Importance of Age of Onset in Pancreatic Cancer Kindreds
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Young-onset cancer is a hallmark of many familial cancer syndromes, yet the implications of young-onset disease in predicting risk of pancreatic cancer among familial pancreatic cancer (FPC) kindred members remain unclear. METHODS: To understand the relationship between age at onset of pancreatic cancer and risk of pancreatic cancer in kindred members, we compared the observed incidence of pancreatic cancer in 9040 individuals from 1718 kindreds enrolled in the National Familial Pancreas Tumor Registry with that observed in the general US population (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results). Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated for data stratified by familial vs sporadic cancer kindred membership, number of affected relatives, youngest age of onset among relatives, and smoking status. Competing risk survival analyses were performed to examine the risk of pancreatic cancer and risk of death from other causes according to youngest age of onset of pancreatic cancer in the family and the number of affected relatives. RESULTS: Risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated in both FPC kindred members (SIR = 6.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.54 to 9.75, P < .001) and sporadic pancreatic cancer (SPC) kindred members (SIR = 2.41, 95% CI = 1.04 to 4.74, P = .04) compared with the general population. The presence of a young-onset patient (<50 years) in the family did not alter the risk for SPC kindred members (SIR = 2.74, 95% CI = 0.05 to 15.30, P = .59) compared with those without a young-onset case in the kindred (SIR = 2.36, 95% CI = 0.95 to 4.88, P = .06). However, risk was higher among members of FPC kindreds with a young-onset case in the kindred (SIR = 9.31, 95% CI = 3.42 to 20.28, P < .001) than those without a young-onset case in the kindred (SIR = 6.34, 95% CI = 4.02 to 9.51, P < .001). Competing risk survival analyses indicated that the lifetime risk of pancreatic cancer in FPC kindreds increased with decreasing age of onset in the kindred (hazard ratio = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.19 to 2.03 per year). However, youngest age of onset for pancreatic cancer in the kindred did not affect the risk among SPC kindred members. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with a family history of pancreatic cancer are at a statistically significantly increased risk of developing pancreatic cancer. Having a member of the family with a young-onset pancreatic cancer confers an added risk in FPC kindreds.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Most pancreatic surveillance programmes lower the age at which surveillance is initiated for individuals with a first-degree relative with young-onset pancreatic cancer (age <50).
“Most pancreatic surveillance programmes lower the age at which surveillance is initiated for individuals with a first-degree relative with young-onset pancreatic cancer (age <50).”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data.
Aitkin, M. A., Kalbfleisch, J. D., & Prentice, R. L. (1981) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2530581 · Cited by 9,875 · see citing works
Jemal, A., Siegel, R., Ward, E., Hao, Y., Xu, J., & Thun, M. J. (2009) · CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians · doi:10.3322/caac.20006 · Cited by 9,709 · see citing works
The Jackknife, the Bootstrap and Other Resampling Plans
Efron, B. (1982) · Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics eBooks · doi:10.1137/1.9781611970319 · Cited by 8,120 · see citing works
Statistical Methods in Cancer Research
Breslow, N. E. (1980) · Cited by 7,332 · see citing works
Core Signaling Pathways in Human Pancreatic Cancers Revealed by Global Genomic Analyses
Jones, S., Zhang, X., Parsons, D. W., Lin, J. C.-H., Leary, R. J., Angenendt, P., Mankoo, P., Carter, H., Kamiyama, H., Jimeno, A., et al. (2008) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1164368 · Cited by 3,969 · see citing works
Self-citationRegression Using Fractional Polynomials of Continuous Covariates: Parsimonious Parametric Modelling
Royston, P. J., & Altman, D. G. (1994) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics) · doi:10.2307/2986270 · Cited by 1,797 · see citing works
Smithers, D. W. (1956) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(56)91184-9 · Cited by 1,796 · see citing works
Hereditary pancreatitis is caused by a mutation in the cationic trypsinogen gene
Whitcomb, D. C., Gorry, M. C., Preston, R. A., Furey, W. F., Sossenheimer, M. J., Ulrich, C. D., Martin, S. P., Gates, L. K., Amann, S. T., Toskes, P. P., et al. (1996) · Nature Genetics · doi:10.1038/ng1096-141 · Cited by 1,616 · see citing works
The Analysis of Failure Times in the Presence of Competing Risks
Prentice, R. L., Kalbfleisch, J. D., Peterson, A. V., Flournoy, N., Farewell, V. T., & Breslow, N. E. (1978) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2530374 · Cited by 1,544 · see citing works
Competing Risk Regression Models for Epidemiologic Data
Lau, B., Cole, S. R., & Gange, S. J. (2009) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwp107 · Cited by 1,405 · see citing works
Self-citationThe use of fractional polynomials to model continuous risk variables in epidemiology
Royston, P., Ambler, G., & Sauerbrei, W. (1999) · International Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/ije/28.5.964 · Cited by 1,066 · see citing works
Epidemiologic Analysis with a Programmable Calculator
Rothman, K. J., Boice, H. D., & Austin, H. D. (1982) · American Journal of Epidemiology · Cited by 1,041 · see citing works
Applying Cox Regression to Competing Risks
Lunn, M., & McNeil, D. (1995) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2532940 · Cited by 1,017 · see citing works
Exomic Sequencing Identifies <i>PALB2</i> as a Pancreatic Cancer Susceptibility Gene
Jones, S., Hruban, R. H., Kamiyama, M., Borges, M., Zhang, X., Parsons, D. W., Lin, J. C.-H., Palmisano, E., Brune, K., Jaffee, E. M., et al. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1171202 · Cited by 826 · see citing works
Self-citationProspective Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Familial Pancreatic Cancer Kindreds
Klein, A. P., Brune, K. A., Petersen, G. M., Goggins, M., Tersmette, A. C., Offerhaus, G. J. A., Griffin, C., Cameron, J. L., Yeo, C. J., Kern, S., et al. (2004) · Cancer Research · doi:10.1158/0008-5472.can-03-3823 · Cited by 678 · see citing works
Self-citationPhysical Activity, Obesity, Height, and the Risk of Pancreatic Cancer
Michaud, D. S. (2001) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.286.8.921 · Cited by 663 · see citing works
Germline BRCA2 gene mutations in patients with apparently sporadic pancreatic carcinomas.
Goggins, M., Schutte, M. E. M., Lü, J., Moskaluk, C. A., Weinstein, C. L., Petersen, G. M., Yeo, C. J., Jackson, C. E., Lynch, H. T., Hruban, R. H., et al. (1996) · PubMed · Cited by 642 · see citing works
Self-citationIncreased Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Melanoma-Prone Kindreds withp16INK4Mutations
Goldstein, A. M., Fraser, M. C., Struewing, J. P., Hussussian, C. J., Ranade, K., Zametkin, D. P., Fontaine, L. S., Organic, S. M., Dracopoli, N. C., Clark, W. H., et al. (1995) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm199510123331504 · Cited by 620 · see citing works
Tobacco and the risk of pancreatic cancer: a review and meta-analysis
Iodice, S., Gandini, S., Maisonneuve, P., & Lowenfels, A. B. (2008) · Langenbeck s Archives of Surgery · doi:10.1007/s00423-007-0266-2 · Cited by 548 · see citing works
Screening for early pancreatic neoplasia in high-risk individuals: a prospective controlled study
Canto, M. I., Goggins, M., Hruban, R. H., Petersen, G. M., Giardiello, F. M., Yeo, C., Fishman, E. K., Brune, K., Axilbund, J., Griffin, C., et al. (2006) · Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.cgh.2006.02.005 · Cited by 524 · see citing works
Self-citationScreening for pancreatic neoplasia in high-risk individuals: an EUS-based approach
Canto, M. I., Goggins, M., Yeo, C. J., Griffin, C., Axilbund, J. E., Brune, K., Ali, S. Z., Jagannath, S., Petersen, G. M., Fishman, E. K., et al. (2004) · Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1016/s1542-3565(04)00244-7 · Cited by 448 · see citing works
Self-citationSu, G. H., Hruban, R. H., Bansal, R. K., Bova, G. S., Tang, D. J., Shekher, M. C., Westerman, A. M., Entius, M. M., Goggins, M., Yeo, C. J., et al. (1999) · American Journal Of Pathology · doi:10.1016/s0002-9440(10)65440-5 · Cited by 417 · see citing works
Self-citationAGE AT ONSET AS AN INDICATOR OF FAMILIAL RISK OF BREAST CANCER
Claus, E. B., RISCH, N. J., & Thompson, W. D. (1990) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115616 · Cited by 369 · see citing works
A meta-analysis of obesity and the risk of pancreatic cancer
de González, A. B., Sweetland, S., & Spencer, E. (2003) · British Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6601140 · Cited by 349 · see citing works
A Prospective Study of Cigarette Smoking and the Risk of Pancreatic Cancer
Fuchs, C. S. (1996) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.1996.00440180119015 · Cited by 327 · see citing works
Tersmette, A. C., Petersen, G. M., Offerhaus, G. J. A., Falatko, F. C., Brune, K. A., Goggins, M., Rozenblum, E., Wilentz, R. E., Yeo, C. J., Cameron, J. L., et al. (2001) · PubMed · Cited by 307 · see citing works
Self-citationAndea, A. A., Sarkar, F. H., & Adsay, V. N. (2003) · Modern Pathology · doi:10.1097/01.mp.0000087422.24733.62 · Cited by 290 · see citing works
Predictors of pancreatic cancer mortality among a large cohort of United States adults
Coughlin, S. S., Calle, E. E., Patel, A. V., & Thun, M. J. (2000) · Cancer Causes & Control · doi:10.1023/a:1026580131793 · Cited by 275 · see citing works
The Prevalence of BRCA2 Mutations in Familial Pancreatic Cancer
Couch, F. J., Johnson, M. R., Rabe, K. G., Brune, K. A., de Andrade, M., Goggins, M., Rothenmund, H., Gallinger, S., Klein, A. P., Petersen, G. M., et al. (2007) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-06-0783 · Cited by 273 · see citing works
Self-citationPancPRO: Risk Assessment for Individuals With a Family History of Pancreatic Cancer
Wang, W., Chen, S., Brune, K. A., Hruban, R. H., Parmigiani, G., & Klein, A. P. (2007) · Journal of Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1200/jco.2006.09.2452 · Cited by 216 · see citing works
Self-citationGhadirian, P., Boyle, P., Simard, A., Baillargeon, J., Maisonneuve, P., & Perret, C. (1991) · International Journal of Pancreatology · doi:10.1007/bf02924156 · Cited by 192 · see citing works
Prediction of Cumulative Incidence Function under the Proportional Hazards Model
Cheng, S. C., Fine, J. P., & Wei, L. J. (1998) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2534009 · Cited by 156 · see citing works
Brune, K. A., & Klein, A. P. (2008) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-0-387-69252-4_5 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Self-citationPancreatic Cancer Genetic Epidemiology Consortium
Petersen, G. M., de Andrade, M., Goggins, M., Hruban, R. H., Bondy, M. L., Korczak, J. F., Gallinger, S., Lynch, H. T., Syngal, S., Rabe, K. G., et al. (2006) · Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention · doi:10.1158/1055-9965.epi-05-0734 · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Self-citationEvidence for a major gene influencing risk of pancreatic cancer
Klein, A. P., Beaty, T. H., Wilson, J., Brune, K. A., Hruban, R. H., & Petersen, G. M. (2002) · Genetic Epidemiology · doi:10.1002/gepi.1102 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Self-citationFamilial and second primary pancreatic cancers: A nationwide epidemiologic study from Sweden
Hemminki, K., & Li, X. (2002) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.10863 · Cited by 128 · see citing works
Who Should Be Sent for Genetic Testing in Hereditary Colorectal Cancer Syndromes?
Lynch, H. T., Boland, C. R., Rodrı́guez-Bigas, M. A., et al. (2007) · Journal of Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1200/jco.2006.10.3119 · Cited by 125 · see citing works
Estimates of population smoking prevalence: self-vs proxy reports of smoking status.
Gilpin, E. A., Pierce, J. P., Cavin, S. W., Berry, C. C., Evans, N., Johnson, M., & Bal, D. G. (1994) · American Journal of Public Health · doi:10.2105/ajph.84.10.1576 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Prevalence of familial pancreatic cancer in Germany
Bartsch, D. K., Kress, R., Sina‐Frey, M., Grützmann, R., Gerdes, B., Pilarsky, C. P., Heise, J., Schulte, K., Colombo‐Benkmann, M., Schleicher, C., et al. (2004) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.20210 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Growth factors and their receptors in pancreatic cancer
Ozawa, F., Frieß, H., Tempia‐Caliera, A. A., Kleeff, J. H., & B�chler, M. W. (2000) · Teratogenesis Carcinogenesis and Mutagenesis · doi:10.1002/1520-6866(2001)21:1 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Beyersmann, J., Dettenkofer, M., Bertz, H., & Schumacher, M. C. (2007) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.3006 · Cited by 82 · see citing works
Risk factors associated with earlier age of onset in familial pancreatic carcinoma
James, T. A., Sheldon, D. G., Rajput, A., et al. (2004) · Cancer · doi:10.1002/cncr.20700 · Cited by 65 · see citing works
Beyersmann, J., & Schumacher, M. (2006) · Statistics in Medicine · doi:10.1002/sim.2727 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
A Jackknife Estimator of Variance for Cox Regression for Correlated Survival Data
Lipsitz, S. R., & Parzen, M. I. (1996) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2533164 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- [31]Andersen PK Statistical Models Based upon Counting Processes 1993 New York, NY Springer-Verlag
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Epidemiology of Pancreatic Cancer: Global Trends, Etiology and Risk Factors
Rawla, P., Sunkara, T., & Gaduputi, V. (2019) · World Journal of Oncology · doi:10.14740/wjon1166 · Cited by 2,269 · see citing works
Syngal, S., Brand, R. E., Church, J. M., Giardiello, F. M., Hampel, H. L., & Burt, R. W. (2015) · American Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.1038/ajg.2014.435 · Cited by 1,662 · see citing works
Molecular subtypes of pancreatic cancer
Collisson, E. A., Bailey, P., Chang, D. K., & Biankin, A. V. (2019) · Nature Reviews Gastroenterology & Hepatology · doi:10.1038/s41575-019-0109-y · Cited by 892 · see citing works
Canto, M. I., Harinck, F., Hruban, R. H., Offerhaus, G. J., Poley, J.-W., Kamel, I., Nio, Y., Schulick, R. S., Bassi, C., Kluijt, I., et al. (2013) · Gut · doi:10.1136/gutjnl-2012-303108 · Cited by 784 · see citing works
Self-citationGoggins, M., Overbeek, K. A., Brand, R., Syngal, S., Del Chiaro, M., Bartsch, D. K., Bassi, C., Carrato, A., Farrell, J., Fishman, E. K., et al. (2020) · Gut · doi:10.1136/gutjnl-2019-319352 · Cited by 659 · see citing works
Self-citationFrequent detection of pancreatic lesions in asymptomatic high-risk individuals
Canto, M. I., Hruban, R. H., Fishman, E. K., Kamel, I. R., Schulick, R., Zhang, Z., Topazian, M., Takahashi, N., Fletcher, J., Petersen, G., et al. (2012) · Gastroenterology · doi:10.1053/j.gastro.2012.01.005 · Cited by 648 · see citing works
Self-citation<i>ATM</i> Mutations in Patients with Hereditary Pancreatic Cancer
Roberts, N. J., Jiao, Y., Yu, J., Kopelovich, L., Petersen, G. M., Bondy, M. L., Gallinger, S., Schwartz, A. G., Syngal, S., Cote, M. L., et al. (2012) · Cancer Discovery · doi:10.1158/2159-8290.cd-11-0194 · Cited by 491 · see citing works
Self-citationLong-term yield of pancreatic cancer surveillance in high-risk individuals
Overbeek, K. A., Levink, I. J. M., Koopmann, B. D. M., Harinck, F., Konings, I. C. A. W., Ausems, M. G. E. M., Wagner, A., Fockens, P., van Eijck, C. H., Groot Koerkamp, B., et al. (2022) · Gut · doi:10.1136/gutjnl-2020-323611 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Cost-effectiveness of Pancreatic Cancer Surveillance in High-Risk Individuals: An Economic Analysis
Corral, J. E., Das, A., Bruno, M. J., & Wallace, M. B. (2019) · Pancreas · doi:10.1097/mpa.0000000000001268 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
Family history of cancer, Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry, and pancreatic cancer risk
Hamada, T., Yuan, C., Yurgelun, M. B., Perez, K., Khalaf, N., Morales-Oyarvide, V., Babic, A., Nowak, J. A., Rubinson, D. A., Giannakis, M., et al. (2019) · British Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1038/s41416-019-0426-5 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
The role of endoscopic ultrasound in pancreatic cancer screening
Bhutani, M., Koduru, P., Joshi, V., Saxena, P., Suzuki, R., Irisawa, A., & Yamao, K. (2016) · Endoscopic Ultrasound · doi:10.4103/2303-9027.175876 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Screening for Pancreatic Cancer
Lucas, A. L., & Kastrinos, F. (2019) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2019.9690 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Konings, I. C. A. W., Harinck, F., Poley, J.-W., Aalfs, C. M., van Rens, A., Krak, N. C., Wagner, A., Nio, C. Y., Sijmons, R. H., van Dullemen, H. M., et al. (2017) · Pancreas · doi:10.1097/mpa.0000000000000725 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Bannon, S. A., Montiel, M. F., Goldstein, J. B., Dong, W., Mork, M. E., Borras, E., Hasanov, M., Varadhachary, G. R., Maitra, A., Katz, M. H., et al. (2018) · Cancer Prevention Research · doi:10.1158/1940-6207.capr-18-0014 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Surveillance for neoplasia in the pancreas
Overbeek, K. A., Cahen, D. L., Canto, M. I., & Bruno, M. J. (2016) · Best Practice & Research Clinical Gastroenterology · doi:10.1016/j.bpg.2016.10.013 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Self-citationRisk of Pancreatic Cancer in Patients With Pancreatic Cysts and Family History of Pancreatic Cancer
Mukewar, S. S., Sharma, A., Phillip, N., Gupta, R., Aryal-Khanal, A., de Pretis, N., Anani, V., Enders, F. T., Larson, J. J., Takahashi, N., et al. (2018) · Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.cgh.2018.01.049 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
- Authors
- Brune, K. A., Lau, B., Palmisano, E., Canto, M., Goggins, M. G., Hruban, R. H., & Klein, A. P.
- Affiliations
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Klein, A. P.
- Venue
- JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press (OUP)
- Published
- 2010-01-12
- Volume
- 102
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 119-126
- ISSN
- 0027-8874 (ISSN-L)
- 1460-2105
- PMC
- PMC2808346
- OpenAlex
- W2142268074
- Cited by
- 257
- References
- 44
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 19 · 2023: 24 · 2022: 46 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 13 · 2019: 21 · 2018: 11 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 16 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 11
- FWCI
- 5.54
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc
- Locations
- JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (CA62924, K01-AI071754)
- National Cancer Institute (K01-AI071754, P50CA062924, CA 62924)
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (K01AI071754)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Oncology › Pancreatic and Hepatic Oncology Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Genetic factors in colorectal cancer
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › BRCA gene mutations in cancer
- Keywords
- pancreatic cancer, familial pancreatic cancer, young-onset cancer, age of onset, sporadic pancreatic cancer, standardized incidence ratio, lifetime cancer risk, smoking, hereditary cancer, cancer screening, cancer survivorship
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pancreatic Neoplasms, United States, Incidence, Odds Ratio, Age of Onset, SEER Program, Genetic Predisposition to Disease
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review