Cited by 317Mental Health Research TopicsPsychometric Methodologies and TestingAcademic and Historical Perspectives in Psychology

Lack of theory building and testing impedes progress in the factor and network literature

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Fried, Eiko I.·2020·Psychological Inquiry

Abstract

The applied social science literature using factor and network models continues to grow rapidly. Most work reads like an exercise in model fitting, and falls short of theory building and testing in three ways. First, statistical and theoretical models are conflated, leading to invalid inferences such as the existence of psychological constructs based on factor models, or recommendations for clinical interventions based on network models. I demonstrate this inferential gap in a simulation: excellent model fit does little to corroborate a theory, regardless of quality or quantity of data. Second, researchers fail to explicate theories about psychological constructs, but use implicit causal beliefs to guide inferences. These latent theories have led to problematic best practices. Third, explicated theories are often weak theories: imprecise descriptions vulnerable to hidden assumptions and unknowns. Such theories do not offer precise predictions, and it is often unclear whether statistical effects actually corroborate weak theories or not. I demonstrate that these three challenges are common and harmful, and impede theory formation, failure, and reform. Matching theoretical and statistical models is necessary to bring data to bear on theories, and a renewed focus on theoretical psychology and formalizing theories offers a way forward.

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Authors
Fried, E. I.
Affiliations
Leiden University (NL)
Corresponding author
Fried, Eiko I.
Venue
Psychological Inquiry
Published
2020-10
Volume
31
Issue
4
Pages
271-288
ISSN
  • 1047-840X (ISSN-L)
  • 1532-7965
OpenAlex
W3005081886
Cited by
317
References
155
Citations by year
2026: 30 · 2025: 40 · 2024: 49 · 2023: 70 · 2022: 67 · 2021: 51 · 2020: 10
FWCI
47.89
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Psychological Inquiry (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints) (submittedVersion)
  • Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Mental Health Research Topics
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Psychometric Methodologies and Testing
  • Social Sciences › Psychology › General Psychology › Academic and Historical Perspectives in Psychology
Keywords
factor models, network models, theory development, theory testing, psychological constructs, causal beliefs, weak theory, simulation study, theoretical psychology, formalization of theories, model fit

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