., & Gimeno, L. (2016) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124007 · Cited by 77
The Responses of Plant Leaf CO2/H2O Exchange and Water Use Efficiency to Drought: A Meta-Analysis
Zhang, J., Jiang, H. T., Song, X., Jin, J., & Zhang, X. (2018) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su10020551 · Cited by 72
Water security under severe drought and climate change: Disparate impacts of the recent severe drought on environmental flows and water supplies in Central California
Stewart, I. T., Rogers, J., & Graham, A. (2020) · Journal of Hydrology X · doi:10.1016/j.hydroa.2020.100054 · Cited by 72
National-scale analysis of future river flow and soil moisture droughts: potential changes in drought characteristics
Rudd, A. C., Kay, A. L., & Bell, V. A. (2019) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02528-0 · Cited by 78
“Globally there is currently conflicting evidence (Trenberth et al. 2014) as to whether droughts are changing (Sheffield et al. 2012; Dai 2013; Damberg and AghaKouchak 2014).”
Integrated drought vulnerability and risk assessment for future scenarios: An indicator based analysis
Wang, T., & Sun, F. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165591 · Cited by 71
Ectomycorrhizal inoculation with Pisolithus tinctorius reduces stress induced by drought in cork oak
Sebastiana, M., da Silva, A. B., Matos, A. R., Alcântara, A., Silvestre, S., & Malhó, R. (2018) · Mycorrhiza · doi:10.1007/s00572-018-0823-2 · Cited by 71
Storm Water Management and Flood Control in Sponge City Construction of Beijing
Zhang, S., Li, Y., Ma, M., Song, T., & Song, R. (2018) · Water · doi:10.3390/w10081040 · Cited by 71
“With global warming, rainstorms and other extreme weather events are occurring frequently, leading to flood and non-point source pollution [1].”
Background
Applicability of long-term satellite-based precipitation products for drought indices considering global warming
Bai, X., Shen, W. H., Wu, X., & Wang, P. (2019) · Journal of Environmental Management · doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109846 · Cited by 70
Forecasting dryland vegetation condition months in advance through satellite data assimilation
Tian, S., van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Tregoning, P., & Renzullo, L. J. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08403-x · Cited by 73
Drought Monitoring and Performance Evaluation Based on Machine Learning Fusion of Multi-Source Remote Sensing Drought Factors
Zhao, Y., Zhang, J., Bai, Y., Zhang, S., Yang, S., Henchiri, M., Seka, A. M., & Nanzad, L. (2022) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs14246398 · Cited by 74
Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions—A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran
Kamali, B., Kouchi, D. H., Yang, H., & Abbaspour, K. C. (2017) · Water · doi:10.3390/w9040241 · Cited by 70
High-resolution spatio-temporal analyses of drought episodes in the western Mediterranean basin (Spanish mainland, Iberian Peninsula)
Hidalgo, J. C. G., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Peña‐Angulo, D., Salinas, C., Tomàs‐Burguera, M., & Beguerı́a, S. (2018) · Acta Geophysica · doi:10.1007/s11600-018-0138-x · Cited by 71
“Various studies have suggested a possible role of global warming on drought severity on the global scale (e.g., Trenberth et al. 2014) following intensification of the hydrological cycle as a consequence of increased AED (Huntington 2006).”
Background
Impact of forest maintenance on water shortages: Hydrologic modeling and effects of climate change
Luo, P., Zhou, M., Deng, H., Lyu, J., Cao, W., Takara, K., Nover, D. M., & Schladow, S. G. (2017) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.044 · Cited by 70
“Human activities have caused increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO2 and other gases in the atmosphere which lead to increases in potential evapotranspiration and, as a consequence, surface heating (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
Background
On observed aridity changes over the semiarid regions of India in a warming climate
Ramarao, M. V. S., Sanjay, J., Krishnan, R., Mujumdar, M., Bazaz, A. B., & Revi, A. (2018) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2513-6 · Cited by 69
“However, in reality, the reliable PET estimation is subjected to the uncertainty on account of many existing formulae and different input data reliabilities (Kingston et al. 2009; Sheffield et al. 2012; Trenberth et al. 2014).”
Background
Potential and environmental control of carbon sequestration in major ecosystems across arid and semi-arid regions in China
Gu, Q., Jin, W., Luo, S., Ma, M., & Tang, X. (2018) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.139 · Cited by 69
Characterising groundwater–surface water interactions in idealised ephemeral stream systems
Miguitama, E. Q., Singer, M. B., & Cuthbert, M. O. (2020) · Hydrological Processes · doi:10.1002/hyp.13847 · Cited by 76
“Such regions sustain a high population, more than 38% of the global population (GLP, 2005; Reynolds et al., 2007), who mostly rely on groundwater resources as their primary source of freshwater (Dai, 2012; Feng & Fu, 2013; Huang, Yu, Guan, Wang, & Guo, 2015; IPCC, 2013; Trenberth et al., 2013).”
Background
Higher groundwater levels in western Europe characterize warm periods in the Common Era
Tegel, W., Seim, A., Skiadaresis, G., Ljungqvist, F. C., Kahle, H., Land, A., Muigg, B., Nicolussi, K., & Büntgen, U. (2020) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-020-73383-8 · Cited by 69
Components of Himalayan River Flows in a Changing Climate
Chandel, V., & Ghosh, S. (2021) · Water Resources Research · doi:10.1029/2020wr027589 · Cited by 69
“The intensity of summer heatwaves and droughts have increased over the years and are expected to increase further (King & Karoly, 2017; Nangombe et al., 2018; Samaniego et al., 2018; Sun et al., 2014; Trenberth et al., 2014) affecting food production globally (Biemans et al.”
Background
Comparison of bacterial and fungal diversity and network connectivity in karst and non-karst forests in southwest China
Xiao, D., He, X., Zhang, W., Hu, P., Sun, M., & Wang, K. (2022) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153179 · Cited by 70
Drought effect on biocrust resilience: High-speed winds result in crust burial and crust rupture and flaking
Kidron, G. J., Wang, Y., Starinsky, A., & Herzberg, M. (2016) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.11.016 · Cited by 71
“With the increase in drought intensities following global warming (Dai, 2013; Trenberth et al., 2014), all photoautotrophic components of the ecosystem are negatively affected, such as biocrusts, annual plants (Kidron, 2014) and perennials (Kidron, 2015).”
Background
Projected impact of climate change and chemical emissions on the water quality of the European rivers Rhine and Meuse: A drinking water perspective
Sjerps, R., ter Laak, T. L., & Zwolsman, G. (2017) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.05.250 · Cited by 72
“Due to climate change, droughts and floods are increasing in frequency and severity in many regions of theworld (Dai, 2013; IPCC, 2014; Trenberth et al., 2014).”
Background
Experimental Saltwater Intrusion Drives Rapid Soil Elevation and Carbon Loss in Freshwater and Brackish Everglades Marshes
Charles, S. P., Kominoski, J. S., Troxler, T. G., Gaiser, E. E., Servais, S., Wilson, B. J., Davis, S. E., Sklar, F. H., Coronado-Molina, C. A., Madden, C. J., et al. (2019) · Estuaries and Coasts · doi:10.1007/s12237-019-00620-3 · Cited by 69
“coastal wetlands that have anthropogenic reductions in freshwater flows (Ardón et al. 2016; Herbert et al. 2015; Trenberth et al. 2014; Dessu et al. 2018).”
Background
Seasonal and interannual variations in ecosystem respiration in relation to temperature, moisture, and productivity in a temperate semi-arid shrubland
Jia, X., Mu, Y., Zha, T., Wang, B., Qin, S., & Tian, Y. (2019) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.136210 · Cited by 68
Drought trend, frequency and extremity across a wide range of climates over Iran
Nouri, M., & Homaee, M. (2020) · Meteorological Applications · doi:10.1002/met.1899 · Cited by 69
Evaluation of CMIP5 models and projected changes in temperatures over South Asia under global warming of 1.5 oC, 2 oC, and 3 oC
Ullah, S., You, Q., Zhang, Y., Bhatti, A. S., Ullah, W., Hagan, D. F. T., Ali, A., Ali, G., Jan, M. A., Khan, S. N., et al. (2020) · Atmospheric Research · doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105122 · Cited by 68
Exogenous Application of Methyl Jasmonate and Salicylic Acid Mitigates Drought-Induced Oxidative Damages in French Bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.)
Mohi-Ud-Din, M., Talukder, D., Rohman, M., Ahmed, J., Jagadish, S. V. K., Islam, T., & Hasanuzzaman, M. (2021) · Plants · doi:10.3390/plants10102066 · Cited by 67
“Frequent, longer, and more severe droughts, accompanied by erratic rainfall, are expected in the 21st century across many regions of the world [8,9], including Bangladesh [10], due to the fact of climate change.”
Background
Human-caused long-term changes in global aridity
Chai, R., Mao, J., Chen, H., Wang, Y., Shi, X., Jin, M., Zhao, T., Hoffman, F. M., Ricciuto, D. M., & Wullschleger, S. D. (2021) · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science · doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00223-5 · Cited by 71
Poly-γ-glutamic acid enhanced the drought resistance of maize by improving photosynthesis and affecting the rhizosphere microbial community
Ma, H., Li, P., Liu, X., Li, C., Zhang, S., Wang, X., & Tao, X. (2022) · BMC Plant Biology · doi:10.1186/s12870-021-03392-w · Cited by 68
Anthropogenic and atmospheric variability intensifies flash drought episodes in South Asia
Ullah, I., Mukherjee, S., Syed, S., Mishra, A. K., Ayugi, B. O., & Aadhar, S. (2024) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01390-y · Cited by 72
Irrigation vulnerability assessment on agricultural water supply risk for adaptive management of climate change in South Korea
Nam, W., Choi, J., & Hong, E. (2015) · Agricultural Water Management · doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2015.01.012 · Cited by 73
Drought and food security – Improving decision-support via new technologies and innovative collaboration
Enenkel, M., See, L., Bonifácio, R., Boken, V. K., Chaney, N. W., Vinck, P., You, L., Dutra, E., & Anderson, M. C. (2014) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2014.08.005 · Cited by 68
“, 2012) and climate change impacts on global drought patterns (Trenberth et al., 2014) and global food security remain controversial and uncertain (Wheeler and Braun, 2013).”
Background
X‐ray microtomography observations of xylem embolism in stems of Laurus nobilis are consistent with hydraulic measurements of percentage loss of conductance
Nardini, A., Savi, T., Losso, A., Petit, G., Pacilè, S., Tromba, G., Mayr, S., Trifilò, P., Gullo, M. A. L., & Salleo, S. (2016) · New Phytologist · doi:10.1111/nph.14245 · Cited by 68
“Ongoing climate changes and the related increase in the severity of drought events (Trenberth et al. , 2014; Diffenbaugh et al. , 2015) are posing serious challenges to survival and productivity of forests and crops (Allen et al. , 2015; Lesk et al. , 2016).”
Background
Tree diversity mitigates defoliation after a drought‐induced tipping point
Sousa‐Silva, R., Verheyen, K., Ponette, Q., Bay, E., Sioen, G., Titeux, H., de Peer, T. V., Meerbeek, K. V., & Muys, B. (2018) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.14326 · Cited by 72
Seven decades of climate change across Mexico
Tortarolo, G. N. M. (2020) · Atmósfera · doi:10.20937/atm.52803 · Cited by 67
“Similarly, over the past two decades we have seen changes in precipitation seasonality (Chou et al., 2013; Feng et al., 2013), in hurricane intensity (Knutson et al., 2013) and on the strength of droughts (Trenberth et al., 2014).”
Background
Downscaling Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence Based on Convolutional Neural Network Method to Monitor Agricultural Drought
Zhang, Z., Xu, W., Qin, Q., & Long, Z. (2020) · IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing · doi:10.1109/tgrs.2020.2999371 · Cited by 70
Mapping future droughts under global warming across China: A combined multi-timescale meteorological drought index and SOM-Kmeans approach
Zeng, P., Sun, F., Liu, Y., Wang, Y., Li, G., & Che, Y. (2021) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2021.100304 · Cited by 68
Response of Gross Primary Productivity to Drought Time‐Scales Across China
Sun, S., Du, W., Song, Z., Zhang, D., Wu, X., Chen, B., & Wu, Y. (2021) · Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences · doi:10.1029/2020jg005953 · Cited by 63
“The frequency and intensity of drought have increased across the world during the last several decades, and are projected to worsen in the 21st century with further global warming (Trenberth et al., 2013; S. Zhou et al., 2019).”
Background
Bless or curse, how does extreme temperature shape heavy pollution companies' ESG performance?-Evidence from China
Liang, Y., Tan, Q., & Pang, J. (2024) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107378 · Cited by 67
Evaluation of TRMM 3B43 Precipitation Data for Drought Monitoring in Jiangsu Province, China
Tao, H., Fischer, T., Zeng, Y., & Fraedrich, K. (2016) · Water · doi:10.3390/w8060221 · Cited by 67
“Research on droughts has received special attention in recent years due to concerns over global climate change [1–3].”
Background
Copulas-Based Drought Characteristics Analysis and Risk Assessment across the Loess Plateau of China
She, D., & Xia, J. (2017) · Water Resources Management · doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1826-z · Cited by 67
Drought induced changes of leaf-to-root relationships in two tomato genotypes
Moles, T. M., Mariotti, L., Pedro, L. F. D., Guglielminetti, L., Picciarelli, P., & Scartazza, A. (2018) · Plant Physiology and Biochemistry · doi:10.1016/j.plaphy.2018.05.008 · Cited by 67
Contributing factors for drought in United States forest ecosystems under projected future climates and their uncertainty
Luce, C. H., Vose, J. M., Pederson, N., Campbell, J. L., Millar, C. I., Kormos, P. R., & Woods, R. A. (2016) · Forest Ecology and Management · doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.020 · Cited by 67
“At present, there is substantial disagreement about whether climate change will increase drought occurrence, frequency, or severity (Dai, 2011; Seneviratne et al., 2012; Sheffield et al., 2012; IPCC, 2013; Roderick et al., 2014, 2015; Trenberth et al., 2014; Cook et al., 2015).”
Background
Investigating spatiotemporal snow cover variability via cloud-free MODIS snow cover product in Central Alborz Region
Dariane, A. B., Khoramian, A., & Santi, E. (2017) · Remote Sensing of Environment · doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.05.042 · Cited by 66
Analysis of Climate Extreme Indices in the MATOPIBA Region, Brazil
dos Reis, L. C., Silva, C. M. S. E., Bezerra, B. G., Mutti, P. R., Spyrides, M. H. C., & da Silva, P. E. (2020) · Pure and Applied Geophysics · doi:10.1007/s00024-020-02474-4 · Cited by 66
Combined impacts of the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on global droughts assessed using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index
Nguyen, P. L., Min, S., & Kim, Y. (2020) · International Journal of Climatology · doi:10.1002/joc.6796 · Cited by 72
Genomic basis for drought resistance in European beech forests threatened by climate change
Pfenninger, M., Reuss, F., Kiebler, A., Schönnenbeck, P., Caliendo, C., Gerber, S., Cocchiararo, B., Reuter, S., Blüthgen, N., Mody, K., et al. (2021) · eLife · doi:10.7554/elife.65532 · Cited by 68
“The drought dynamics suggested that the years 2018 and 2019 were not outliers, but rather part of a long-term, accelerating trend ( Figure 1C ), following the overall global pattern ( Bu¨ntgen et al., 2021 ; Trenberth et al., 2014 ).”
Background
SurEau-Ecos v2.0: a trait-based plant hydraulics model for simulations of plant water status and drought-induced mortality at the ecosystem level
Ruffault, J., Pimont, F., Cochard, H., Dupuy, J., & Martin-StPaul, N. K. (2022) · Geoscientific model development · doi:10.5194/gmd-15-5593-2022 · Cited by 70

Authors: Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., van der Schrier, G., Jones, P. D., Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., & Sheffield, J.
Affiliations: NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US)
University of East Anglia (GB)
Princeton University (US)
Corresponding author: Trenberth, Kevin E.
ORCID: Trenberth, Kevin E.
Dai, Aiguo
Jones, Philip D.
Barichivich, Jonathan
Briffa, Keith R.
Sheffield, Justin
Venue: Nature Climate Change
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 2013-12-20
Volume: 4
Issue: 1
Pages: 17-22
ISSN: 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
1758-6798
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2067
OpenAlex: W2108886061
Cited by: 3,382
References: 41
Citations by year: 2026: 299 · 2025: 317 · 2024: 360 · 2023: 347 · 2022: 397 · 2021: 399 · 2020: 332 · 2019: 243 · 2018: 232 · 2017: 170 · 2016: 148 · 2015: 89 · 2014: 42 · 2013: 1
FWCI: 71.19
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (acceptedVersion)
HAL (submittedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
ePrints Soton (University of Southampton) (submittedVersion)
Oskar-Bordeaux (Universite de Bordeaux) (submittedVersion)
Funders: U.S. Department of Energy (DESC0005689)
Natural Environment Research Council (NE/G018863/1)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
Keywords: drought, climate change impacts, Palmer Drought Severity Index, evapotranspiration, precipitation data quality, natural variation, ENSO, La Niña, drought attribution, global warming

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