Global drivers of human pathogen richness and prevalence
Open accessAbstract
The differences in the richness and prevalence of human pathogens among different geographical locations have ramifying consequences for societies and individuals. The relative contributions of different factors to these patterns, however, have not been fully resolved. We conduct a global analysis of the relative influence of climate, alternative host diversity and spending on disease prevention on modern patterns in the richness and prevalence of human pathogens. Pathogen richness (number of kinds) is largely explained by the number of birds and mammal species in a region. The most diverse countries with respect to birds and mammals are also the most diverse with respect to pathogens. Importantly, for human health, the prevalence of key human pathogens (number of cases) is strongly influenced by disease control efforts. As a consequence, even where disease richness is high, we might still control prevalence, particularly if we spend money in those regions where current spending is low, prevalence is high and populations are large.
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Prevalence measures are likely better assays of the impact of parasitic diseases than the number of such diseases.
“Prevalence measures are likely better assays of the impact of parasitic diseases than the number of such diseases (Dunn et al. 2010).”
From Parasite-stress promotes in-group assortative sociality: The cases of strong family ties and heightened religiosity (2012) · cites this paper as Dunn et al. 2010
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- Authors
- Dunn, R. R., Davies, T. J., Harris, N. C., & Gavin, M. C.
- Affiliations
- North Carolina State University (US)
- University of California, Santa Barbara (US)
- Victoria University of Wellington (NZ)
- Corresponding author
- Dunn, Robert R.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
- Publisher
- The Royal Society
- Published
- 2010-04-14
- Volume
- 277
- Issue
- 1694
- Pages
- 2587-2595
- ISSN
- 0080-4649 (ISSN-L)
- 0962-8452
- 1471-2954
- PMC
- PMC2982038
- OpenAlex
- W2159932081
- Cited by
- 267
- References
- 74
- Citations by year
- 2026: 6 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 43 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 21 · 2016: 21 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 24 · 2013: 15 · 2012: 12
- FWCI
- 13.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Zoonotic diseases and public health
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Parasite Biology and Host Interactions
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Keywords
- human pathogens, pathogen prevalence, climate, birds, mammals, disease control, global biodiversity, zoonoses
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Birds, Climate, Communicable Disease Control, Communicable Diseases, Humans, Mammals, Prevalence, Biodiversity
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