Exponential versus hyperbolic discounting of delayed outcomes: Risk and waiting time.
Abstract
Frequently, animals must choose between more immediate, smaller rewards and more delayed, but larger rewards. For example, they often must decide between accepting a smaller prey item versus continuing to search for a larger one, or between entering a leaner patch versus travelling to a richer patch that is further away. In both situations, choice of the more immediate, but smaller reward may be interpreted as implying that the value of the later reward is discounted; that is, the value of the later reward decreases as the delay to its receipt increases. This decrease in value may occur because of the increased risk involved in waiting for rewards, or because of the decreased rate of reward associated with increased waiting time. The present research attempts to determine the form of the relation between value and delay, and examines implications of this relation for mechanisms underlying risk-sensitive foraging. Two accounts of the relation between value and delay have been proposed to describe the decrease in value resulting from increases in delay: an exponential model and a hyperbolic model. Our research demonstrates that, of the two, a hyperbola-like discounting model consistently explains more of the variance in temporal discounting data at the group level and, importantly, at the individual level as well. We show mathematically that the hyperbolic model shares fundamental features with models of prey and patch choice. In addition, the present review highlights the implications of a psychological perspective for the behavioral biology of risksensitive foraging, as well as the implications of an ecological perspective for the behavioral psychology of risk-sensitive choice and decision-making.
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Green et al. (1996) found that for both lower and higher income older adult groups, their discounting data were well described by a hyperbola (Equation 2).
“Green et al. (1996) observed that for both groups, their data were well described by a hyperbola (Equation 2)”
From A Discounting Framework for Choice With Delayed and Probabilistic Rewards. (2004) · cites this paper as Green et al. (1996)
Lower income older adults discounted delayed rewards much more steeply than higher income older adults.
“the lower income older adults discounted delayed rewards much more steeply than the higher income older groups.”
From A Discounting Framework for Choice With Delayed and Probabilistic Rewards. (2004) · cites this paper as Green et al. (1996)
Among upper income adults, no age difference in discounting was observed between a younger group (mean age 33 years) and older groups (mean age 71 years).
“A younger group (mean age = 33 years) of upper income adults was also tested, and no age difference was observed between the two upper income groups.”
From A Discounting Framework for Choice With Delayed and Probabilistic Rewards. (2004) · cites this paper as Green et al. (1996)
Green et al.'s (1996) results run counter to what would be expected on the basis of the effect of amount of reward on rate of discounting.
“yet Green et al.’s (1996) results run counter to what would be expected on the basis of the effect of amount of reward on rate of discounting.”
From A Discounting Framework for Choice With Delayed and Probabilistic Rewards. (2004) · cites this paper as Green et al. (1996)
Green et al.'s (1996) results suggest that low-income individuals discount a given amount more steeply than high-income individuals, even when education is equivalent.
“Yet Green et al.’s (1996) results suggest that the opposite is the case, even when the level of education is equivalent in both groups.”
From A Discounting Framework for Choice With Delayed and Probabilistic Rewards. (2004) · cites this paper as Green et al. (1996)
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- Authors
- GREEN, L., & MYERSON, J.
- Affiliations
- Washington University in St. Louis (US)
- Venue
- American Zoologist
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 1996-09
- Volume
- 36
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 496-505
- ISSN
- 0003-1569 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2084762552
- Cited by
- 294
- References
- 22
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 17 · 2013: 15 · 2012: 17
- FWCI
- 4.07
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Zoologist (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Animal Behavior and Reproduction
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Keywords
- delay discounting, hyperbolic discounting, exponential discounting, delayed rewards, risk-sensitive foraging, waiting time, prey selection, patch selection, foraging decisions
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